Understanding Risk to Investments Anoma Pannala Director, Ministry - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Understanding Risk to Investments Anoma Pannala Director, Ministry - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Understanding Risk to Investments Anoma Pannala Director, Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resource Management, Sri Lanka 1 87% of Sri Lankan population lives in hotspots 2 Recurrent climate-induced disasters pressure national economy


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Understanding Risk to Investments

Anoma Pannala

Director, Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resource Management, Sri Lanka

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87% of Sri Lankan population lives in hotspots

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Recurrent climate-induced disasters pressure national economy

Annual Average Disaster Loss: US$ 380 million

Disasters Affected population Estimated impacts 2017 Floods 879,778 US$ 470 M 2016 Floods 493,319 US$ 720 M

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Comprehensive Climate and Disaster Resilience Program

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Major Challenge

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  • Critical two river basins completed (Kelani

and Mundeni Aru)

6 Mundeni Aru

Analytical works informing US$ 3 billion+ investment plans

  • 9 basins to be completed by May 2019

→ Being prepared as a new project financed by WB and AIIB → Ready for financing by the national budget and/or development partners

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Flood and Drought Modeling Integrated Flood and Drought Risk Assessment Identification of Flood Risk Reduction measures PFS for integrated Flood & Drought reduction measures FS for prioritized measures for Implementing Development of Computational Framework

Modeling for Investment Plans

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Modeling

Platform for SWAT GIS Data Processing and Analysis Data Processing and Analysis Rating Conceptualization, Flood Analysis Detailed/2D Flood Analysis Rainfall Runoff Modeling Water Demand Allocation

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Flood Modeling for Kelani

8.29 3.18
  • 1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Water Level (m At Gauge Zero) Date Maximum Water Level from 1960 to 2016 (m) 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Rainfall (mm/hr) Flow (cumecs)

Event Analysis: Flow and rainfall

Hourly Rainfall (mm) Observed Flow (m3/s) Flow (m3/s) - Natural SWAT model Flow (m3/s) - Natural SWAT model with major reservoirs
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Proposed Structural Measures for Kelani

Embankments for lower stream (1:50 year) Upstream reservoirs

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NON STRUCTURAL MEASURES

  • Prepare an integrated flood risk management plan
  • Establish a real-time monitoring and operation system
  • Improve operation of existing reservoirs
  • Improve the drainage systems
  • Land use planning

Proposed Non-Structural Measures

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Lessons from Sri Lanka

❖ MoF’s engagement is critical to allocate budgets ❖ Instruments like DPL with Cat DDO and Fiscal Risk

Assessment ensures MoF engagement

❖ Sustainability through full-time, on-the-job engagement

  • f Government staff

❖ Breaking data barriers and multi-agency collaboration

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Climate Change Adaptation for Sustainability

Thank you very much for your attention