2020 Interim results for the 6 months ended 31 March 2020
30 JUNE 2020
2020 Interim results for the 6 months ended 31 March 2020 30 JUNE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2020 Interim results for the 6 months ended 31 March 2020 30 JUNE 2020 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS Barloworld may, in this document, make certain statements that are not historical facts that relate to analyses and other information based on
30 JUNE 2020
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
Barloworld may, in this document, make certain statements that are not historical facts that relate to analyses and other information based on forecasts of future results and estimates of amounts not yet determinable. These statements may also relate to our future prospects, developments and business strategies. Examples of such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding exchange rate fluctuations, volume growth, increases in market share, return on invested capital, growth opportunities, capital distribution and cost reductions, including in connection with our business performance outlook. Words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend", “seek”, “will”, “plan”, “could”, “may”, “endeavour”, “target”, “forecast” and “project” and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and there are risks that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not be achieved. If one
understand that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements apply only as of the date on which they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All references to years refer to the financial year 31 March 2020. Comprehensive additional information is available on our website: www.barloworld.com
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PRESENTATION OVERVIEW
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Opening and welcome Zanele Salman, Head Investor Relations Highlights Dominic Sewela, Group CEO Financial overview Nopasika Lila, Group FD Automotive and Logistics update Kamogelo Mmutlana, CE Charl Groenewald, CE Barloworld Equipment Russia update Quinton McGeer, CE Barloworld Equipment snA update Emmy Leeka, CE Strategy Update and Group Outlook Dominic Sewela, Group CEO Questions and answers
DOMINIC SEWELA GROUP CEO
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BUILDING A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE FOR OUR PEOPLE, ENVIRONMENT AND COMMUNITIES
Continued focus on zero harm across the Group, no work-related fatalities in the period To date 38 employees have tested positive for COVID-19, 29 are recovering while nine have recovered, no deaths R129 million paid in salaries to employees who were not able to work from home during lockdown in April and May Barloworld Siyakhula small and medium enterprise beneficiaries receiving COVID-19 relief
0% interest loan repayment holiday for 6 months, R1.8 million deferred R22.4 million six month relief fund, 41 beneficiaries and 454 jobs saved
South African Solidarity fund partnership: goods and services worth R8.8 million Khula Sizwe BBBEE transaction, 49 of the 64 properties transferred for R2.2 billion Non-renewable energy consumption down 15%, greenhouse gas emissions (scope 1 and 2) down 17%
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TRADING IN A COVID-19 WORLD Challenging trading conditions Challenging trading conditions exacerbated by COVID-19 Low activity in key industries
Lower average commodity prices and
subdued demand
Severe business interruption through lockdowns
and supply chain interruptions
Job losses and pressures on all industries to impact post–crisis recovery Steady improvements as lockdown measures are lifted Proactive mitigating measures implemented COVID-19 Policy and Crisis Committee in place to manage and mitigate impact on employees Active reduction in operating costs 12 month remuneration sacrifice plan implemented
Group-wide retrenchments (including early retirement) Moratorium on external appointments Deferment of non-essential capex OEM extended payment terms and additional counter measures to contain invested capital Expected 2020 overhead cost containment of between R 700 million and R720 million before implementation costs
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GROUP HIGHLIGHTS
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Robust balance sheet remains key strength in these times
Group Net debt-to-EBITDA* ratio of 0.9 times (FY19: 0.2 times) Group EBITDA to gross interest cover* ratio of 5.5 times (1H’19: 5.7 times)
Business structure and leadership driving strategy implementation and culture change
*excludes IFRS 16 impact
Group normalised HEPS
Down from
(1H’19: 521 cents) Revenue
Down 12%
(1H’19: R28.7bn)
Committed funding capacity of
Share Buy Back to enhance shareholder value
(8.6% in issue at 1 October 2019) Return on Invested Capital
(1H’19: 11.3%) Operating profit excl. B-BBEE
Down 27%
(Mar 2019: R1.6bn)
ROIC%
12.4 19.4 14.4 9.9 3.3 11.0 12.7 20.6 13.7 9.1 6.4 11.3 8.6 14.2 9.2 8.0
9.2
Equipment southern Africa Equipment Russia Motor Trading Car Rental Logistics Group Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20
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AVERAGE INVESTED CAPITAL (R million) Mar 2018 10.9 2.6 2.9 4.4 2.7 29.1 Mar 2019 11.9 2.9 2.8 4.3 2.1 28.7 Mar 2020 12.1 3.8 3.2 4.1 1.9 28.3
13.0%
NOPASIKA LILA GROUP FINANCE DIRECTOR
NEW ACCOUNTING STANDARDS IMPACTING THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS – IFRS 16 LEASES
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The accounting policies applied in the preparation of the interim financial statements, 31 March 2020 are consistent with those applied at 31 March 2019 except for the adoption of IFRS 16 Leases effective 1 October 2019. The adoption of IFRS 16 impacts the following: Operating profit/HEPS; Finance costs Operating and Investing cash flows; Right of Use (ROU) Asset and Lease Liability.
