February 22, 2017
2017 CAGNY Investor Presentation
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2017 CAGNY Investor Presentation February 22, 2017 Altria Client - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2017 CAGNY Investor Presentation February 22, 2017 Altria Client Services l Investor Relations l 2-22-17 l FINAL l Highly Confidential l 1 Management Team Howard Willard Billy Gifford Chief Operating Officer Chief Financial Officer
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Jim Dillard SVP, Research, Development, and Regulatory Affairs Murray Garnick Deputy General Counsel Howard Willard Chief Operating Officer Billy Gifford Chief Financial Officer
Statements, including earnings guidance, in this presentation that are not reported financial results
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are based on current plans, estimates and expectations, and are not guarantees of future performance. They are based
which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements. Altria undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward- looking statement other than in the normal course of its public disclosure obligations. The risks and uncertainties relating to the forward-looking statements in this presentation include those described under “Risk Factors” in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and under “Cautionary Factors That May Affect Future Results” in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2016. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation to the most comparable GAAP measures are available on Altria’s website at altria.com.
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2015 2016 +8.2%
Source: Altria company reports
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*For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
$2.26 $2.44
Aug-15 Aug-16 +8.0%
Source: Altria company reports Note: Dividend is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2016). Dividends are subject to the discretion of the Board.
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Altria S&P 500 S&P Food, Beverage & Tobacco
Source: Bloomberg, 12/31/2015 to 12/30/2016 Note: Total shareholder return is simple price appreciation plus the reinvestment of the dividend as of the ex-dividend date
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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$83 $71 $34 $28 $22
Tobacco Cigarettes Beer Carbonated Beverages Salty Snacks
Source: IRI
$ in Billions
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Note: Total US MOC is comprised of Food, Drug, Mass Merchandisers, Club, Dollar, DeCA, Convenience and Walmart classes of trade with ACV of $2MM+ excluding Pharmaceutical sales. Carbonated Beverage and Beer (including Ale and Cider, not Liquor) exclude on-premise sales.
$34 $83 $71 $34 $28 $22
Tobacco Cigarettes Beer Marlboro Carbonated Beverages Salty Snacks
Source: IRI
$ in Billions
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Note: Total US MOC is comprised of Food, Drug, Mass Merchandisers, Club, Dollar, DeCA, Convenience and Walmart classes of trade with ACV of $2MM+ excluding Pharmaceutical sales. Carbonated Beverage and Beer (including Ale and Cider, not Liquor) exclude on-premise sales.
Marlboro
For Investor Relations Purposes Only - CAGNY Conference, Feb. 17, 2016
$6.4 $8.0
2013 2016
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
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+7.6%
CAGR
$ in Billions
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Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
$ in Billions
$1.0 $1.2
2013 2016 +6.3%
CAGR
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50.7% 52.2%
2013 2016
Source: IRI InfoScan
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+1.5pp
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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Risk continuum of tobacco products
(directional only – not to scale; adapted from Hatsukami et al.)
Conventional Cigarettes Medicinal Nicotine Smoking Cessation Smokeless Tobacco Products
Source: D.K. Hatsukami et al., Developing the science base for reducing tobacco harm, Nic. & Tob. Res.; vol. 9: S537-S553 (2007)
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For Investor Relations Purposes Only - CAGNY Conference, 2-22-17
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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
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Note: Third-party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
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resources
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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
which would:
and costs
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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
$7.6 $8.0
$0 $10 2015 2016
51.3% 51.4%
0% 65% 2015 2016
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com; CAGR calculated on actual figures
Adjusted OCI*
+5.3%
in Billions
PM USA’s Retail Share
+0.1pp
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Source: Maxwell; MSAi Shipments; IRI/Capstone – Total Retail Panel; IRP IRI Group/Capstone Projected Retail Panel; IRI/MSAi
1954 1962 1970 1978 1986 1994 2002 2010
44.0%
2016
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30 70 Camel Newport Marlboro
Source: 2016 TNS Brand Equity Study (Age Group: 21 – 54), January 2017
Equity among Adult Smokers
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Source: ALCS CATTS – 6MM ending September 2016
50 Marlboro Newport Camel
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Marlboro
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6.8% 7.6%
0% 10% 2013 2016 +0.8pp
Source: IRI/MSAi
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Source: ALCS
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~240k Retail Stores ~90% Volume Coverage
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120 2015 2016
in Millions
Note: Connections defined as the sum of logins, email opens and SMS entries/opt-ins
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+34%
Source: ATCD and Web Trends as of 12/31/16.
50 2015 2016 +99%
Source: ATCD and Web Trends as of 12/31/16.
