Half year results presentation for six months ended 30 April 2020
Retirement living to the full
15 July 2020
IR Contact: marina.calero@mccarthyandstone.co.uk
2020 15 July 2020 Retirement living to the full IR Contact: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Half year results presentation for six months ended 30 April 2020 15 July 2020 Retirement living to the full IR Contact: marina.calero@mccarthyandstone.co.uk Agenda Overview and strategic update John Tonkiss, CEO Operational update:
Half year results presentation for six months ended 30 April 2020
Retirement living to the full
15 July 2020
IR Contact: marina.calero@mccarthyandstone.co.uk
2
Agenda
Rowan Baker, CFO
Financial performance Summary and Outlook
John Tonkiss, CEO
Operational update: Customers and Services
Mike Lloyd, COO, Services & Customers John Tonkiss, CEO
Overview and strategic update
3
John Tonkiss, CEO
Overview
4
Overview
living - the ‘Third Way’
care reform
(Financial Times, 2 June 2020) (Daily Telegraph, 29 June 2020) (Daily Mail, 3 July 2020) (The Times, 13 June 2020)
5
Emerging from extraordinary period - HY20 review
Builders’ Council (NHBC)
471
HY19: 845
Legal Completions1
£(25)m
HY19: £21m
Underlying Operating (Loss)/Profit3
18
HY19: 10
Land exchanges
Nov Dec Jan Feb March April General Election ‘Boris bounce’ Covid-19 lockdown
6
Safety and wellbeing of customers and employees has been our absolute priority
Customers:
Employees:
UK population UK population 65+ UK population 85+ McCarthy & Stone
Covid-19 infection rates (total cases per 1000 people) 4.5 6.14 4.7 18.15
‘Thank you’ to our employees and homeowners
7
Acting decisively to protect the financial health of our business
Excellent liquidity with strong cash controls in place Image to be added
8
While we are past the peak of the crisis, the financial impact will be weighted towards H2
Gradual remobilisation reflecting the nature of our customer base
Nov Dec Jan Feb March April May June
New Leads Gross Reservations (incl. rentals)
Nov Dec Jan Feb March April May June 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Sales restarted
Lead Generation Marketing Turned-Off
9
Unique benefits of independent retirement living - the ‘Third Way’
Services team
restricted access to communal areas and 500 volunteers through our Buddy scheme
Our customers felt safe, secure and supported throughout the outbreak
10
John Tonkiss, CEO
Strategic update
11
Short term priorities remain in place
Progress pre-Covid-19 Implications post Covid-19
saving p/a
model
secured)
compliance costs
Continued focus on margin improvement with timing of delivery impacted Stage 1: Optimising financial performance
4
Workflow realignment
3
Build cost reduction (BCR)
2
Efficient sales & marketing tools Rightsizing the business
1
12
Q1 FY22 Q2 FY22 Q3 FY22 Q4 FY22 Q1 FY23 Q2 FY23 Q3 FY23 Q4 FY23
Smooth workflow expected in FY22 & FY23
Workflow trajectory
Reduction in new build starts in FY20 impacting FY21 first occupation delivery
94% 87% 20% 13% 75%
c.2,000 >2,000 c.1,250
2,233 c.400FY19 FY20E FY21E FY22E FY23E
Scheduled first occupation (units)
First Occupied Build Started Planning achieved but not Build Started Subject to Planning New Land Exchanges Required
1,817 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Scheduled build starts (units)
13
Right long term strategy in place
Progress pre-Covid-19 Implications post Covid-19
with the emergence of a new retirement living property asset class
development partnerships
reduction in ASP driven by product re-engineering
Stage 2: Strategic Opportunities
Right long-term strategy focused on improving customer experience
14
Opportunities beyond Covid-19
However…
We are uniquely placed to capitalise on this long term opportunity
Our customers & their families Society Employees Environment
Strong fundamentals Unrivalled capabilities Changing landscape
Making a real difference
Projected UK population growth1, million
11.8 17.3 1.6 3.0
Aged 65+ Aged 85+
(1)Office for National Statistics population projections (2017)Renewed brand 2037 2017
15
Mike Lloyd, COO Operational update: Customers & Services
16
Focus on a safe and positive environment for 20,000 homeowners and staff
Safer
Happier
Large mailbag of Thank Yous for our staff and the organisation’s efforts Covid-19 infection rates 27% lower than the
than the over 85s
17
Priorities for H2: Sales and Services
Sales:
Services:
Low levels of COVID now Continuing to operate to minimise risk Building on well received support services Sales and Marketing activity mid ramping up In step with our demographic becoming more mobile New reservations on core stock 50%+ pre-Covid levels
18
The concept of Retirement Living is less well understood in the UK than in other countries such as New Zealand and Australia Substantial opportunity to build familiarity with our brand, our product, and its benefits
Priorities for H2: Brand review and repositioning
Issues
Opportunity
Brand relaunch coming later this year
19
Rowan Baker, CFO
Financial performance
Six months to 30 April 2020
(comparative: 6 months to 28 February 2019)
20
Underlying Operating (Loss)/Profit3
£(25)m
HY19: £21m
Financial Overview
471
HY19: 845 Legal Completions1
£297k
HY19: £319k ASP2
£54m
HY19: £57m Net Debt4
1. The Group recognises a legal completion at the point of completion of a sale of an apartment to a purchaser or a tenancy commencement on a rental apartment, including a bulk sale of 135 units (2019: nil). The HY20 transaction comprises the sale of 41 show flats and sales offices with a subsequent 12-month leaseback, and the sale of 94 finished apartments and apartments under construction in Scotland. 2. Average selling price is calculated as average list price less cash discounts and part-exchange top-ups and fair value adjustments. 3. Underlying operating (loss)/profit (including underlying operating (loss)/profit margin and underlying basic earnings per share) and underlying (loss)/profit before tax are calculated by adding amortisation of brand of £1.0m (2019: £1.0m) and exceptional items of £63.4m (2019: £14.3m) to operating (loss)/profit and (loss)/profit before tax respectively. See note 3 of condensed consolidated financial statements for further information. 4. See note 6 of condensed consolidated financial statements for net debt reconciliation. .18
HY19: 10 Land exchanges
21
Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income
HY20 HY19 £m £m Revenue 101.0 280.5 Land, build & incentives (78.0) (210.6) Site Profit 23.0 69.9 Site Profit Margin % 22.8% 24.9% Divisional costs incl. sales & marketing & build repairs (23.7) (25.4) Empty property costs (7.3) (5.6) Gross (loss)/profit (7.9) 39.0 Net operating income 3.3 1.8 Administrative expenses (20.2) (19.5) Underlying operating (loss)/profit (24.8) 21.3 Finance income 0.5 0.3 Finance expense (2.6) (2.7) Underlying (loss)/profit before tax (26.9) 18.9 Amortisation of brand (1.0) (1.0) Exceptional items (63.4) (14.3) Statutory (loss)/profit before tax (91.3) 3.6
Election and Covid-19:
income – consistent YOY
margin*, PX loss and management services profit
impairment of goodwill and brand, plus £3m of Covid-19 and restructuring costs
*see explanation in appx for rental accounting
22
30 April 2020 28 February 2019
£m £m 4.3 66.9 9.0 2.3 51.2 0.2 89.3 90.2 (28.5) (30.1) 252.2 299.2 323.4 381.4 636.4 740.7 44.1 55.8 680.5 796.5 (53.5) (57.2) 3.6 (60.6) 695.1 748.1
Balance sheet
£m Goodwill and intangible assets Fixed assets & investments Investment properties Land Land creditors Sites in the course of construction Finished stock Total net stock (excl. PX properties) PX properties Total net stock Net debt Other net assets / liabilities
Net assets
charge of £60m following Covid-19 impairment review
IFRS 16.
due to Covid-19 pause in activity and in line with strategy
target, at 1,373 units (FY19: 1,628)
prices can fall by up to c.13% before adjustment required
TNAV1
690.8 681.2
23
51% 49%
Choice: Rental portfolio performance
Strong rental performance delivering attractive yields Portfolio overview as at June 2020
low level of voids and negligible bad debts.