TRANSACTIONS IMPACTING THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
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OPERATIONAL CHANGES: AVIS FLEET AND NMI-DSM
1H'20 1H’19 Income statement Avis Fleet Held for sale (discontinued operation) It was treated as a continuing operation and therefore 2019 March has been restated NMI-DSM Equity accounted for (50% shareholding and loss of control) Fully consolidated: (51.18% shareholding) Statement of financial position Avis Fleet Assets and liabilities held for sale Assets and liabilities consolidated in group NMI-DSM Investment in associate Subsidiary Statement of cash flows Avis Fleet Consolidated in the statement of cash flows Consolidated in the statement of cash flows NMI-DSM From 1 September 2019 dividends received included in dividends from associates Cashflows consolidated for 12 months.
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW MARCH 2020
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A CHALLENGING SIX MONTHS
Normalised Headline Earnings#
Down from (Mar 2019: 521 cents) Net profit after tax impact of IFRS 16:
(reduction in net profit) Effective 1 October 2019 Khula Sizwe transaction
Up from (Mar 2019: R24m) Non-operating and capital items
Up from (Mar 2019: R68m loss) Profit from Avis Fleet
Down from (Mar 2019: R 262m) Effective tax rate
Down from (Mar 2019: 38%)
# Group excluding IFRS 16 and B-BBEE transaction charges
Rm 1H’20 (Not reviewed) IFRS 16 impact 1H’20 Excl. IFRS 16 1H’19 Restated Change % Incl. IFRS 16
Revenue 25 212 25 212 28 727 (12%) EBITDA 2 269 (294) 1 975 2 468 (8%) Depreciation and amortisation of intangibles (1 024) 201 (823) (898) 14% Operating profit before B-BBEE transaction 1 245 (93) 1 152 1 570 (21%) B-BBEE transaction charge (132) (132) (24) > 100% Operating profit 1 113 (93) 1 020 1 546 (28%) Fair value adjustment on financial instruments (84) (84) (70) 20% Net finance cost (551) 137 (414) (479) 15% Profit before non operating capital items 478 44 522 997 (52%) Non-operating and capital items (1 737) (1 737) (68) > 100% (Loss)/profit before taxation (1 259) 44 (1 215) 929 (> 100%) Taxation (415) 14 (401) (357) 16% (Loss)/profit after taxation (1 674) 58 (1 616) 572 (> 100%) (Loss)/Income from Associates and JVs (63) (63) 116 (> 100%) (Loss)/profit – Continuing operations (1 737) 58 (1 679) 688 (> 100%) Profit from discontinued operations 201 201 262 (23%) (Loss)/profit for the period (1 536) 58 (1 478) 950 (> 100%) EPS (862.2) 313.9 DEPS (862.2) 313.0
STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Revenue: On a comparable basis revenue decreased by 6% from 1H’19 considering the inclusion
classified as an associate. Non-operating and capital items largely impacted by goodwill impairments (R685m),investment write-offs (R317m) and Impairment
Included in the Fair value adjustment on financial instruments are forex losses of R72.7m which were incurred in the Equipment business in Angola due to the currency devaluation. The results of Avis Fleet (discontinued operation) were impacted by lower used sales margins, lower maintenance profits and increased provisions for estimated credit losses.
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A CHALLENGING SIX MONTHS
CONTINUING REVENUE SEGMENTAL
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TOUGH TRADING CONDITIONS PREVAILED IN 1H’20; 1H’19 INCLUDED MOTA DEAL AND NMI
Equipment southern Africa Equipment Russia Automotive Trading Rent A Car Logistics
Rm 1H’20 IFRS 16 impact 1H’20
1H’19 Restated Change % (incl. IFRS 16)
Revenue 25 212 – 25 212 28 727 (12%)
10.0 3.2 9.3 3.3 2.9 28.7 8.9 3.8 7.2 3.2 2.1 25.2
Equipment southern Africa Equipment Russia Automotive Trading Rent A Car Logistics Total Group
REVENUE (R billion)
1H'19 1H'20
Includes R2.0bn NMI Revenue. Includes R2.0bn NMI Revenue.
1H’19 in Automotive Trading includes 2bn NMI revenue
35 15 29 13 8 1H’20 (%) 36 11 33 11 9 1H’19 (%)
OPERATING PROFIT SEGMENTAL ROBUST RUSSIAN RESULT AND AFRICAN RESULTS UNDER PRESSURE
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806 314 275 281 68 (198) 1 546 722 370 85 194 (30) (240) 12 1 113
Equipment southern Africa Equipment Russia Automotive Trading Rent A Car Logistics Corporate Khula Sizwe Total Group
OPERATING PROFIT (R million)
1H'19 1H'20
Includes R63m NMI Operating profit. Includes positive R93m IFRS 16 impact.
