23 rd March 2006 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
23 rd March 2006 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
23 rd March 2006 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation Forward looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future
Page 2 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Forward looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
Page 3 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Preliminary results presentation
Strategy & Outlook Simon Lockett Projects Update Robin Allan Financial Highlights Tony Durrant
Page 4 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Strategy & outlook
Page 5 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Premier’s business strategy
- Targeting 50,000
boepd in medium term
- Reorganised
business
- Build on quality
prospect inventory for 2007 and beyond
- Minimum of 4 high
impact wells per annum within disciplined spend Strategy
- Acquisitions focus
- n core areas
- Exciting 2006
exploration programme, already delivering results
- Portfolio of new and
incremental development projects
- Rising production in
2006 Progress
Page 6 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Asia – building on our Natuna Sea position
2000 4000 8000
Asia Production (boepd)
6000 10000 12000 18000 2006 2007 2008 2009 14000 16000
Potential new projects Booked reserves
- Use technical and commercial expertise from operations in the Natuna Sea to deliver new
exploration opportunities and production projects across the region. 2005 2006
- Vietnam prospect delivery
- Lembu-Peteng and Macan Tutul
- Indonesia HSE performance
- Vietnam high-impact wells
- West Lobe project progress
- Singapore gas sales progressing
- Ratna
Page 7 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
West Africa – building a new core business
- Develop a pipeline of high impact drillable prospects and capitalise on Mauritania position
2005 2006
- Congo and SADR acreage acquisitions
- Guinea Bissau drilling
- Chinguetti development complete
- Chinguetti Phase 2
- Tiof, Tevet and Banda appraised
- Tiof development decision
- Progress Government of Mauritania issues
2000 3000 5000
West Africa Production (boepd)
Potential new projects Booked reserves 4000 7000 2006 2007 2008 2009 6000 1000
Page 8 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
North Sea – returning to growth
2000 4000 8000
North Sea Production (boepd)
6000 16000 2006 2007 2008 2009 14000 10000 12000 Potential new projects Booked reserves
- Build on Norway position by seeking out high impact exploration opportunities and
maximise the value from existing UK producing assets 2005 2006
- Norway acreage additions
- UK exploration - Peveril
- Kyle offtake reconfiguration
- Frøy development progress
- Wytch Farm infill drilling
- Wytch Farm EOR
Page 9 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Middle East & Pakistan – enhancing the Pakistan gas business
2000 4000 8000
Pakistan Production (boepd)
6000 10000 12000 18000 2006 2007 2008 2009
Potential new projects Booked reserves
14000 16000
- Capitalise on a leading position in Pakistan’s rapidly growing gas market, and build a
position in Egypt & the Middle East 2005 2006
- Al Amir discovery
- Al Amir appraisal
- Zamzama 2 sanction
- Indus E exploration (Anne)
- Bhit/Qadirpur additional sales progress
- Bhit/Qadirpur plant upgrades
Page 10 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
5 Year production potential
Production Profile by Region (boepd)
2006 60000 70000 2007 2008 2009 2010 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 South Asia M/East & Pakistan West Africa North Sea
Production Profile (boepd)
2006 60000 70000 2007 2008 2009 2010 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000
(NB: Only includes discovered hydrocarbons (no exploration success assumed or acquisitions))
Potential new projects Booked reserves
Page 11 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Operational highlights
- Production ahead of
budget at 33,300 boepd
- Developments on track
in 2006
- Further gas sales
progressed
- Resource base
increased to 232 mmboe
- Successful exploration
and appraisal year
- World class HSE
performance Strong gas demand in Pakistan, Indonesia offsets UK
- decline. Rising profile in 2006.
