2011 full year results agenda
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2011 Full Year Results Agenda Performance Summary Peter Botten - PDF document

1 2011 Full Year Results Agenda Performance Summary Peter Botten Financial Overview Zlatko Todorcevski PNG LNG Project Update Phil Caldwell Gas Expansion & Exploration Carleton Nothling Operations Review Richard Robinson Outlook


  1. 1 2011 Full Year Results Agenda Performance Summary Peter Botten Financial Overview Zlatko Todorcevski PNG LNG Project Update Phil Caldwell Gas Expansion & Exploration Carleton Nothling Operations Review Richard Robinson Outlook & Summary Peter Botten 2

  2. 2011 Full Year Results Performance Summary Peter Botten Financial Overview Zlatko Todorcevski PNG LNG Project Update Phil Caldwell Gas Expansion & Exploration Carleton Nothling Operations Review Richard Robinson Outlook & Summary Peter Botten 3 2011 Performance Summary Solid year of operating performance 9% increase in NPAT to 202.5 million, reflecting strong production performance, higher oil prices. Excluding significant items, NPAT increased 65% to US$236.5 million PNG LNG construction now in full swing. Target of first LNG in 2014 remains unchanged and costs are under control Key strategies for growth being progressively delivered. Major drilling programme underway, will include: Hides appraisal and development Highlands gas appraisal and exploration Gulf drilling Oil drilling – 2010/11 successes, with more to come OSH ended 2011 in excellent financial position. Oil operations continue to generate good cash flows, corporate facility remains undrawn. Ample liquidity to fund PNG LNG and unprecedented growth programmes Two US cents per ordinary share, unfranked, final dividend, making four US cents per share for 2011. Final dividend payable on 10 April 2012 4

  3. Safety Performance Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate of 1.85 in 2011 Australian Com panies TRI / 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 Hours ( APPEA) I nternational Com panies ( OGP) Oil Search 5 Australian Benchmarking Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate Data for 2011 per Million Hours Worked (All Reported Data) W esfarm ers Qantas CSR OZ Minerals Treasury W ine Est. Bram bles Boart Longyear Fletcher Building Hastie Group United Group Monadelphous Jam es Hardie Dow ner EDI I ncitec Pivot Transfield Origin Contact Energy Stockland AGL Energy BHP Billiton W oodside Am cor New crest Santos AW E PanAust Caltex FY1 1 Orica Dec YE Oil Search W orleyParsons 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Source: Company data, Citi Investment Research and Analysis. Note: TRIFR – Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate per 1 million hours worked 6

  4. Strong Share Price Performance 7 Feb 2012 8.0 Share price ( rebased to OSH) 7.0 Oil Search Brent 6.0 Santos 5.0 4.0 W oodside 3.0 ASX 2 0 0 2.0 1.0 0.0 Jan 07 Jul 07 Jan 08 Jul 08 Jan 09 Jul 09 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 TSR performance over 5 years Oil Search ranked 4th in ASX 200 for TSR over five years to 31 December 2011 120 100.5 100 80 60 % TSR 38.2 40 16.1 20 0 -10.7 -20 -18.1 -40 -33.3 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year Median TSR ASX 2 0 0 OSH TSR Source: Orientcap 8

  5. 2011 Full Year Results Performance Summary Peter Botten Financial Overview Zlatko Todorcevski PNG LNG Project Update Phil Caldwell Gas Expansion & Exploration Carleton Nothling Operations Review Richard Robinson Outlook & Summary Peter Botten 9 2011 Financial Performance 2011 2010 (US$’m) 732.9 583.6 Revenue +26% (111.8) Cash Expenses (137.0) EBITDAX 595.9 471.7 +26% (62.7) Non-cash items (84.4) Exploration Expense / BD (70.9) (131.2) (0.8) Interest income/(expense) (0.7) 277.2 Pre-tax Profit 439.9 +59% (237.4) (91.6) Tax 185.6 NPAT** 202.5 +9% Core Profit** 235.6* 144.1* Full year revenue benefited from higher realised oil prices, partially offset by lower volumes Increase in non-cash charges balanced by lower exploration expense (Wasuma and Korka wells expensed in 2010) * 2011 core profit excludes impairment charge for Shakal (no tax benefit). 2010 core profit excludes one-off tax benefit associated with restatement of deferred tax balances associated with PNG LNG Project partially offset by impairment charge associated with various exploration permits ** See appendix A for reconciliation between NPAT and Core Profit 1 0

  6. Cash Earnings Performance % US$ / bbl 100 120 116 Oil Price 100 95 100 80 78 90 80 65 85 60 86% 83% 80 40 81% 81% 80% EBITDAX 75 20 Margin 70 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Cash operating margin maintained against back drop of significant inflationary pressure in PNG coupled with stronger A$ and Kina 1 1 2011 NPAT Drivers US$ m 4 0 0 2 0 9 .1 ( 6 4 .9 ) ( 4 .1 ) 6 4 .4 ( 1 7 .4 ) 3 5 0 ( 1 4 5 .8 ) Business Dev ( 2 5 .1 ) I m pairm ent Revenue - Volum e ( 1 .4 ) 3 0 0 Cash OPEX DD&A Exploration 2 5 0 2 .3 2 0 2 .5 2 0 0 Other 1 8 5 .6 Tax Revenue - Price 1 5 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 NPAT 2 0 1 0 NPAT 5 0 0 EBIT growth driven by higher oil prices and lower exploration expense (Wasuma and Korka wells written off in 2010), partially offset by lower volumes, Shakal impairment and higher tax expense Prior year NPAT impacted by one off benefit associated with restatement of deferred tax balances 1 2

  7. Cost Management Costs within guidance FY11 FY10 (US$20.16/boe) US$’m US$’m Adverse impact of A$ and Kina Field Costs movement against US$ impacting operating and corporate costs - Oil: PNG 85.9 73.3 PNG capacity constraints placing - Hides 6.5 8.0 pressure on costs 92.4 81.3 Programme activities actively Other Prod’n managed Opex Field cost per boe changes - Oil 16.8 15.4 1 6 US$ m / boe - Hides 0.7 0.6 External/ Base Non-recurring 1 2 I ncrease Volum e 17.5 16.0 8 Net Corp Costs 21.8 16.6 FX Losses/(gains) 1.2 (2.2) 4 Total 132.9 111.8 0 2010 FY 2011 FY 1 3 1 3 Cash Flows Strong operating cash flow driven by improving US$ ’m 1750 oil price and continued 386 focus on costs 1500 Investing cash outflows 1,264 driven predominantly by 1250 PNG LNG spend coupled 714 1,047 with infield and near 1000 field drilling and 750 exploration spend Escrow Escrow Financing included 500 US$708m drawn down Non Non from PNG LNG project Escrow Escrow 250 (1,317) finance facility 0 Oil Search self-funded operating business - non-escrow cash essentially flat 1 4

  8. Treasury Update US$1.05 billion in cash at end December 2011 Cash invested with highly rated bank counterparties US$246.5 million available from term revolving facility, nil drawn down Group liquidity ~US$1.29 billion No oil hedging undertaken during the year or currently in place – fully realised oil price recovery US$1.75 billion has been drawn down under PNG LNG project finance facility 2011 final dividend of two US cents per share fully underwritten via DRP 1 5 2012 Full Year Financial Guidance Production: 6.2 – 6.7 mmboe Operating costs US$21 - 24/boe (incl. corporate costs) Impacted by: Major workover programme to maximise oil recoveries before gas production FOREX PNG inflation Associated Gas activities Sustainability initiatives Depreciation, depletion and amortisation: US$7 - 9/boe 1 6 1 6

  9. 2012 Investment Outlook US$’ m 2011 (A) 2012 (F) Investing : 240 – 280 # Exploration inc gas growth 145 1,650 – 1,750 ## PNG LNG 1,287 Production 129 130 – 150 Corporate (inc rigs) 7 10 Business Development** 10 7 Financing : Dividends 0* 0* * Dividend fully underw ritten * * Previously included in Exploration # 2 0 -2 5 % of spend in MENA # # I ncludes capitalised interest and fees 1 7 Liquidity Outlook Liquidity ( cash plus undraw n bank debt) US$ m m 2 0 1 4 Dec 2 0 1 1 Outlook updated for 2011 financial results, forward prices & revised PNG LNG Project cost Liquidity at 31 December 2011 ~$1.3 billion Company remains well placed to meet existing commitments and with sufficient liquidity to deliver on strategic plan initiatives Key Assumptions: 1. Brent Forward curve pricing as at 17 February 2012 2. PNG LNG Project on schedule and revised budget 3. Train 3 FEED costs included, Train 3 construction costs excluded 4. Production profiles, other Capex / Exploration based on OSL business plan 1 8 5. Existing oil facility refinanced

  10. 2011 Full Year Results Performance Summary Peter Botten Financial Overview Zlatko Todorcevski PNG LNG Project Update Phil Caldwell Gas Expansion & Exploration Carleton Nothling Operations Review Richard Robinson Outlook & Summary Peter Botten 1 9 PNG LNG Project Update 2 0

  11. PNG LNG Project Overview Hides W abag Juha W ells EPC4 Facility Hides Gas Conditioning Mt. Hagan Plant 6 °S Kundiaw a Goroka C1 HGCP Mendi EPC5 B Kom o Kutubu CPF Airfield Gobe PF Lae 7 °S Oil Field Kopi W harf Gas Field EPC5 A Onshore pipeline Prospect and I nfrastructure Oil Pipeline EPC2 Proposed Gas Pipeline Offshore pipeline 8 °S Kerem a Kum ul Term inal OSH Facility 1 0 0 km LNG Facility Major Road 9 °S Daru EPC3 LNG Facility Port Moresby 1 4 3 °E 1 4 4 °E 1 4 5 °E 1 4 5 °E 1 4 6 °E 1 4 7 °E 2 1 2 1 Milestones achieved in 2011 - Upstream Commenced construction activities at Hides Gas Conditioning Plant (HGCP) including commencement of piling work Good progress at Komo, with significant improvement in earthworks and installation of first foundations for terminal building Ongoing progress on onshore pipeline, with welding of over 100 kilometres and completion of first major onshore pipeline river crossing Delivered first of two drilling rigs to PNG in preparation for development drilling Completed major shutdown at oil facility for tie-ins and new equipment. Installed new export buoy 2 2 2 2 2 2

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