17 October 2013 Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Eggs - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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17 October 2013 Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Eggs - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

EU Market Situation for Eggs 2013 Management Committee 17 October 2013 Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Eggs for Consumption 185 165 uro/ 100kg 145 125 105 85 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46


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EU Market Situation for Eggs Management Committee 17 October 2013

2013

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

85 105 125 145 165 185 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€uro/ 100kg

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Eggs for Consumption

Moy.08-12 2010 2011 2012 2013

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

0,00 40,00 80,00 120,00 160,00 200,00

| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

€uro/ 100kg

Prices of Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2013

Eggs for Consumption US breaking (high) EU Barn cage free breaking (high) EU Enriched cage breaking (high)

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0 120,0

1 | 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 2012 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 2013 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51

Maximum weekly prices for individual egg products in the EU and the USA in €/10kg

whole plain EU whole plain US Yolk EU Yolk US Albumen Spray EU Albumen Spray US

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013 50 150 250 350 450

Jan April Juil Oct Jan April Juil Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan

Euro / tonne

Price of Basic Ingredients 2011 - 2013

Soft wheat (EU) Barley (EU) Maïs (EU) Soja (CAF) Hulls (EU) Manioc (CAF) C.G.F. (CAF)

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

160 180 200 220 240 260 | July| Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan 2013 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July| Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |

€/Tonn

Futures for Maize EU (Euronext)

(Nearby = 2012 - 2013) Nearby 2013 Nov 2014 Jan 2014 Mar

Delivery:

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

135 165 195 225

| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan 2013 | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |

€uro/ Tonn

Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2012 & 2013)

01 Nearby 2013 Nov 2014 Jan 2014 Mar

Delivery:

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

1.100 1.200 1.300 1.400 1.500 1.600 1.700 | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |Jan 2013| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |

Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2012 & 2013)

01 Nearby 2013 Nov 2014 Mar 2014 Jul

Delivery:

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

30 60 90 120 150 180

04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se

  • c

no de Euro/ 100kg

Margin between Feed cost and Egg price in Egg production

marge Marge 2007 - 2011 feed egg

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

20 40 60 80 100 120 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 Remainder €uro/ 100kg

100KG Egg minus feedcost for Laying Hens feedconversionrate = 2.7

Marge Average 08 - 12 Marge Egg 2011 Marge Egg 2012 Marge Egg 2013

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

7.500 15.000 22.500 30.000 37.500 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces) compared to the baseline trend

(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)

  • Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug.

2012 27 236 27 439 31 358 30 153 30 780 29 566 28 935 24 690 2013 28 470 25 623 30 183 30 214 28 561 29 534 28 959

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

40 80 120 160 4.000 5.500 7.000 8.500 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | Price €uro/100kg

Production forecast of eggs in shell (Mio p).

compared to the price development

Jan.

  • Feb. March April May June July
  • Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.

2012 7 793 7 752 7 743 7 696 7 666 7 687 7 730 7 849 7 939 7 991 8 032 8 046 2013 8 070 8 071 8 061 8 072 8 020 8 073 8 090 8 070 8 104 8 102 8 082 8 011

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

200 400 600 800 1 000

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

Qty in 1000 tonnes

Experts EU production forecast of Eggs for consumption

2013: 6.424 MioT (+2.6%) & 2014: 6.390 MioT (-0.5%)

2011 2012 2013 2014

ES : -7.3% DE : -0.3% NL : 0.9% UK : 0.1% RO : 2.9% BE : 0.0% DK : 0.0% HU : -2.1% FI : 2.0% PT : 1.0% CZ : 1.6% BG : 2.4%

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

200 400 600 800 1 000

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

Qty in 1000 tonnes

Experts EU production forecast of Total Eggs

(Eggs in shell + Hatching Eggs) 2013: 7.234 MioT (-0.5%) & 2014: 7.251 MioT (+0.2%)

2011 2012 2013 2014

BE : 0.0% DE : 0.0% DK : 0.0% ES : 0.0% HU : -1.9% NL : 0.8% RO : 1.4% FI : 1.5% UK : 0.1% PT : 0.0% CZ : 3.4% BG : 2.3%

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %

to Jan-Aug 12

Argentina 7.899 26,0% 7.889 24,0% 8.088 40,0% 9.963 28,1% 4.453 33,4%

  • 47%

USA 11.165 36,7% 14.009 42,6% 5.956 29,5% 14.246 40,2% 4.135 31,0%

  • 65%

India 5.776 19,0% 3.211 9,8% 1.554 7,7% 3.657 10,3% 2.218 16,6% + 38% Albania 1.659 5,5% 3.208 9,7% 1.303 6,4% 2.118 6,0% 294 2,2%