West Natuna (West Lobe) expected 3Q 2006 Chinguetti onstream in February 2006. Zamzama phase 2 signed. Good progress in Pakistan and West Natuna. Net additions from discoveries and new licence awards. New acreage added for future exploration. 5 successes from 10 wells in 2005. Excellent start to 2006 in 2 operated wells. 5 years of continuous improvement as an Operator
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Projects update
Page 13 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Asia – building on our Natuna Sea position
- Indonesia drilling update
- Singapore gas sales & associated
development
- Vietnam high-impact wells
- Ratna progress
2000 4000 8000
Asia Production (boepd)
6000 18000 2006 2007 2008 2009 14000 10000 12000 Potential new projects Booked reserves 16000
Page 14 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Indonesia drilling update
Page 15 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Macan Tutul-1
Indonesia drilling update
Natuna Sea Block A PSC 2006 success in
- Macan Tutul-1
- Lembu Peteng-1
Page 16 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Lembu Peteng-1
Indonesia drilling update
Page 17 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Lembu Peteng-1
Ibu Lembu-1
Indonesia drilling update
Page 18 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Singapore gas sales & associated development
Page 19 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Singapore gas sales & associated development
Gas Sales
- Excellent demand in 2005
- Progressing GSA2 negotiations
Anoa West Lobe
- On schedule and on budget
- First gas in Q3 2006
Page 20 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Vietnam high-impact wells
Page 21 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Blocks 12E & W Operator – Premier
- Dua
- Blackbird
- Swan
- Falcon, Peacock and Quit:
follow-on prospects
Dua Structure
Proposed 12E-CS-1X
Blackbird Structure
Quit Peacock Falcon Swan Dua Blackbird
Vietnam high-impact wells
Page 22 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation Existing Well 12E-LX-1X
- ff-structure
Premier 12E-CS-1X Planned at crest 12E-LX-1X Thick sands with residual oil; drilled close to mapped contact Oil Water Contact
Blackbird Prospect
Vietnam high-impact wells
Page 23 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Dua-1X
12-A-1X Dua-1X Discovery Dua-2X Premier Dua-4X Dua-1X (1974) Flowed 1500 bopd from (damaged) Lower Miocene ‘Dua’ Sands
5km
Confirming Dua oil
Vietnam high-impact wells
Page 24 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Ratna progress
Page 25 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Ratna progress
Page 26 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
West Africa
Page 27 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
West Africa – building a new core business
2000 3000 5000
West Africa Production (boepd)
Potential new projects Booked reserves 4000 7000 2006 2007 2008 2009 6000 1000
- Congo high impact exploration
- S.A.D.R. high impact exploration
- Guinea Bissau high-impact wells
- Mauritania – Chinguetti onstream,
next steps
Page 28 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Congo high impact exploration
Page 29 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Block Marine IX Highly prospective block, with significant reserve potential. Premier 58.5% – Operator
Frida Prospect Frida Prospect
Kitina 150 m bbls Moho 110 m bbls N’Kossa 280 m bbls
Congo high impact exploration
Page 30 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Top Lower Albian depth map with Miocene channel depth overlay
Tertiary Channel 2.0 1.0 3.0 4.0
Frida Prospect
Congo high impact exploration
Page 31 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
S.A.D.R. high impact exploration
Page 32 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
S.A.D.R. high impact exploration
Page 33 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Guinea Bissau high-impact wells
Page 34 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Total mean un-risked reserves in the top prospects is >1.5 billion barrels (gross) A $50/bbl oil price economics generates $7 NPV/bbl
135 mbbls 100 mbbls 180 mbbls 80 mbbls 151 mbbls Espinafre 70 mbbls
Sinapa-1
Sinapa-2,2z
175 mbbls 30 mbbls 230 mbbls 110 mmbbls Eirozes 250m bbls 300 mmbbls 190 mbbls
Guinea Bissau high-impact wells
Page 35 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation North
Eirozes-1 Proposed Well (WD= 120 metres)
Eirozes Prospect: mean reserves 250 MM bbls
Top Albian Sand Salt South
Guinea Bissau high-impact wells
Page 36 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Espinafre Prospect: mean reserves 70 MM bbls
North Top Albian Sand Salt South
Espinafre-1 Proposed Well (WD= 34 metres)
Guinea Bissau high-impact wells
Page 37 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Mauritania – Chinguetti onstream, next steps
Page 38 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Mauritania – Chinguetti onstream, next steps
Page 39 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Mauritania – Chinguetti onstream, next steps
Jalakk Tiof SW N’Dor Bogue S Fantar SW Kibaro Awatt Colin
Equivalent North Sea block
Tevet-2 / Tevet Deep 2005 Cretaceous discovery Labeidna 2005 Miocene discovery
Page 40 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
North Sea – returning to growth
Page 41 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
North Sea – returning to growth
2000 4000 8000
North Sea Production (boepd)
6000 16000 2006 2007 2008 2009 14000 10000 12000 Potential new projects Booked reserves
- Norway acreage additions
- Frøy development progress
- UK progress – Wytch Farm & Kyle
Page 42 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Norway acreage additions
Reprocessing 3D 34/2, 34/5 – 15% Reprocess 3D 34/4 (N) – 30% Reprocess 3D 35/12, 36/10 – 40% Reprocess 3D 16/1 (E), 16/4- 30% 100 sq.km 3D aq Frøy Area – 50%