portfolio reaches scale
Build to Rent strategy
Average rental price (excl. service charge and ground rent) Retirement Living (RL) Retirement Living PLUS (RP) One-bed £1,069 Two-bed £1,748 One-bed £1,792 Two-bed £2,580 68% 32%
Bed Mix 1 Bed 2 Bed
83% 17%
Occupancies Single Double
Rent / Rent to Buy
Volume
List | NBV £M
Annual Gross rents*
Gross Yield Gross to Net
Ungeared / geared** Returns
192
£59.2m
£53.2m
c.£3.8m
6.5% 21%
(incl. 2% void)
>7%/>10%
*Excluding service charge and ground rent **40% LTV
YTD Reservations & Completions
175
RL RP
192
56% 44%
RL
£53.2m
RP RL RP 6% 7%
24
37% 62%
HY20
34% 15% 51%
FY19
Part-exchange performance as at 30 April 2020
Part-exchange (PX) – valuable and cost effective tool
unsold
since 23 March.
secondary market
1) Profit or loss on sale of PX properties is calculated as the PX resale price less selling costs and the buy in price
783 145 5 (1%) 347
PX metrics 6 months to 30 April 14 months to 31 October 2019 Purchased (units) 145 783 Sold (units) 297 648 Average purchase price / % market value £344k/ 97% £346k / 97% Balance sheet value £44.1m £93.8m Loss on sale £15.6k £9.1k Average resale period (weeks) 14.2 12.3 OBPX (units) held at 30 April 130 282
43 Completed 59 Exchanged or SSTC 28 For Sale
130 properties / £44 m Current status of 30 April PX balance
25
£24.7m £138.1m £53.5m £62.2m £4.5m £2.7m £47.6m £99.3m
50 100 150 200 250
Opening net cash Net revenue Land spend Build spend Operating costs &
Tax & interest Dividends paid Exceptional items Closing net debt
Cashflow – net cash
Total land & build spend £147m (HY19: £227m)
*
* Includes incentive costs, build repairs and other variable costmanagement and maintain a strong balance sheet
lenders up to Oct 2021
Financing Facility (‘CCFF’), undrawn Scaled back during lockdown (PY: £71m)
26
Impact of cash preservation measures
Business well positioned to navigate through continued uncertainty with excellent liquidity and strong cash controls in place
PX sales, bulk sale and controlled land and build spend Job Retention Scheme, 20% senior salary adjustment and discretionary spend reduction Continued low level completions & bulk sale
£127m
Excellent bank engagement and support throughout crisis CCFF now in place
Cash Finished stock PX on balance sheet Monthly cash burn Covenants Total liquidity
£355m £59m c.£10m Covenants too restrictive £200m RCF
Feb/March Current position
Actions £146m (30 April) £122m (30 June) £317m (30 June) £39m (30 June) c.£7m during lockdown Covenant relaxation FY20, FY21 £200m RCF + £300m CCFF
Strong performance since lockdown – net £20m cash released
Net debt
£73m £54m (30 April) £78m (30 June)
27
John Tonkiss, CEO Summary & Outlook
28
Summary & Outlook
Business is in good financial health and is uniquely placed to capitalise on future opportunities
29
Created by Bob Gridley, a homeowner at Walmsley Place development, Bishops Waltham
30
Appendix:
31
Build cost reduction efficiencies (BCR): HY20 progress
from the outset
lockdown
additional Covid-19 compliance costs Next steps:
£48m BCR savings delivery stages
£7m
Secured on FY19 & FY20 first
Approved construction budgets for sites in build Subject to planning
£16m £25m
FY19 June 2020
£9m £21m £18m
BCR principles continue to be applied, but timing and quantum impacted by Covid-19
32
14 month Half year Half year Year end 30 Apr 20 28 Feb 19 31 Oct 19 £m £m £m Revenue 101.1 280.5 725.0 Cost of sales (109.0) (241.5) (620.1) Gross (loss)/profit (7.9) 39.0 104.9 Other operating income 106.8 64.5 238.1 Administrative expenses (84.6) (34.8) (64.1) Other operating expenses (103.5) (62.7) (230.5) Operating (loss)/profit (89.2) 6.0 48.4 Amortisation of brand (1.0) (1.0) (2.4) Exceptional expenses (63.4) (14.3) (17.3) Underlying operating (loss)/profit (24.8) 21.3 68.1 Underlying operating profit margin (24.5%) 7.6% 9.4% Finance income 0.5 0.3 1.0 Finance expense (2.6) (2.7) (6.0) Loss/profit before tax (91.3) 3.6 43.4 Income tax expense 16.8 (0.8) (8.5) (Loss)/profit for the year from continuing operations and total comprehensive income (74.5) 2.8 34.9 (Loss)/Profit attributable to: Owners of the Company (74.5) 2.7 35.1 Non-controlling interest
