Trends in A&D MRO and Aftermarket Jeff Johnston President - - PDF document

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Trends in A&D MRO and Aftermarket Jeff Johnston President - - PDF document

The Aerospace & Defense Forum Orange County Chapter May 5, 2016 Trends in A&D MRO and Aftermarket Jeff Johnston President & CEO Desser Holdings 5 May 2016 AGENDA Desser Holdings Company Profile Market Overview


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The Aerospace & Defense Forum Orange County Chapter May 5, 2016 1

Trends in A&D MRO and Aftermarket

Jeff Johnston President & CEO Desser Holdings 5 May 2016

  • Desser Holdings Company Profile
  • Market Overview
  • The Aerospace Value Stream
  • Market Dynamics
  • Conclusion

AGENDA

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ESTABLISHED LEADER WITH INNOVATIVE CAPABILITIES

Founded in 1920, Desser is comprised of four business units, establishing its leadership and strong brand name to serve diverse aerospace markets Tires & Aftermarket Products Tires & Aftermarket Products Wheel & Brake Wheel & Brake Aero & Motorcycle Glass Aero & Motorcycle Glass Tire Retreading

One of the top two aftermarket distributors in the world for the three largest global tire OEMs 400+ tire SKU’s covering 98% of the world’s aircrafts Designs own private label brand, Aero Classic 25+ proprietary tires fitting 125+ aircrafts

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ESTABLISHED LEADER WITH INNOVATIVE CAPABILITIES

Founded in 1920, Desser is comprised of four business units, establishing its leadership and strong brand name to serve diverse aerospace markets

Tires & Aftermarket Products Tires & Aftermarket Products Wheel & Brake Wheel & Brake Aero & Motorcycle Glass Aero & Motorcycle Glass

Tire Retreading

One of only two independent retreaders in the U.S. Retreading requires FAA certification (by individual product type) specialized equipment, and technical cooperation from OEMs Retreads 70+ types and sizes of tires

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ESTABLISHED LEADER WITH INNOVATIVE CAPABILITIES

Founded in 1920, Desser is comprised of four business units, establishing its leadership and strong brand name to serve diverse aerospace markets Tires & Aftermarket Products Tires & Aftermarket Products

Wheel & Brake Wheel & Brake

Aero & Motorcycle Glass Aero & Motorcycle Glass Tire Retreading FAA certified repair facility Services over 460 wheel & brake assemblies, supporting 150+ aircraft platforms worldwide

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ESTABLISHED LEADER WITH INNOVATIVE CAPABILITIES

Founded in 1920, Desser is comprised of four business units, establishing its leadership and strong brand name to serve diverse aerospace markets Tires & Aftermarket Products Tires & Aftermarket Products Wheel & Brake Wheel & Brake

Aero & Motorcycle Glass Aero & Motorcycle Glass

Tire Retreading Cee Bailey’s business segment manufactures transparencies for aviation and motorcycle markets Manufactures 200+ transparencies for 100+ aircrafts

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DESSER PRODUCTS & SERVICES

Private Label Tire Design and Branded Tire Supply In-House Wheel & Brake Parts and Service Aviation Transparency Manufacturing FAA Certified Tire Retreading Engine Inlet/Exhaust Covers Flight Crew Seat Dress Covers Pitot and Rosemont Covers Ballistic Tire Covers for OEM Production Transparency Cleaning and Rain Repellant Chemicals

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DESSER GLOBAL FOOTPRINT

Global footprint & international distribution presence Synergistic cross-selling opportunities Wheels, Brakes, Tires, Hoses, etc Longstanding customer relationships with major aircraft tire OEMs Strong management team with extensive knowledge and experience as global leader in specialty aerospace distribution

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DESSER’S REACH & END MARKETS

Middle East / Other 11% North America 61%

Europe 27%

Australia 2% Other 13% Business Jets 47% Business Jets 33% Military 14%

ATR 41%

General Aviation 8% Moto 4% Moto 5% Military 21%

Geographic Footprint Market Segments Served

  • Desser has global reach,

serving aircraft operators and MRO customers in all markets around the world

  • Desser has an long history of

developing private label (PMA) alternative products to serve its end market customers

  • Desser services all aircraft

platforms enabling it to identify products, and markets available to PMA alternatives

  • Desser has an excellent

reputation with its customers for innovative and cost effective solutions

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GROWTH THOUGHT PROCESS MAP

Capabilities Matrix & Revenue Analysis What Markets Do We Play In? What are their respective Growth Rates?

  • 2015 – 2018, 2020
  • Which Markets Should we Target? (Why?)

What Customers? What Platforms? What Products?

  • