Interim Results Presentation 16 September 2004 Presentation Sir - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Interim Results Presentation 16 September 2004 Presentation Sir - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Interim Results Presentation 16 September 2004 Presentation Sir David John Introduction John van der Welle Finance and Operations Robin Allan Business Development Summary and Outlook Charles Jamieson Interim Results Presentation | Page 2
Interim Results Presentation | Page 2
Presentation
Introduction Sir David John Finance and Operations John van der Welle Business Development Robin Allan Summary and Outlook Charles Jamieson
Interim Results Presentation | Page 3
Finance and operations
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- Steady production
performance
- Turnover, operating
profit and operating cashflow
- Net profit after tax
- Healthy cashflow:
– Operating cashflow – Net cashflow
- Strong balance sheet
Financial highlights
35.2 mboed (2003: 35.3 mboed*) All down on a comparative basis due to a weak US$ and more gas in the production mix £14.5m (2003: £12.8m**) £38.6m £5.4m Net cash £15.5m Strong gas demand in Pakistan and Indonesia Lower interest charges Cashflow sufficient to cover all operating and capital expenditure In line with strategy
* comparatives for 2003 are with ongoing operations i.e. assets retained post restructuring ** restated in line with 2003 results
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UK
- Production 12,000 boepd
- Successful infill drilling at Wytch Farm
- Kyle well tie back (October production)
- Negotiating to extend life of Kyle and
Fife Area fields Indonesia
- Production 13,100 boepd
- Offtake greater than DCQ
- Gas sale negotiations continue
Pakistan
- Production 10,100 boepd
- Qadirpur facilities upgrade to 500 mmscfd throughput completed
- Zamzama phase 2 progressing to gas sales negotiations
- Kadanwari K14 well to be tied back for production start in November
Mauritania
- Chinguetti field development approved – first oil Q1 2006
Operational highlights
1H 2003 (ongoing) 1H 2004
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 Working interest production
(barrels of oil equivalent per day) Indonesia Pakistan UK
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Profit & loss
Production (mboepd) Realised oil price ($/bbl) Realised oil price (£/bbl) Realised gas price ($/mcf) Realised gas price (£/mcf) Turnover less: share of JV turnover Group turnover Operating costs Amortisation Exploration expenditure written off Gross profit Administration costs Operating profit Operating profit in JV Total operating profit Net interest Exchange gain Profit before tax Taxation Profit after tax Earnings per share - diluted (pence) Half year to 30 June 2003 (Ongoing)
Working interest production Turnover down – more gas production, weaker dollar Unit opex (incl JV) £2.67/boe - up 10% vs
- ngoing operations mainly
due to fixed costs with reduced production in UK fields Unit DDA (incl JV) 2.96/boe JV represents Pakistan only Reduction in net debt Tax restated for change in method of calculation of
- verseas tax (per 2003
annual report) Using new consolidated shares
35.3 26.36 16.55 2.98 1.85 £m 83 (11) 72 (14) (18) (4) 36 (4) 32 6 38 (8) 1 31 (18) 13 NA 35.2 31.45 17.28 3.33 1.83 £m 75 (14) 61 (16) (15) (3) 27 (4) 23 10 33 (1) 1 33 (18) 15 17.2 Half year to 30 June 2004
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2004 2003 Excl JV JV Total Total £m £m £m £m Exploration 17 1 18 14 Fields 9
- 9
10 Other 6
- 6
6 JV funding * (8) 8
- 4
24 9 33 34 * Pakistan net payment to Premier by JV in 2004
Cashflow
Net cash flow from operations Net interest Taxation Operating cash flow (after interest and tax) Capital expenditure Disposals Net cashflow Exchange/other Movement in net debt Yetagun interest accrued Opening net cash/(debt) Closing net cash/(debt) 41
- (13)
28 (24)
- 4
3 7
- 4
11
Lower turnover and
- perating cashflow, partly
- ffset by reduction in
interest Capital expenditure – increased spend on exploration
Half year to 30 June 2004 (As reported) £m Half year to 30 June 2003 (Ongoing, Incl JV) £m
52
- (13)
39 (33)
- 6
3 9
- 7
16
Half year to 30 June 2004 (Incl JV) £m
- Operating cash flow covers exploration 2.2x
68 (9) (12) 47 (34) 13 26 6 32 NA NA
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Future field capex programme
20 25 30 35 50
Development CAPEX (£ million)
Averaging £18 million to £32 million pa depending on Tiof /2nd sale
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 15 10 5 Indonesia 2nd Sale (contingent) Tiof (contingent) Chinguetti Indonesia Pakistan UK 40 45
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Reserves and production
UK Indonesia Pakistan Mauritania Unbooked (2)
Total 2P reserves ~200+ mmboe (1)
- Booked reserves 175 mmboe:
80% gas; 20% oil 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Working interest production (barrels of oil equivalent per day)
Indonesia 2nd Sale (contingent) Tiof (contingent) Chinguetti Indonesia Pakistan UK
(1) Total reserves defined as booked and unbooked 2P WI reserves (2) Unbooked reserves relate to Indonesia and Mauritania
2009 2010
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Business development
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2004 Business development strategy
Exploration led, commercially driven
- £25m p.a. exploration expenditure
- 12 to 18 well programme p.a.
