2015 15 RESULTS PRESENTA TATIO TION Colin Jones, Finance Director - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2015 15 results presenta tatio tion
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2015 15 RESULTS PRESENTA TATIO TION Colin Jones, Finance Director - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2015 15 RESULTS PRESENTA TATIO TION Colin Jones, Finance Director November 19, 2015 GHTS 1 HIGHLI HLIGHTS m 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 Chan ange ge Revenue 404.7 406.6 403.4 -1% Adjusted PBT 1 116.5 116.2 107.8 -7%


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Colin Jones, Finance Director November 19, 2015

2015 15 RESULTS PRESENTA TATIO TION

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Page 1

£m 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 Chan ange ge Revenue 404.7 406.6 403.4

  • 1%

Adjusted PBT1 116.5 116.2 107.8

  • 7%

Statutory PBT1 95.3 101.5 123.3 +21% Adjusted EPS1 71.0p 70.6p 70.1p

  • 1%

Dividend 22.75p 23.00p 23 23.40 40p +2% Net (debt)/cash2 (9.9) (37.6) 17 17.7

1. As reconciled in appendix to preliminary announcement 2. The comparative figure for net debt is at September 30

HIGHLI HLIGHTS GHTS1

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  • Headline revenues down 1% to £403.4m
  • H2 underlying1 revenues down 5%, after 1% increase in H1
  • Adjusted operating margin down to 26%, reflecting known costs and

weak H2

  • Adjusted PBT down 7% to £107.8m
  • FX US$ benefit £7m
  • Strong operating cash conversion - net cash £17.7m by y/e
  • Fintech investments: Dealogic, Estimize, Zanbato
  • Continued progress rolling out Delphi content platform
  • Good pipeline of new products
  • Q1 trading in line with expectations and H2 FY15 trends

KEY MESS SSAGE GES

1. Excludes acquisitions/disposals, event timing and at constant exchange rates

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Page 3

  • Statutory profit £123.3m vs Adjusted PBT £107.8m
  • Underlying tax rate 18%
  • Dealogic: swapped £5.6m of Adjusted PBT for an associate interest of

c£3m (annualised) – 2% earnings dilution

  • Final dividend of 16.4p consistent with 3x cover policy
  • Net cash at y/e – facility renewal depends on acquisition pipeline
  • Underlying cash conversion 101% (2014: 100%)

FINANC ANCIAL IAL HIGHLI HLIGHTS GHTS

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Page 4

ST STATUT UTORY ORY PROFIT IT

Exceptional items

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Page 5

CASH SHFL FLOW/ OW/NE NET T DEBT

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Page 6 1. As reconciled in appendix to preliminary announcement

TRADIN DING G SU SUMMARY RY

£m 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 Chan ange ge Revenue

404.7 406.6 403.4

  • 1%

Adjusted operating profit1

121.1 119.8 104.2

  • 13%

Adjusted PBT1

116.5 116.2 107.8

  • 7%

Operating margin

29.9% 29.5% 25.8%

  • 3.7%
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Page 7

  • Deteriorating global GDP forecasts
  • Debt capital markets – continued impact
  • f increased compliance / regulation and

structural, rather than cyclical, challenges

  • Commodities - prices remain depressed

across most assets

  • Emerging markets - increased geopolitical

risk

  • Recent market news:

– Q3 global IB results – HSBC/Barclays/Deutsche/Unicredit – Glencore

HEADWIN ADWINDS DS TAILWIND LWINDS

  • Asset management sector remains robust:

– II Memberships new launches – IIN – BCA new products

  • Telecoms
  • Fintech
  • Delphi

MACRO RO HEADWIND DWINDS S OUT UTWEIGH GH TAILWI LWINDS NDS

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Page 8

REVENUE UE BY TYPE

£m 2014 2014 2015 2015 Headline Underlying Underlying excl timing Subscriptions 196.8 21 210. 0.5 +7% +2% +2% Advertising 52.2 48 48.9

  • 6%
  • 11%
  • 11%

Sponsorship 56.6 59 59.2 +5%

  • 4%
  • 2%

Delegates 71.1 70 70.5

  • 1%
  • 12%
  • 5%

Other 13.3 12 12.1

  • 9%
  • 11%
  • 11%

Sold/closed business 13.7 1. 1.6

  • FX

2.9 0. 0.6

  • Total

406.6 40 403. 3.4

  • 1%
  • 4%
  • 2%
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Page 9 1. Excludes acquisitions/disposals, event timing and at constant exchange rates

REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR (und nderlying) lying)1

Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Subscriptions +2% +3% +2% +2% +2% +2% +4% +2% Advertising

  • 3%
  • 1%
  • 8%
  • 2%
  • 6%
  • 16%
  • 8%
  • 13%

Sponsorship

  • 2%

+22%

  • +23%

+1% +11%

  • 9%
  • 2%

Delegates

  • 11%
  • 1%
  • +3%

+5%

  • 11%
  • 14%

Other +5% +15% +24% +14%

  • 4%
  • 10%
  • 24%
  • 9%

Total +1% +2%

  • +4%

+2% +1%

  • 5%
  • 6%
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Page 10 1. Excludes acquisitions/disposals, event timing and at constant exchange rates

REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR (und nderlying) lying)1

Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 H1 H2 H1 H2 Subscriptions +2% +2% +2% +3% Advertising

  • 2%
  • 5%
  • 11%
  • 11%

Sponsorship +9% +8% +7%

  • 6%

Delegates

  • 5%
  • 1%

+3%

  • 12%

Other +9% +19%

  • 6%
  • 16%

Total +1% +2% +1%

  • 5%
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Page 11

REVENUE UE BY DIVISI SION ON

£m 2014 2014 2015 2015 Headline Underlying Underlying excl timing Research & Data 120.8 12 125. 5.8 +4% 0% 0% Financial Publishing 75.8 74 74.3

  • 2%
  • 6%
  • 6%

Business Publishing 67.8 70 70.0 +3% 0% 0% Conferences, Seminars & Training 125.6 13 131. 1.1 +4%

  • 7%
  • 2%

Other/closed 13.7 1. 1.6

  • FX

2.9 0. 0.6

  • 406.6

40 403. 3.4

  • 1%
  • 4%
  • 2%
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Page 12 1. Headline profit before effect of FX hedging

OPERAT ATING ING PROFIT IT BY DIVISIO SION1

£m 2014 2014 2015 2015 Change Research & Data 45.1 43 43.6

  • 3%

Financial Publishing 21.6 18 18.5

  • 14%

Business Publishing 22.8 24 24.2 +6% Conferences, Seminars & Training 34.5 33 33.3

  • 3%

Sold/closed businesses 6.7 1.3

  • 81%

Corporate costs (10.9) (16 16.7) 7) +53% Total 119.8 10 104. 4.2

  • 13%
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Page 13 1. After corporate costs

OPERAT ATING ING MARGI RGIN N BY DIVISIO SION

FY 2014 H1 1 20 2015 15 H2 2 20 2015 15 FY 2015 Research & Data 37% 33% 33% 37% 37% 35% 35% Financial Publishing 28% 23% 23% 26% 26% 25% 25% Business Publishing 34% 30% 30% 38% 38% 35% 35% Conferences, Seminars & Training 28% 29% 29% 22% 22% 25% 25% Group operating margin1 30% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26%

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Page 14

% Adjusted operating margin 2014 29.5 Event timing differences (0.5) Acquisitions / disposals (0.1) Property costs (0.5) Delphi costs (0.5) 27.9 Underlying operating profits (2.1) Adjusted usted operat rating ing mar argi gin n 20 2015 15 25 25.8

OPERAT ATING ING MARGI RGIN

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Page 15

ADJUS USTE TED D PBT

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Page 16

Investor day strategy update early in 2016 ST STRATE TEGY GY

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  • Macro headwinds continue to outweigh tailwinds
  • Headwinds are both structural and cyclical, especially in banking
  • H2 revenue trends expected to continue into FY16 H1
  • Still some pressure on margins from revenue declines
  • FX remains favourable
  • Good pipeline of new products in asset management
  • Balance sheet and cash flow stronger than ever

OUT UTLOOK

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Appendix

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Page 19

REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR (head adli line) ne)

Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Subscriptions +5% +1%

  • 4%
  • 3%

+3% +7% +12% +6% Advertising

  • 4%
  • 15%
  • 7%
  • 4%
  • 10%

+1%

  • 9%

Sponsorship +8% +23%

  • 2%

+29%

  • 12%

+33%

  • 3%

+3% Delegates +2% +14%

  • 3%
  • 2%
  • 1%

+17%

  • 9%
  • 11%

Other +4% +17% +21% +11%

  • 3%
  • 4%
  • 21%
  • 7%

Total +3% +5%

  • 6%
  • 5%

+6%

  • 1%
  • 4%
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Page 20 1. At constant exchange rates before FX hedging

REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR1 (cons nstan tant t FX)

Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Subscriptions +6% +6% +3% +4% +2% +2% +4% +2% Advertising +1%

