2017 CAGNY Investor Presentation February 22, 2017 Altria Client - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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2017 CAGNY Investor Presentation February 22, 2017 Altria Client - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2017 CAGNY Investor Presentation February 22, 2017 Altria Client Services l Investor Relations l 2-22-17 l FINAL l Highly Confidential l 1 Management Team Howard Willard Billy Gifford Chief Operating Officer Chief Financial Officer


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February 22, 2017

2017 CAGNY Investor Presentation

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Management Team

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Jim Dillard SVP, Research, Development, and Regulatory Affairs Murray Garnick Deputy General Counsel Howard Willard Chief Operating Officer Billy Gifford Chief Financial Officer

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Safe Harbor Statement

Statements, including earnings guidance, in this presentation that are not reported financial results

  • r other historical information are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Private

Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are based on current plans, estimates and expectations, and are not guarantees of future performance. They are based

  • n management’s expectations that involve a number of business risks and uncertainties, any of

which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements. Altria undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward- looking statement other than in the normal course of its public disclosure obligations. The risks and uncertainties relating to the forward-looking statements in this presentation include those described under “Risk Factors” in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and under “Cautionary Factors That May Affect Future Results” in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2016. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation to the most comparable GAAP measures are available on Altria’s website at altria.com.

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2016 Adjusted Diluted EPS* Performance

$2.80 $3.03

2015 2016 +8.2%

Source: Altria company reports

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*For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com

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Growing Our Dividend

$2.26 $2.44

Aug-15 Aug-16 +8.0%

Source: Altria company reports Note: Dividend is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2016). Dividends are subject to the discretion of the Board.

50th increase in the last 47 years

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2016 Total Shareholder Return

20.5% 12.0% 8.8%

Altria S&P 500 S&P Food, Beverage & Tobacco

Source: Bloomberg, 12/31/2015 to 12/30/2016 Note: Total shareholder return is simple price appreciation plus the reinvestment of the dividend as of the ex-dividend date

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Long-Term Financial Goals

  • Grow adjusted diluted EPS at average annual rate of 7% to 9%
  • Maintain a target dividend payout ratio of approximately 80% of

adjusted diluted EPS

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Altria’s Strategies

Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance

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2016 U.S. Dollar Sales in Major Retail Channels

$83 $71 $34 $28 $22

Tobacco Cigarettes Beer Carbonated Beverages Salty Snacks

Source: IRI

$ in Billions

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Note: Total US MOC is comprised of Food, Drug, Mass Merchandisers, Club, Dollar, DeCA, Convenience and Walmart classes of trade with ACV of $2MM+ excluding Pharmaceutical sales. Carbonated Beverage and Beer (including Ale and Cider, not Liquor) exclude on-premise sales.

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2016 U.S. Dollar Sales in Major Retail Channels

$34 $83 $71 $34 $28 $22

Tobacco Cigarettes Beer Marlboro Carbonated Beverages Salty Snacks

Source: IRI

$ in Billions

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Note: Total US MOC is comprised of Food, Drug, Mass Merchandisers, Club, Dollar, DeCA, Convenience and Walmart classes of trade with ACV of $2MM+ excluding Pharmaceutical sales. Carbonated Beverage and Beer (including Ale and Cider, not Liquor) exclude on-premise sales.

Marlboro

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$6.4 $8.0

2013 2016

Smokeable Products Segment Adjusted OCI*

Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com

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+7.6%

CAGR

$ in Billions

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Marlboro Brand Leadership Across the U.S.

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Smokeless Products Segment Adjusted OCI*

Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com

$ in Billions

$1.0 $1.2

2013 2016 +6.3%

CAGR

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Copenhagen and Skoal Combined Retail Share

50.7% 52.2%

2013 2016

Source: IRI InfoScan

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+1.5pp

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Altria’s Strategies

Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance

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Innovative Products

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Continuum of Risk

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Most Harmful Least Harmful

Risk continuum of tobacco products

(directional only – not to scale; adapted from Hatsukami et al.)

Conventional Cigarettes Medicinal Nicotine Smoking Cessation Smokeless Tobacco Products

Source: D.K. Hatsukami et al., Developing the science base for reducing tobacco harm, Nic. & Tob. Res.; vol. 9: S537-S553 (2007)

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Altria’s Role in Harm Reduction

  • Understand adult tobacco consumer preferences
  • Develop products that meet them
  • Seek FDA authorization to market and communicate appropriately about them

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Heated Tobacco

  • Exclusive license to sell IQOS system in U.S.
  • PM USA’s dedicated team is building its commercialization plan

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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.

