1
We live forwards, but we understand backwards.
William James
Alternative Medicine must be held to the same standards of evidence as conventional medicine.
Various
We live forwards, but we understand backwards. William James - - PDF document
We live forwards, but we understand backwards. William James Alternative Medicine must be held to the same standards of evidence as conventional medicine. Various 1 Integrative Medicine must be held to the higher standards of evidence than
William James
Various
Jonas
How likely is it that the effects reported are due to the independent variable (the treatment)?
How likely is it that the observed effects would occur outside the study and in different settings?
How likely is it that the study accurately reflects the system under investigation?
(Was subject assignment to treatment groups done randomly and in a concealed manner?)
(Where gender, age, and prognostic factors balanced?)
Change of intervention
(Was there loss to follow-up, contamination, poor compliance)
(Did the patients, practitioners, evaluators, analysts know who got the treatment?)
(Was the objectivity, reliability, and sensitivity of the outcome assessed?)
(Was the number treated large? Where p. values significant? Was there multiple outcomes measured and analyzed?)
(Was there a range of patients as they would be seen in practice
Was the study done at several sites with similar results?)
(Was what was done clear? Where Confidence Intervals reported? Was the treatment transferable to other practitioners?)
(Was the effect size big enough to make a difference? Is the condition in need of this type of treatment? Were any preferences determined? Was adherence good?)
(Was there flexibility in varying the treatment? Was feedback on the outcomes available? Is the treatment feasible in most (or your) practice settings?)
(Were the outcomes clinically relevant? Were the outcomes checked for importance with the patients? Were any important outcomes missing?)
Reviews Reviews Meta Meta-
analysis Health Health Services Services Research Research Randomized Randomized Controlled Controlled Trials Trials Observational Observational Outcomes Outcomes Laboratory Laboratory Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes
Stroke rehab., Stroke rehab., osteoarthritis
, drug addiction Depression, ADHD, Asthma Depression, ADHD, Asthma WHO list of 34 conditions for which acupuncture is safe and effe WHO list of 34 conditions for which acupuncture is safe and effective ctive Post Post-
Nausea and vomiting Nausea and vomiting Obesity Obesity Smoking Cessation Smoking Cessation (Back Pain) (Back Pain)
Effective Effective Ineffective Ineffective
(Were the therapists well trained and experienced? Was the treatment strategy adequate? Was the treatment clearly described?)
(Were the patients classified, was the treatment determined and were the outcomes assessed according to the system of the practice being assessed? )
(Did the patients/practitioners believe in the therapy? What was the impact of informed consent? How well was the intervention adapted to the culture, family, meaning of the patient?)
(Were the goals of the study clear and limited? Did the investigators select the correct research method to achieve the goals?)*
Osteoarthritis Depression TCM TCM Ayurveda Ayurveda Homeopathy Homeopathy Patient Patient Excess Spleen Excess Spleen Deficient Liver Deficient Liver etc. etc. Pitta Pitta Imbalance Imbalance etc. etc. Aurum Aurum Rhus Rhus. . Tox Tox. . Sepia Sepia etc. etc. “Stress” “Stress” Bad diet Bad diet Genes Genes
Cortlandt Forum 1997 February p.122
SCIENCE
Reviews Reviews Meta Meta-
analysis Health Health Services Services Research Research Randomized Randomized Controlled Controlled Trials Trials Observational Observational Outcomes Outcomes Laboratory Laboratory Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes
PRACTICE PATIENTS POLICY
Jonas, WB. And Levin, JS. Essentials of Complementary andAlternative Medicine. Littincott Williams & Wilkins. 1999; p. 34.
Reviews Reviews Meta Meta-
analysis Health Health Services Services Research Research Randomized Randomized Controlled Controlled Trials Trials Observational Observational Outcomes Outcomes Laboratory Laboratory Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes
PATIENTS
Estimated Success Rates and 95% confidence Intervals
Year of study Performance Year of study Performance
1 1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 ë80 ë80 ë81a ë81a ë81b ë81b ë82 ë82 ë83 ë83 ë84 ë84 ë85 ë85 ë86 ë86 ë87 ë87 ë88 ë88 ë89 ë89 common common
Relative Chance Relative Chance
0.3 Wiesenauer, Forsch. Kompl. 3:230 (1996)
Reviews Reviews Meta Meta-
analysis Health Health Services Services Research Research Randomized Randomized Controlled Controlled Trials Trials Observational Observational Outcomes Outcomes Laboratory Laboratory Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes
PRACTICE PATIENTS
Year of study Performance Year of study Performance
2.8 2.8 2.4 2.4 2 2 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 ë80 ë80 ë81a ë81a ë81b ë81b ë82 ë82 ë83 ë83 ë84 ë84 ë85 ë85 ë86 ë86 ë87 ë87 ë88 ë88 ë89 ë89 common common
Relative Chance Relative Chance
Wiesenauer, Forsch. Kompl. 3:230 (1996)
Estimated Success Rates and 95% confidence Intervals
SCIENCE
Reviews Reviews Meta Meta-
analysis Health Health Services Services Research Research Randomized Randomized Controlled Controlled Trials Trials Observational Observational Outcomes Outcomes Laboratory Laboratory Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes Qualitative, Case Reports, Anecdotes
PRACTICE PATIENTS POLICY
Pooled odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (random effects model)
n studies OR (95%CI) all studies 89 2.45 (2.05-2.93) SENSITIVITY ANALYSES high quality studies 26 1.66 (1.33-2.08) adequate concealment 34 1.93 (1.51-2.47) double-blinding stated 81 2.17 (1.83-2.57) adequate follow up 28 3.18 (2.14-4.73) predefined main outcome 21 2.27 (1.62-3.18) Medline listed studies 23 1.70 (1.31-2.20) corrected for publ. bias 89 1.78 (1.03-3.10) worst case scenario 5 1.97 (1.04-3.75) SUBGROUP ANALYSES high potencies only 31 2.66 (1.83-3.87) high/medium potencies 51 2.77 (2.09-3.67) classical homoeopathy 13 2.91 (1.57-5.37) clinical homoeopathy 49 2.00 (1.60-2.51) isopathy 7 5.04 (2.24-11.32) complex homoeopathy 20 1.94 (2.12-2.08) 0.1 1 10
Observational vs. Randomized Trials
0.1 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 Male health workers Social insurance, men Male chemical workers Hyperlipidaemic men Nursing home residents Social insurance, women Male physicians Male smokers (Ex)-smokers, asbestos workers Trials Cohorts Skin cancer patients USA Finland Switzerland USA USA Finland Cohorts combined Trials combined Finland USA USA USA Relative risk (95% CI)
Funnel Plot
Standard error Odds ratio .01 .02 .05 .1 .2 .5 1 2 5 10 20 50 100 2 1
Funnel Plot after “Trim and Fill”
Standard error Odds ratio .01 .02 .05 .1 .2 .5 1 2 5 10 20 50 100 2 1
Summary Recommendations on Investigating and Dealing With Publication and Other Biases in a Meta-analysis
Examining for bias
for asso ciations b etwee n k ey m easures o f trial qu ality and trea tm ent effec t si ze .
examin e oth er possibl e expl anations for heterog eneity.
cal markers o r patients ’ adh ere nce to t rea tm ent.
Dealing with bias
analys es to establish wheth er th e estim ated t reatm ent effec t is robust to reason able assumptions about th e effec t o f bias.
es o f lower quality.
analys es sho w th at a revi ew’ s con clusions could b e seriously affec ted by bi as, th en consid er rec omm ending th at th e evid ence to d ate be dis regarded.