Automotive Trading 1H’19 includes R63m NMI Operating profit Total group 1H’20 includes R93m IFRS 16 impact
Rm 1H’20 IFRS 16 impact 1H’20
1H’19 Restated Change % (incl. IFRS 16)
Operating profit 1 113 (93) 1 020 1 546 (28%)
53 27 6 14 1H’20 (%) 46 18 16 16 4 1H’19 (%)
Equipment southern Africa Equipment Russia Automotive Trading Rent A Car Logistics
FAIR VALUE ADJUSTMENTS OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS IMPACT OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE MOVEMENTS WELL MANAGED
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Higher fair value adjustments of financial instruments was due to weakening local currencies against the USD offset by hedging gains in our Equipment business.
Rm 1H’20 IFRS 16 impact 1H’20
1H’19 Restated Change % (incl. IFRS 16)
Fair value adjustment on financial instruments (84) – (84) (70) 20%
NET FINANCE COSTS NET FINANCE COSTS CONTAINED THOUGH IMPACTED BY IFRS 16
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Higher finance costs against 1H’19 were driven by IFRS 16 (R137m finance cost impact). Whilst debt levels are higher in the group there was some relief from marginally lower funding costs in SA.
Rm 1H’20 IFRS 16 impact 1H’20
1H’19 Restated Change % (incl. IFRS 16)
Net Finance cost (551) 137 (414) (479) 15%
NON-OPERATING AND CAPITAL ITEMS
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COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC DOWNTURN IMPACT FUTURE EXPECTATIONS RESULTING IN IMPAIRMENTS
Rm 1H’20 IFRS 16 impact 1H’20
1H’19 Restated Change % (incl. IFRS 16)
Non-operating and capital items (1 737) – (1 737) (68) >100% Non-operating and capital items largely affected by impairments:
1H’20 1H’19
Car Rental Goodwill 619 – Equipment Botswana, Zambia, Angola, Mozambique, Malawi Goodwill and indefinite life intangibles 765 – BHBW Investment in JV 187 – NMI Investment in Associate 124 – Other impairments and losses 42 – Non-operating and capital items 1 737 68
TAXATION
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EFFECTIVE TAX RATE IMPACTED BY LOCAL CURRENCY DEVALUATIONS AND TAXES INCURRED ON THE KHULA SIZWE PROPERTY DEAL
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+0 +3
5 15 25 35
Group tax rate Prior year taxes Foreign rate differential Permanent differences Tax losses of prior periods Tax losses not utilised Rate change adjustment Withholding tax Exceptional tax Deferred tax recognised in terms of IAS12 para 41 Tax as a percentage
SA tax rate
% Rm 1H’20 IFRS 16 impact 1H’20
1H’19 Restated Change % (incl. IFRS 16)
Taxation (415) 14 (401) (357) 16%
LOSSES FROM ASSOCIATES AND JOINT VENTURES
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RESULTS UNDER PRESSURE
Rm 1H’20 IFRS 16 impact 1H’20
1H’19 Restated Change % (excl. IFRS 16)
(Loss)/Income from Associates and JVs (63) – (63) 116 (>100%)
Rm 1H’20 1H’19
Bartrac (DRC) (38) 134 NMI (DSM) 20 BHBW (Agriculture) (39) (1) Other (6) (17) Total (63) 116
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134
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
NMI Bartrac BHBW Other
Associate and JV income (Rm)
1H20 1H19
HEPS AND NORMALISED HEPS ANALYSIS
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CHALLENGES PERSIST; AVIS FLEET IS AN ACCOUNTING ANOMALY; KHULA SIZWE RENTALS ELIMINATE ON CONSOLIDATION
475 354 268 +199 +90 +34 +1 +22
40 100 160 220 280 340 400 460 520 580 640 700 760 820 880
STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION MARCH 2020
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FINANCIAL POSITION REMAINS STRONG AGAINST SEPTEMBER 2020 (1H’19 NOT RESTATED FOR NMI DECONSOLIDATION AND AVIS FLEET HELD FOR SALE)
Commentary
Avis fleet was treated as a continued operation in 1H’19 and it is a discontinued operation in 1H’20. Impairments and JV losses offset by right of use assets recognised (IFRS 16) Investments in working capital were offset by a decrease in cash 1H’20: Avis Fleet and Smart Matta; Barlow Park; BWE snA properties (1H’19 excl. Avis Fleet and BWE snA properties and included Logistics Middle East) Losses were generated to 1H’20 and the special dividend of R500m and share buy back of R1.6bn has also contributed to lower equity Higher borrowings together with lease liabilities (IFRS16) partially offset by lower Pension Fund Deficit (GBP37m contributions paid in together with lower deficit valuation) Higher borrowings together with lease liabilities (IFRS 16) and contract assets (IFRS 15) partially offset by lower trade and other payables 1H’20: Avis Fleet and Smart Matta; Barlow Park; BWE snA properties (1H’19 excl. Avis Fleet and BWE snA properties and included Logistics Middle East)
R million 1H’20 (not reviewed) 1H’19 reviewed Sept 2019 audited
