February 18, 2015
2015 CAGNY Investor Presentation
For Investor Relations Purposes Only
2015 CAGNY Investor Presentation February 18, 2015 For Investor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2015 CAGNY Investor Presentation February 18, 2015 For Investor Relations Purposes Only Management Team Participants Howard Willard Dave Beran EVP and Chief Financial President and Chief Operating Officer, Altria Group Officer, Altria Group
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Murray Garnick
General Counsel, ALCS Howard Willard EVP and Chief Financial Officer, Altria Group Billy Gifford SVP, Strategy and Business Development, Altria Group Dave Beran President and Chief Operating Officer, Altria Group
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Statements, including earnings guidance, in this presentation that are not reported financial results
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are based on current plans, estimates and expectations, and are not guarantees of future performance. They are based
which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements. Altria undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward- looking statement other than in the normal course of its public disclosure obligations. The risks and uncertainties relating to the forward-looking statements in this presentation include those described under “Risk Factors” in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 and under “Cautionary Factors That May Affect Future Results” in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2014. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation to the most comparable GAAP measures are available on Altria’s website at altria.com.
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Altria Results Segment Results
per share* 8%
dividends
adjusted operating companies income* 6.7%
43.8%
combined retail share of 51.2%
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
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$1.75 $2.57
2009 2014 +8.0%
CAGR
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
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Source: Bloomberg and Thomson Reuters
80.9% 79.7% 78.4% 73.2% 70.3% 60.7% 59.8% 57.1% 53.8% 52.6%
MO PM RAI LO KRFT GIS KO PEP HSY DPS
S&P Food, Beverage and Tobacco Index
NOTE: Altria’s dividend payout ratio is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2014) of $2.08 / $2.57 2014 adjusted diluted EPS. In addition, Altria’s announced targeted dividend payout ratio is ~80% of adjusted EPS. All dividend payout ratios have been calculated using each company’s current annualized dividend rate / 2014 actual and estimated consensus adjusted diluted EPS. Dividend payout ratio ranks companies in the Food, Beverage and Tobacco Index in these respective categories as of February 10, 2015. Source: Bloomberg and Thomson First Call
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2009 2014 +8.9%
CAGR
Note: Year-end annualized rate: 5-year CAGR. Dividend is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2014)
Source: Altria company reports
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core premium tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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Source: FactSet; Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com Note: Trailing 12-month data from latest reporting date of 1/20/2015. All Altria Group, Inc. calculations use net revenue net of excise taxes
Net Income (as a % of Revenues)
Altria S&P Beverage S&P Food
Net Income as a % of Revenues* 24.4% 14.3% 8.6%
Revenues per Employee ($ in Millions)
Altria S&P Beverage S&P Food
Revenues* per Employee ($ in Millions) $1.97 $0.60 $0.70
Free Cash Flow* (as a % of Revenues)
Altria S&P Beverage S&P Food
Free Cash Flow as a % of Revenues* 24.9% 13.8% 7.9%
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230% 94% 116%
Altria Group S&P Beverage S&P Food
Source: FactSet, 12/31/2009-12/31/2014 Note: Total shareholder return is simple price appreciation plus the reinvestment of the dividend as of the ex-dividend date
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$11.8 $15.5
$0 $20 2009 2014
Source: Altria company reports; ALCS estimates; other public company reports
+5.5%
CAGR
$ in Billions
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Note: Altria’s Profit Pool share is calculated by combining the adjusted OCI* for Altria’s Smokeable & Smokeless Products segments divided by Total Profit Pool. *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
51% 23% 14% 12%
Altria Reynolds American Lorillard Other
Source: Altria company reports; ALCS estimates; other public company reports
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core premium tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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(4.0)% (8.0)% (5.0)% (3.5)% (3.0)% (4.0)% (3.5)%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: ALCS estimates
Primarily due to FET increase
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$6.4 $6.9
$0.0 $10.0 2013 2014
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
Adjusted OCI*
+6.7%
$ in Billions
42.2% 44.1%
0% 60% 2013 2014
Adjusted OCI* Margins
+1.9pp
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$5.5 $6.9
$0.0 $10.0 2009 2014
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
Adjusted OCI*
+4.5%
CAGR
37.1% 44.1%
0% 60% 2009 2014
Adjusted OCI* Margins
+7.0pp
$ in Billions
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2009 2014
Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
+4.4%
CAGR
2013 2014
Revenues Net of Excise Taxes /1000 Units*
+5.1%
$116.60 $122.56 $98.77 $122.56
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$28.69 $29.57
2013 2014
Source: Altria company reports * For reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit www.altria.com
Controllable Costs/1000 Units* $28.73 $29.57
2009 2014
The end of the federal quota buyout will reduce the cost
+0.6%
CAGR
+3.1%
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Marlboro
Source: IRI/MSAi
Next 10 Largest Brands = 42.6%
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2011 2014
Source: PM USA
~+1,000%
Note: Total mobile interactions (Adult Smokers 21+)
Mobile Logins
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Marlboro.com is among the largest CPG websites in the U.S. based on the average number of unique visitors.
comScore, 2014
Note: Dec .2014 Top CPG domain comparison of 6 month Unique Visitor avg. from PC traffic
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Note: _____________________________________________________________________________
42.8% 43.8%
2009 2014
Source: IRI/MSAi
Average Annual Growth = ~0.2pp
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70
Marlboro Competitor A Competitor B
Source: 2014 TNS Brand Equity Study (Age Group: 21 – 54), February 2015
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Source: IRI InfoScan
88.8% 91.4%
2013 2014
1,198 1,271
2013 2014
Black & Mild Retail Share of Tipped Segment Middleton Reported Shipment Volume
+2.6pp +6.1%
Note: Cigars volume (sticks in millions)
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28.9% 28.6%
2013 2014
Source: IRI InfoScan
(0.3)pp
31.0% 28.6%
2009 2014
Average Annual Growth = ~(0.5)pp
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litigation is found in the 8-K filed on January 30
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the litigation environment
We will continue to protect the interests of our shareholders by vigorously defending these claims.
