UAC of Nigeria Plc
FY 2019 and Q1 2020 Results
Fola Aiyesimoju – Group Managing Director Ibikunle Oriola – Group Finance Director
UAC of Nigeria Plc FY 2019 and Q1 2020 Results Fola Aiyesimoju - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
UAC of Nigeria Plc FY 2019 and Q1 2020 Results Fola Aiyesimoju Group Managing Director Ibikunle Oriola Group Finance Director Disclaimer 2 This presentation contains forward-looking statements which reflect management's expectations
Fola Aiyesimoju – Group Managing Director Ibikunle Oriola – Group Finance Director
This presentation contains forward-looking statements which reflect management's expectations regarding the Company's future growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities. Wherever possible, words such as "anticipate", "believe", "expects", "intend“, "estimate", "project", "target", "risks", "goals" and similar terms and phrases have been used to identify forward-looking statements. These statements reflect management's current beliefs and are based on information currently available to management. Certain material factors or assumptions have been applied in drawing the conclusions contained in forward-looking
expectations generally. UAC of Nigeria Plc cautions readers that several factors could cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from the results discussed or implied in forward-looking
forward-looking statements. For additional information with respect to certain risks or factors, reference should be made to the Company’s disclosure materials filed from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission in Nigeria. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward- looking statements, whether because of new information, future events or otherwise.
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Operating Environment 4 Key Developments 7 Financial Review 12 Segment Performance 22 Outlook 25 Appendix 27
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healthcare and humanitarian disaster
to protect the health and safety of our employees and stakeholders
the official rate from ₦307 to ₦360 in March 2020
flow, raw material availability, production planning, demand estimates and cost optimization
impact
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Source: EIU, CBN, NBS, EIA, IMF
GDP growth of 2.2% in 2019 from 1.9% in 2018 driven primarily by growth in the services sector. Nigeria is forecast to end 2020 in a recession
6 Real GDP growth (%) Inflation (%)
Headline inflation impacted by the border closure which commenced in October
FX reserves ($’bn) and Oil price ($/bbl)
20 40 60 80
20 30 40 50
Price ($) Reserves ($bn)
FX reserves Brent Crude oil price
Foreign reserves declined by 16.8%, from $43.1bn in Jan-19 to $35.9bn in Mar-20, driven by lower oil prices, reduced capital inflows and balance of payment pressures
Exchange rate ₦:$
Exchange rate remained flat in 2019 as the Central Bank of Nigeria supported the
2.7% (1.6%) 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% (3.4%) 2.4% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 f 2021 f
100 200 300 400 500
CBN/ Interbank Parallel
11.37% 11.31% 11.25% 11.37% 11.40% 11.22% 11.08% 11.02% 11.24% 11.61% 11.85% 11.98% 12.13% 12.20% 12.26%
UPDC Corporate Actions: In September 2019, the Boards of Directors of UAC and UACN Property Development Company Plc (“UPDC”) jointly announced the following strategic initiatives relating to UPDC
short-term debt; The rights issue concluded in April 2020 and UAC’s shareholding in UPDC is now 93.9%, from 64.2%
issue