- 1/3 of wells offer step change growth opportunity
- Focus on Africa and Asia
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18 month plan
2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2004 JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2004 JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
AFRICA
Mauritania : Tevét A : Capitaine A : Tiof A : Merou A : Tiof B : Tiof C : Exp. Well : Tiof: D : Exp./App. Wells Gabon : Dussafu-1 : Iris-1 : Themis-1 Egypt : Al Amir-1 Guinea Bissau Pakistan : Dumbar : Indus Offshore India : Jaipur-1 : Cachar-1 Indonesia : Gajah Baru-2 : Macan Tutul-1 Vietnam : 12E & 12W Exp. Well : 12E & 12W Exp. Well : 7,8/97 Exp. Well
ASIA
UKCS : Palomino-1
UKCS
2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2004 JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Contingent wells
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Africa – Gabon
Gabon
Dussafu-1
Interim Results Presentation | Page 14 Dussafu-1 Well Location Mytilus-1 Projected
Africa – Gabon: Dussafu
Dussafu Prospect
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Mauritania
Africa – Mauritania
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Africa – Mauritania: drilling programme
2004 JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN
Exploration Appraisal Chinguetti Development Well Completions Non-interest Operations
Chinguetti-J SEDC Prods SE WI SWDC NDC Banda-D Tevét Capitaine Merou Tiof A Exp./App. Wells Tiof-B
- Exp. Well
Tiof D Exp./App. Wells DP Rig - SEDC DP Rig – SE WI DP Rig – SWDC DP Rig – NDC Banda-D
STENA TAY RIG WEST NAVIGATOR RIG RIG
Top Holes Tevét, Capitaine Tiof A Tiof C DP Rig – All Top Holes
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MIS20 TWT surface
North
Africa – Mauritania: exploration prospects
Tevét Banda Chinguetti Sotto Tiof Lead 60 N’Dor Capitaine Fantar Merou Lead 100 Tenit 3D Area Bogue
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Africa – Mauritania: Tiof
Tiof West-1 Tiof-1
3D visualisation of Miocene sands draped over structure
- Brighter colours indicate presence of hydrocarbons
and sands. Their location varies throughout the seismic volume due to the braiding of the channel system
- Up to 4 appraisals
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Africa – Mauritania: Tevét
Tevét, if successful, would be tied back to the Chinguetti development. Amplitudes at the prospect are similar to those seen at Chinguetti, suggesting the presence of similar reservoir and hydrocarbons.
Banda Chinguetti
3D visulisation of Miocene sands draped over structure
Tevét
Interim Results Presentation | Page 20 S N
Africa – Mauritania: Capitaine
2km Top Reservoir Depth 10km Top Reservoir Amplitude
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2.5 km Merou
Bright amplitudes in the Miocene section over the Merou structure Salt
E W
Africa – Mauritania: Merou
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NW Gemsa Block, Gulf of Suez Basin Premier equity: 37.5% Operator: Kriti (Vegas)
- 3D seismic programme acquired
- Al Amir-1 to spud in December 2004.
- onshore flat desert terrain
- well cost under $3m gross
- targeting prospects of up to 100m bbls
- block potential > 200m bbls
Africa – Egypt
Egypt
Interim Results Presentation | Page 23 EAST ZEIT DISCOVERY (Oct 2001) REC : 70 m bbls SAKARA DISCOVERY (June 2003) REC : 80 m bbls
Africa – Egypt: NW Gemsa Block
GAS PIPELINE OIL PIPELINE
Al Amir-1
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Africa – Egypt: NW Gemsa Block
Proposed Al Amir-1 Zeit Bay-1
Top S Gharib Top Belayim Top Kareem Top Rudeis Top Lwr. Rudeis Top Pre-rift
Al Amir-1 will drill a shallow trap and investigate the deeper stratigraphy. A subsequent contingent well may be drilled to test the deep pre-rift.
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Africa – Guinea Bissau
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The results of the Sinapa-2,2z well have significantly reduced the risks
- f the salt diapir flank play in
Guinea Bissau. 2005 programme will include new 3D seismic acquisition followed by exploration and appraisal drilling.
Sinapa-2,2z
Africa – Guinea Bissau: Sinapa & Esperanca
Interim Results Presentation | Page 27 Ervas El Linguada Espadarte Espinafre Espargos Encharcada Espetada Empada Sardinha Eirozes Sabayon Solha Sinapa-1
Africa – Guinea Bissau 2005
Sinapa-2,2z
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Asia – Indonesia
Natuna Sea Block A Premier Equity: 28.67% Operator: Premier
- Gajah Baru-2 appraisal & deep
exploration well supporting existing and potential new gas sales and targeting increased reserves
- Macan Tutul-1 step-out well moved
to 2005
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Gajah Baru-2 will appraise the Upper and Middle Arang reserves discovered by Gajah Baru-1. Additionally it will appraise deeper Gabus gas and oil discovered by Gajah-1.