10 2015 2016 +620%
in Millions Mobile Connections Coupon Redemption
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adult tobacco consumer engagement capabilities
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1,198 1,403
2013 2016
Source: IRI InfoScan
Shipment Volume
(Sticks in Millions)
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32% 38%
2013 2016
Share of Profit Pool
+5.4%
CAGR
Source: ALCS estimates
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Increase income by growing volume at or ahead of the category growth rate, while maintaining momentum on Copenhagen and Skoal combined.
~3% ~2.5%
USSTC Industry
50.7% 52.2%
2013 2016
Source: ALCS estimates
Copenhagen & Skoal Combined Retail Share Volume Growth 2013-2016 (3-yr CAGR)
+0.5pp
Source: IRI InfoScan
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+6.3%
CAGR
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
$ in Billions
$1.0 $1.2
2013 2016
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31.6% 33.8%
2015 2016
Source: IRI InfoScan
+2.2pp
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Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
2015 2016 +4.9%
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Shipment Volume
(Cans in Millions)
814 854 $1.1 $1.2
2015 2016 +11.0%
Adjusted OCI* Growth
(in Billions)
2015 2016 +0.9pp
Copenhagen & Skoal Share 51.3% 52.2%
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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: ALCS estimates
$ in Billions
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9.1 5.3 3.6
Adult Vapers Adult Dippers Adult Large Mass Cigar Smokers
Source: ATCT 12MM ending Nov2016, LA+
in Millions Past 30-Day Users
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MarkTen XL MarkTen XL
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5% 11%
Q4 2015 Q4 2016 +6pp
Source: IRI Projected Database – MOC as of 01/01/17 (Totals may not foot due to rounding)
*Volume Sales: 1 Disposable Unit = 1 Cartridge = 1 Kit w/ 1 Cartridge = 1mL E-Liquid
32% 21% 8%
0% 50% Vuse MarkTen blu
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Source: IRI Masked Store Level Database as of we 1-1-17
MarkTen XL
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7.4% 6.2% 5.3% 4.8% 0% 10% 2013 2014 2015 2016 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.0 1.4 2013 2014 2015 2016
73 87 98 100 150 2013 2014 2015 2016
Sources: The Conference Board, full-year average
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Unemployment Rate US Consumer Confidence US Housing Starts
(in Millions)
(4.0)% (3.5)% (0.5)% (2.5)%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: ALCS estimates – rounded to nearest 0.5%
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~3% ~10%
Smokeless Machine-made Large Cigars
Source: ALCS estimates – rounded to nearest 0.5%
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$1.44 $1.49 $1.51 $1.57
2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: ALCS estimates
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Weighted average $ per pack
For Investor Relations Purposes Only - CAGNY Conference, Feb. 17, 2016
Source: ALCS Finance *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
2013 2016 +4.6%
CAGR
Net Revenue per 1000*
$116.60
2013 2016 Adjusted OCI Margins*
+6.0pp
Note: Net of FET
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48.2% $133.54
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
62.3% 64.4%
2013 2016 +2.1pp
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Source: Altria company reports
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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
$1.51 $3.03
2007 2016 +8.0%
CAGR
Source: Altria company reports * For reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com.
$1.16* $2.44
2007 2016 +8.6%
CAGR
Dividend Per Share Growth Adjusted Diluted EPS*
Note: Dividend is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2016);
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* First declared dividend post-spin
$118 $167
$0 $200 2013 2016
Source: Altria company reports * For reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit www.altria.com
Adjusted OCI*
+12.3%
CAGR
8.0 9.3
10 2013 2016 +5.4%
CAGR
Reported Shipment Volume
Cases
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in Millions
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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
$2.26 $2.44
Aug-15 Aug-16 +8.0%
Source: Altria company reports Note: Dividend is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2016). Dividends are subject to the discretion of the Board.
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Source: Altria company reports Note: Share repurchases are subject to the discretion of the Board.
$28.2
2011-2016 Share Repurchase Dividend
Source: Altria company reports
$ in Billions
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range of $3.26 to $3.32, representing a growth rate of 7.5% to 9.5% from our adjusted diluted EPS base of $3.03* in 2016.
half of the year, due primarily to lag accounting effects on our ABI equity investment in the fourth quarter last year.
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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187% 98% 92%
Altria Group S&P 500 S&P Food, Beverage and Tobacco
Source: Bloomberg, 12/31/2011-12/30/2016 Note: Total shareholder return is simple price appreciation plus the reinvestment of the dividend as of the ex-dividend date
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explanations of non-GAAP financial measures, visit: altria.com
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