Following the announcement, UPDC has been re-classified as “held for distribution to owners” in UAC’s Statement of Financial Position and as “a discontinued operation” by the Group in the Statement of Profit or Loss in accordance with IFRS 5 Share Sale Agreement with Imperial Logistics Limited: In August 2019, UAC agreed to sell an additional 8.0% stake in MDS to Imperial Logistics Limited (“Imperial Logistics”), resulting in the transfer of control of the company to Imperial Logistics
closely with partners in empowering best-in-class management teams In FY 2019, prior to regulatory approval, MDS was reclassified as a discontinued operation in line with IFRS 5. Following transaction close in January 2020, MDS is now accounted for as an “investment in associate” and is no longer consolidated as part of the UAC Group 8
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Chairman
Accenture
Director of UAC
Non-Executive Director
Fine and Country West Africa
Non-Executive Director
Transnational Incorporated (ETI) and Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL)
Non-Executive Director
Feeds Plc
Non-Executive Director
Non-Executive Director
Africa and FinBank
management
Non-Executive Director
the MTN Group
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FMCG
Central & East Africa; Commercial Director, Nigerian Breweries
Engineering, University of Strathclyde
wealth management and property finance
Director in December 2019
Stanbic IBTC Bank, Lloyds and HSBC
Adviser (CeFA, CeMAP) and BArch Architecture, University of Nottingham
manufacturing
Paints, Akzo Nobel, Blackfriar- Glixtone and Hempel
the University of Bradford, UK
28 years experience working in FMCG
Guinness Nigeria, British American Tobacco and Procter & Gamble
Marketing of Nigeria with a B.Sc. in Biochemistry from the University of Port-Harcourt
Deborah Nicol-Omeruah
DMD, UPDC Plc Joined February 2019
Dele Ajayi
MD, UAC Foods Limited
David Wright
MD, CAP PLC
Alex Goma
MD, Grand Cereals Limited Joined July 2018 Joined August 2019 Joined October 2019
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Nigerian Breweries)
(ex. Nigerian Bottling Company)
Dangote)
(ex. PZ Cussons)
(ex. Kantar TNS)
Landmark, Stanbic IBTC, Lloyds, HSBC)
Farrow Consultants, Argentil Asset Management)
(ex. Union Bank, Broll Property Services)
Nigeria, British American Tobacco)
Improved Foods, Guinness Nigeria, Unilever Nigeria)
Van Melle, Nestle Middle East, Nigerian Breweries)
GlaxoSmithKline, British American Tobacco)
Novum, Guinness Nigeria,
River)
AkzoNobel)
(ex. Promasidor, Coca-Cola, TGI)
Banwo & Ighodalo)
LeapFrog Investments, AFC)
Note: Results for UPDC and MDS, which have been classified as a discontinued operation, are accounted for separately in UAC’s FY 2019 financial statements (in accordance with the provisions of IFRS 5). All figures for FY 2018 have been restated for comparison purposes in line with IFRS 5
kobo primarily due to fair value impairment of UPDC’s investment in UPDC REIT
confident that growth will “catch up” with the fixed cost base, driving margin improvement
profit on sale of non-core asset)
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Note: (1) Following regulatory approval of the MDS transaction, MDS is reclassified as Investment in Associates in Q1 2020 results (in line with IFRS 9); MDS results were consolidated in Q1 2019 as it was accounted for as a subsidiary in that period. (2) Results for UPDC have been classified as discontinued operations and are accounted for separately in the Q1 2020 financial statements. All figures for Q1 2019 have been restated for comparison purposes in line with IFRS 5
