Colin Jones, Finance Director November 19, 2015
2015 15 RESULTS PRESENTA TATIO TION Colin Jones, Finance Director - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2015 15 RESULTS PRESENTA TATIO TION Colin Jones, Finance Director - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2015 15 RESULTS PRESENTA TATIO TION Colin Jones, Finance Director November 19, 2015 GHTS 1 HIGHLI HLIGHTS m 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 Chan ange ge Revenue 404.7 406.6 403.4 -1% Adjusted PBT 1 116.5 116.2 107.8 -7%
Page 1
£m 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 Chan ange ge Revenue 404.7 406.6 403.4
- 1%
Adjusted PBT1 116.5 116.2 107.8
- 7%
Statutory PBT1 95.3 101.5 123.3 +21% Adjusted EPS1 71.0p 70.6p 70.1p
- 1%
Dividend 22.75p 23.00p 23 23.40 40p +2% Net (debt)/cash2 (9.9) (37.6) 17 17.7
1. As reconciled in appendix to preliminary announcement 2. The comparative figure for net debt is at September 30
HIGHLI HLIGHTS GHTS1
Page 2
- Headline revenues down 1% to £403.4m
- H2 underlying1 revenues down 5%, after 1% increase in H1
- Adjusted operating margin down to 26%, reflecting known costs and
weak H2
- Adjusted PBT down 7% to £107.8m
- FX US$ benefit £7m
- Strong operating cash conversion - net cash £17.7m by y/e
- Fintech investments: Dealogic, Estimize, Zanbato
- Continued progress rolling out Delphi content platform
- Good pipeline of new products
- Q1 trading in line with expectations and H2 FY15 trends
KEY MESS SSAGE GES
1. Excludes acquisitions/disposals, event timing and at constant exchange rates
Page 3
- Statutory profit £123.3m vs Adjusted PBT £107.8m
- Underlying tax rate 18%
- Dealogic: swapped £5.6m of Adjusted PBT for an associate interest of
c£3m (annualised) – 2% earnings dilution
- Final dividend of 16.4p consistent with 3x cover policy
- Net cash at y/e – facility renewal depends on acquisition pipeline
- Underlying cash conversion 101% (2014: 100%)
FINANC ANCIAL IAL HIGHLI HLIGHTS GHTS
Page 4
ST STATUT UTORY ORY PROFIT IT
Exceptional items
Page 5
CASH SHFL FLOW/ OW/NE NET T DEBT
Page 6 1. As reconciled in appendix to preliminary announcement
TRADIN DING G SU SUMMARY RY
£m 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 Chan ange ge Revenue
404.7 406.6 403.4
- 1%
Adjusted operating profit1
121.1 119.8 104.2
- 13%
Adjusted PBT1
116.5 116.2 107.8
- 7%
Operating margin
29.9% 29.5% 25.8%
- 3.7%
Page 7
- Deteriorating global GDP forecasts
- Debt capital markets – continued impact
- f increased compliance / regulation and
structural, rather than cyclical, challenges
- Commodities - prices remain depressed
across most assets
- Emerging markets - increased geopolitical
risk
- Recent market news:
– Q3 global IB results – HSBC/Barclays/Deutsche/Unicredit – Glencore
HEADWIN ADWINDS DS TAILWIND LWINDS
- Asset management sector remains robust:
– II Memberships new launches – IIN – BCA new products
- Telecoms
- Fintech
- Delphi
MACRO RO HEADWIND DWINDS S OUT UTWEIGH GH TAILWI LWINDS NDS
Page 8
REVENUE UE BY TYPE
£m 2014 2014 2015 2015 Headline Underlying Underlying excl timing Subscriptions 196.8 21 210. 0.5 +7% +2% +2% Advertising 52.2 48 48.9
- 6%
- 11%
- 11%
Sponsorship 56.6 59 59.2 +5%
- 4%
- 2%
Delegates 71.1 70 70.5
- 1%
- 12%
- 5%
Other 13.3 12 12.1
- 9%
- 11%
- 11%
Sold/closed business 13.7 1. 1.6
- FX
2.9 0. 0.6
- Total
406.6 40 403. 3.4
- 1%
- 4%
- 2%
