SLIDE 10 The Aerospace & Defense Forum Orange County Chapter May 5, 2016 10
19
THE “REAL” MARKET OVERVIEW
General Aviation
- The active general aviation fleet is forecast
to increase 0.2 % a year between 2015 and 2036
- GA hours flown is projected to increase an
average of 1.2 % per year through 2036
- GA activity at FAA and contract tower
airports recorded a 0.3 % decline in 2015
- In 2015, the GA industry experienced its
first decline in deliveries since 2010. Turboprop deliveries were down by 10 %, and much smaller category of multi-engine piston deliveries declined 40 %. Business Aviation
- YoY flight activity (October 2015 vs. October
2014), TRAQPak data indicate that October 2015 posted an increase of 0.2%;
- This missed TRAQPak’s forecasted yearly rise of
2.7%.The results by operational category continue to show growth on top of growth in the Part 135 industry, with a YoY increase of 3.2%.
- The Part 91 market recorded a slight decline
from 2014, down -0.4%, while the Fractional market continued its run in the red for the third consecutive month, down -5.1%.
YoY YoY BizAv BizAv flight activity flight activity Defense spending as a share of GDP Defense spending as a share of GDP
20
MARKET OVERVIEW
General / Business Aviation ATR
- Experimental/LSA/Fixed wing
piston combines as a group are trending up
- The GA fixed wing fleet hours
are in decline from 2016 on, with no recovery
- Fixed wing Turbine ( TBM,
Pilatus, Caravan, Quest, King Air, Biz Jet) will continue to grow in service