driven by a ₦3.1bn fair value gain on the recognition of MDS as an associate. This was partially offset by further impairments on UPDC’s investment in UPDC REIT, resulting in UPDC declaring a loss of ₦2.6bn
currently accounted for as an associate
revenues grew 4.7% YoY, with growth recorded in all segments except paints
22.0% to 21.7%. Adjusting for MDS, gross profit grew 5.5% YoY, with gross margin improving 15 bps
like for like, operating profit declined by 22.9%, with margin compression of 207 bps
segment as well as capital investments in the Packaged Food & Beverages segment 14
(38.6%) 9.2% (18.6%) (175.5%) 44.5% (22.9%) FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2020 EBIT growth EBIT margin (13.6%) 3.3% (5.8%) (12.0%) 25.6% 5.5% FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2020 Gross profit growth Gross margin (14.6%) 14.7% 8.0% (11.7%) 12.4% 4.7% FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2020 0.2% 0.5% 18.9% 1.8% 31.7% 24.1% FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2020 Opex growth Opex/ sales
Note: Growth for each period is compared to the reference period shown in the published financial statements for that period
Revenue growth (%) Opex Growth (%) and Opex/Sales (%) Gross profit growth (%) and Gross margin (%) EBIT growth (%) and EBIT margin (%) 15
Average: 2.2%
13.9% 12.7% 12.9% 15.1% 16.4% 16.3% 22.6% 20.5% 17.9% 17.8% 21.0% 21.7% 10.4% 9.5% 7.9% (6.7%) 7.2% 5.8%
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1. Q1 2020 figures classify MDS as an Investment in Associate and UPDC as a discontinued operation 2. Q1 2019 figures consolidate MDS as a subsidiary. Q1 2019 is however restated with UPDC classified as a discontinued operation 3. UPDC and MDS classified as a discontinued operations in FY 2019; FY 2018 restated in line with FY 2019 4. Return on Invested Capital annualised for Q1 2020 5. Q1 2020 vs FY 2019
Summary Income Statement ₦ mn, unless otherwise stated Q1 20201 Q1 20192 D% FY 20193 FY 20183 D% Revenue 19,549 20,141 (2.9%) 79,202 70,474 12.4% Gross Profit 4,234 4,429 (4.4%) 16,627 13,243 25.6% Gross Profit Margin (%) 21.7% 22.0% (33 bps) 21.0% 18.8% 220 bps Operating Profit 1,128 1,723 (34.5%) 5,666 3,920 44.5% Operating Profit Margin (%) 5.8% 8.6% (278 bps) 7.2% 5.6% 159 bps Net Finance Income 470 678 (30.7%) 1,790 2,155 (17.0%) Share of Profit/(Loss) of Associates and JVs 71
Profit Before Tax 1,669 2,400 (30.5%) 7,456 6,076 22.7% Tax expense (522) (435) (19.9%) (2,111) (1,838) (14.8%) Profit After Tax from Continuing Operations 1,147 1,965 (41.6%) 5,345 4,237 26.2% Profit/ (Loss) After Tax from Discontinued Operations 717 (969) n/m (14,602) (13,767) (6.1%) Profit/ (Loss) for the period 1,864 996 87.1% (9,256) (9,530) 2.9% Basic Earnings Per Share From Continuing Operations (Kobo) 27 44 (38.7%) 132 96 37.7% Basic Earnings Per Share From Discontinued Operations (Kobo) 58 (21) n/m (315) (304) (3.5%) Basic Earnings Per Share For the Period 85 23 268.7% (183) (209) 12.2% ROIC4 4.0%
4.7% 3.2% 156 bps
1. Q1 2020 figures classify MDS as an Investment in Associate and UPDC as a discontinued operation 2. UPDC and MDS classified as a discontinued operations in FY 2019; 3. FY 2018 restated with UPDC and MDS classified as discontinued operations
17 ₦ mn, unless otherwise stated Q1 20201 FY 20192 FY 20183 Profit Before Tax from continuing operations 1,669 7,456 6,076 Profit/ (Loss) before tax from discontinued operations 717 (14,696) (11,638) Non-Cash charges & other (2,982) (1,153) 1,590 Changes in working capital (4,816) 6,980 3,440
(810) (2,177) 5,002
(2,997) 5,895 (274)
