B Y : S T O R M T E A M 8 M E T E O R O L O G I S T J U L I E P H I L L I P S
20 15 Hurricane Season B Y : S T O R M T E A M 8 M E T E O R O - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
20 15 Hurricane Season B Y : S T O R M T E A M 8 M E T E O R O - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
20 15 Hurricane Season B Y : S T O R M T E A M 8 M E T E O R O L O G I S T J U L I E P H I L L I P S FORECAST COLOR AD O S TATE U N I VE R S I TY F OR E CAS T I S CALLI N G F OR ON E OF TH E LE AS T ACTI VE S E AS ON S S I
- COLOR AD O S TATE U N I VE R S I TY
F OR E CAS T I S CALLI N G F OR “ON E OF TH E LE AS T ACTI VE S E AS ON S S I N CE TH E M I D 2 0 TH CE N TU R Y!”
- TH E OF F I CI AL F OR E CAS T F R OM TH E
N ATI ON AL H U R R I CAN E CE N TE R W I LL B E OU T N E X T W E E K.
FORECAST
Why The Forecast Is Only So Important
Remember These
Forecasts Do Not Predict Landfalls! This is why Coastal Residents MUST PREPARE the same each year.
Remember Andrew?
That was a well below average year…
- nly 4
Named Storms all season.
ANDREW AFTERMATH
Don’t Be Unprepared For The Next Big Storm !
It has been 9 years since a Hurricane has hit Florida!!!! That is the longest we have gone without a hit, since we have been keeping records in the 1850s! Also the last big hurricane to hit near the Tampa Bay area was Charley in 2004 in Punta Gorda. Since then 60% of residents are new in the Tampa Bay area!
Behind The Forecast… .
1. Cooler Than Norm al Waters in the Tropical & Subtropical Atlantic Ocean.
- 2. An El Nino of m oderate
strength is likely to develop by the fall.
Getting an Early Start!
Tropical Storm Ana Formed early in May and is
The first named storm of the season!
Pre June Storms… ..
Hurricane Season officially starts June 1st, but it’s
not too unusual to see storms in May. In Fact in May of 2012 we got a quick start to the season and saw 2 Storms (Alberto & Beryl) which both formed before June 1st! ****There is NO LINK to an early start & an active Hurricane Season*****
When a Storm Is Looming What Do You Need To Worry About?
Strong Winds
Tropical Storm - 40 mph Category 1 - 75 mph Category 2 – 96 mph Category 3 – 111 mph Category 4 - 130 mph Category 5 - 157 mph Extrem e Threat: 3,4, or 5 Structural Damage; Some complete wall or roof failure. Mobile homes destroyed Large trees and signs down Widespread Power Outages
Tornadoes
Tornado Watches are common in NE quadrants
- f tropical systems.
The motion of the winds moving onshore enhances wind shear within the storm. Most tornadoes produced in tropical systems are short-lived and on the weak side. Still a MAJOR threat though, even in tropical storms.
Storm Surge
Probably the GREATEST Threat to property & your life during a hurricane along coast. Strong winds push water toward the coast causing a rise in sea level. Especially troublesome during high tide. Forecasting is complex because you must factor in the sea floor and features like Bays… Tampa Bay Area is extremely vulnerable to Storm Surge! Cat. 1 could create a 7 ft. surge… Cat 5 a 28 ft surge in Hillsborough County.
Inland Flooding
"In the last 30 years, inland flooding has been responsible for more than half the deaths associated with tropical cyclones in the United States." Ed Rappaport National Hurricane Center The Category of a storm says NOTHING about this threat. Slow moving storms of any strength can create major flooding Remember 2 feet of water can carry away most cars… even SUV’s!
Have a Fam ily Plan and Supplies to Last you through the storm . In Pinellas County that could be 10 days!
Look into
alternative phone
- chargers. Like solar
powered ones.
Be Sure Others
Know your plan!
Keep your
im portant docum ents in a safe with you. Safety Deposit Boxes were com prom ised in Katrina.
NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE
“ THE FIRST 72 IS UP TO YOU”
Reinforce your
Garage Door if
- Possible. It can pop
- ff your roof in a
storm !
Get your old fam ily
pics scanned into the com puter.
If you have tim e
snap pictures of item s inside your house before the season even starts! This will help after the storm .