Non-current assets 14 996 19 469 14 540 Current assets 26 525 27 968 26 871 Assets classified as held for sale 5 606 311 5 780 Total assets 47 127 47 748 47 191 Equity 21 315 23 127 23 895 Non-current liabilities 9 300 9 480 7 336 Current liabilities 14 214 15 082 13 738 Liabilities classified as held for sale 2 289 59 2 222 Total equity and liabilities 47 127 47 748 47 191
CASH FLOWS AND NET DEBT (EXCL. IFRS 16)
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HIGHER OPERATING CASH OUTFLOWS; DIVIDENDS; WC OUTFLOWS AND SHARE BUY BACK HAVE INCREASED NET DEBT
8 369
9 764 1 066 +2 444 +116 +41 +1 562 4 649 7 303
2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 9 000 10 000
Opening debt Opening cash Opening net debt Net cash applied to
after dividends Net cash used in investing activities Effect of USD denominated cash Share-buy back Other financing activities Closing net debt Closing Cash Closing Gross Debt
Rm
NET DEBT, EBITDA/ INTEREST COVER
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1 066 1 066 5 115 5 115 5. 5.7 [VA VALUE] 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 000 2 000 2 000 3 000 3 000 4 000 4 000 5 000 5 000 6 000 6 000
Sep-19 1H'20 Net debt EBITDA/interest cover
R million times
Net debt/ EBITDA 0.9 x (2019: 0.2 x) Covenants excl. IFRS 16: Net debt/ EBITDA <3 times, EBITDA/Interest > 3.5 times
SUBSEQUENT EVENTS Avis Fleet is no longer held for sale (discontinued operation) and will form part of continuing operations The DMTN programme increased from R10bn to R15bil in line with strategy Our covenants have been relaxed from all of the banks for the next cycle Our cash flow forecasts have been adjusted for COVID-19 Austerity measures applied to other expenses resulting in savings
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MANAGING THE IMPACT:
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COST CONTAINMENT MEASURES Cost savings on retrenchments in FY2020 to the amount of R125m Total savings on salary sacrifices and pension holiday (FY2020) R276m Property operating leases savings on
Capex spend significantly reduced resulting in a saving of R597m Restructuring and consolidating subsidiaries Travel, consulting and events cancelled resulting in a saving
Cancelled all non-essential training Austerity applied to other expenses resulting in a saving
CURRENT INITIATIVES DEALING WITH COVID-19
CONCLUSION Strong Balance Sheet Healthy gearing positions Comfortable liquidity position Cost containment measures
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KAMOGELO MMUTLANA CE AUTOMOTIVE AND LOGISTICS
AUTOMOTIVE
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1H’20 HIGHLIGHTS
Operating environment
YTD February NAAMSA SA dealer market down -2.1% on prior year, with sharp decline of 33% in March Challenging economic conditions and recent developments in COVID-19 impacting new vehicle sales Volume brands decline and margins under pressure SAVRALA car rental market, marginal growth on prior period – positive monthly growth to February, double digit decline in March
Financial performance
ROIC at 9.1% impacted by lower operating results Strong cash generation supported by sale of properties Improved results from our NMI-DSM Joint Venture In line with uncertainty, division considered fair value of assets, investments and expected credit losses Goodwill and investment impairments of R743 million Newly acquired BMW Centurion contributed positively to results
Enhancing returns
Accelerated BBS implementation Centralised Strategic Sourcing achieved 70% of realized savings target Fit-for-purpose operating model and structure in place Countermeasures in place to safeguard sustainability of business
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Revenue and operating profit down on comparable basis 1.4% and 43% respectively
Deconsolidation of NMI-DSM Initial impact of COVID-19 Depressed activity levels in Motor Trading and impact in rental days in March
Impact of strategic investment in Khula Sizwe Lower ROIC mainly due to lower operating result, across all businesses
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AUTOMOTIVE (CONTINUING OPERATIONS)
Revenue (Rbn) Operating profit (Rm) ROIC (%) 12.6 10.4
556 279
11.2 9.1
1H’19 1H’20 1H’19 1H’20 1H’19 1H’20
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
On a comparable basis revenue down 0.2% and operating profit down 60%
Depressed South African dealer market, down 7.9% Volume brands decline with lower margins
Impact of strategic investment in Khula Sizwe Provision for COVID-19 related expected credit losses and net realisable value of used vehicle stock Lower SMD contribution due to reduced volumes
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MOTOR TRADING
Revenue (Rbn) Operating profit (Rm) EBITDA (Rm) 1H’19 1H’20 1H’19 1H’20 1H’19 1H’20 9.3 7.2 275 85 316 [VALUE]