(1,168) 2,784 (1,342)
159 479 53 Net cash from operations - continuing operations (5,411) (1,413) (533) Net cash from operations - discontinued operations 1,842 313 4,085 Cash taxes (31) (1,551) (2,374) Net cash flow generated from operating activities (3,601) (2,651) 1,179 Net CAPEX (2,017) (2,568) (2,861) Free Cash Flow (5,618) (5,219) (1,682) PBT to Free Cash Flow
1. Includes ₦16bn bridge finance loan from HoldCo 2. Proceeds from disposal of PPE exceed capital investments in the year * Leverage ratio calculated as Net debt / EBITDA; where EBITDA is Operating Profit plus depreciation and amortisation
18 Summary Balance Sheet Cash/Leverage Working Capital Capital Expenditure
N mn Dec 2019 Dec 2018 D% Non current Assets 26,019 50,656 (48.6%) Current Assets 45,204 71,046 (36.4%) Other Assets 36,372 130,972 292,4% Total Assets 107,595 130,972 (17.8%) Long term debt 1,851 4,501 (58.9%) Short term debt 4,596 19,672 (76.6%) Other Liabilities 40,607 32,726 24.1% Total Liabilities 47,054 56,899 (17.3%) Net Asset Value 60,541 74,073 (18.3%) N mn Dec 2019 Dec 2018 D% Inventory 16,290 30,526 (46.6%) Receivables 5,015 10,234 (51.0%) Trade Payables 9,960 14,949 (33.4%) Net Working Capital 11,345 25,810 (56.0%) Inventory Days 95 195 (51.2%) Receivables Days 23 53 (56.4%) Trade Payables Days 58 95 (39.1%) Net Working Capital Days 60 152 (60.6%) N mn Cash Debt Net Debt/ (Cash)
HoldCo 8,126
n/a Animal Feeds & Other Edible 5,010 6,447 1,436 0.5 Paints 4,603
n/a Packaged Food & Beverages 4,215
n/a QSR 58
n/a Disposal Group: Logistics 427
n/a Disposal Group: Real Estate1 1,262 20,807 19,546 (16,1) Total 23,701 27,254 3,553 0.5 N mn CAPEX Depreciation CAPEX / Depreciation HoldCo 124 158 0.78 Animal Feeds & Other Edible 627 886 0.71 Paints 321 226 1.42 Packaged Food & Beverages 1,285 1,086 1.18 QSR 191 142 1.35 Disposal Group: Logistics 1,509 464 3.25 Disposal Group: Real Estate nil2 34 n/a Total 4,057 2,997 1.35
1. Includes ₦16bn bridge finance loan from HoldCo 2. Proceeds from disposal of PPE exceed capital investments in the period * Leverage ratio calculated as Net debt / EBITDA; where EBITDA is Operating Profit plus depreciation and amortisation
19 Summary Balance Sheet Cash/Leverage Working Capital Capital Expenditure
N mn Mar-20 Dec-19 D% Non current Assets 32,102 26,019 (23.4%) Current Assets 44,605 45,204 (1.3%) Other Assets 26,107 36,372 (28.2%) Total Assets 102,815 107,595 (4.4%) Long term debt 1,496 1,851 (19.2%) Short term debt 5,302 4,596 15.4% Other Liabilities 35,824 40,607 (11.8%) Total Liabilities 42,623 47,054 (9.4%) Net Asset Value 60,193 60,541 (0.6%) N mn Mar-20 Dec-19 D% Inventory 19,287 16,290 18.4% Receivables 5,857 5,015 16.8% Trade Payables 8,792 9,960 (11.7%) Net Working Capital 16,351 11,345 44.1% Inventory Days 115 95 20.9% Receivables Days 27 23 18.3% Trade Payables Days 52 58 (9.8%) Net Working Capital Days 90 60 49.7% N mn Cash Debt Net Debt/ (Cash)
HoldCo 8,780
n/a Animal Feeds & Other Edible 1,268 6,798 5,530 13.1 Paints 4,634
n/a Packaged Food & Beverages 3,314
n/a QSR 50
n/a Disposal Group: Real Estate1 1,213 21,375 20,161 (606.2) Disposal Group: UNICO 191
n/a Total 19,449 28,173 8,724 4.0 N mn CAPEX Depreciation CAPEX / Depreciation HoldCo 52 32 1.61 Animal Feeds & Other Edible 22 227 0.10 Paints 12 50 0.24 Packaged Food & Beverages 1,930 296 6.52 QSR 1 36 0.03 Disposal Group nil2 6 n/a Total 2,017 642 3.14
Notes: (1) Weighted average (2) Higher amounts due to capitalised interest on the bridge loan from UAC (3) UAC’s shareholder loan to UPDC is at an initial rate of 5%, escalating to 15% after 180 days
management judgement.
December 2018).
