YEAR RESULTS ANALYST CALL PRESENTATION 2016 HALF-YEAR HIGHLIGHTS - - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
YEAR RESULTS ANALYST CALL PRESENTATION 2016 HALF-YEAR HIGHLIGHTS - - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2016 HALF- YEAR RESULTS ANALYST CALL PRESENTATION 2016 HALF-YEAR HIGHLIGHTS - Financial results confirming FY forecast: 1H 2016 1H 2015 FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2014 Per share (EUR) Actual Actual Forecast Actual Actual Net current result
2016 HALF-YEAR HIGHLIGHTS
- Financial results confirming FY forecast:
- 2016 forecasted gross dividend: 5.50 EUR per ordinary share
- Continued investment programme:
- Acquisition of 2 healthcare assets in Germany: 39 million EUR
- Agreements for the extension of 3 healthcare assets in Belgium & France: 16 million EUR
- Acquisition of an of
- ffi
fice build buildin ing in Brussels: 31 million EUR
- Realised investments since the May 2015 capital increase: 171 million EUR
(healthcare: 120 million EUR; offices: 47 million EUR)
- Pipeline of committed investments for the period 01.07.2016 – 31.12.2018 : 308 million EUR
(healthcare: 117 million EUR; offices: 179 million EUR)
- Conditional sale of the Souverain/Vorst 25 office building (Brussels Decentralised):
- Property transfer at the earliest at the departure of the current tenant AXA (August 2017)
- Reconversion by Cofinimmo of the Souverain/Vorst 23 building into residential
Per share (EUR) 1H 2016 Actual 1H 2015 Actual FY 2016 Forecast FY 2015 Actual FY 2014 Actual Net current result (excl. IAS 39) - Group share (EPRA Earnings) 2.86 3.35 6.19 6.46 6.70 Result on the portfolio - Group share 0.58
- 0.38
n/a 0.32
- 2.06
Net result (incl. IAS 39) - Group share 1.65 3.04 n/a 5.23
- 2.93
EPRA NNNAV 90.96
- n/a
90.93 88.66 2
COMPANY PROFILE
Wo Woluw uwe e 58 off ffice e building ng – Brus usse sels (BE): : Cofi
- fini
nimmo
- head
adqua uarters
TWO COMPLEMENTARY CORE SEGMENTS
Long-term presence in both core segments & strong internal expertise HEALTHCARE REAL ESTATE - driven by demography
- Acquisitions in new markets (Netherlands & Germany)
- Greenfield projects in more mature markets (Belgium & France)
- Further diversification per country, per medical specialty and per
- perator
OFFICES - driven by economics
- Comprehensive & pro-active local operating platform
- Renovation program to upgrade quality
- Reconversion to alternative uses (residential, healthcare)
- Arbitrage within a portfolio kept above critical size
4
PORTFOLIO AT 30.06.2016
Portfolio breakdown by segment (in fair value): Portfolio breakdown by country (in fair value):
Belgium 73% France 16% Netherlands 8% Germany 3% Healthcare real estate 44% Offices 38% Property of distribution networks 17% Others 1%
Portfolio fair value: 3,234 million EUR
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SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE
Number of shares Percentage
- f total
shares Crédit Agricole Group 1,058,265 5.0% Cofinimmo Group 46,499 0.2% Others 19,925,984 94.7% Total 21,030,748 100.0%
Declared shareholders: Shareholder structure (estimate at 30.06.2016):
Retail investors 11.0% Private banking 14.4% Insurance companies 11.6% Pension funds 1.7% Sovereign fund 1.1% Investment funds 18.7% Own shares 0.2% Unknown 41,3% 6