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Operating profit impacted by negative rate per day and rental days decline in March Used vehicle operating profit contribution up on prior period despite lower revenue Vehicle damage expenses lower than prior period assisted by implemented technology COVID-19 related provisions for expected credit losses and estimated decline in net realizable value of rental fleet Goodwill impairment of R619 million
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CAR RENTAL
Revenue (Rbn) Operating profit (Rm) EBITDA (Rm) 3.3 3.2 281 194 649 644 1H’19 1H’20
1H’19 1H’20 1H’19 1H’20
AUTOMOTIVE (CONTINUING OPERATIONS)
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BUSINESS GEARING UP FOR IMPROVED ACTIVITY
Utilisation New and used vehicles sold After sales revenue Billed days
Disposable income under pressure Buying down trend expected to continue Oversupply expected to impact margins
Expected to reach 80%
by year end
New value propositions Customer move to private transportation instead of ride hailing services
Limited domestic and international travel Increased activity Local and Replacement segments
February March April May
Current year Prior year
February March April May
Current year Prior year
February March April May
Current year Prior year
February March April May
Current year Prior year
AUTOMOTIVE OUTLOOK AND STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS
Division to execute on fix and
impact of COVID-19 and depressed economic conditions Fit-for-purpose business
structure BBS: Disciplined focus to value extraction Avis Fleet will remain a fully
Focus on cash generation, turning fleet into cash Motor Trading Review dealership Portfolio, growth in aftersales and used vehicles Estimated 30% reduction in cost base, including retrenchments Rationalisation of leased and
Car Rental Estimated 40% to 60% reduction in cost base, including retrenchments Rationalise branch network by about 30% Review value added services and regional countries
CHARL GROENEWALD CE LOGISTICS
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LOGISTICS
Good progress made on turnaround strategy
Middle East sale concluded, SmartMatta exit Contract retention rates remained high despite volume and margin pressures Balance sheet management supported through revised funding model for on-balance sheet vehicles and trailers
Revenue impacted by
KLL, Middle East exit and non-renewal of non-profitable Managed Solutions contracts in the prior year
Operating results impacted
Early onset of COVID-19 on global freight and transport volumes in February, worsened by start of lock-down in March High fixed costs and increased fleet running costs Impact of strategic investment in Khula Sizwe
EBITDA and invested capital impacted by IFRS 16
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FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Revenue (Rbn) Invested Capital (Rm) EBITDA (Rm) 1H’19 1H’20 2.9 2.1 146 158
+8% 1 751 2 008 +15% 1H’19 1H’20 1H’19 1H’20
LOGISTICS
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OUTLOOK: RECOVERY PROMISING, BUSINESS GEARING UP FOR THE NEW NORMAL
Industry will continue to be impacted by COVID-19 and related economic effects
Variations in volumes due to significant changes in demand patterns including boarder/port restrictions Expiring contracts given short term extensions related to uncertainties in the Market SARS Import Duty Deferments granted in June
Gradual improvement in activity levels to support cash generation
Oct Apr May Nov Dec Jan Mar Feb Global Freight Transport Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May
Prior year Current year
LOGISTICS
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CONTINUES FIX STRATEGY
Fix-for-purpose operating model and significant rationalisation at Head Office Support levels in 2020/2021 S189, estimated 21% to 25% employee costs reduction Consolidated business unit management whilst strengthening business development High contract renewals for 1 to 5 years coupled with new 2 to 5 year contracts in targeted segments Further invested capital reduction anticipated as we leverage Avis Fleet for vehicle financing and management Austerity measures in place, fixed/variable ratio to reduce in the future Accelerating Digital transformation, including efficiencies stemming from the new operating system in Freight Forwarding Leveraging capability and capacity of divisional shared services and strategic sourcing
FIX STRATEGY
QUINTON MCGEER CE EQUIPMENT RUSSIA
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FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Revenue up 15% due to robust mining activity, particularly in the gold Operating profit up 17% driven by revenue growth Aftermarket business remains active but impacted by the slowdown in the coal sector Good operating margins but slightly influenced by sales mix Positive cash flow generated USD2.5 million driven by profitable results and working capital management ROIC of 15.8% well above the group threshold of 13%