  • 8%
  • 2%
  • 6%
  • 16%
  • 8%
  • 13%

Sponsorship +9% +29% +6% +37%

  • 12%

+26%

  • 9%
  • 2%

Delegates +1% +17%

  • +2%
  • 1%

+15%

  • 11%
  • 14%

Other +5% +19% +27% +16%

  • 4%
  • 6%
  • 24%
  • 9%

Total +5% +10%

  • 1%

+5%

  • 5%

+1%

  • 7%
  • 7%
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Page 21 1. At constant exchange rates and excluding acquisitions/disposals

REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR (und nderlying) lying)1

Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Subscriptions +2% +3% +2% +2% +2% +2% +4% +2% Advertising

  • 3%
  • 1%
  • 8%
  • 2%
  • 6%
  • 16%
  • 8%
  • 13%

Sponsorship

  • 2%

+22%

  • +37%
  • 12%

+8%

  • 9%
  • 2%

Delegates

  • +19%
  • 1%

+2%

  • 1%
  • 24%
  • 11%
  • 14%

Other +5% +15% +24% +15%

  • 4%
  • 10%
  • 24%
  • 9%

Total +1% +7%

  • +6%
  • 1%
  • 5%
  • 5%
  • 6%
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Page 22

CASH SH CONVERSION SION

Cash generated from

  • perations

Adjusted

  • perating

profit Cash con- version FY2015 Cash con- version FY2014 Hea eadl dline e cash sh convers ersion

  • n

109.5 104.2 105% 105% 92% 92% Add back: CAP cash (incl tax)

  • 8%

Other

  • 4.3

(4%)

  • Under

erlyi ying cash h convers ersion

  • n

109.5 108.5 101% 101% 100% 100%

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Page 23 1. See note 5 of preliminary statement

TAX1

£m FY 2014 FY 2015 Adjusted PBT 116.2 107.8 Statut utory

  • ry tax charg

arge (25.6) (17.6) Add: other tax adjustments (0.1) 1.3 Under erlyi ying tax charg arge (25.7) (18.9) Under erlyi ying tax rate 22% 22% 18% 18%

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Page 24 1. See note 4 of preliminary statement

NET FINANC ANCE COST STS1

£m FY 2014 FY 2015 Interest on debt facility (1.3) (1.1) Interest on tax (0.3) (0.4) Other 0.1 0.2 Under erlyi ying net et finance e costs ts (1.5) (1.3) Acquisition deferred consideration (1.9) (2.9) Acquisition commitments 1.3 4.7 Statut utory

  • ry net

et finance ce costs ts (2.1) 0.5

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Page 25

EXCEPTI TIONAL ONAL ITEMS

£m 2014 2015 2015 Profit on disposal of Cap DATA & Cap NET

  • 48.4

Profit on disposal of business 6.8 2.4 Profit on disposal of properties

  • 4.3

6.8 55.1 Goodwill impairment (HFI/CIE/Indaba)

  • (18.5)

5) Associate impairment (Global Grain) (0.4)

  • Restructuring and other exceptional costs

(3.8) (3.2) 2.6 33.4

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Page 26

£m £m 2014 2014 2015 2015 Q1 Q2-Q4 Revenue 5.7 1.2

  • Operating profit

5.4 1.0

  • Share of profits in associate

0.2

  • 2.4

DEALOGIC GIC

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  • Group acquired 75% interest in CIE in 2013 for £10.2m initial consideration
  • Good strategic fit with II and filled gap in Australian asset management sector
  • Commitment to acquire remaining 25% by early 2016
  • At Sept 2014 £5.2m in acquisition commitments
  • Governance and financial irregularities identified during audit
  • Former owner-managers replaced and Euromoney management accelerated
  • Adjustments made to group’s investment in CIE:

– Goodwill impairment £3.0m – Preparation of balance sheet as if owned 100% – Net finance income credit £5.2m – reversal of 25% acquisition commitment

CIE CIE

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Page 28

USD 2015 2015 2014 2014 Average rates 1.55 1.66 Closing rates 1.51 1.62 USD 1¢ movement ement Revenue +/- £1.4m Profit before tax +/- £0.6m

IMPACT CT OF FX

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Page 29 1) Opening balance restated

DEFERRE RED D REVENUE UE

£m £m Subs bs Other Opening balance1 82.0 27.8 FX 4.2 0.7 Adjusted opening balance 86.2 28.5 Underlying movement

  • (2.6)

Closi sing balance ance 86.2 25.9 Underlying growth %

  • 9%