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~7% ~7% ~5% ~5% ~5% to 6% ~2%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: ALCS Estimates
~+5%
CAGR
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~2% ~2.5%
Industry USSTC
50.7% 51.2%
2013 2014
Source: Altria company reports
Copenhagen & Skoal Combined Retail Share 2014 Smokeless Adjusted Volume Growth
+0.5pp
Source: IRI InfoScan
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Source: Altria company reports *For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
$ in Millions
$1,026 $1,060
2013 2014 +3.3%
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29.3% 30.8%
2013 2014
Source: IRI Group InfoScan Smokeless Tobacco Database (FY 2012 – Retail Share) Source: IRI InfoScan
+1.5 pp
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(1.3)% (1.1)% (1.0)% (0.7)%
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014
Source: IRI InfoScan
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2013 2014
Source: USSTC
Mobile Logins*
+680%
* Adult Tobacco Consumers 21+
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50 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Source: Maxwell; MSAi Shipments; IRI/Capstone – Total Retail Panel; IRP IRI Group/Capstone Projected Retail Panel; IRI/MSAi
43.8%
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Cigarettes ~95% of Volume Smokeless ~96% of Volume
Examples 2 Weeks 8 Weeks Marlboro Edge 85%+ 90%+ Copenhagen Southern Blend 85%+ 90%+
Source: MIConnect STARS Data Wk Ending 12/27/14 * % of targeted stores
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core premium tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core premium tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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$0.3 $0.5 ~$1.3 ~$2
$0.0 $2.5 2011 2012 2013 2014 +90%
CAGR
Source: ALCS estimates
$ in Billions
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~$2 ~$86
e-Vapor Total Tobacco
Source: ALCS estimates
$ in Billions
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expectations
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Note: Total US – Multi-Outlet & Convenience – 4wm Source: IRI Tobacco Derived Nicotine – MOC as of 12/28/14
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Source: Altria company reports
+130,000 stores
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and cost structure
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evidence
We believe the public health potential here is significant and FDA has an unprecedented opportunity.
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tobacco product application
Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
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quarter
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communication
We continue to embrace the opportunities and challenges of bringing lower risk tobacco products to adult tobacco consumers.
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core premium tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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Continuing to manage costs by streamlining, balancing and investing.
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products, including:
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Howard Willard
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Grow new income streams with innovative tobacco products Maximize income from core premium tobacco businesses over the long term Manage diverse income streams and strong balance sheet to deliver consistent financial performance
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* Net of FET Source: Altria company reports
2014 Combined Results
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Note: Third party trademarks are the property of their respective owners and are included for informational purposes only.
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$118 $134
2013 2014
Source: Altria company reports * For reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit www.altria.com
Adjusted OCI* - $ in Millions
+13.6%
$73 $134
2009 2014 +12.9%
CAGR
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$991 $1,006
2013 2014
Source: Altria company reports
+1.5%
$600 $1,006
2009 2014 +10.9%
CAGR
Reported Equity Earnings - $ in Millions
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$12.7 $22.5
December 2009 December 2014
Source: Bloomberg
$ in Billions
+12.1%
CAGR
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$9.4 $1.7
$0 $10 2002 2014
Source: Altria company reports
$2.0 $1.7
$0 $5 2013 2014
Net Finance Receivable - $ in Billions
Note: Net Finance Receivable reflects PMCC’s investments in finance leases excluding the allowance for losses.
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Source: ALCS
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9.1% 5.7%
December 2009 December 2014
Source: ALCS
(3.4)pp
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$1.92 $2.08
Aug-13 Aug-14 Dividend Growth +8.3% $ in Billions
$4.8
2014 Share Repurchase Dividend
Source: Altria company reports Note: Dividend is based on the current annualized dividend (Last increased August 2014)
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$21.1
2010 - 2014 Share Repurchase Dividend
Source: Altria company reports
$ in Billions
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Source: ALCS Estimates
~$73 ~$6 ~$6 ~$2
Cigarettes Smokeless Large Mass Cigars e-Vapor
$ in Billions
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2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: ALCS estimates
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$0.00 $2.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Note: Weighted Average SET is a full-year average SET volume weighted by State Source: ALCS
4.5%
CAGR
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7% to 9% to a range of $2.75 to $2.80 from its 2014 adjusted diluted EPS base
Source: Altria company reports
We believe we are well positioned to continue our track record of delivering solid earnings per share growth.
*For reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP measures visit altria.com
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Source: Bloomberg as of February 9, 2015
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230% 105% 116%
Altria Group S&P 500 S&P Food, Beverage and Tobacco Index
Source: Bloomberg Note: Total shareholder return is simple price appreciation plus the reinvestment of the dividend as of the ex-dividend date (12/31/2009 to 12/31/2014).
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altria.com
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