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2012 National Survey of Canada’s Infrastructure Engineers about Climate Change
Prepared by the Canadian Standards Association, Built Environment for Engineers Canada Engineers Canada
1 Contents 1.0 Introduction 1.1 Background 1.2 Objective 1.3 - - PDF document
1 2012 National Survey of Canadas Infrastructure Engineers about Climate Change Prepared by the Canadian Standards Association, Built Environment for Engineers Canada Engineers Canada 1 Contents 1.0 Introduction 1.1 Background
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Prepared by the Canadian Standards Association, Built Environment for Engineers Canada Engineers Canada
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via e-Newsletter or dedicated email;
– APEGBC – APEGA APEGA – APEGS – APEGM – PEO – OIQ – APENS – APEGNB – Engineers P.E.I. – PEGNL – APEY – NAPEG
S l di i t d th h i d t i ti i l di
– Canadian Water and Wastewater Association, Canadian Public Works Association, CERIU (Quebec), Members of the Public Infrastructure Engineering Vulnerability Committee (PIEVC), and the Expert Working Groups – Limited number of federal and provincial departments
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Jurisdiction Jurisdiction Responses Responses % % Total Total
B.C
224 6.7%
Alberta
565 16.8%
Saskatchewan
470 14.0%
NWT/Nunavut
41 1.2%
Yukon
14 0.4%
Manitoba
193 5.7%
Ontario
1462 43.5%
Quebec
208 6.2%
Nova Scotia
33 1.0%
New Brunswick
39 1.2%
(Note: SK was grouped with the North in 2007)
10 P.E.I.
22 0.7%
Newfoundland/ Labrador
41 1.2%
Not currently practicing
50 1.5%
100%
Industry sector Industry sector Number of Number of respondents respondents % Total Total
Engineering Services
1280 38.1%
Resources (e.g. mining oil and gas
413 12 3%
mining, oil and gas, forestry)
413 12.3%
Utilities (including government utilities)
368 10.9%
Manufacturing
278 8.3%
Municipal Government
226 6.7%
Provincial Government
217 6.5%
11 Government Construction
156 4.6%
Federal Government
102 3.0%
Other
322 9.6%
100%
Infrastructure Infrastructure category category Number of Number of respondents respondents % Total % Total
Energy
678 20 2%
Energy
678 20.2%
Buildings
579 17.2%
Resource extraction and processing
574 17.1%
Water
519 15.4%
Transportation
438 13 0%
12 Transportation
438 13.0%
Other
574 17.1%
100%
Infrastructure Infrastructure category category BC BC (n=224) (n=224) AB AB (n=565) (n=565) MB MB (n=193) (n=193) SK SK (n=470) (n=470) ON ON (n=1462) (n=1462) QC QC (n=208) (n=208) ATL ATL (n=135) (n=135) North North (n=55 (n=55)
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% Total % Total (n=3362) (n=3362) Energy
18% 20% 21% 19% 23% 12% 14% 20% 20%
Buildings
19% 12% 28% 16% 18% 12% 27% 21% 17%
Resources
19% 34% 6% 29% 10% 8% 13% 10% 17%
Water
17% 15% 18% 13% 14% 35% 19% 6% 15%
13 Transportation 11%
10% 19% 9% 14% 22% 11% 34% 13%
Other
16% 10% 8% 13% 23% 12% 16% 11% 17%
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27%
Strongly
A changing climate has Reducing greenhouse I need more information
42% 58% 35% 40% 27% 38%
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree
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A changing climate has already affected or will affect my engineering decisions in the near future. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions would lessen the magnitude of future climate change. I need more information to enable me to address the impacts of a changing climate in my engineering practice.
42% 43% 48% 42% 41% 40% 39% 28% 39% 27% 28% 32% 19% 25%
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree
17 Total (n = 3362) Water (n = 519) Transp’n (n = 438) Energy (n = 678) Bldgs (n = 579) Other (n = 574)
average.