2005 APA Round: Awarded 5 E&P Work programme commitment level low, ALL work programmes targeting 2007 drilling.
Page 43 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Frøy development progress
- STOIIP 239 MMstb
- Historical Production
38 MMstb
- Future resources
20-40 m bbls
- Target development
approval – early 2007
- Planned first oil
mid-2009
Frøy Field
Page 44 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Kyle
- Offtake reconfigured to a single FPSO
- Targeting un-tapped Palaeocene reserves
UK progress – Wytch Farm & Kyle
Wytch Farm
- Infill drilling continues
- Key projects are:
– Low-salinity water injection EOR – 98/7 development
Page 45 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Middle East & Pakistan
- Bhit & Zamzama progress
- Qadirpur & Kadanwari progress
- Egypt - Al Amir appraisal
- Pakistan – Anne high impact
exploration
2000 4000 8000
Production (boepd)
6000 18000 2006 2007 2008 2009 14000 10000 12000 Potential new projects Booked reserves 16000
Page 46 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Pakistan – Bhit & Zamzama progress
Page 47 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Zamzama
- Phase 2 approved in 2005 – work in progress
Bhit - Badhra
- GSA to increase rates close to completion
- Seismic recently acquired to evaluate Badhra upside
Pakistan – Bhit & Zamzama progress
Page 48 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Kadanwari
- High gas prices and strong offtake
- 2006 drilling to exploit reservoir upside
and utilise plant capacity Qadirpur
- Further plant expansion to proceed
- GSA to increase rates being negotiated
- Possible power plant to sell further gas
- Deeper reservoir to be drilled
Pakistan – Qadirpur & Kadanwari progress
Page 49 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Egypt - Al Amir appraisal
Page 50 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
South Gharib Fm
Al Amir-2
Egypt - Al Amir appraisal
Zone-1 top oil Zone-2 Zone-3 Zone-4
Page 51 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Pakistan – Anne high impact exploration
Page 52 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Pakistan – Anne high impact exploration
The Anne well is being drilled down-flank to target best channel package and to confirm an economic
- il volume.
(i.e. attic likely to be sub-commercial)
Anne-1 E W
Page 53 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Exploration – 2006 exploration well plans
Guinea Bissau: Eirozes-1 Espinafre-1 Mauritania : Dore-1 (dry) : Colin-1 : Kibaro-1 Gabon : Themis-1 Egypt : Al Amir-2 Appraisal Pakistan : Anne-1 Indonesia : Tupai-1 : Ganesha-1 : Macan Tutul (gas discovery) : Lembu Peteng-1 : Lukah-1 Vietnam : Blackbird-1 : Dua India : Masimpur-3 UK : Peveril
West Africa
2006 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
Asia North Sea M/East & Pakistan
Appraisal wells Exploration wells Rigs contracted for all wells except marked High impact wells
Page 54 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
2005 Financial Highlights
Page 55 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Financial highlights
- Operating profit up
112%
- Profit after tax up 75%
- Healthy cashflow
- Strong balance sheet
- Share buy back
initiated $125.7m (2004: $59.3m) $38.6m (2004: $22.1m) $118.9m (2004: $109.6m) Net debt $26.2m £10 million programme Rising oil and gas prices, stable production Rising profits offset by higher taxation charge Cashflow covers all operating and capital expenditures at current prices Significant cash inflow in January 2006 Average purchase cost of £5.55 per share
Page 56 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Income Statement
Working Interest Production (mboepd) Entitlement Interest Production (mboepd) Realised oil price ($/bbl) Realised gas price ($/mcf) Sales and other operating revenues Cost of sales Exploration expense Pre licence exploration costs General and administration costs Operating profit Interest income and exchange gains Interest and other finance expense Profit before taxation Taxation Profit after tax Earnings per share - basic (cents) Earnings per share - diluted (cents)
