2016 Isle of Man Census Detailed Census Analysis 2016 vs 2011 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2016 isle of man census
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2016 Isle of Man Census Detailed Census Analysis 2016 vs 2011 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2016 Isle of Man Census Detailed Census Analysis 2016 vs 2011 Population Profile 8000 Over 50 population has Under 50 population has fallen increased by 9% since 2011 by 8% since 2011 7000 6000 5000 2011 4000 2016 3000 2000 1000 0


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2016 Isle of Man Census

Detailed Census Analysis

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+ 2011 2016

2016 vs 2011 Population Profile

Under 50 population has fallen by 8% since 2011 Over 50 population has increased by 9% since 2011

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+ 2011 2016

Births on the Isle of Man

700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Number of births 2005-2016

Birth are at their lowest since 1987

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+ 2011 2016

Unique Inward Migration

The 2016 5-9 cohort is the only group to show net inward migration since 2011, with an increase in the cohort population of 99 in the 2011 0-4 year olds.

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+ 2011 2016

Emigration of Young adults

The 2016 20-24 cohort shows that whilst there has been inward migration of 331, there has been

  • utward migration of 1,017 individuals in the past

5 years. However the Island has more 20-21 year olds in full time education, at 34%, compared with the UK of 26%. There has been a significant downward trend of under 29s leaving home and living on their own. In 1996, 39% of 15-29 years olds lived away from home, compared with 29.9% in 2016.

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+ 2011 2016

Life cycle at prime working age

0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54

Looks after home and family in four largest census districts

RAMSEY DOUGLAS ONCHAN PEEL

There has been limited net outward migration in the 30-49 cohort, so whilst the Island has attracted 2,105 individuals, 2,312 have left in the past 5 years.

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+ 2011 2016

Early exit from the work force

There is a significant proportion of individuals exiting the work force early within the 50 – 64 cohort:

  • 25% of men aged 60-64 have

retired from paid work

  • 11% of women and 8.4% of men

aged 55-59 have retired from paid work

  • 6.3% of 50 – 64 year olds are

unable to work due to long term sickness or disability

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+ 2011 2016

Retired and Elderly Population

  • The over 65 population on the Island now

makes up 21% of the Island’s resident population, compared with 18% in 2011.

  • 20% of 65 – 69 year olds are still in

employment, with 6.5% of those over 70 still in employment

  • Deaths for 2016 were 852, which is the

highest since 2003.

  • Inward migration is the lowest for those 65

and over, however 581 persons have moved to the Island since 2011.

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+ 2011 2016

Over 95 Population

60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016

Increase in 95+ Population

Since 1996, the over 95 population has increased by 188%

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40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2015 Scotland England Wales Ireland N Ireland Jersey Guernsey Isle of Man

Dependency Ratios

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Cohort Movement

  • 700
  • 500
  • 300
  • 100

100 300 500

2006 - 2011 2011 - 2016

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Young Adult Migration

  • 200
  • 150
  • 100
  • 50

50 100 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29

2006 - 2011

20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29

2011 - 2016

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SLIDE 13

Movement in Core (25-54) Working Age Population

33,152 4,384 4,815

  • 2,611
  • 5,243

34,497 34,497 4,719 3,022

  • 3,689
  • 6,054

32,495

  • 10,000
  • 5,000
  • 5,000

10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000

Core Working Age Population New Comers Migrants In Migrants Out Leavers New Core Working Age Population 2011 2016

2006

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Working population by Economic Sector

  • 1,000

2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2011 2016

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Changing nature of jobs undertaken

  • 2,000
  • 1,500
  • 1,000
  • 500

500 1,000 1,500 Managers, directors and senior officials Professional

  • ccupations

(e.g. Scientists, Engineers, Doctors & Teachers) Associate professional and technical

  • ccupations

(e.g. Police Constables, Pilots, Data Analysts & Trainers) Administrative and secretarial

  • ccupations

Skilled trades

  • ccupations

Caring, leisure and other service

  • ccupations

Sales and customer service

  • ccupations

Process, plant and machine

  • peratives

Elementary

  • ccupations

(unskilled) 2011 to 2016

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Economic Sector by Place of Birth and Year of Residency

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2011 - 2016 2000 - 2010 Pre 2000 % IOM

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Economic Sector by Age

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 55+ 40-54 25-39 16-24

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Migrant Working Population by Sector

Medical and health services 25% Other Financial and Business Services 25% Miscellaneous services 18% Construction 16% Retail distribution 16%

Largest 5 Sectors for Migrants – Pre 2011 Arrival

Medical and health services 34% ICT (includes Egaming) 18% Miscellaneous services 17% Entertainment and catering 16% Other Financial and Business Services 15%

Largest 5 Sectors for Migrants - Post 2011 Arrival

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Employment by Age Group

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 15-24 25-39 40-54 55-64 Self-Employed - Not Employing Others Self-Employed - Employing Others Part Time - More than one employer Part Time Full Time

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Internal Migration by Working Population

North: Lezayre, Jurby, Andreas, Bride and Maughold South: Malew, Arbory and Rushen East: Braddan, Lonan, Marown and Santon West: Michael, German and Patrick Parishes have been grouped based on their categorisation in the Area Plans. Resident Pop Net Daily Migration Day Time Population % Movement Douglas 26,997 10,243 37,240 38% Ramsey 7,845

  • 507

7,338

  • 6%

Peel 5,374

  • 1,257

4,117

  • 23%

Castletown 3,216

  • 122

3,094

  • 4%

Port Erin 3,484

  • 785

2,699

  • 23%

Port St Mary 1,916

  • 414

1,502

  • 22%

Laxey 1,676

  • 387

1,289

  • 23%

Onchan 9,128

  • 2,754

6,374

  • 30%

North 5,848

  • 1,610

4,238

  • 28%

South 6,251

  • 838

5,413

  • 13%

East 7,446

  • 748

6,698

  • 10%

West 4,133

  • 1,208

2,925

  • 29%

Off Island 387

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Reason for Not being in Work (16-64)

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 Is at school or full-time education Looks after home

  • r family (soley)

Is unable to work due to long term sickness Is unable to work due to permanent, long term disability Unemployed looking for work Retirement Other 2011 2016

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Reason for Not being in Work by Age

  • 500

1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 16-24 25-39 40-54 55-64 Other Unemployed, looking for work Is unable to work due to permanent long term sickness or disability Looks after home or family (solely) Is retired Is at school or in full time education

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SLIDE 23
  • Significant emigration of 20-29 year olds
  • Increasing numbers of over 95s
  • Falling birth rate
  • Changing nature of the jobs undertaken
  • Growth employment areas are those with

the highest levels of immigration.

Key Points