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2018 Election
Celinda Lake November 2018
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2018 Election Goals for the Future of Work-Family Policy and the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2018 Election Goals for the Future of Work-Family Policy and the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2018 Election Goals for the Future of Work-Family Policy and the Aspen Family Prosperity Innovation Community Celinda Lake November 2018 1 Election Eve/Day Survey Results 2 A strong majority of adults believe education and job training is
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A strong majority of adults believe education and job training is a favorable approach to help people get out of poverty, and would support this approach even if it raised their taxes.
71 5 86 9
Favor Oppose Darker colors indicate intensity.
64 9 81 13
Favor Oppose
In 2016: 74% favor (56% strongly) 21% oppose (12% strongly) In 2016: 86% favor (75% strongly) 9% oppose (6% strongly)
One program designed to help people who are living in poverty get out of poverty targets both parents and their children, so that parents get education and skills training to get a better job and at the same time their children get a good start with Head Start, early education, and quality schools.
Do you favor or oppose this approach to helping people get out of poverty, even if it raised your taxes? Do you favor or oppose this approach to helping people get out of poverty?
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Though Republican and Independent support dips when discussing taxation, a majority of both groups strongly support.
80 2 72 10 60 7 81 2 59 11 50 15 92 4 77 13 82 14 94 4 76 14 69 23
Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose
Do you favor or oppose this approach to helping people get out of poverty, even if it raised your taxes?
One program designed to help people who are living in poverty get out of poverty targets both parents and their children, so that parents get education and skills training to get a better job and at the same time their children get a good start with Head Start, early education, and quality schools.
Do you favor or oppose this approach to helping people get out of poverty?
Democrat Independent Republican Democrat Independent Republican
In 2016: 97% favor 2% oppose 80% favor 16% oppose 77% favor 15% oppose 88% favor 7% oppose 69% favor 24% oppose 60% favor 34% oppose
Darker colors indicate intensity.
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Do you favor or oppose the federal government having a role in making child care more affordable? 53 11 71 20
Favor Oppose
Do you favor or oppose the federal government investing in making child care more affordable? 63 13 76 17
Favor Oppose
Voters favor the federal government making childcare more affordable. The strongest framing is “investing in” child care.
Darker colors indicate intensity.
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The strongest support for the federal government making child care more affordable comes from Democrats and Independents.
70 4 50 10 36 20 82 2 57 11 45 25 85 6 71 19 55 35 92 5 71 15 63 32
Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose
Do you favor or oppose the federal government having a role in making child care more affordable? Do you favor or oppose the federal government investing in making child care more affordable? Democrat Independent Republican Democrat Independent Republican
Darker colors indicate intensity.
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The 2018 Election Exit Polls: Family Demographics
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Parents with children under 18 made up just under one third of all voters. Being a parent does not appear to increase or decrease a voter’s likelihood to support Democrats for Congress.
Source: https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls
54 44 55 43
Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans Congressional Vote By Parental Status Parents (30%) Non-Parents (70%)
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A clear majority of women, regardless of parental status, supported the Democratic candidate. Men without children are somewhat more likely to support Democrats than fathers.
48 50 60 39 51 47 59 39
Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans
Congressional Vote By Parental Status/Gender Fathers (14%) Mothers (16%) Men without children (34%) Women Without Children (36%)
Source: https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls
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59 40 47 51 61 36 49 50
Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans
Congressional Vote By Gender and Age Women (52%) Men (48%) Age 18-44 (35%) Age 45 and over (65%)
Women voted Democrat at higher rates than men, and younger voters voted Democrat at higher rates than older voters. However, older voters split their vote even.
Source: https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls
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About half of voters consider their family’s financial situation unchanged from two years ago and two thirds of them supported the Democratic candidate. More than a third of voters consider themselves better off and overwhelmingly support the Republican candidate. Only about one in eight consider themselves worse off and are far more likely to support the Democrat.
21 77 80 18 69 29
Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans Congressional Vote by Family’s Financial Situation vs. Two Years Ago Better Today (36%) Worse Today (14%) About the Same (49%)
Source: https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls
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The 2018 Election: Overview and Impacts for Families
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Election Overview
House: Democrats net 40 seats 2018: 235 D, 199 R
2017 2018 House Senate
Senate: Republicans expand majority 2 seats 2018: 53 R, 47 D(+I)
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Important House Wins for Families in the 2018 Election Over 100 women elected to the House, 33 of whom are non- incumbents.
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Important Senate Wins for Families in the 2018 Election At least 12 women elected to the Senate, two of them are non-incumbents.
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Election Overview
State Houses Democrats win majorities in CO, CT, ME, NH, NY Senate, MN House, NH House Republicans win control of the AK State House. Governors: Democratic gains IL, KS, ME, MI, NV, NM, WI Republican gain in AK
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Important Governorship Wins for Families in 2018
Michelle Lujan Grisham New Mexico Tony Evers Wisconsin Laura Kelly Kansas Gavin Newsom California Jared Polis Colorado Gretchen Whitmer Michigan
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Important Ballot Initiatives for Families Passed in 2018
- Medicaid expansion: ID, NE, UT
- Age requirements for firearms: WA
- Anti-discrimination protections for transgender: MA
- Restoring voting rights: FL
- Minimum wage increases: AK, MO