Resources (n = 574)
36%
42% 37% 43% 44% 41% 41% 36% 50% 31% 28% 37% 21% 19% 32% 30% 46% 56%
Strongly agree Somewhat agree
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31%
Total (n=3,362) BC (n=224) AB (n=565) SK (n=470) MB (n=193) ON (n=1,462) QC (n=208) ATL (n=135) North (n=55)
70% 71% 59% 79% 62% 72% 80% 60% 71% 83%
35% 40%
59%
42% 45% 39% 42% 42% 37% 45% 43% 38% 34% 28% 27% 20% 20% 29% 42% 35% 40% 22% 37%
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree
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(n = 1280) Resources (n = 413) Mfg (n = 278) Utilities (n = 368) Fed Gov (n = 102) Constr’n (n = 156)
(n = 226)
Prov Gov (n = 217) Other (n = 322)
43% 48% 38% 36% 34% 41% 44% 29% 45%
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree
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38% 43% 36% 37% 34% 31%
(significantly fewer engineers strongly agree). Total (n = 3362) Water (n = 519) Transp’n (n = 438) Energy (n = 678) Bldgs (n = 579) Other (n = 574) Resources (n = 574)
76% 68% 77% 77% 75% 78% 83% 90%
74% 68%
45% 50% 45% 47% 38% 49% 28% 29% 27% 45% 48% 45% 27% Strongly agree Somewhat agree
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38% 28% 40% 45% 33% 35% 45%
Total (n=3,362) BC (n=224) AB (n=565) SK (n=470) MB (n=193) ON (n=1,462) QC (n=208) ATL (n=135) North (n=55)
76% 71% 79% 77% 80% 80% 84% 74% 80%
38% 38% 39% 49% 46% 38% 39% 26% 46% 40% 43% 31% 38% 37% 49%
63%
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree
22 38% 38% 37% 25% 39% 37% 37% 31%
the national average in believing that reducing GHG emissions will mitigate future CC. Total (n = 3362)
(n = 1280) Resources (n = 413) Mfg (n = 278) Utilities (n = 368) Fed Gov (n = 102) Constr’n (n = 156)
(n = 226) Prov Gov (n = 217) Other (n = 322)
41% 39% 45% 42% 42% 42% 33% 41% 35% 29% 32% 30% 33% Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree
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41% 39% 42% 42% 42% 34%
Total (n = 3362) Water (n = 519) Transp’n (n = 438) Energy (n = 678) Bldgs (n = 579) Other (n = 574) Resources (n = 574)
41% 42% 42% 50% 41% 50% 47% 33% 32% 39% 36% 32% 31% 28% 33% 40% Strongly agree Somewhat agree
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QC engineers express lower need for additional info.