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STRONG RESULTS
Revenue (Rbn) Operating profit (Rm) Operating margin ((%) 1H’19 1H’20 1H’19 1H’20 1H’19 1H’20 3.3 3.8 315 370 9.5 9.7 +15% +17% +0.2bps
25% 29% 36% 28% 27% 33% 46% 61% 51% 51% 37% 51% 50% 43%
200 300 400 500 600 700 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H'19 1H'20
Product support Equipment sales OP Margin
3.4% 5.6% 9.6% 9.1% 8.7% 10.5% 11.2% 12.1% 11.0% 10.2% 6.1% Global Financial Crisis Crimea Crisis and Sanctions Sanctions and Retaliatory Duties Oil drops to ~USD30
Revenue mix: product support vs equipment sales
USDm 11.6%
85% 7% 4% 4%
Mining Infrastructure Power Other
1H’20 New equipment revenue (%)
Mining segment remains the main contributor to equipment sales
AFTERMARKET CONTRIBUTION REMAINS HEALTHY
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9.5% 9.7%
DIVERSIFIED COMMODITY EXPOSURE DEFENDS AGAINST CYCLICALITY
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35% 29% 8% 4% 8% 16% 1H’19 Revenue (%) 43% 17% 15% 3% 6% 16% 1H’20 Revenue (%)
Gold Coal Copper/nickel/aluminium Diamond Construction Other
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Norilsk Mirniy Yakutsk Nerungry Omsk Barnaul Novosibirsk Kemerovo Achinsk Mezhdurechensk Krasnoyarsk Chita Ulan-Ude Irkutsk Magadan Anadyr Petropavloysk- Kamchatskiy Greenfields/Major Projects Firm order (March 2020) YTD March 2020
Polyus Existing Projects
USD56.2m USD36.4m
Norilsk Nickel USD28.6m USD21.0m USD30.7m
Alrosa USD9m USD3.4m Pavlik USD7.3m USD16.2m Udokan USD51.9m USD9.3m NordGold USD3.5m USD2.1 USD10.1m KazMinerals (2023-2025) USD300m Polyus Sukhoi Log USD325m
MINING ACCOUNTS
DIVISIONAL STRATEGY
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KEY INITIATIVES REMAIN RELEVANT
OVERALL OUTLOOK Russia remains key market with growth potential, despite geopolitical uncertainties Current trading trajectory expected to continue, mining sector and commodity outlook remaining stable Cash preservation remains a key focus area Tight control on expenses and working capital management Strong aftermarket revenues contribution expected in H2, supporting overall profitability ROIC expected to remain above 13% hurdle rate
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Strong Order book (USD million)
114 84 62
1H'19 FY'19 1H'20
+4%
56
EMMY LEEKA CE EQUIPMENT SOUTHERN AFRICA
46
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
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OPERATIONAL REVIEW
806 722 1H'19 1H'20 OPERATING PROFIT (Rm)
Revenue down 11.1% vs. prior year due to tough trading conditions and a once off Mota Engil deal in 1H’19 Operating margin in line with prior year at 8.1% driven by cost reduction measures Invested capital before IFRS 16 down by 8.5% to R10.9 billion (1H’19: R12.0 billion) Positive cash generation of R738 million (1H’19: R331 million)
8.0 8.1 1H'19 1H'20 OPERATING MARGIN (%) 1 077 [VALU E] 1H'19 1H'20 EBITDA(Rm)*
+0.1 bps
* Rental Fleet Depreciation of R113 million (1H’19 R123 million)
NEW EQUIPMENT SALES BY MARKET SEGMENT
Mining Construction Energy & Transportation
1H’20
49% 12% 24% 15%
1H’19
48
Contract Mining
CONTRACT MINING IMPACTED BY ONCE OFF DEAL IN 1H’19; MINING RESILIENT
Construction includes agriculture & forestry
24% 6% 40% 30%
48 52 43 14 19 24 2 2 9 17 7 8 5 7 8 7 5 5 5 4 2 3 3 2
2019 1H'19 1H'20
Coal Platinum Gold Diamonds Copper Iron Ore Manganese Other
Other refers: Uranium, zinc, Gemstone and mineral sands
Mining machines sales split by commodity (%)
COMMODITY MIX
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DIVERSE COMMODITY EXPOSURE DEFENDS AGAINST CYCLICALITY
SALES MIX
50
RESILIENT AFTERMARKET CONTRIBUTION TO TOTAL REVENUE
33% 41% 43% 50% 56% 57% 52% 54% 53% 58%
9.4% 8.7% 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 9.8% 9.1% 9.0% 8.0% 8.1% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% R- R5 000 R10 000 R15 000 R20 000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H'19 1H'20
Sales in R million
Aftermarket Equipment Sales Operating margin
FINANCIAL RETURNS (ROIC%) BY COUNTRY
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Average invested capital (R million) RSA Namibia Mozambique Zambia Malawi Botswana Angola Southern Africa 1H’19 7 311 419 935 785 85 503 1 659 11 843 1H’20 7 435 365 1 238 845 104 396 1 665 12 118
17.4% 24.0% 19.9% 6.5% 10.0%
12.6% 11.8% 25.1% 7.8%
7.8% 2.4%
8.6%
RSA Namibia Mozambique Zambia Malawi Botswana Angola Southern Africa 1H'19 1H'20 Hurdle rate
Group hurdle rate 13,0%
RETURNS BELOW HURDLE RATE AS ACTIVITY LEVELS REDUCE
