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What Next for US Business After Wh t N t f US B i Aft the Elections? Mayer Brown, Webinar David McIntosh, Partner Former Member of Congress November 8, 2012 Carolyn Osolinik, Partner Former Chief Counsel, Senate Judiciary Committee Senate


  1. What Next for US Business After Wh t N t f US B i Aft the Elections? Mayer Brown, Webinar David McIntosh, Partner Former Member of Congress November 8, 2012 Carolyn Osolinik, Partner Former Chief Counsel, Senate Judiciary Committee Senate Judiciary Committee Mayer Brown is a global legal services provider comprising legal practices that are separate entities (the "Mayer Brown Practices"). The Mayer Brown Practices are: Mayer Brown LLP and Mayer Brown Europe ‐ Brussels LLP both limited liability partnerships established in Illinois USA; Mayer Brown International LLP, a limited liability partnership incorporated in England and Wales (authorized and regulated by the Solicitors Regulation Authority and registered in England and Wales number OC 303359); Mayer Brown, a SELAS established in France; Mayer Brown JSM, a Hong Kong partnership and its associated entities in Asia; and Tauil & Chequer Advogados, a Brazilian law partnership with which Mayer Brown is associated. "Mayer Brown" and the Mayer Brown logo are the trademarks of the Mayer Brown Practices in their respective jurisdictions.

  2. Speakers David McIntosh David McIntosh Carolyn Osolinik Carolyn Osolinik Washington DC Washington DC +1 202 263 3265 +1 202 263 3281 cosolinik@mayerbrown.com dmcintosh@mayerbrown.com

  3. 2012 Elections at a Glance: President

  4. 2012 Elections at a Glance: Congress = Split Power Senate –Democrats Expand Majority Democrats 55 Republicans 45 House –Republicans Maintain Solid Majority Democrats 192 To Close to Call Republicans 234 9

  5. Major Issues Put Off Until After Elections – Lame Duck Session Fiscal Cliff – Potential impact on clients • Taxes: Expiration current rates (income/dividend/capital gains) $221B Partial expense invest property $65B Payroll Tax cut $95B • Spending: S di Sequester Defense/Domestic $65B Unemployment Benefits 29 months Unemployment Benefits 29 months $26B $26B Doc Fix $11B

  6. Major Issues Put Off Until After Elections – Lame Duck Session • Russian Free Trade Agreement Trade Agreement xxx xxx • Law of Sea Treaty • Student Loan Issues • Cybersecurity • Mortgage debt reduction tax forgiveness extension forgiveness extension xxx xxx xxx xxx

  7. No Consensus on Priorities or Process for “Fiscal Cliff” • O PTIONS  Grand Plan  New Super Committee  6 ‐ 12 month Extension Extension  Do Nothing

  8. Big impact for Business: Tax extenders and pay fors Tax extenders and “pay ‐ fors” No one is Talking Specifics Possible examples include:  Oil & Gas Depletion Allowances/Expensing rules  Oil & G D l ti All /E i l  LIFO  Treatment of Insurance Industry Reserves  R & E Tax Credit & Expenditure Expensing p p g  Accelerated Depreciation  Treatment of Foreign Source Income  Treatment of Foreign Source Income

  9. REGULATIONS  House Financial Services Committee calls for delay on many Dodd Frank regulations many Dodd ‐ Frank regulations  Senator Roberts (Ag Ranking Member) calls for hearings after the election on CFTC Derivatives Rule after the election on CFTC Derivatives Rule  Senator Lieberman calls for legislation to authorize the President to request regulatory analysis of proposed rules President to request regulatory analysis of proposed rules of CFPB and other independent bureaus  Affordable Care Act

  10. 113 th Congress – Major Unfinished Business  Comprehensive Tax Reform  Immigration Reform  Energy Policy Reform  Higher Education Financing

  11. Questions? Contact Information • David McIntosh dmcintosh@mayerbrown com dmcintosh@mayerbrown.com +1 202 263 3281 • Carolyn Osolinik cosolinik@mayerbrown.com +1 202 263 3265

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