1 17.09.2018 1 18.09.2018 Agenda AMB 2018 in new dimensions Key - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
1 17.09.2018 1 18.09.2018 Agenda AMB 2018 in new dimensions Key figures for the industry Trends and outlook in the industry VDW VDMA Precision Tools Association VDMA Digitalisation & Software Association Q&A
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105,200 m²
(Exhibition space in gross square metres) + 12%
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(Number of exhibitors)
1,553 exhibitors
1,468 exhibitors + 6%
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2018
(Proportion of international exhibitors)
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Autodesk Beckhoff Blum-Novotest Bosch Rexroth BUCCI AUTOMATIONS Carl Zeiss CERATIZIT CHIRON GROUP Citizen Machinery DANOBAT DMG MORI Doosan EMAG EMCO EMUGE-WERK FANUC Festo FFG Group GF Machining Solutions GROB-WERKE Gühring Haas Automation Haimer
Berthold Hermle Paul Horn Huron INDEX-Werke ISCAR KASTO Kennametal Franz Kessler KOMET GROUP Liebherr Verzahntechnik LMT Tool Systems MAG IAS MAPAL Mikron Missler Software Mitsubishi Electric Europe Mitsubishi materials corporation NILES-SIMMONS- HEGENSCHEIDT OSG PAMA Reishauer Rettificatrici Ghiringhelli Röhm Sandvik Coromant SCHUNK SECO TOOLS Siemens SMEC SORALUCE Starrag Sumitomo Schwäbische Werkzeugmaschinen TORNOS United Grinding Group Walter Yamazaki Mazak YG-1 …
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Digitalisation Association
Reutlingen)
Extract from the Congress programme
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GEWATEC Lernfabrik ELABO Smart Factory
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Key topics
with process reliability
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Combine strengths, use synergies
polymechanics in Hall 6 Objective: 2019 World Championships
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Vogel Business Media: MM Award Konradin Verlag: mav – Art meets technology Day of Energy Efficiency & Lightweight Construction Day Mechanical Engineering Youth Foundation MI-Verlag: fertigung – Lathe Operator of the Year 2018 VDMA Technology Forum
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+ Biggest AMB ever + Over 1,553 exhibitors – every world market leader in Stuttgart with even more machine exhibits + DIGITAL WAY -Congress with an accompanying exhibition: digital paths in production + Showcases: hands-on digitalisation
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Stuttgart, 18 September 2018
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Order Intake German Machine Tool Industry Firework of domestic orders, foreign orders continue to grow
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference |
Index, nominal, moving average (12 months) 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Domestic orders
Foreign orders
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2018 2000 1999 2004 2006 2008 2010 2002 2015 2016 2017
2016 2017 Jan-Jun 18 Total +7% +8% +12% Domestic 0% +10% +34% Foreign +10% +7% +3% thereof Euro countries +7% +12% +11%
Note: index basis shipments 2015=100, data up to June 2018, Sources: associations‘ statistics, VDMA, VDW
| page 21
Order Intake German Machine Tool Industry High momentum in Europe and America
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference |
24 31
15 14
Asia Europe America 1st half 2018 2017
Sources: VDW associations‘ statistics
Foreign orders by regions (% to previous year)
| page 22
Machine Tool Exports Germany Europe supports the export growth
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference |
1118 629 276 220 188 185 184 174 163 137 132 129 128 99 95
China USA Italy Poland Austria France Switzerland Czech Republic Mexico Spain Russia United Kingdom Netherlands Hungary India 1H 2018 1H 2017
7 8 42 10
7 15
10 6
18 3
% 1st half 2018/17 Top 15 trade partners, 1st half 2018, mill. EUR
Total: 5,0 Mrd. EUR, +3% Europe: +4% America: +1% Asia: +4%
Note: machine tools incl. parts/accessories, Sources: Federal Statistical Office, VDW, VDMA
| page 23
Capacity Utilization in the German Machine Tool Industry Industry almost fully utilized
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference |
50 60 70 80 90 100 % 92 94 99 98 00 02 04 06 08 93 96 95 97 01 03 05 07 09 July 2018: 93,2% 10 11 91 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
long-term average (87%)
Note: in % of normal operating full capacity utilization (data for Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct), Source: ifo institute Munich
| page 24
Employees in the German Machine Tool Industry Number of employees significantly increased
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference |
66,0 61,1 62,0 65,0 66,8 67,4 68,5 69,0 70,9 72,6
55 60 65 70 75 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 55 60 65 70 75
June 2018 = 73,4 thousands (+4,9% to previous year)
10 09 11 12 13 14 15 16
(+3,2%)
17 18
Jan-Jun
Yearly average (in thousands) Monthly figures (in thousands)
Note: companies with 50 employees and more Sources: Federal Statistical Office, VDW, VDMA
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Business Climate Investment Goods Industry Germany Trade conflicts cause uncertainty
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference |
20 40 60 Climate Situation Expectations 2005 2007 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2018 2006 2008 2010 2004 2015 2016 2017 %-Balance*
* %-Balance of positive and negative company reports (Climate = average of business situation and business expectations for 6 months) Note: data until July 2018, Source: ifo-institute Munich
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Purchasing Manager Index Eurozone Indicators remain in the growth area but indicate less dynamics
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference |
Index 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 Eurozone Germany 2009 2010 2018 2014 2013 2012 2011 2015 2016
Note: Vales over 50 indicate growth, data until July 2018, Source: Markit
2017
| page 27
Machine Tool Production Germany Industry sets new production records
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference |
8,6 9,2 10,3 9,6 9,1 9,6 10,4 10,8 12,6 14,2 10,2 9,9 12,9 14,2 14,6 14,5 15,1 15,0 16,0 17,1
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
2018 Forecast
+31% +10% +3%
+4% +7%
+7%
Note: since 1995 including installation, since 2002 including repair/maintenance Sources: Federal Statistical Office, VDW, VDMA
| page 28
Industrial Production and Machine Tool Consumption 2018 as a strong year of growth
18.09.2018 AMB | Press Conference | * Change rates base on values in euro, Source: Oxford Economics, April/June 2018
1,3 1,0 1,5 2,8 2,4 1,5 0,9 1,8 3,3 3,0 1 2 3 4 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Industrial production % to previous year 7,5 9,8
9,0 8,0
6,4 1,1 1,7 9,0
2 4 6 8 10 12 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Machine Tool Consumption % to previous year* Europe Germany
| page 29
Trade disputes between the USA and China are affecting the machine tool business. US punitive tariffs on Chinese imports impact on a wide range of machine tools. German manufacturers producing in China for the US market are directly affected. Customs duties are also affecting global sourcing. The German automotive industry, which produces for the USA in China, is particularly vulnerable.
18.9.2018 AMB | Opening Press Conference |
Photo: fotolia, fotogestoeber
Punitive tariffs in United States Impact on machine tool manufacturers
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machines to higher-level IT systems
19 September 2018, 10:30, Room C4.2 VDW Initiative at the AMB Stand DW088 on the Digital Way
18.9.2018 AMB | Opening Press Conference |
VDW Industry Project Connectivity for Industry 4.0
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Integrated training and qualification system for trainees, trainers and vocational college teachers, including training materials, e-learning programs, learning videos and webinars Further training in digital manufacturing processes project Web-based learning and working platform MLS Development of an innovation and transfer network in Baden-Württemberg Negotiations with NRW about further training for vocational college teachers and trainers Special Youth Show at the AMB: East Entrance (Eingang Ost) foyer
18.9.2018 AMB | Opening Press Conference |
Photo: Deutsche Messe
Training for Industry 4.0
| page 32 18.9.2018 AMB | Opening Press Conference |
Club of Metalworking An initiative by VDW
Around 2,000 members already enjoying exclusive benefits: Free admission Free public transport Member card Exclusive newsletter Easy access Free cloakroom Lounge Expert community (manufacturers, users, scientists)
Stuttgart, 18 September 2018
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VDMA
Stuttgart, 18 September 2018
Precision tools
VDMA |
Production value of precision tools
Precision tools VDMA |
In billions of Euro Source: German Federal Statistical Office, forecast for 2018 by the VDMA 8.5 6.3 7.0 8.4 8.7 8.7 9.3 9.6 9.9 10.8 11.3 2 4 6 8 10 12 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Forecast
VDMA |
1,2 1,5 1,9 2,0 2,0 2,1 2,9 3,1 3,4 3,6 3,2 3,7 4,5 4,7 4,9 5,1 6,1 6,3 7,1 7,2
0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0 8,0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Length measurement technology Measurement and testing technology
Length measurement technology, development of the production value
in billions of Euro (Forecast)
Length measurement technology Page 37 | 18.09.2018
Source: German Federal Statistical Office / Forecast for 2018 by the VDMA
VDMA
AMB 2018
130 member companies as exhibitors
» Metal cutting » Clamping technology » Measurement technology
Large number of new developments will be presented VDMA Technology Forum on the VDMA stand, Hall 1
» From Wednesday to Friday » > 30 live talks for main user industries
Page 38 | 17.09.2018 Precision tools
Source: VDMA Source: VDMA
VDMA
AMB 2018
VDMA Industry Meeting
» 20 September 2018 ‒ 12:30 to 14:30 ‒ VDMA stand B50, Hall 1 » Entrepreneurs and press
Page 39 | 17.09.2018 Precision tools
Source: VDMA Source: VDMA
VDMA
Challenges
Annual Press Conference in January 2018
» Collective bargaining negotiations » Raw material prices » Global political situation
Page 40 | 17.09.2018 Precision tools
Source: shutterstock Source: shutterstock
Precision tools Page 41 | 17.09.2018
Market access conditions on the most important export markets in 2018
Green: easy access to markets Yellow: medium ease of access to markets Red: difficult access to markets
VDMA
Free trade
Free trade is vital for our lives.
