2020 2020 – 202 2021 1 School l Budge get Long Range Planning Study Update First Look at NYS Proposed Aid Presentation 2 February 10, 2020
Long R Range P Planning Study U Update Births Population Housing Non-Public Enrollment District School Grade Enrollment Enrollment Configurations Western Suffolk BOCES Accuracy of 2017-18 Enrollment Projections for 2019 = 99.3%
Long R Range P Planning Study Nationally: Record low birth rates were seen in all age groups under the age of 35 in 2018. Orange County: Since 2012, births have increased in four of the last five years, with 5,085 births recorded in 2017. Warwick Valley CSD : The number of births within WVCSD has fluctuated between 137 and 182 between 2009 and 2017.
Long R Range P Planning Study U Update There has also been changes to ethnic composition of the population within the WVCSD since the 2010 Census. The black and Asian/other segments of the population increased from 5.2% to 6.8% and from 1.8% to 3.0% percent, while the Hispanic population decreased from 9.4% to 6.3%. The white segment remained stable at 82.5%.
Long R Range P Planning Study U Update Orange County 2018 Median Sales Price: $275,000
Long R Range P Planning Study U Update Ne New Y York State: 14 percent of all New York State school-age children attended private schools. Orange C County: 19.1 percent of all New York State school-age children attended private schools (15.6 percent 2009). Warwick V Valley CSD: 5.8 percent of WVCSD resident students attended non-public schools (7.1 percent in 2009).
Long R Range P Planning St Study § Enrollment is projected overall to remain relatively stable from 2020– 2029. § Today (2-10-20): 3,580 + 95** = 3,675 § 2029: 3,484 + 95** = 3,579 § **Special Education District Students attending out of district programs: 95 (not included in table). § Note: December 2014
Enrollment P Projections - More S Students! Enrollment Projections December 2014 Enrollment Projections December 2019 In December 2014, projected enrollment for 2024 was 2,769 students. We now anticipate 3,544, or 715 (25%) more students than anticipated.
Lo Long Ra Range ge Pl Planning Elementary Grades E Enrollment El Elementary Grades Instructional Sections
Long R Range P Planning St Study
First Look a at NY NYS Proposed Ai Aid Ho How Do We F Fund Our Schools? § School Local Tax Levy – Indexed to inflation through Tax Cap Legislation § State Aid/Foundation Aid – Set by State Legislature annually. § Non-Tax Revenues § Other: Appropriated Reserves and Fund Balance
State Aid Two Types of State Aid: § Formula driven Aid Foundation, High Tax Aid, Hardware, Software, Library, Textbook and Supplemental Excess Cost § Expense Driven Aid Transportation, BOCES, Building, and Public and Private Excess Cost
First Look at N NYS Proposed A Aid § How exactly does $27 billion in aid get divvied up among more than 700 school districts across the state? § Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo wants more money distributed to the poorest schools in districts with the highest needs. He focuses on educational equity by allocating 85% of the increase in foundation aid to high-need districts.
First Look at N NYS Proposed A Aid § After a ruling by New York’s highest court that all students were entitled to a “sound basic education,” the state in 2007 promised to phase in billions more dollars in aid and created a foundation aid formula to distribute funding equitably to school districts. § The formula includes a base cost to educate a student. Issues like poverty and students learning English as a new language are factored in. § Also considered are differences in costs across regions of the state and how much the local community can be counted on to contribute, based on its wealth. § There’s an understanding that districts are “save-harmless,” meaning they won't get less than the year before, even when enrollment drops.
First Look a at NY NYS Proposed Ai Aid Ti Tiers, , sh shares, s, etc. § Districts are placed into a series of “tiers” – one for big cities, for example, another for small cities, another based on the property-tax wealth of a district. § Long-standing “shares” agreement. New York City and Long Island are promised more than half; the Big 4 – Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse and Yonkers – get 8%; and the Lower Hudson Valley, 6%. The rest of the state splits about a third, perpetuating the old debate about whether upstate gets its fair share.
NYS Foundation Aid (6 Year History) Since 2015, Foundation Aid increases total 6.08% or about 1% annually. *Governor’s Proposed Budget 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21* Foundation Aid $15,134,674 $15,134,961 $15,549,659 $15,845,103 $15,963,941 $16,011,371 $ Change from $55,579 $287 $414,698 $295,444 $118,838 $59,251 Previous year % Change from 0.36% 0.00% 2.74% 1.90% 0.77% 0.30% Previous year Current law 2020 - 2021 full funding shortfall for WVCSD: ($2,791,727) Est. Foundation Aid increases without Expense-Based Aids: Cornwall: 4.06%, Chester: 4.82%, Florida: 2.87%, Goshen: 4.31%, GWL: .31%, Highland Falls: 3.30% Middletown: 4.88%, Minisink: .64%, Monroe Woodbury: 1.84%, Newburgh: 3.20%, Pine Bush: 1.54%,Port Jervis: 1.90%, Valley Central: 1.93%, Washingtonville: .95%
Governor’s State Aid Run 2020-21 2019 2019-20 20 2020 2020-21 21 Budget Executive Budget Difference % Change Foundation Aid $15,963,941 $19,031,618 Transportation Aid $ 2,790,506 $ 2,785,142 Public Excess Cost $ 1,055.116 $ 1,123.369 Private Excess Cost $ 325,340 $ 292,926 BOCES Aid $ 1,738,619 Computer Hardware $ 48,733 Software/Library/Textbook $ 295,332 High Tax Aid $ 780,717 Supplemental Excess Cost $ 10,949 Building Aid $ 3,353,888 $3,229,868 Total $26,363,141 $26,462,923 $ 99,782 .38%
Actual State Aid History 2018 2018-19 19 2019 2019-20 20 2020 2020-21 21 State Aid State Aid Proposed Received Received Aid State Aid $25,810,684 $26,273,103 $26,462,923 $ Change from $(11,497) $462,419 $189,820 Previous year % Change from (0.04%) 1.80% 0.72% Previous year Annual increases in total NYS Aid less than 1% the past three years. State Aid represent approximately 27% of WVCSD’s revenue.
Foundation Aid Go Governor’s Budget: Once again increase Mi Minimum Foundation Aid Increase Group fa fails to keep up with in infla latio ion for WVCSD
NYS Foundation Aid Who e else is i in t the minimum foundation increase group? Di Distr trict t Combined We Co Wealth Fr Free/Reduced Re Reliance on NYS Ra Ratio Lunch Plan Lu Ai Aid Scarsdale 4.067 2.3% 4.3% Chappaqua 2.44 2.64% 7.8% Warwick 1.03 18.3% 27%
20 2018 18 Combined Wealth Ratio 1.2 1. 1.03 0.97 0.87 0.86 0.8 0.81 0.8 0.75 0.75 0.69 0.6 0.64 0.61 0.6 0.51 0.47 0.4 0.44 0.2 0.
Ex Expenditure re Budget 3Es: Electives, Enrichment, Extracurricular – Reductions typically made here first Basic Needs Continue to Grow. Budgeted First. Examples: Food, Mandates, Special Education, ENL, Mental Health, etc. Core Academics. Examples: (No reductions can be made All About Our District Mission. here) The 3Rs, Regents, Honors, AP courses, Class size, College Courses, CTEC
Advocacy: Our R Request § We ask that, like the tax cap, minimum Foundation Aid increases be indexed to inflation. § Support new mandates and new responsibilities with new funding. § Representatives: Senator Metzger, Assemblyman Brabenec, Assemblyman Schmitt
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