Page 9 1. Excludes acquisitions/disposals, event timing and at constant exchange rates
REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR (und nderlying) lying)1
Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Subscriptions +2% +3% +2% +2% +2% +2% +4% +2% Advertising
- 3%
- 1%
- 8%
- 2%
- 6%
- 16%
- 8%
- 13%
Sponsorship
- 2%
+22%
- +23%
+1% +11%
- 9%
- 2%
Delegates
- 11%
- 1%
- +3%
+5%
- 11%
- 14%
Other +5% +15% +24% +14%
- 4%
- 10%
- 24%
- 9%
Total +1% +2%
- +4%
+2% +1%
- 5%
- 6%
Page 10 1. Excludes acquisitions/disposals, event timing and at constant exchange rates
REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR (und nderlying) lying)1
Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 H1 H2 H1 H2 Subscriptions +2% +2% +2% +3% Advertising
- 2%
- 5%
- 11%
- 11%
Sponsorship +9% +8% +7%
- 6%
Delegates
- 5%
- 1%
+3%
- 12%
Other +9% +19%
- 6%
- 16%
Total +1% +2% +1%
- 5%
Page 11
REVENUE UE BY DIVISI SION ON
£m 2014 2014 2015 2015 Headline Underlying Underlying excl timing Research & Data 120.8 12 125. 5.8 +4% 0% 0% Financial Publishing 75.8 74 74.3
- 2%
- 6%
- 6%
Business Publishing 67.8 70 70.0 +3% 0% 0% Conferences, Seminars & Training 125.6 13 131. 1.1 +4%
- 7%
- 2%
Other/closed 13.7 1. 1.6
- FX
2.9 0. 0.6
- 406.6
40 403. 3.4
- 1%
- 4%
- 2%
Page 12 1. Headline profit before effect of FX hedging
OPERAT ATING ING PROFIT IT BY DIVISIO SION1
£m 2014 2014 2015 2015 Change Research & Data 45.1 43 43.6
- 3%
Financial Publishing 21.6 18 18.5
- 14%
Business Publishing 22.8 24 24.2 +6% Conferences, Seminars & Training 34.5 33 33.3
- 3%
Sold/closed businesses 6.7 1.3
- 81%
Corporate costs (10.9) (16 16.7) 7) +53% Total 119.8 10 104. 4.2
- 13%
Page 13 1. After corporate costs
OPERAT ATING ING MARGI RGIN N BY DIVISIO SION
FY 2014 H1 1 20 2015 15 H2 2 20 2015 15 FY 2015 Research & Data 37% 33% 33% 37% 37% 35% 35% Financial Publishing 28% 23% 23% 26% 26% 25% 25% Business Publishing 34% 30% 30% 38% 38% 35% 35% Conferences, Seminars & Training 28% 29% 29% 22% 22% 25% 25% Group operating margin1 30% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26%
Page 14
% Adjusted operating margin 2014 29.5 Event timing differences (0.5) Acquisitions / disposals (0.1) Property costs (0.5) Delphi costs (0.5) 27.9 Underlying operating profits (2.1) Adjusted usted operat rating ing mar argi gin n 20 2015 15 25 25.8
OPERAT ATING ING MARGI RGIN
Page 15
ADJUS USTE TED D PBT
Page 16
Investor day strategy update early in 2016 ST STRATE TEGY GY
Page 17
- Macro headwinds continue to outweigh tailwinds
- Headwinds are both structural and cyclical, especially in banking
- H2 revenue trends expected to continue into FY16 H1
- Still some pressure on margins from revenue declines
- FX remains favourable
- Good pipeline of new products in asset management
- Balance sheet and cash flow stronger than ever
OUT UTLOOK
Appendix
Page 19
REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR (head adli line) ne)
Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Subscriptions +5% +1%
- 4%
- 3%
+3% +7% +12% +6% Advertising
- 4%
- 15%
- 7%
- 4%
- 10%
+1%
- 9%
Sponsorship +8% +23%
- 2%
+29%
- 12%
+33%
- 3%
+3% Delegates +2% +14%
- 3%
- 2%
- 1%
+17%
- 9%
- 11%
Other +4% +17% +21% +11%
- 3%
- 4%
- 21%
- 7%
Total +3% +5%
- 6%
- 5%
+6%
- 1%
- 4%
Page 20 1. At constant exchange rates before FX hedging
REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR1 (cons nstan tant t FX)
Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Subscriptions +6% +6% +3% +4% +2% +2% +4% +2% Advertising +1%
- 8%
- 2%
- 6%
- 16%
- 8%
- 13%
Sponsorship +9% +29% +6% +37%
- 12%
+26%
- 9%
- 2%
Delegates +1% +17%
- +2%
- 1%
+15%
- 11%
- 14%
Other +5% +19% +27% +16%
- 4%
- 6%
- 24%
- 9%
Total +5% +10%
- 1%
+5%
- 5%
+1%
- 7%
- 7%
Page 21 1. At constant exchange rates and excluding acquisitions/disposals
REVENUE UE CHANGE NGE BY QTR (und nderlying) lying)1
Y-o-Y % change FY2014 FY2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Subscriptions +2% +3% +2% +2% +2% +2% +4% +2% Advertising
- 3%
- 1%
- 8%
- 2%
- 6%
- 16%
- 8%
- 13%
Sponsorship
- 2%
+22%
- +37%
- 12%
+8%
- 9%
- 2%
Delegates
- +19%
- 1%
+2%
- 1%
- 24%
- 11%
- 14%
Other +5% +15% +24% +15%
- 4%
- 10%
- 24%
- 9%
Total +1% +7%
- +6%
- 1%
- 5%
- 5%
- 6%
Page 22
CASH SH CONVERSION SION
Cash generated from
- perations
Adjusted
- perating
profit Cash con- version FY2015 Cash con- version FY2014 Hea eadl dline e cash sh convers ersion
- n
109.5 104.2 105% 105% 92% 92% Add back: CAP cash (incl tax)
- 8%
Other
- 4.3
(4%)
- Under
erlyi ying cash h convers ersion
- n
109.5 108.5 101% 101% 100% 100%
Page 23 1. See note 5 of preliminary statement
TAX1
£m FY 2014 FY 2015 Adjusted PBT 116.2 107.8 Statut utory
- ry tax charg
arge (25.6) (17.6) Add: other tax adjustments (0.1) 1.3 Under erlyi ying tax charg arge (25.7) (18.9) Under erlyi ying tax rate 22% 22% 18% 18%
Page 24 1. See note 4 of preliminary statement
NET FINANC ANCE COST STS1
£m FY 2014 FY 2015 Interest on debt facility (1.3) (1.1) Interest on tax (0.3) (0.4) Other 0.1 0.2 Under erlyi ying net et finance e costs ts (1.5) (1.3) Acquisition deferred consideration (1.9) (2.9) Acquisition commitments 1.3 4.7 Statut utory
- ry net
et finance ce costs ts (2.1) 0.5
Page 25
EXCEPTI TIONAL ONAL ITEMS
£m 2014 2015 2015 Profit on disposal of Cap DATA & Cap NET
- 48.4
Profit on disposal of business 6.8 2.4 Profit on disposal of properties
- 4.3
6.8 55.1 Goodwill impairment (HFI/CIE/Indaba)
- (18.5)
5) Associate impairment (Global Grain) (0.4)
- Restructuring and other exceptional costs
(3.8) (3.2) 2.6 33.4
Page 26
£m £m 2014 2014 2015 2015 Q1 Q2-Q4 Revenue 5.7 1.2
- Operating profit
5.4 1.0
- Share of profits in associate
0.2
- 2.4
DEALOGIC GIC
Page 27
- Group acquired 75% interest in CIE in 2013 for £10.2m initial consideration
- Good strategic fit with II and filled gap in Australian asset management sector
- Commitment to acquire remaining 25% by early 2016
- At Sept 2014 £5.2m in acquisition commitments
- Governance and financial irregularities identified during audit
- Former owner-managers replaced and Euromoney management accelerated
- Adjustments made to group’s investment in CIE:
– Goodwill impairment £3.0m – Preparation of balance sheet as if owned 100% – Net finance income credit £5.2m – reversal of 25% acquisition commitment
CIE CIE
Page 28
USD 2015 2015 2014 2014 Average rates 1.55 1.66 Closing rates 1.51 1.62 USD 1¢ movement ement Revenue +/- £1.4m Profit before tax +/- £0.6m
IMPACT CT OF FX
Page 29 1) Opening balance restated
DEFERRE RED D REVENUE UE
£m £m Subs bs Other Opening balance1 82.0 27.8 FX 4.2 0.7 Adjusted opening balance 86.2 28.5 Underlying movement
- (2.6)
Closi sing balance ance 86.2 25.9 Underlying growth %
- 9%