20 UPDC Impairment breakdown Debt Profile
₦ mn Interest Mar 2020 Dec 2019 Dec 2018 Intra-group Working Capital c.15.5%
Commercial Papers 14.98% (w.ave)1
Bonds 16.00% 4,272 4,272 4,264 Bridge Loan from UAC2 5%/15%3 17,103 16,535
21,375 20,807 20,763 ₦ mn Q1 2020 FY 2019 FY 2018 Associates (UPDC REIT) (1,814) (12,638)
(1,318) Receivables
(3,140) Joint Ventures
Assets Held for Sale (UHL)
Loss on sale of inv. prop & PPE
(450) Total (1,814) (14,530) (10,211)
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Cash & Cash Equivalents Short-Term Debt Long-Term Debt Net Cash (excl. Intra- Group) Intra-Group Receivable / (Payable) Net Cash (incl. Intra- Group) UAC Company 8,780
17,103 25,883 Other Operating Segments 9,265 (5,302) (1,496) 2,467
Continuing Operations 18.046 (5,302) (1,496) 11,247 17,103 28,541 Discontinued Operations1 1,404 (8) (4,263) (2,868) (17,103) (19,971) Total 19.449 (5,311) (5,759) 8,380
Group Net Cash Position as at 31 March 2020 (in ₦ mn)
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Animal Feeds & Other Edibles
61.8% of Group revenue
Packaged Food & Beverages
22.1% of Group revenue
Paints
13.9% of Group revenue
Logistics
Discontinued Operations
QSR
1.9% of Group revenue
non-cash expenses
Real Estate
Discontinued Operations
Note: Figures are unadjusted for intragroup transactions and discontinued operations
Revenue Operating Margins Profit before Tax Return on Invested Capital 24
N mn FY 2019 FY 2018
D%
Animal Feeds & Other Edibles 51,818 44,575 16% Packaged Food & Beverages 17,545 16,202 8% Paints 11,021 10,500 5% QSR 1,501 1,278 17% Disposal Group: Logistics 5,680 5,971 (5%) Disposal Group: Real Estate 2,158 2,303 (6%)
N mn FY 2019 FY 2018 D Animal Feeds & Other Edibles 3.4% 2.6% 79 bps Packaged Food & Beverages 6.8% 5.5% 134 bps Paints 20.3% 24.7% (436 bps) QSR (2.4%) 4.2% (668 bps)
Disposal Group: Logistics
13.3% 17.5% (416 bps)
Disposal Group: Real Estate
(58.0%) (271.7%) 21,373 bps N mn FY 2019 FY 2018 D% Animal Feeds & Other Edibles 990 42 2,277% Packaged Food & Beverages 1,561 1,362 15% Paints 2,673 2,905 (8%) QSR (75) 59 n/m
Disposal Group: Logistics
703 1,220 (42%)
Disposal Group: Real Estate
(16,177) (13,244) 22% % FY 2019 FY 2018 D Animal Feeds & Other Edibles 5.5% 3.4% 211 bps Packaged Food & Beverages 11.4% 9.1% 229 bps Paints 35.5% 39.3% (379 bps) QSR (6.5%) 9.5% (1,601 bps)
Disposal Group: Logistics
8.0% 12.6% (460 bps)
Disposal Group: Real Estate
(11.6%) (18.4%) 674 bps
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28 ₦ mn, unless otherwise stated Q1 2020 Q1 20191 D% Revenue 19,549 18,665 4.7% Gross Profit 4,234 4,014 5.5% Gross Profit Margin (%) 21.7% 21.5% 15 bps Selling & Distribution Expenses (1,615) (1,374) 17.5% Administrative Expenses (1,562) (1,187) 31.6% Operating Expenses (3,177) (2,561) 24.1% Operating Expenses (% of revenue) 16.3% 13.7% 253 bps Other Operating Income 85 81 5.1% Other Operating Losses (13) (70) (81.0%) Operating Profit 1,128 1,464 (22.9%) Operating Profit Margin (%) 5.8% 7.8% (207 bps) Summary Income Statement (in ₦ mn)
29 Animal Feeds & Other Edibles Paints Packaged Foods
Real Estate
AkzoNobel
(49.0%)
Quick Service Restaurants
Famous Brands (49.0%)
Logistics
Imperial Logistics (57.0%)
equipment plus Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment.
method.
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