2020 2020 202 2021 1 School l Budge get Long Range Planning - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Long Range Planning Study Update First Look at NYS Proposed Aid Presentation 2 February 10, 2020

2020 2020 – 202 2021 1 School l Budge get

Long R Range P Planning Study U Update

Births Population Housing Non-Public School Enrollment District Enrollment Enrollment Grade Configurations

Western Suffolk BOCES Accuracy of 2017-18 Enrollment Projections for 2019 = 99.3%

Long R Range P Planning Study

Nationally: Record low birth rates were seen in all age groups under the age of 35 in 2018. Orange County: Since 2012, births have increased in four

• f the last five years, with

5,085 births recorded in 2017. Warwick Valley CSD : The number of births within WVCSD has fluctuated between 137 and 182 between 2009 and 2017.

Long R Range P Planning Study U Update

There has also been changes to ethnic composition of the population within the WVCSD since the 2010 Census. The black and Asian/other segments

• f the population increased from 5.2%

to 6.8% and from 1.8% to 3.0% percent, while the Hispanic population decreased from 9.4% to 6.3%. The white segment remained stable at 82.5%.

Long R Range P Planning Study U Update

Orange County 2018 Median Sales Price: $275,000

Long R Range P Planning Study U Update

Ne New Y York State: 14 percent of all New York State school-age children attended private schools. Orange C County: 19.1 percent of all New York State school-age children attended private schools (15.6 percent 2009). Warwick V Valley CSD: 5.8 percent of WVCSD resident students attended non-public schools (7.1 percent in 2009).

Long R Range P Planning St Study

§ Enrollment is projected overall to remain relatively stable from 2020– 2029. § Today (2-10-20): 3,580 + 95** = 3,675 § 2029: 3,484 + 95** = 3,579 § **Special Education District Students attending out of district programs: 95 (not included in table). § Note: December 2014

Enrollment P Projections - More S Students!

Enrollment Projections December 2014 Enrollment Projections December 2019 In December 2014, projected enrollment for 2024 was 2,769 students. We now anticipate 3,544, or 715 (25%) more students than anticipated.

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Elementary Grades E Enrollment

El Elementary Grades Instructional Sections

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First Look a at NY NYS Proposed Ai Aid Ho How Do We F Fund Our Schools?

§ School Local Tax Levy – Indexed to inflation through Tax Cap Legislation § State Aid/Foundation Aid – Set by State Legislature annually. § Non-Tax Revenues § Other: Appropriated Reserves and Fund Balance

State Aid

Two Types of State Aid: § Formula driven Aid Foundation, High Tax Aid, Hardware, Software, Library, Textbook and Supplemental Excess Cost § Expense Driven Aid Transportation, BOCES, Building, and Public and Private Excess Cost

First Look at N NYS Proposed A Aid

§ How exactly does $27 billion in aid get divvied up among more than 700 school districts across the state? § Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo wants more money distributed to the poorest schools in districts with the highest needs. He focuses on educational equity by allocating 85% of the increase in foundation aid to high-need districts.

First Look at N NYS Proposed A Aid

§ After a ruling by New York’s highest court that all students were entitled to a “sound basic education,” the state in 2007 promised to phase in billions more dollars in aid and created a foundation aid formula to distribute funding equitably to school districts. § The formula includes a base cost to educate a student. Issues like poverty and students learning English as a new language are factored in. § Also considered are differences in costs across regions of the state and how much the local community can be counted on to contribute, based on its wealth. § There’s an understanding that districts are “save-harmless,” meaning they won't get less than the year before, even when enrollment drops.

First Look a at NY NYS Proposed Ai Aid Ti Tiers, , sh shares, s, etc.

§ Districts are placed into a series of “tiers” – one for big cities, for example, another for small cities, another based on the property-tax wealth of a district. § Long-standing “shares” agreement. New York City and Long Island are promised more than half; the Big 4 – Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse and Yonkers – get 8%; and the Lower Hudson Valley, 6%. The rest of the state splits about a third, perpetuating the old debate about whether upstate gets its fair share.

NYS Foundation Aid (6 Year History)

2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21* Foundation Aid $15,134,674 $15,134,961 $15,549,659 $15,845,103 $15,963,941 $16,011,371 $ Change from Previous year $55,579 $287 $414,698 $295,444 $118,838 $59,251 % Change from Previous year 0.36% 0.00% 2.74% 1.90% 0.77% 0.30% Since 2015, Foundation Aid increases total 6.08% or about 1% annually. *Governor’s Proposed Budget Current law 2020 - 2021 full funding shortfall for WVCSD: ($2,791,727)

• Est. Foundation Aid increases without Expense-Based Aids: Cornwall: 4.06%, Chester: 4.82%, Florida: 2.87%,

Goshen: 4.31%, GWL: .31%, Highland Falls: 3.30% Middletown: 4.88%, Minisink: .64%, Monroe Woodbury: 1.84%, Newburgh: 3.20%, Pine Bush: 1.54%,Port Jervis: 1.90%, Valley Central: 1.93%, Washingtonville: .95%

Governor’s State Aid Run 2020-21

2019 2019-20 20 2020 2020-21 21 Budget Executive Budget Difference % Change Foundation Aid $15,963,941 $19,031,618 Transportation Aid $ 2,790,506 $ 2,785,142 Public Excess Cost $ 1,055.116 $ 1,123.369 Private Excess Cost $ 325,340 $ 292,926 BOCES Aid $ 1,738,619 Computer Hardware $ 48,733 Software/Library/Textbook $ 295,332 High Tax Aid $ 780,717 Supplemental Excess Cost $ 10,949 Building Aid $ 3,353,888 $3,229,868 Total $26,363,141 $26,462,923 $ 99,782 .38%

Actual State Aid History

2018 2018-19 19 2019 2019-20 20 2020 2020-21 21 State Aid Received State Aid Received Proposed Aid State Aid $25,810,684 $26,273,103 $26,462,923 $ Change from Previous year $(11,497) $462,419 $189,820 % Change from Previous year (0.04%) 1.80% 0.72% Annual increases in total NYS Aid less than 1% the past three years. State Aid represent approximately 27% of WVCSD’s revenue.

Foundation Aid

Go Governor’s Budget: Once again increase fa fails to keep up with in infla latio ion for WVCSD Mi Minimum Foundation Aid Increase Group

NYS Foundation Aid

Who e else is i in t the minimum foundation increase group?

Di Distr trict t Co Combined We Wealth Ra Ratio Fr Free/Reduced Lu Lunch Plan Re Reliance on NYS Ai Aid Scarsdale 4.067 2.3% 4.3% Chappaqua 2.44 2.64% 7.8% Warwick 1.03 18.3% 27%

0.8 0.75 0.87 0.86 0.97 0.64 0.47 0.61 0.81 0.51 0.6 0.44 0.69 1.03 0.75 0. 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1. 1.2

20 2018 18 Combined Wealth Ratio

Ex Expenditure re Budget

3Es: Electives, Enrichment, Extracurricular – Reductions typically made here first Basic Needs Continue to Grow. Budgeted First. Examples: Food, Mandates, Special Education, ENL, Mental Health, etc. (No reductions can be made here) Core Academics. Examples: All About Our District Mission. The 3Rs, Regents, Honors, AP courses, Class size, College Courses, CTEC

Advocacy: Our R Request

§ We ask that, like the tax cap, minimum Foundation Aid increases be indexed to inflation. § Support new mandates and new responsibilities with new funding. § Representatives: Senator Metzger, Assemblyman Brabenec, Assemblyman Schmitt