SLIDE 1 Tropospheric Ozone and Its Impact
- n Climate and Environment
Hajime Akimoto Frontier Research Center for Global Change
Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
CITES 2007 (APN Workshop on Atmospheric Composition and Air Quality), Tomsk, July 20-21, 2007
Acknowledge to APN
SLIDE 2 Contents
- 1. Importance of Tropospheric Ozone
- 2. Global Perspective of Tropospheric Ozone
- 3. Hemispherical Perspective of Tropospheric Ozone
- 4. Transport of ozone from Siberia to China to Japan
- 5. Impact on Vegetation and Climate
SLIDE 3
- 1. Importance of Tropospheric Ozone
- Toxic Gas
Human Health Plant Health (Forest trees and agricultural crops)
Third GHG next to CH4 in global average Second GHG next to CO2 in NH average
- GHG-Lifetime Controlling Gas
CH4, HCFC, etc.
SLIDE 4 San Bernardino (California)
- Mt. Mitchell (North Carolina)
Appalachian Mountains
Tree Decline in USA
SLIDE 5 Contribution to Global Warming
- f Each Atmospheric Trace Species
- Radiative Forcing during 1850-2000 -
CO2 CH4 Trop. O3 Cloud
Long-lived GHG (Kyoto Gases) Short -lived Air Pollutants Sato and Hansen (2003)
CFC N2O Soil White Particle Black Particle
SLIDE 6 Global OH concentrations
Global CH4 lifetime = 9.4 yr Global CH3CCl3 lifetime = 5.0 yr O3 + hν → O (1D) + O2 O(1D) + H2O → 2OH OH + CH4, HCFC, etc. → products
OH January OH July
SLIDE 7
Tropospheric Ozone
- Global Historical Trends
- Global Distribution
SLIDE 8
Trend of Near Surface Ozone in 1870-2000
SLIDE 9 van Aadenne et al., Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 15, 909, 2001
Historical Trend of Global NOx Emission (TgN/yr)
SLIDE 10 Comparison of Global Surface Ozone Distribution between Pre-industrial Era ant the Present
Lelieveld, J., F. Dentener, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 3531-3551 (2000).
1860 May-August 1993 May-August
SLIDE 11 Surface ozone distributions (ppbv)
Jan./Apr./Jul./Oct.
- K. Sudo, J. Geophys., Res. 2002
January July April October
SLIDE 12
- 3. Hemispherical Perspective
- f Tropospheric Ozone
- East Eurasian Continental “Background”
- Our Mondy Station -
- Intercontinental Transport and Hemispherical
Air Pollution
- Trans-Eurasian Transport -
SLIDE 13 WMO/GAW Observation Sites for CO
Uniqueness of Our Station, Mondy
SLIDE 14 Mondy, Russia (2006 m) (51°39N 100°55E)
Our Observation Network for Regional and Hemispherical Air Pollution
100° E
NOx emission map in 1990
SLIDE 15
Establishment of remote “background” site in Eastern Siberia Mondy Ozone and CO seasonal cycle
SLIDE 16
Long-term ozone observation from 1996 to present
SLIDE 17 Long-term CO observation from 1996 to present
Data missing period Due to instrument Problem and project discontinuit
SLIDE 18 Seasonal cycle of background ozone and CO at Mondy
Sep-96 Jan-97 May-97 Sep-97 Jan-98 May-98 Sep-98 Jan-99 May-99 Sep-99
20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Mondy ozone 9610-9912 Month Ozone mixing ratio (ppb)
Sep-96 Jan-97 May-97 Sep-97 Jan-98 May-98 Sep-98 Jan-99 May-99 Sep-99
100 150 200 250 300 350
Mondy CO 9703-9912 Month CO mixing ratio (ppb)
Both show spring maximum and summer minimum – typical ozone and CO pattern in remote Northern Hemisphere
Max: 55 ppb Min: 35 ppb Max: 200 ppb Min: 75 ppb
O3 CO
SLIDE 19 Daily Variation of Ozone And CO at Mondy -”Remote”
January, 1998 April, 1998 July, 1997 October, 1997 CO O3
SLIDE 20 Comparison of O3 observation at nearby Khulugaisha (3000 m) with Mondy (2006 m)
Very good correlation between Mondy and Khulugaisha is confirmed.
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Mondy ozone (ppb) Khulugaisha ozone (ppb) Mondy = 0.87Khulugaisha + 4.77 R= 0.86
Data from March 2004 to March 2005 Mondy has been proved to be as an excellent remote “background” station.
SLIDE 21 Ozone data at Mondy in comparison with data at Listvynka, on Baikal Lake shore during
Ozone drop at Listvynka indicated local NO pollution from Listvynka or Irkutsk
winter 2003 to spring 2004
SLIDE 22 Intercontinental Transport and Hemispherical Air Pollution
- Relevant to the issue of global air quality,
intercontinental transport and hemispherical air pollution is now attracting international concern.
- Task Force on Hemispherical Transport of Air
Pollution (TF HTAP) has been organized under CLRTAP.
- Ozone, aerosols, POPs, and Hg are the most
concerned species.
SLIDE 23 Free Troposphere Boundary Layer
Asia Europe
Intercontinental Transport at Northern Mid-latitudes
H H H L L L
SLIDE 24 Can European Pollution Affect East Asia?