Prepared in accordance with IFRS
Year to 31 Dec 2005 Year to 31 Dec 2004 33.3 28.7 48.38 3.82 $m 359 (176) (21) (17) (20) 126 6 (7) 125 (86) 39 47.0 46.6 34.7 31.5 29.92 3.24 $m 252 (135) (28) (13) (17) 59 2 (8) 54 (32) 22 26.8 26.1 Highlights Underlying operating costs steady at <US$6 per barrel Reduced dry hole costs Low interest charges with strong balance sheet Full year of profit oil and gas in Indonesia Full utilisation of past losses in Pakistan Based on 82.1million shares Includes one-off costs of US$3 million Rising gas prices (especially in Singapore) Full benefit of current high prices in 2006 Targeting 10% increase by year-end 2006
Page 57 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Cashflow
Net cash flow from operations Net interest Taxation Operating cash flow Capital expenditure Pre licence exploration costs Net share issues/(purchases) Other movements Movement in net cash Opening net cash/(debt) Closing net cash/(debt)
Prepared in accordance with IFRS
Year to 31 Dec 2004 $m Year to 31 Dec 2005 $m
207 (2) (86) 119 (133) (17) (20) 6 (45) 19 (26) 165
- (55)
110 (92) (12) 2 (2) 6 13 19
Exploration spend covered 2.3 X Buy back of ordinary shares (£10 million) and purchase of shares for ESOP trust 2005 2004 Development 133 92 Exploration 51 46 82 34 Acquisitions 13
Page 58 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Gas pricing – improving economics
Brent & HSFO Prices (Index)
90 210 190 170 150 130 110 2004 2005 ‘06
PKP Gas Prices ($/mmbtu)
15 7 25 40 60 5 4 3 2 1 6 55 10 20 30 35 45 50
Kadanwari Bhit Qadirpur Zamzama PKP Brent HSFO
2005: US$7.90 per mscf (2004: US$4.96 per mscf) 2005: US$2.20 per mscf (2004: US$2.13 per mscf)
Page 59 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
10% Increase in Total Resources
100 140
Reserves/Resources (mmboe)
Opening reserves/ resources Production Net Revisions Resource additions Closing reserves/ resources
80
Unbooked resources movement Booked reserves movement Unbooked resources Booked reserves
120 180 160 200
- Booked reserves independently reviewed
- Resource additions include Dua & Froy.
- No resources yet booked for Banda or Swan discoveries
Divestment
220 240 60 40 20 210 232
Page 60 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Future Field Capex by Region ($ million)
140 180 100 80 60 40 20
West Africa South Asia
- M. East & Pakistan
North Sea
120 160
Future Field Capex ($ million)
2006 140 180 2007 2008 2009 100 80 60 40 20 120 160
Potential new projects Booked reserves
Potential future field Capex
2006 2007 2008 2009
Page 61 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Exploration spend
- Targeted at around $50m per annum
- Pre-licence exploration costs estimated at additional $10m per annum
- Will require active portfolio management in current environment to meet target
– Attractive farm-in offers under consideration
10 20 40
Exploration Spend ($M)
30 60 2003 2004 2005 2006 E 50
Page 62 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Financial outlook
- Balance sheet effectively ungeared
- Strong and stable cashflows will fund planned capital programme at $50/bbl
– including annual exploration spend at $50m
- Hedging programme through 2010 with floors around $40/bbl protects downside
- Corporate credit facility of $275m largely undrawn
- Financially strong to fund new development projects and acquisitions
Page 63 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation
Summary
- Exciting year ahead
- Close out gas sales contracts in Indonesia/Pakistan
- Actively target acquisitions in core areas
- High impact exploration in Guinea Bissau & Vietnam
Page 64 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation www.premier-oil.com