41% 42% 33% 42% 41% 36%
Total (n=3,362) BC (n=224) AB (n=565) SK (n=470) MB (n=193) ON (n=1,462) QC (n=208) ATL (n=135) North (n=55)
74% 72% 71% 79% 62% 76% 75% 69% 79% 78%
41% 41% 41% 37% 43% 40% 40% 38% 43% 40% 33% 35% 30% 25% 29% 39% 35% 41% 35% 29%
62%
Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree
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37% 38%
lower than average need for additional information. Total (n = 3362)
(n = 1280) Resources (n = 413) Mfg (n = 278) Utilities (n = 368) Fed Gov (n = 102) Constr’n (n = 156)
(n = 226) Prov Gov (n = 217) Other (n = 322)
these relate to infrastructure”; (4 point scale)
45% 23% Changes in seasonality and type of Somewhat Very
68%
44% 31% Somewhat Very
75%
34% 39% 43% 37% 43% 45% 14% 18% 20% 21% 25% 23% More frequent and severe water shortages Changes to historical climatic loads such as wind, snow, and ice Changes in freeze/thaw cycles depending on region Changes to peak energy demand magnitudes and seasonality … More frequent and intense storms precipitation
68% 58% 63% 57% 48% 68%
38% 38% 39% 38% 42% 44% 25% 26% 28% 30% 32% 31%
75% 74% 68% 67% 64% 63%
26 26% 28% 33% 12% 14% 16% Sea level rise Thawing permafrost in northern climates Increased coastal and river flooding
49% 42% 38%
34% 33% 36% 24% 26% 26%
62% 59% 58%
43% 17%
Increase the magnitude of design parameters or safety factors
Somewhat Very
60%
38% 15% Somewhat Very
53%
indicate your level of familiarity”; (4 point scale)
39% 38% 38% 34% 32% 21% 12% 17% 13% 11%
safety factors Perform a formal risk assessment and carry out risk management Review existing practices and use entirely new solutions Develop contingency plans for infrastructure failure Identify infrastructure that is at risk because of a changing climate, and retrofit priority assets Consider increased deterioration rates in design and maintenance plans
60% 50% 55% 47% 43%
36% 37% 31% 29% 27% 17% 16% 18% 12% 10%
53% 53% 49% 41% 37%
27 29% 29% 30% 10% 10% 9% Consider different climate change scenarios or models for design, maintenance, or planning Identify locations that may be vulnerable to climate change impacts and avoid them … Design infrastructure that can be modified over time as the impacts of a changing climate occur
39% 39% 39%
27% 26% 26% 9% 9% 7%
36% 35% 33%
engineering decisions?” (4 point scale)
Always consider 10% Mostly consider 18% Sometimes consider 46% Never consider 26% Always consider 9% Mostly consider 18% Sometimes consider 45% Never consider 28% 28
10%
46% 18%
Always consider Mostly consider Sometimes consider
42% 28%
Strongly agree Somewhat agree
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Q7: To what degree do you consider the impacts of a changing climate in your engineering decisions Q4a: A changing climate has already affected or will affect my engineering decisions in the near future.
10% 10% 8% 9% 13% Always consider
74% 85% 76% 76% 75% 66% 67% 46% 49% 48% 48% 45% 45% 39% 18% 26% 20% 19% 17% 13% 17%
8% 11% Mostly consider Sometimes consider
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39%
Total (n=3362) Water (n=519) Transport'n (n=438) Energy (n=678) Bldgs (n=579) Resources (n=574) Other (n=574)
consider
26% 12% 10% 8% 6% 12% 8% 20% 68% 72% 71% 73% 82% 92% 92% 78% 74% 46% 47% 44% 51% 50% 44% 41% 58% 44% 18% 21% 16% 13% 15% 18% 29% 29% 12% 8% 8% 6% 11% Always consider Mostly consider Sometimes consider
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Total (n=3,362) BC (n=224) AB (n=565) SK (n=470) MB (n=193) ON (n=1,462) QC (n=208) ATL (n=135) North (n=55)
impacts of a changing climate?”
41% 59%
Not currently using any adaptation tools or techniques Currently using adaptation
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adaptation tools
43% 16% 15%
Review existing practices and use entirely new solutions Consider increased deterioration rates in design and maintenance plans
tools/techniques; Total national sample, n = 3362
47% 39% 39% 39% 50% 18% 18% 17% 17%
Identify infrastructure that is at risk because of a changing climate and retrofit priority assets Consider different climate change scenarios or models for design, maintenance, or planning Identify locations that may be vulnerable to climate change impacts and avoid them altogether or modify designs accordingly Design infrastructure that can be modified over time as the impacts of a changing climate occur Review existing practices and use entirely new solutions Action Action Familiarity 33
60% 60% 55% 47% 26% 25% 23%
Perform a formal risk assessment and carry out risk management Increase the magnitude of design parameters or safety factors Develop contingency plans for infrastructure failure climate, and retrofit priority assets
61% 51%
engineering practice in the next 12 months?”; (4 point scale)
30% 34% 35% 31% 30% 17% 27% 16% 13% 17% 11% 15% Very likely Somewhat
47% 44% 47% 35% 41%
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30% 30% 24% 26% Total (n=3362) Water (n=519) Transport'n (n=438) Energy (n=678) Bldgs (n=579) Resources (n=574) Other (n=574) likely
7% Online resources (including dedicated websites Peer interaction
engineering practice?”