Source: Newell and Evans [2000]
SLIDE 25
Remote Stations for Surface O3 in Europe and East Asia
Mountain (1600-2000 m): Arosa, Mondy and Happo Sea Level: Mace Head
SLIDE 26
Arosa, Switzerland Mondy, Russia Happo, Japan
SLIDE 27 Differences in “Background” Surface Ozone between Europe and East Asia (Trajectory categorized Observational Data)
East Asia is 5-10 ppb higher than Europe
Continental Background Atlantic Background
SLIDE 28 Differences in “Background” Ozone between Europe and East Asia can be reproduced by a model.
Derive regional background – remove local emissions Compare: Mace Head (Ireland) Arosa (Switzerland) Mondy (Siberia) Happo (Japan) East Asian Ozone lower in summer due to Asian monsoon Ozone 5-10 ppbv higher at Asian sites from autumn to spring – Why ?
SLIDE 29 Differences in Surface Ozone between Europe and East Asia
Stratospheric influence greater over Asia –driven by subsidence
Residual largely due to: –emissions over Europe –emissions over Eurasia Background O3 higher over Asia –implications for air quality
SLIDE 30
Can we detect European influence of surface ozone at Mondy?
SLIDE 31 Observational Evidence of European Influence of O3 and CO at Mondy
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 100 200 300 400 500
a) Ozone Europe Siberia High Latitude Amount of Data (hr) Ozone mixing ratio (ppb)
50 100 150 200 50 100 150 200 250
b) CO Amount of data (hr) CO mixing ratio (ppb) Europe Siberia High Latitude
EU EU SI SI HL HL
O3 CO Frequency Distributions (Annual) Annual Average Concentration
O3 and CO in European airmass is higher than Siberian and Arctic airmass.
SLIDE 32
- 4. Transport of ozone from
Siberia to China to Japan
- East Asian Air mass
- Regional Ozone Pollution in China
- Regional Ozone Pollution In Japan
SLIDE 33 SO2 NOx
5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
China India Japan East Asia SouthEast Asia South Asia
5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
China India Japan East Asia SouthEast Asia South Asia
Emission Trends of NOx and SO2
SLIDE 34
Typical Air Masses in East Asia
SLIDE 35 Three Mountain Observation Sites in China (North China Plain)
2063 m 1836 m 1538 m
- Mt. Hua
- Mt. Huang
- Mt. Tai
NO2 Column by SCIAMACHY
SLIDE 36
Seasonal cycles of ozone at three Seasonal cycles of ozone at three Chinese mountain Chinese mountain sites and sites and at Mondy at Mondy in East in East Siberia Siberia (monthly average)
SLIDE 37 Ozone variation in March 2005
1-Mar 5-Mar 9-Mar 13-Mar 17-Mar 21-Mar 25-Mar 29-Mar
20 40 60 80 100
Mondy Khulugaisha Taishan Ozone (ppb) Date 2005
SLIDE 38
Concentrations of O3, and CO at Mt. Tai in June 2006 (Hourly Average)
June, 2006
SLIDE 39
Classification of Trajectories Reaching to Oki, Japan
SLIDE 40 Contribution of Continental Pollution Continental Polluted Air Mass Continental Clean Air Mass
Estimation of Contribution of Continental Pollution to Japan based on Observation
SLIDE 41
- 5. Impact on Vegetation and
Climate
- Impact on Vegetation:
- AOT 40 -
- Impact on Climate
- Difference from long-lived (well-mixed) GHG -
SLIDE 42
AOT 40 for remote sites in Japan
SLIDE 43
Remote O3 Observation Sites in Japan
SLIDE 44 Seasonal Variation of Ozone at remote sites in Japan
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Rishiri 1998-2000 Ozone concentration (ppb) Month
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Okinawa 1995-1996, 1998 Ozone concentration (ppb) Month
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Oki 1994-1998 Ozone concentration (ppb) Month
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Ogasawara 1997-1998 Ozone concentration (ppb) Month
Rishiri Oki Okinawa Ogasawara
SLIDE 45
AOT 40
(Accumulated Exposure Over a Threshold of 40 ppb)
AOT40 = Σ([O3]i - 40) δi δi = 0 for [O3] < 40 ppb δi = 1 for [O3] ≧ 40 ppb
SLIDE 46
Critical Level of Ozone for Forest Trees and Agricultural Crops
AOT40 Accumulated Period (ppb・h) Crops 5,300 May-July, daylight hours Forest 10,000 April-September, 24 h per day Daylight Hours: Hours with a mean radiation of 50 W or greater
SLIDE 47 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
CL May-July 3-Month daylight AOT40 (ppm.h) Year
Oki Okinawa Rishiri
3-month AOT40 at remote Islands in Japan
(Accumulated exposure Over a Threshold of 40 ppb) CL: 5,300 ppb∗h
SLIDE 48
Climate Impact of Tropospheric Ozone
SLIDE 49 Chemistry-Climate Interaction
Effect on Surface Temperature by Tropospheric Ozone Increase since pre-industrial era studied by Chemical-Climate Model, CHASER
Radiative Forcing Change in Surface Temperature
DJF JJA
SLIDE 50 [%] [%] [%]
30-50% 30-50%
100 ) Tropo.O WMGHGs ( ) O Tropo. (
3 3
⋅ + ∆ ∆ T T
(%) DJF DJF JJA JJA Annual Mean Annual Mean
Contribution of Tropospheric Ozone Increase to Surface Temperature (%)
SLIDE 51 Summary
I hope you have understood much concern on tropospheric ozone issues from the view of:
- Hemispherical Transport
- Regional Pollution in Asia
- How about Russian pollution ? Not well known.
( Regional Pollution between Europe and Asia)
- 4. Impact on Vegetation and Climate