STOCK PERFORMANCE
1H 2016 Total return of the Cofinimmo share: +11 %
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PROPERTY PORTFOLIO
Me Medi dical al off ffice buildi ding ng Stijp jp-Z Z – Eind ndhov
- ven
en (NL NL)
LONG AVERAGE LEASE MATURITY
Long residual lease length -> high visibility of income
Average lease maturity (in years):
19.6 4.7 13.4 26.6 4.0 14.3 5.8 10.2 5 10 15 20 25 30 Healthcare BE Healthcare FR Healthcare NL Healthcare DE Offices Pubstone (AB Inbev) Cofinimur I (MAAF) Total 9
RESILIENT OCCUPANCY, QUALITY TENANTS
Occupancy rate: Top 10 tenants (as % of rental income - LHS) and lease maturity (in years - RHS):
99.2% 89.6% 98.6% 94.9% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Healthcare real estate Offices Property of distribution networks Total 15.5% 13.7% 10.9% 6.1% 5.4% 4.2% 3.7% 3.6% 3.1% 2.0% 5 10 15 20 25 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 10
STABLE PORTFOLIO VALUATION
Gross/net yields: Like-for-like portfolio growth vs. 31.12.2015 (in fair value):
6.2% 8.1% 6.5% 7.0% 6.1% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% Healthcare Offices Distribution networks Total Gross yield Net yield 2.7%
- 2.4%
1.1% 0.4%
- 3,0%
- 2,0%
- 1,0%
0,0% 1,0% 2,0% 3,0% Healthcare Offices Distribution networks Total
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HEALTHCARE SEGMENT
Arcus us nursi sing g home – Brus ussel els (BE)
STRONG GROWTH AMBITIONS
GERMANY Care & cure market (skilled nursing homes, rehabilitation clinics) NETHERLANDS Care & cure market (care of elderly or disabled, acute care clinics, medical
- ffice buildings)
BELGIUM Care market (skilled nursing homes: greenfield projects) FRANCE Care market (skilled nursing homes, revalidation & psychiatric clinics)
Targeted initial rental yields > 5.5 %
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HEALTHCARE PORTFOLIO AT 30.06.2016
Fair value of healthcare portfolio: 1,419 million EUR Strategic diversification by country and care specialty
- > no dependency on one single social security system
Portfolio breakdown by country (in fair value): Portfolio breakdown by care specialty (in fair value):
Belgium 56% France 28% Germany 7% Netherlands 9% 66.8% 12.9% 6.9% 4.0% 3.5% 2.8%2.6%0.5% Skilled nursing facilities Revalidation clinics Wellness Psychiatric clinics Elderly care clinics Assisted living Specialised clinics Disabled care facilities 14
ACQUISITIONS IN GERMANY & THE NETHERLANDS
Residence Calau Brandenburg (Germany) Clinic Kaiser Karl Bonn (Germany)
Acquisition of an operational revalidation clinic Surface area: 15,500 m² Investment: 30.0 million EUR Operator: Eifelhöhen-Klinik AG Lease: 25 years – “double net” Acquisition* of an newly built skilled nursing facility Surface area: 4,600 m² Investment: 9.1 million EUR Operator: M.E.D. Gesellschaft für Altenpflege mbH Lease: 25 years – “double net”
Initial rental yields: between 6.0 % and 8.0 %
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Acquisition of a care centre for elderly people, under construction Surface area: 2,140 m² Investment: 3.4 million EUR Operator: Martha Flora Lease: 20 years - “double net”
Bavel Centre Bavel (Netherlands)
* Event after 30.06.2016.