Gajah Baru-1 Gajah-1 Gajah-2 Gajah Baru-2
Asia – Indonesia: Gajah Baru-2 location
Interim Results Presentation | Page 30 Gajah Baru-1 Gajah-1 Gajah-2 Gajah Baru-2
Asia – Indonesia: Gajah Baru-2 location
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Asia – India
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Legend
Premier Block Prospect Oil Field
Asia – India: Jaipur Block
Lakkhi-1
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Asia – Vietnam
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Asia – Vietnam: prospects map
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Asia – Vietnam: Block 7,8/97 seismic
1925 km of new seismic data being acquired using vessel MV Polar Duke
2D seismic May 2004 2D seismic September 2004
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Asia – Vietnam 2005: Block 12E & W
Swan Complex 12W-HA-1x tested at 24 MMscf/d with 829 bc/d. Canary Complex 12-C-1x tested at 8.2 MMscf/d Lark 12-LK-1X recovered 45 barrels of oil from the Upper Oligocene Cau Formation
1557 km of new 2D seismic data planned for acquisition using vessel MV Polar Duke, 2004
Dua Field Dua-1X tested 1540 bopd of 39°API oil from the Mid Miocene Dua Formation
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2005 programme
Taking shape…
- Mauritania - up to 9 E&A wells (dependent on 2004 programme)
- Guinea Bissau - up to 3 wells
- Vietnam - 1 to 3 wells
- Plus 1 well in each of UK, Gabon, Egypt, Pakistan, India & Indonesia
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18 month plan
2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2004 JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2004 JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
AFRICA
Mauritania : Tevét A : Capitaine A : Tiof A : Merou A : Tiof B : Tiof C : Exp. Well : Tiof: D : Exp./App. Wells Gabon : Dussafu-1 : Iris-1 : Themis-1 Egypt : Al Amir-1 Guinea Bissau Pakistan : Dumbar : Indus Offshore India : Jaipur-1 : Cachar-1 Indonesia : Gajah Baru-2 : Macan Tutul-1 Vietnam : 12E & 12W Exp. Well : 12E & 12W Exp. Well : 7,8/97 Exp. Well
ASIA
UKCS : Palomino-1
UKCS
2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2004 JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Contingent wells
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Summary and outlook
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Summary and outlook
Ingredients for Independents’ success
- Clear strategy / a good story
- Resources to play the game
- Leverage to success
- Just 1 or 2 successes needed
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Appendix
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Premier – recent history
- West Natuna – Indonesia
– 1996 – Purchased Anoa block from Chevron for $72 million – 1997/8 – Drilled up gas. Negotiated WNG sale to Singapore. Largest pipeline gas project in SE Asia – 1999 onwards – Development and production operator – 2003 – Sold 38% at profit of nearly 3x net investment as part of restructuring
- Myanmar
– 1997 – Assumed operatorship on Texaco withdrawal. – 1998/9 – Negotiated GSA and managed $650 million development – 2003 – Sold to Petronas as part of restructuring for $400 million
- Pakistan
– 1997 – Discovered 2 tcf Zamzama field – 1998 – Premier/Shell partnership – 2001 – Extracted value through sale to KUFPEC - $114 million – 2003 – Further discoveries at Zamzama and Kadanwari
- Exploration record 1997-99
– Industry survey. 1st in 2 categories - reserves replacement/finding and development costs - large independents
- Corporate
– 1999 – Petronas/Amerada Hess – $200 million equity injection, SE Asian pipeline gas strategy – 2003 – Restructuring. Petronas/Amerada Hess depart. Myanmar sold. Negligible resultant debt – 2003 – Fusion deal – Mauritania drilling success
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Areas of operation and strategy
- High impact explorer and
commercial dealmaker
- Base business –
e.g. 30-50,000 boepd
- Cycle out/farm down assets
when significant growth potential has been exploited
- Realise early value
for shareholders
Interim Results Presentation | Page 44
Production operations – UK
- Mature production, mainly oil
- Wytch Farm (picture), BP operated
- Kyle and Fife area fields
- UK production ~12,000 boepd, reserves 24 mmboe
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Production operations - Indonesia
- West Natuna Gas (WNG) project – Premier operated
- 650km pipeline to Singapore
- Production commenced 2001 – 27 year gas contract
- Indonesia production ~13,000 boepd, reserves 79 mmboe
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Production operations - Pakistan
- Onshore gas – all in production, offshore exploration block (Shell)
- Bhit (picture) and Zamzama on-stream 2003
- Long-term gas contracts, in dollars
- Successful drilling late 2003
- Pakistan production ~10,000 boepd, reserves 63 mmboe
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Development ops – Mauritania: Chinguetti
- Development approved May 2004
- Reserves of 120 mmbbls (Premier share 9.7 mmbbls)
- Development cost $600 million (Premier share $55 million)
- First oil Q1 2006 building to 75,000 bopd (Premier share 6,100 bopd)