12% 28% 10% 8% 23% Scholarly articles in engineering publications or Published guidelines and best practices Conferences or webinars Training workshops Online resources (including dedicated websites and/or links to websites) 35 4% 10% 12% Classroom continuing education Online continuing education (e‐Learning) journals
Protocol that evaluates the engineering vulnerability of infrastructure and the risks associated with the impacts of current and future climate change at a screening level; Please indicate your level of familiarity with this tool”
9% 5% 2%
Not at all familiar Not very familiar Somewhat familiar 36
84%
Very familiar
1% 2% 2% 1%
Lack of awareness or familiarity with this tool Unsure of the benefits/value of an
why”
67% 8% 1% 14%
/ engineering vulnerability assessment Lack of training for this tool Unsure how this tool could fit into my practice/job Lack of adequate climate data to use this tool No requirement for an engineering vulnerability assessment Lack of funds to perform an engineering
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67% 3% 2%
Lack of funds to perform an engineering vulnerability assessment Already using other tools and techniques to assess engineering vulnerability I intend to use this tool but have not yet had the opportunity I have already used the PIEVC Engineering Protocol
16%
I am currently addressing the impacts of changing climate on infrastructure
changing climate and its impact on infrastructure?”
7% 12% 18% 4% 1% 6%
Lack of support from clients/owners/management Sceptical attitute towards climate change Lack of requirements in codes, standards, or policy Cost cannot be justified Lack of available time Other 38
17% 5% 13%
A changing climate has no effect on my practice Lack of adequate climate data Lack of information and resources
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– Agreement profiled more towards water infrastructure (82%). Resource extraction/processing engineers consider CC in engineering decisions extraction/processing engineers consider CC in engineering decisions significantly less (59%) than the national average – Agreement is higher in QC, ATL and the North – Agreement is higher in the public sector and lower in the resources and construction sectors – The resources group (new in 2012) does not significantly influence the aggregate results
– Profiled more towards water infrastructure (85%) and less towards resources (66%) – Profiled more towards QC, ATL, and the North and less towards AB
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– Profiled slightly more towards water and transportation infrastructure – Profiled more towards MB (82%) ATL provinces (83%), and the North Profiled more towards MB (82%) ATL provinces (83%), and the North (87%); less towards QC (64%) – Profiled less towards manufacturing engineers (62%)
– Changes in seasonality and type of precipitation (68%); more frequent and intense storms (68%);
These impacts are experienced first hand by most people across the country
population
– Familiarity is generally lower in 2012 than in 2007;
results
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– Adjust designs based on increased safety factors; perform risk analysis/risk management and develop contingencies based on specific needs; design infrastructure with increased flexibility; – Adapt designs based on the newest technical data and research available;
Adapt designs based on the newest technical data and research available; consider economic factors when designing infrastructure; use models to predict climate change impacts and adjust designs accordingly; monitor infrastructure continuously and adjust accordingly; – Expand the scope of planning and preparation; – Take direction from policy‐makers and refer to prevailing codes and regulations; promote information sharing; – Use an infrastructure vulnerability assessment tool such as the PIEVC Protocol; – Avoid infrastructure that is vulnerable; Avoid infrastructure that is vulnerable; – Mitigate climate change through the use of green technologies; design infrastructure for energy efficiency; implement sustainable practices; – Do not use tools or techniques to adapt infrastructure to a changing climate due to skeptical attitude towards climate change;
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