(0.2) (74.5) 2.8 34.9
1. Underlying operating (loss)/profit (including underlying operating (loss)/profit margin and underlying basic earnings per share) and underlying (loss)/profit before tax are calculated by adding amortisation of brand of £1.0m (2019: £1.0m) and exceptional items of £63.4m (2019: £14.3m) to operating (loss)/profit and (loss)/profit before tax respectively. See note 3 of condensed consolidated financial statements for further information.For the period ended 30 April 2020
Financial statements: Statement of comprehensive income
1
33
As at 30 April 2020
Financial statements: Statement of financial position
Half year Half year Year end 30 Apr 20 28 Feb 19 31 Oct 19 £m £m £m Assets Non-current Assets Goodwill34
For the period ended 30 April 2020
Financial statements: Consolidation cash flow statement
14 month Half year Half year Year end
30 Apr 20 28 Feb 19 31 Oct 19
£m £m £m Net cash flow from operating activities (55.1) (41.7) 81.4 Investing activities Purchases of property, plant and equipment (0.2) (0.3) (0.4) Purchases of intangible assets (0.2) (0.4) (1.4) Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment
Outflows in relation to investment properties (22.7)
Net cash used in investing activities (23.1) (0.7) (30.0) Financing activities Issue of long-term borrowings 195.0 90.0 214.0 Repayment of long-term borrowings (7.0) (54.0) (255.0) Dividends paid
(29.3) Acquisition of NCI
Net cash from / (used in) financing activities 188.0 17.2 (71.7) Net increase / (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 109.8 (25.2) (20.3) Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of perod 36.7 57.0 57.0 Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 146.5 31.8 36.7
35
Stock holding analysis
4,209 3,785 591 935 1,993 1,866 1,579 1,373 28 February 2019 Apr-20
Landbank - plots
Controlled land Owned land Sites under construction Finished stock Total 8,372 Total 7,959 4,800 4,720
Sites Units Sites Units Sites Units Owned sites Land held for development 14 591 10 384 21 935 With detailed planning consent 12 498 9 356 18 830 Awaiting detailed planning consent 2 93 1 28 3 105 Sites in the course of construction1 48 1,993 36 1,634 44 1,866 Pre sales releases 24 1,200 29 1,319 29 1,326 Post sales release 24 793 7 315 15 540 Finished stock 112 1,579 114 1,628 108 1,373 Total owned sites 174 4,163 160 3,646 173 4,174 Exchanged sites With detailed planning consent 28 1,326 21 963 11 538 Awaiting detailed planning consent 67 2,883 71 3,086 75 3,247 Total exchanged sites 95 4,209 92 4,049 86 3,785 Total land bank 269 8,372 252 7,695 259 7,959 Terms agreed, awaiting exchange 31 1,350 30 1,337 28 1,282 Total 300 9,722 282 9,032 287 9,241 Workflow milestones Sites Units Sites Units Sites Units Land exchanges 10 465 34 1,530 18 816 Planning consents 21 945 38 1,712 11 536 Land completions 13 532 35 1,544 21 941 Build starts 14 593 40 1,817 11 438 Sales releases 23 994 45 1,908 9 366 First occupations 15 640 53 2,249 3 140 Inventory holding (£m) H1 FY19 H2 FY19 H1 FY20 Land held for development 90.2 57.6 89.3 Sites in the course of construction 299.2 179.6 252.2 Finished stock 381.4 393.9 321.4
Part-exchange properties
55.8 93.8 44.1 Total 826.6 724.9 707.0 Legal completions (unit numbers) H1 FY19 H2 FY19 H1 FY20 Current year first occupations 204 1,098 84 Prior year first occupations and earlier 641 1,203 307 Rental completions 80 Total 845 2,301 471 * Does not include sites under construction at the pre-foundation stage. 2019 2020 H1 FY20 H1 FY19 H2 FY19 2020 H1 FY19 2019 H2 FY19 H1 FY20
36