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IQOS Retail Engagement – Japan (PMI)

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IQOS Retail Engagement – Italy (PMI)

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PM USA Commercialization of IQOS

  • Develop robust marketing plans for a U.S. lead market
  • Integrated engagement model to educate at retail and in digital
  • Create opportunities for guided trial using flexible retail concepts

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Regulatory Timing

  • PMI submitted MRTP application in December 2016
  • Expects to submit PMTA this quarter

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Note: Third-party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.

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Regulatory Landscape

  • Substantial equivalence
  • Applications for newly-deemed products
  • Fostering innovation

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Substantial Equivalence

  • Comprehensive submissions to FDA
  • FDA’s review process requiring more

resources

  • Confident in data and information

provided

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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.

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PMTA Cost Estimates (per application)

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~ $117,000 to $466,000 ~$2.5M to $5.0M

Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.

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Fostering Innovation

  • Advocating to move the predicate date,

which would:

  • Provide multiple product pathways
  • Significantly reduce regulatory burden

and costs

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Smokeable Products Segment Strategy

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Competitive Landscape

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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.

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$7.6 $8.0

$0 $10 2015 2016

51.3% 51.4%

0% 65% 2015 2016

Smokeable Products Segment Performance

Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com; CAGR calculated on actual figures

Adjusted OCI*

+5.3%

in Billions

PM USA’s Retail Share

+0.1pp

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Marlboro Long-Term Retail Share Growth

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Source: Maxwell; MSAi Shipments; IRI/Capstone – Total Retail Panel; IRP IRI Group/Capstone Projected Retail Panel; IRI/MSAi

1954 1962 1970 1978 1986 1994 2002 2010

44.0%

2016

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Unmatched Brand Equity

30 70 Camel Newport Marlboro

Source: 2016 TNS Brand Equity Study (Age Group: 21 – 54), January 2017

Equity among Adult Smokers

Marlboro’s equity score is at least 14 points higher than the leading competitive brands.

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Marlboro Adult Smoker 21 – 29 Share

Source: ALCS CATTS – 6MM ending September 2016

50 Marlboro Newport Camel

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Marlboro

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Marlboro’s Growing Menthol Retail Share

6.8% 7.6%

0% 10% 2013 2016 +0.8pp

Source: IRI/MSAi

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Retail Coverage

Source: ALCS

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~240k Retail Stores ~90% Volume Coverage

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Digital Engagement

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Marlboro Digital Connections

120 2015 2016

in Millions

Note: Connections defined as the sum of logins, email opens and SMS entries/opt-ins

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+34%

Source: ATCD and Web Trends as of 12/31/16.

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Marlboro Mobile Engagement

50 2015 2016 +99%

Source: ATCD and Web Trends as of 12/31/16.

10 2015 2016 +620%

in Millions Mobile Connections Coupon Redemption

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Nat Sherman

  • Portfolio of super-premium cigarettes and premium cigars
  • Will benefit from Altria’s companies’ retail distribution, brand management and

adult tobacco consumer engagement capabilities

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1,198 1,403

2013 2016

Middleton’s Performance

Source: IRI InfoScan

Shipment Volume

(Sticks in Millions)

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32% 38%

2013 2016

Share of Profit Pool

+5.4%

CAGR

Source: ALCS estimates

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Smokeless Segment Strategy

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Increase income by growing volume at or ahead of the category growth rate, while maintaining momentum on Copenhagen and Skoal combined.

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Smokeless Segment Performance

~3% ~2.5%

USSTC Industry

50.7% 52.2%

2013 2016

Source: ALCS estimates

Copenhagen & Skoal Combined Retail Share Volume Growth 2013-2016 (3-yr CAGR)

+0.5pp

  • Avg. Annual Growth

Source: IRI InfoScan

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Smokeless Segment Adjusted OCI*

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+6.3%

CAGR

Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com

$ in Billions

$1.0 $1.2

2013 2016

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Copenhagen Retail Share

31.6% 33.8%

2015 2016

Source: IRI InfoScan

+2.2pp

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Skoal’s Innovative Forms and Varieties

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Smokeless Products Segment Results

Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com

2015 2016 +4.9%

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Shipment Volume

(Cans in Millions)

814 854 $1.1 $1.2

2015 2016 +11.0%

Adjusted OCI* Growth

(in Billions)

2015 2016 +0.9pp

Copenhagen & Skoal Share 51.3% 52.2%

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Smokeless Recall Update

  • USSTC voluntarily recalled products from its Franklin Park facility
  • Majority of USSTC’s products unaffected
  • Estimated OCI impact of ~$50 to $70 million

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~$0.5 ~$1.3 ~$2.0 ~$2.5 ~$2.5

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

E-Vapor Estimated U.S. Consumer Sales

Source: ALCS estimates

$ in Billions

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Long Term E-Vapor Opportunity