» Our economic strength and, thus, our prosperity depend on free trade. » Without free trade we could not export the products manufactured in Germany – and millions of jobs would be lost here.
The increase in prosperity in many countries throughout the world would not have been possible without free trade. VDMA Free Trade Bar in Hall 1
Page 42 | 17.09.2018 Precision tools
Source: VDMA Source: VDMA Source: VDMA
VDMA |
Electric mobility
Technological change
» New automobile concepts are being presented ‒ Battery electric vehicles ‒ Plug-in hybrids ‒ Mild hybrids ‒ Fuel cells
New challenges for metal cutting
» Higher accuracy ‒ Noise » New materials ‒ From aircraft manufacturing: aluminium-lithium
Positive for tool construction and mouldmaking
» Charging infrastructure
Page 43 | 17.09.2018 Precision tools
Source: shutterstock Source: shutterstock
VDMA |
Process optimisation (automation)
Robot technology is increasing
» Tool changing » Workpiece changing » Processing
Traceability (track and trace) Marking of tools (identification)
» Data matrix code » RFID
Page 44 | 17.09.2018 Precision tools
Source: shutterstock Source: shutterstock
VDMA |
Digitalisation
Sensor-integrated tools and clamping devices
» Recording, processing and transmission of measured values in the ongoing process » Data analysis leads to an automatic control process in real time
Digital twin
» Process simulation » Exchange of tool data
Interface
» Compatibility
Tool management
» Cloud solutions
Page 45 | 17.09.2018 Precision tools
Source: shutterstock Source: shutterstock
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VDMA
Rainer Glatz VDMA Software and Digitalisation Association
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
VDMA
Top 10 IT investment priorities in mechanical engineering up to 2020
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=93
Placement 2016 5 10 6 19 12
22 4 25
The top 3 investment areas from 2016 have changed to the following places: Editing systems/CMS (27th place); machine data logging (12th place) and e-learning (11th place)
38% 27% 24% 23% 22% 20% 19% 19% 19% 17%
Electronic spare parts catalogues / online… Business intelligence Customer relationship management Manufacturing execution systems Service / customer service Applicant management / recruiting Variant configurators Electronic data interchange (EDI) Document management systems Quality management
VDMA
High to very high importanc e 29% Medium importance 21% Limited importance 25% Not important 25%
Evaluation of IT trends for mechanical engineering IoT platforms
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
How important are IoT platforms for your company? What applications are in use? (Selection)
Service / maintenance
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=92; multiple nominations possible
Development
Sales
Production
VDMA
High to very high importance 20% Medium importance 28% Limited importance 23% Not important 29%
Evaluation of IT trends for mechanical engineering Virtual / augmented / mixed reality
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
How important are VR / AR / MR for your company? What applications are in use? (Selection)
Service / maintenance
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=92; multiple nominations possible
Development
Sales
VDMA
High to very high importance 20% Medium importance 28% Limited importance 23% Not important 29%
Evaluation of IT trends for mechanical engineering Big data (analytics)
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
How important are big data (analytics) for your company? What applications are in use?
Service / maintenance
Production
Logistics @
Marketing
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=93; multiple nominations possible
VDMA
High to very high importance 10% Medium importanc e… Limited importance 27% Not important 38%
Evaluation of IT trends for mechanical engineering Machine learning / AI
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
How important is machine learning/ AI to your company? What applications are in use?
Service / maintenance
Production
Logistics @
Marketing
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=92; multiple nominations possible
VDMA
VDMA Software and Digitalisation in the special show "Digital Way" 18 and 19 September 2018
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
Digital simulation in product lifecycle management 18.09.2018 09:30 – 11:00 Augmented and virtual reality 18.09.2018 14:30 – 16:00 The platform economy in mechanical engineering 19.09.2018 09:30 – 11:00 Machine learning 19.09.2018 11:00 – 12:30 Digital transformation – how small and medium-sized companies are successfully implementing the digital transformation 19.09.2018 14:30 – 16:00 + Air hockey demonstrator on the stand of the VDMA Software and Digitalisation Association in Hall 2, B 52
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