  • 79%

Israel 711 2,3% 941 2,9% 547 2,7% 1.393 3,9% 224 1,7%

  • 79%

Mexico 1.893 6,2% 1.263 3,8% 556 2,7% 1.018 2,9% 1 0,0%

  • 100%

Canada 33 0,1% 2 0,0% 0,0% 67 0,2% 0,0%

  • 100%

Brazil 67 0,2% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% EXTRA EU 25/27 30.409 32.909 20.219 35.395 13.329 % change + 8%

  • 39%

+ 75%

  • 52,6%

2009 2010 2011 Jan-Aug 13 2012

EU Imports of Eggs:

Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

EU Egg Imports

4.345 11.710 4.135 4.503 8.410 4.453 2.160 3.946 2.005

12.904 12.904 28.131 28.131 13.329 13.329

5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 Jan-Aug 11 Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13

Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs (Tonnes eggs equiv)

USA Argentina India Israel Albania Other destinations

8.556 18.352 9.706 3.426 6.847 4.720 2.195 2.072

15.727 32.874 19.534

5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 Jan-Aug 11 Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13

Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs (1000 EUR)

USA Argentina India Israel Albania Other destinations

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Aug 12 Japan 47.238 31% 52.923 29% 66.357 31% 66.424 36% 39.663 30%

  • 12%

Sw itzerland 43.499 29% 45.072 25% 42.168 19% 41.881 23% 27.636 21%

  • 0%

Angola 4.019 3% 10.414 6% 17.524 8% 17.176 9% 9.765 7%

  • 16%

Russia 4.360 3% 5.293 3% 4.947 2% 5.982 3% 7.111 5% + 86% Thailand 4.068 3% 6.180 3% 7.254 3% 6.409 3% 4.147 3% + 5% Ukraine 4.304 3% 5.621 3% 4.422 2% 4.298 2% 2.217 2%

  • 15%

South Korea 1.948 1% 2.495 1% 4.379 2% 3.386 2% 2.397 2% + 13% U.A.Emirates 2.664 2% 5.888 3% 8.262 4% 1.674 1% 5.626 4% + 378% Taiw an 2.868 2% 7.145 4% 7.941 4% 4.626 2% 2.628 2%

  • 28%

Israel 3.398 2% 1.308 1% 2.654 1% 1.060 1% 440 0%

  • 49%

Norw ay 963 1% 570 0% 1.300 1% 923 0% 346 0%

  • 56%

Libya 40 0% 201 0% 226 0% 363 0% 344 0% + 48% EXTRA EU 25/27 150.173 181.933 217.397 185.050 134.411 % change + 21% + 19%

  • 15%

+ 7,8% 2009 2010 2011 Jan-Aug 13 2012

EU Exports of Eggs:

Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

45.421 44.846 39.663 28.033 27.691 27.636 50.184 32.769 46.090

143.599 124.729 134.411

20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000 Jan-Aug 11 Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13

Total EU Export of Eggs

not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.)

Japan Switzerland Russia Angola Thailand Other origins 30.378 37.549 40.972 37.649 41.060 46.404 7.555 49.235 41.958 56.492

135.499 143.263 166.919

20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000 180.000 Jan-Aug 11 Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13

Total EU Export of Eggs

not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR)

Japan Switzerland Russia Angola Thailand Other origins

EU Egg Exports

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

10 18 23 18 17 27 16 30 69 25 30 39 45 23 30 33 20 35 13 144 164 186 209 231 201 205 191 142 198 198 202 167 187 150 182 217 185 134 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan- Aug 13 in 1000 Tonnes IMPORTS EXPORTS

EU Egg Trade Balance (not including Hatching eggs)

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EU market situation for Eggs Man Com 17 October 2013

50,00 75,00 100,00 125,00 150,00 175,00 200,00 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |

Egg prices of EU, USA and Brazil in €uro/ 100kg

EU egg US egg €uro BR Egg €uro (Ave World)