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9.1 5.3 3.6

Adult Vapers Adult Dippers Adult Large Mass Cigar Smokers

Source: ATCT 12MM ending Nov2016, LA+

in Millions Past 30-Day Users

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MarkTen XL Expansion

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MarkTen National Retail Share

MarkTen XL MarkTen XL

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5% 11%

Q4 2015 Q4 2016 +6pp

Source: IRI Projected Database – MOC as of 01/01/17 (Totals may not foot due to rounding)

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MarkTen XL in #2 Position Where Sold

*Volume Sales: 1 Disposable Unit = 1 Cartridge = 1 Kit w/ 1 Cartridge = 1mL E-Liquid

32% 21% 8%

0% 50% Vuse MarkTen blu

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Source: IRI Masked Store Level Database as of we 1-1-17

MarkTen XL

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7.4% 6.2% 5.3% 4.8% 0% 10% 2013 2014 2015 2016 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.0 1.4 2013 2014 2015 2016

Improving Economic Conditions

73 87 98 100 150 2013 2014 2015 2016

Sources: The Conference Board, full-year average

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Unemployment Rate US Consumer Confidence US Housing Starts

(in Millions)

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Cigarette Category Decline Rate Estimates

(4.0)% (3.5)% (0.5)% (2.5)%

2013 2014 2015 2016

Source: ALCS estimates – rounded to nearest 0.5%

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2016 Category Volume Growth

~3% ~10%

Smokeless Machine-made Large Cigars

Source: ALCS estimates – rounded to nearest 0.5%

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Cigarette SET Environment

$1.44 $1.49 $1.51 $1.57

2013 2014 2015 2016

Source: ALCS estimates

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California and Pennsylvania SET increases expected to have an approximate 1% impact on industry volume in 2017.

Weighted average $ per pack

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Smokeable Products Segment Performance

Source: ALCS Finance *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com

2013 2016 +4.6%

CAGR

Net Revenue per 1000*

$116.60

2013 2016 Adjusted OCI Margins*

42.2%

+6.0pp

Note: Net of FET

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48.2% $133.54

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Smokeless Products Segment Adjusted OCI Margins*

Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com

62.3% 64.4%

2013 2016 +2.1pp

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Cost Discipline

  • $300 million productivity initiative
  • SG&A Infrastructure
  • Leaner organization
  • Reinvesting some savings in brand building, harm reduction and regulatory

capabilities

  • $50 million manufacturing consolidation plan

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Source: Altria company reports

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Altria’s Alcohol Assets

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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.

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Consistent Financial Performance

$1.51 $3.03

2007 2016 +8.0%

CAGR

Source: Altria company reports * For reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com.

$1.16* $2.44

2007 2016 +8.6%

CAGR

Dividend Per Share Growth Adjusted Diluted EPS*

Note: Dividend is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2016);

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* First declared dividend post-spin

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  • Ste. Michelle Wine Estates Growth

$118 $167

$0 $200 2013 2016

Source: Altria company reports * For reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit www.altria.com

Adjusted OCI*

+12.3%

CAGR

8.0 9.3

10 2013 2016 +5.4%

CAGR

Reported Shipment Volume

Cases

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in Millions

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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.

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Altria’s Strong Balance Sheet

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A- A3 BBB+

Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.

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Dividend Growth

$2.26 $2.44

Aug-15 Aug-16 +8.0%

Source: Altria company reports Note: Dividend is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2016). Dividends are subject to the discretion of the Board.

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Share Repurchase Program

  • Repurchased over $1 billion in shares in 2016
  • Expanded and extended share repurchase program in October
  • $1.9 billion remaining in $3 billion program at the end of 2016
  • Expect to complete program by the end of Q2 2018

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Source: Altria company reports Note: Share repurchases are subject to the discretion of the Board.

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Returning Cash To Shareholders

$28.2

2011-2016 Share Repurchase Dividend

Source: Altria company reports

$ in Billions

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2017 Guidance

  • Altria reaffirms our expectation to deliver 2017 adjusted diluted EPS in a

range of $3.26 to $3.32, representing a growth rate of 7.5% to 9.5% from our adjusted diluted EPS base of $3.03* in 2016.

  • We also expect that our 2017 earnings growth will be higher in the second

half of the year, due primarily to lag accounting effects on our ABI equity investment in the fourth quarter last year.

Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com

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Altria’s Strategies

Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance

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187% 98% 92%

Altria Group S&P 500 S&P Food, Beverage and Tobacco

Five-Year Total Shareholder Return

Source: Bloomberg, 12/31/2011-12/30/2016 Note: Total shareholder return is simple price appreciation plus the reinvestment of the dividend as of the ex-dividend date

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For Investor Relations Purposes Only - CAGNY Conference, Feb. 17, 2016

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Regulation G Disclosure

  • For reconciliations and further

explanations of non-GAAP financial measures, visit: altria.com

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