BARTRAC JV Lower returns due to a significant reduction in activity levels at key customers operations Weakening global demand on the back of falling commodity prices Investment delays due to uncertainties Share of income expected to remain low for the remainder of current financial year
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DISAPPONTING RESULTS DUE TO LOWER ACTIVITY LEVELS
268 134
2019 1H'19 1H'20 Associate income from Bartrac (R million)
DIVISIONAL STRATEGY
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COVID19 HAS SET US BACK: FOCUS ON FIXING THE BUSINESS
MINING PROJECTS OUTLOOK
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Vale USD15m USD15m
ANGOLA ZAMBIA MOZAMBIQUE NAMIBIA RSA ZIMBABWE BOTSWANA
Assmang USD30m
Seriti
USD60m Mogalakwena USD80m USD23m Greenfields/Major Projects Replacements Boikarabelo USD100m Orapa USD100m Maravi Copper USD17m
FQM
USD20m Tshukudu USD50m Gamsberg II USD67m Glencore USD10m Sasol USD103m Mafube USD23m Imvula USD50m Husab USD23m B2Gold USD12m Tshipi USD30m Kapstevel USD80m
PROJECT DEMAND REMAINS
Swartberg USD23m
OUTLOOK
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CHALLENGING OUTLOOK FOR REST OF 2020 AND PART OF 2021
MINING CONSTRUCTION Activity levels expected to improve as lockdown restrictions are eased in many countries In the medium term, a slowdown in the global economy expected Reduced activity levels in the DRC to continue Infrastructure projects significantly impacted and unlikely to turn in the near term Regional economies forecasting negative growth rates and redirecting public spend to healthcare CONTRACT MINING Contract Mining operating model expected to remain CATFin to continue supporting emerging contractors and contract miners GENERAL Growth in machines market share and services growth remains a priority Executing on identified austerity measures to minimize the impact of COVID-19 Leveraging BBS to support our strategic priorities
R2 394 million R 2 377 million
Order book 1H’20 1H’19
GROUP PRESENTATION
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DOMINIC SEWELA GROUP CEO
STRATEGY UPDATE
57
Equipment southern Africa rightsizing and streamlining Botswana and Angola, improved ROIC Automotive and Logistics business review
Fix and optimise Shareholder active model Growth
Goal: create centres of excellence, provide strategic direction and collaboration for Group strategy delivery Corporate centre measures implemented to reduce costs and streamline functions BBS roll-out: significant improvement in employee engagement and ways
Opportunities to unlock value and improve efficiencies leveraged 180 Katherine Street precinct redevelopment Goal: value creation balanced against sustainable development framework Acquisition of Mongolia CAT dealership October 2020 Acquisition of Tongaat Hulett Starch October 2020 Due consideration of the current fluid macroeconomic environment
LOOKING AHEAD Trading environment impacted by the negative short term outlook for recovery and growth
Business confidence in some regions down significantly and average consumer expected to remain under pressure
A strong balance sheet and mature business platforms are key strengths to navigate current challenges Key focus areas
cash preservation, lowering operating costs and ensuring business well positioned for recovery strategic path to improve efficiencies and performance assessment of long-term business fundamentals in ongoing portfolio review accelerate customer solutions in the current environment
58
GROUP PRESENTATION
BARLOWORLD INVESTOR RELATIONS TEL: +27 11 445 1000 E-MAIL: BAWIR@BARLOWORLD.COM
60
ANNEXURE 3.1: FOCUS AREAS GOING FORWARD MARCH 2020
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METRICS FOCUSED ON RETURNS STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION (EXCL IFRS 16) STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION (INCL. IFRS 16) MANAGING FOR VALUE TARGETS (EXCL. IFRS 16)
HEPS* 354 cents 268 cents GEARING** 24% 35% 40 – 60% ROIC* 9.5% 9.6% >13% EP* (R1 018m) (R1 134m) Positive delta FCF* (R1 270m) (R1 443m) Cash conversion >50% EBITDA
* Group. ** Net debt:equity. Definitions ROIC: Return on Invested Capital EP: Economic Profit FCF: Free Cash Flow
ANNEXURE 3.2: IMPACT OF CURRENCY
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(EXCLUDING THE FAIR VALUE IMPACT OF THE USD CASH HELD IN THE UK)
Closing rate Average rate Rand Mar 2020 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2019
Exchange rates United States Dollar 17.86 14.42 15.10 14.10 British Sterling 22.15 18.79 19.50 18.28
R million Increase/ (decrease) in revenue Increase/ (decrease) in
Headline earnings improvement/ (decline) due to exchange rates
Equipment southern Africa 148 9
Equipment Russia 251 27 9 Automotive 17 2 1 Handling Logistics 1 Corporate Office