GREENFIELD PROJECTS IN BELGIUM & FRANCE
Residence Zonnewende Aartselaar (Belgium) Residence Millegem Ranst (Belgium)
Delivery of the extension works of a skilled nursing facility Extra surface area: 1,440 m² Extra beds: 29 Investment: 2.7 million EUR Operator: Armonea Lease: 27 years – NNN Agreement for the renovation and extension of a rehabilitation clinic Extra surface area: +2,214 m² Extra beds: +60 Investment: 6.8 million EUR Operator: Inicea Lease: 12 years – NN
Domaine de Vontes Esvres-sur-Indre (France)
Agreement for the renovation and extension of a skilled nursing facility Extra surface area: +3,500 m² Extra beds: +13 service flats Investment: 6.6 million EUR Operator: Senior Living Group Lease: 20 years – NNN
Residence De Nootelaer Keerbergen (Belgium)
Agreement for the renovation and extension of a skilled nursing facility Extra surface area: +500 m² Extra beds: +2 Investment: 2.7 million EUR Operator: Senior Living Group Lease: 27 years – NNN
Initial rental yields: between 6.0 % and 6.5 %
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OFFICE SEGMENT
Off ffice e buildi ding g Gu Guimard d 10-12 12 - Brus ussel els (BE) E)
OFFICE PORTFOLIO AT 30.06.2016
Fair value of office portfolio: 1,246 million EUR Mainly Brussels CBD and decentralised areas 23 % let to public tenants
Portfolio breakdown by district (in fair value): Portfolio breakdown by tenant type (in fair value):
Brussels CBD 34% Brussels Decentra- lised 40% Brussels Periphery/ Satellites 11% Antwerp 6% Other regions 9% BE public sector 13%
- Intl. public
sector 10% Others 77% 18
ACQUISITION IN STRATEGIC LOCATION
Arts/Kunst 46 Brussels CBD
Surface area: 11,516 m² Investment: 31 million EUR Average occupancy: 83 % Average residual lease term: 5.5 yrs Rental yield: 6.2 % Rental yield at 100 % occupancy: 7.5 %
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RENOVATIONS IN STRATEGIC LOCATIONS
- Guimard 10-12 (10,800m²)
- Brussels CBD
- Renovation of offices
- End of works: 3Q2015
- Budget of works: 14.8 million EUR
- 100 % let, mainly to Bank Degroof Petercam
- Belliard 40 (20,000m²)
- Brussels CBD
- Demolition of current property and
construction of new building
- BREEAM certificate ‘Excellent’ aimed
- Expected end of works: 3Q2017
- Budget of works: 44 million EUR
- Marketing underway
Office building Belliard 40 – Brussels (BE) Projected situation after works Off ffice e buildi ding g Gu Guimard 10 10-12 12 – Brus ussels (BE)
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RECONVERSIONS TO MAXIMIZE CAPITAL RECOVERY
- Woluwe 106-108 (7,000m²)
- Brussels Decentralized
- Reconversion into nursing home
- Signature of 27-year lease with
healthcare operator Vivalto
- Planning permission under progress
- Expected end of works: 3Q2017
- Budget of works: 13 million EUR
- Yield on cost: 5.88 %
Nursing home Woluwe 106-108 – Brussels (BE) Projected situation after works
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REDEVELOPMENT OF AXA SITE
- Brussels Decentralized
- AXA to vacate site in August 2017
- Tenreuken (9,000 m²)
- Residential development
- Apartments will be put up for sale
- Planning permission under progress
- Souverain/Vorst 25 (38,500 m²)
- Sales agreement signed with foreign
government, subject to prior administrative approvals
- Souverain/Vorst 23 (+/- 20,000 m²)
- Reconversion into residential
- Apartments will be put up for sale
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Nu Nursi sing ng home De Ni Nieuw euwe Seigne gneur urie – Rumbek beke (Bel elgium um)
FINANCIAL RESULTS
POSITIVE LIKE-FOR-LIKE RENTAL GROWTH
Like-for-like rental growth breakdown by segment: Like-for-like rental growth breakdown by transaction type:
* Gross Rental Revenues
GRR* in MEURGRR* in MEUR Growth LFL Growth 30.06.2016 30.06.2015 Healthcare 43.5 42.9 1.4% 0.9% Offices 38.3 38.7
- 1.0%
0.2% Distribution networks 18.8 18.9
- 0.2%
0.1% Others 1.0 1.0 1.2% 1.2% TOTAL 101.7 101.5 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5%
- 1.8%
- 0.3%
0.5%
- 3%
- 2%
- 1%
0% 1% 2% 3% Indexation New lettings Departures Renegociations Total
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RESULTS ON 30.06.2016
Net current result (excl. IAS 39 impact*) – Group share: 2.86 EUR/share Result on portfolio – Group share: 0.58 EUR/share Net result (incl. IAS 39 impact*) – Group share: 1.65 EUR/share
* The IAS 39 impact includes the costs related to the restructuration of hedging instruments and the revaluation of financial instruments. ** Number of shares: 20,984,249 as at 30.06.2016 versus 18,783,949 as at 30.06.2015 (+11,7 %)
(in MEUR) Per share (in EUR)** 30.06.2016 30.06.2015 30.06.2016 30.06.2015 Operating result 79.8 86.3 3.80 4.59 Net current result (excl. IAS 39) - Group share 60.0 63.0 2.86 3.35 IAS 39 impact
- 37.5
1.2
- 1.79
0.07 Net current result - Group share 22.5 64.1 1.07 3.42 Result on portfolio - Group share 12.1
- 7.1
0.58
- 0.38
Net result - Group share 34.6 57.1 1.65 3.04 25
EPRA FINANCIAL KPI’S ON 30.06.2016
Conversion of IFRS NAV to EPRA (NN)NAV: 26
30.06.2016 30.06.2015 EPRA Earnings 2.86 3.35 EPRA Diluted Earnings 2.84 3.35 30.06.2016 31.12.2015 EPRA Net Asset Value (NAV) 94.61 93.34 EPRA Adjusted Net Asset Value (NNNAV) 90.96 90.93 EPRA Net Initial Yield (NIY) 6.0% 6.0% EPRA Vacancy Rate 4.9% 5.2% EPRA Cost ratio (cost of vacancy excluded) 21.9% 17.7% (in MEUR) Per share NAV per the financial statements 1,787.5 85.18 Effect of exercise of options, convertibles and other equity interests 229.6 Fair value of financial leases 65.9 EPRA NNNAV 2,083.0 90.96 Fair value of financial instruments 117.7 5.14 Deferred tax in goodwill
- 34.1
- 1.49
EPRA NAV 2,166.5 94.61
Souver erai ain/Vor Vorst 24 off ffice buildi ding ng - Brus ussel els (BE)
FINANCIAL RESOURCES
SOLID DEBT METRICS
Average cost of debt and debt maturity: Breakdown of debt (in MEUR):
30.06.2016 31.12.2015 Debt ratio 42.1% 38.6% Average debt (in MEUR) 1,272.2 1,459.0 Average cost of debt 2.7% 2.9% Average debt maturity (in years) 4.6 5.3 ICR (excl. hedging restructuration) 4.50 4.14
4.2% 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 2.9% 2.7% 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.4 5.3 4.6 3 3,5 4 4,5 5 5,5 6 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H2016 Average cost of debt Average debt maturity (in years) 483 35% 426 30% 197 14% 300 21% Bank facilities Non convertible bonds & long-term commercial paper Convertible bonds Short-term commercial paper & others
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WELL-SPREAD DEBT MATURITIES
Debts maturing in 2016 -> 2018 + 60 % of debts maturing in 2019 already refinanced
Debt maturities & refinancing at 30.06.2016: 29
173 171 274 211 139 445 100 204 100 146 10 200 20
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Refinanced Bank facilities Capital markets
INTEREST RATE HEDGING
Over 70 % of debt is fixed or hedged until 2020
Notional amount of hedged debt (in MEUR) and weighed average strike rate: 30 1.44% 1.44% 2.35% 2.33% 1.96% 2.33% 2.40% 0% 1% 2% 3% 200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Notional amount (in MEUR) Weighted average rate
Off ffice e buildi ding g Souver erain/Vor Vorst 25 – Brus ussel els (BE)
INVESTMENT PIPELINE & FORECAST
2016-2018 INVESTMENT TARGET
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Target by end 2018:
+308 million EUR of committed investments (pipeline) +400 million EUR of acquisitions
- 150 million EUR of divestments
308 MEUR Committed 250 MEUR Uncommitted
Breakdown of portfolio at 30.06.2016 2016-2018 Committed pipeline (in MEUR) 2016-2018 potential scenario: Uncommitted acquisitions (in MEUR) 2016-2018 potential scenario: Uncommitted disposals (in MEUR) Breakdown of portfolio at 31.12.2018 Healthcare real estate 44% 117 400
- 50
50% Offices 39% 179
- 100
35% Acquisitions 60 Refurbishment 76 Reconversion 43
- 100
Others 18% 12 15% Total 100% 308 400
- 150
100%
2016-2018 INVESTMENT PIPELINE
Healthcare real estate: 116.7 million EUR, of which:
- Belgium: 29.9 million EUR (incl. reconversion of Woluwe 106-108)
- France: 10.3 million EUR
- Netherlands: 31.0 million EUR
- Germany: 45.5 million EUR (incl. acquisition of Calau nursing home)
307.7 million EUR of committed investments for the period 01.07.2016 – 31.12.2018
Offices: 179.1 million EUR, of which:
⁻
Arts/Kunst 19H: 21.3 million EUR
⁻
Belliard 40: 44.0 million EUR
⁻
Tenreuken: 17.8 million EUR 50 6 23 38 67 8 44 60 1 3 5 3 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 2017 2018 Healthcare real estate Offices Property of distribution networks 33
2016 FORECAST
Actual 2014 Actual 2015 Forecast 2016 EPS 6.70 EUR 6.46 EUR 6.19 EUR DPS 5.50 EUR 5.50 EUR 5.50 EUR Number of shares 17,971,494 19,888,379 20,980,112 Pay-out ratio 82.1 % 85.1 % 88.9 % Debt ratio 48.1 % 38.6 % < 50 %
Net current result (excl. IAS 39 impact): 6.19 EUR/share Gross dividend: 5.50 EUR/ordinary share Target debt ratio < 50 % Cost of debt < 3 %
2016 Forecast based on committed pipeline 2016-2018, excluding new acquisitions
34
Souver erai ain/Vor Vorst 24 off ffice buildi ding ng – Brus ussel els (BE)
APPENDICES
APPENDIX 1: PROPERTY OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS
- Pubstone (2007): Sale & leaseback of pubs/restaurants portfolio with AB InBev
- 779 pubs in BE and 243 pubs in NL
- 1 tenant : AB InBev – no direct relationship with pub operators
- Fixed rents, indexed to CPI
- Initial net yield: 6.15% - Initial lease length: 23 years
- At 30.06.2016:
⁻ Fair value: 422.3 million EUR ⁻
Gross yield: 6.5 %
⁻
Occupancy rate: 98.9 %
⁻
56 pubs sold since acquisition, with average realized gain of 29 %
- Cofinimur I (2011): Sale & leaseback of insurance branches portfolio with MAAF
- 280 insurance branches in FR
- 1 tenant : MAAF – no direct relationship with agency operators
- Fixed rents, indexed to index of commercial leases (ILC)
- Initial net yield: 6.18% - Initial lease length: 9.7 years
- At 30.06.2016:
⁻ Fair value: 119.9 million EUR ⁻
Gross yield: 6.3 %
⁻
Occupancy rate: 97.3 %
⁻
9 agencies sold since acquisition, with average realized gain of 2.7%
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APPENDIX 2: BALANCE SHEET
37
APPENDIX 3: INCOME STATEMENT
38
APPENDIX 4: SHAREHOLDER CALENDAR
39
DISCLAIMER
- This presentation is directed to financial analysts and institutional investors and
is not to be considered as an incentive to invest or as an offer to acquire Cofinimmo shares. The information herein is extracted from Cofinimmo annual and half-yearly reports and press releases but does not reproduce the whole content of these documents. Only the French annual and half-yearly reports and press releases form legal evidence.
- For more information contact:
Valérie Kibieta Ellen Grauls Head of External Communication Investor Relations Manager & Investor Relations T +32 (0)2 373 94 21 T +32 (0)2 373 60 36 egrauls@cofinimmo.be vkibieta@cofinimmo.be www.cofinimmo.com
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