WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN FOR TOBACCO CONTROL? Ken Warner University - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

THE END GAME OR A NEW GAME – – WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN FOR TOBACCO CONTROL? Ken Warner University of Michigan School of Public Health Prepared for the UCSF Triangulum, San Francisco, May 26, 2016

Adults (>17 y.o.) (NHIS) Year Current smoker Change (%) from last year (%) 2005 20.9 0 Recent 2006 20.8 -0.5 decreases in 2007 19.7 -5.3 adult 2008 20.5 +4.1 cigarette 2009 20.6 +0.5 smoking 2010 19.4 -5.8 2011 18.9 -2.6 2012 18.0 -4.8 2013 17.8 -1.1 2014 16.8 -5.6 2015 15.1 -10.1

Cigarette smoking prevalence, CO, WA, US, 2012-14 2012 2013 2014 Change Change 2012-14 2013-14 CO 19.2% 17.7% 15.7% -18.2% -11.3% WA 17.2% 16.1% 15.3% -11.1% -5.0% US 19.6% 19.0% 18.1% -7.7% -4.7% Legalization of recreational marijuana adopted in CO and WA in Nov. 2012. Retail sale started January 2014 in CO and July 2014 in WA. Sources: BRFSS

High school seniors (MTF) Year 30-day prev. Change from last (%) year (%) 2005 23.2 -7.2 2006 21.6 -6.9 Recent 2007 21.6 0 decreases in 2008 20.4 -5.6 youth cigarette 2009 20.1 -1.5 smoking 2010 19.2 -4.5 2011 18.7 -2.6 2012 17.1 -8.6 2013 16.3 -4.7 2014 13.6 -16.6 2015 11.4 -16.2

30-day Smoking Prevalence, School Children, 2006-15 25 20 15 NYTS - HS Percent NYTS - MS MTF- 12th MTF- 10th 10 MTF - 8th 5 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Year Sources: Monitoring the Future, 2015, and National Youth Tobacco Survey, 2016