WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN FOR TOBACCO CONTROL? Ken Warner University - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

THE END GAME OR A NEW GAME – WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN FOR TOBACCO CONTROL?

Ken Warner University of Michigan School of Public Health Prepared for the UCSF Triangulum, San Francisco, May 26, 2016

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Recent decreases in adult cigarette smoking

Adults (>17 y.o.) (NHIS) Year Current smoker (%) Change from last year (%) 2005 20.9 2006 20.8

• 0.5

2007 19.7

• 5.3

2008 20.5 +4.1 2009 20.6 +0.5 2010 19.4

• 5.8

2011 18.9

• 2.6

2012 18.0

• 4.8

2013 17.8

• 1.1

2014 16.8

• 5.6

2015 15.1

• 10.1

Cigarette smoking prevalence, CO, WA, US, 2012-14

Legalization of recreational marijuana adopted in CO and WA in Nov. 2012. Retail sale started January 2014 in CO and July 2014 in WA. Sources: BRFSS

2012 2013 2014 Change 2012-14 Change 2013-14 CO 19.2% 17.7% 15.7%

• 18.2%
• 11.3%

WA 17.2% 16.1% 15.3%

• 11.1%
• 5.0%

US 19.6% 19.0% 18.1%

• 7.7%
• 4.7%

Recent decreases in youth cigarette smoking

High school seniors (MTF) Year 30-day prev. (%) Change from last year (%) 2005 23.2

• 7.2

2006 21.6

• 6.9

2007 21.6 2008 20.4

• 5.6

2009 20.1

• 1.5

2010 19.2

• 4.5

2011 18.7

• 2.6

2012 17.1

• 8.6

2013 16.3

• 4.7

2014 13.6

• 16.6

2015 11.4

• 16.2

30-day Smoking Prevalence, School Children, 2006-15

Sources: Monitoring the Future, 2015, and National Youth Tobacco Survey, 2016

5 10 15 20 25 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Percent Year NYTS - HS NYTS - MS MTF- 12th MTF- 10th MTF - 8th