Strategy - summary of Covid-19 implications
Stage 2:
Strategic Opportunities (FY19-FY23)
Stage 1:
Optimisation (FY19-FY21)
4
Workflow realignment
3
Build cost reduction
2
Efficient sales & marketing tools Rightsizing the business
1 Progress pre-Covid-19 Implications post Covid-19
completed
implemented
development
19
‘softer’ services
alternative charging models
up
balance sheet
proportion of volumes
proposition post Covid-19 with the emergence of a new retirement living property asset class
partnerships
approved for FY20
implementation delayed
market via targeted £50k reduction in ASP driven by product re- engineering Progress pre-Covid-19 Implications post Covid-19
additional c.£4m saving p/a
(c.£30m savings secured)
Covid-19 compliance costs
exchanges
workflow on fully optimised basis
Right long-term strategy focused on improving customer experience Continued focus on margin improvement with timing of delivery impacted
37
Rental unit accounting - illustration
Balance sheet Inventory Finished unit
£219k
at cost
Unit rented Annual gross rent £26k1 Income statement
Reclassification £219k Uplift to fair value £58k (market value) Revenue (Rental revenue)
HY20 financial rental performance (m)
Balance sheet
Income statement HY20 Rental income 1.6 Service charge & ground rent costs (0.4) Variable costs2 (0.3) Gross Profit 0.9 Overheads3 (0.0) Operating profit 0.9
Group Income statement
1 Annual gross rent includes service charge and ground rent 2 Management charges, maintenance, contingency fund, voids & sinking funds 3 Bad debt provision, insurance, agency feeAccounting for each rental apartment (m)
Revaluation uplift to fair value 21% margin Investment properties
38
Covenant summary
Interest cover2 (times) HY20 Actual interest cover (12m) 11.8 x Covenant 4.5 x Headroom 7.3 x Gearing4 (%) HY20 Actual gearing 12 Covenant 60 Headroom 48 Net tangible assets3 (£m) HY20 Actual net tangible assets 677 Covenant 500 Headroom 177
gearing1
ending on 31 October 2021 at the existing covenant level
1. The RCF imposes financial covenants which test the Groups interest cover, net tangible assets, gearing and restrictions on the value of rental, shared ownership and part-exchange properties held on the balance sheet; all of which the Group is compliant with. 2. Interest cover is cumulative 12 month operating profit before interest, tax, all exceptional items and amounts attributable to amortisation of intangible assets or depreciation of fixed assets divided by net finance charges 3. Net Tangible Assets is Group net assets excluding goodwill, intangible assets, any reserves attributable to minority interests and deferred tax 4. Gearing is Group net debt plus committed land creditors divided by net tangible assets
The gearing covenant will reduce from 60% to 55%
39
Focus on our core RL and RLP product offering
Retirement Living (RL) Retirement Living PLUS (RLP) Services
Offering type
▪
40 unit (on average) developments, with 1
▪
Basic level of services offered
▪
On-site house manager
▪
Guest suite
▪
Landscaped grounds
▪
50-60 units per site
▪
Larger, more adapted apartments
▪
High proportion of communal spaces
▪
House manager and on-site team
▪
Wellbeing suite
▪
Mobility scooter store
▪
High level of services and care
▪
CQC registered 24h support Existing:
▪
Property management
▪
Care
▪
Wellbeing In development / piloting:
▪
Transportation
–
(car sharing / electric cars club)
▪
Technology backed care
–
MySense AI powered wellbeing system
▪
Pebble Bistro – new generation
–
Extended hours, barista coffee, licenced bar, new menu
▪
Fit For Life
–
Tailored exercise classes in partnership with Oomph Wellness and supported by Sport England
c.79 c.83 Average age 59%1 41% Share of total FY19 revenues Olivier Place, Wilton Liberty House, Raynes Park
* Includes 7% of remaining LL sales40
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