24 Total Group 416 35 20
ANNEXURE 3.3 IFRS 16 IMPACT ON NUMBERS
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31 March 2020 Rm Right of use asset 1 769 Lease liability 2 345 Cash (utilised in)/generated from operations (175) Net cash (used in)/from financing activities 175 Depreciation 201 Operating profit 93 Finance costs 137 Profit before tax 44 Tax 14 Profit after tax 58
ANNEXURE 3.4: SEGMENTAL IMPACT OF IFRS 16 AND KHULA SIZWE RENTALS
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Rm Group Equipment Southern Africa Equipment Russia Motor Trading Car Rental Logistics Corporate Khula Sizwe
Operating result before B-BBEE charges 1 245 736 370 99 203 (16) (224) 77 Impact of IFRS 16 – excluding Khula Sizwe 123 61 6 45 18 110 (37) (79) Impact of Khula Sizwe 78 41 29 6 2 IAS 17 lease expense (294) (116) (8) (168) (41) (161) 15 184 Operating result before B-BBEE charges and IFRS 16 1 152 722 369 5 185 (65) (246) 183
Proforma Avis Fleet as a continuing operation Rm Avis Fleet
Operating result before B-BBEE charges 683 IFRS 5 impairment reversal (413) Impact of IFRS 16 – excluding Khula Sizwe 2 Impact of Khula Sizwe IAS 17 lease expense (4) Operating result before B-BBEE charges and IFRS 16 268
ANNEXURE 3.5 INVESTMENT IN WORKING CAPITAL MARCH 2020
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CASH INVESTED IN WORKING CAPITAL ACROSS ALL BUSINESSES WITH THE EXCEPTION OF EQUIPMENT SOUTHERN AFRICA
Rm
Mar 2020 Sep 2019
Working capital Inventories – movement (339) 686 Receivables – movement (251) 244 Payables – movement (1 780) (165) Total working capital – (increase)/decrease (2 370) 765
Rm
Mar 2020 Sep 2019
Segmental Equipment southern Africa 246 733 Equipment Russia (251) (7) Automotive (1 222) 501 Logistics (72) (129) Other (1 071) (333) Total working capital – (increase)/decrease (2 370) 765 Days
Mar 2020 Sep 2019
Working capital days 53 23
ANNEXURE 3.6 DEBT MATURITY PROFILE
Ratio of long-term to short-term debt 62:38 R950 million bonds issued in May 2020 R16.3 billion (committed R13.5 billion) unutilised bank facilities at 1H’20 Cash and cash equivalents R4.6 billion (1H’19 – R6 billion) Moody's downgraded Barloworld to Ba1 from Baa3 in line with the South African sovereign downgrade
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BALANCE FUNDING PORTFOLIO AND STRONG BORROWING CAPACITY
3 970 1 005 2 699 715 89 121 1 164 38% 11% 29% 8% 1% 1% 12% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 4 000
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 onwards
MATURITY PROFILE OF DEBT ON BALANCE SHEET
Debt Repayment
Rm
18 82 RATE (%) 506 8 909 CURRENCY (Rm) Fixed Variable
RATE (%)
South Africa Offshore
CURRENCY (Rm)
ANNEXURE 3.7 B-BBEE ‘KHULA SIZWE’ TRANSACTION CHARGE
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IFRS 2 and Implementation Charges 31 March 2020 Rm Total Barloworld Group Barloworld
segments Khula Sizwe segment IFRS 2 Management trust* 19 11 8 Employee trust** 55 43 12 Black public*** 45 – 45 Total IFRS 2 charge 119 54 65 Implementation charge 13 13 Total B-BBEE transaction charge 132 67 65
*Incurred over 5 years **incurred over 2 years ***once-off charge
ANNEXURE 3.8: EXPLAINING NET DEBT
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AVIS FLEET: GROUP VS EXTERNAL FUNDING
R million 1H’19 Balance sheet as disclosed Avis Fleet (held for sale) 2019 Balance sheet including held for sale 2019 Balance sheet including held for sale Cash 4 578 71 4 649 7 303 Gross debt 9 235 529 9 764 8 369 Net debt 4 657 458 5 115 1 066
REGIONAL UPDATE
69
RSA
Mining remains resilient with some reduction in commodity prices offset by weaker rand Construction sector unlikely to recover in the near term
MOZAMBIQUE
LNG project secures funding but project activity impacted by COVID-19 Coal mining operations not running at full capacity due to COVID-19
DRC
New mining code continues to negatively impact the industry Lower production volumes
ZAMBIA
Recent rally in copper price positive but unclear if this is sustainable Changes in the mining regulatory environment
ANGOLA
Lower Oil prices resulting in lower activity Low diamond prices also negatively impacting mining activity Currency devaluation continues to impact economic growth
BOTSWANA
Weak diamond prices and sharp decline in sales impacting mining activity
NAMIBIA
Strong gold prices to support mining activity Country likely to end 2020 with a 4th consecutive year of recession Planned investment in power generation and transmission expected to boost construction
MALAWI
Construction market remains subdued Political uncertainty ahead
ZIMBABWE
New policy regulation to protect foreign and local investors Hyperinflation fueled by weak exchange rate and lack of liquidity
MYRIAD OF CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES ACROSS OUR TERRITORIES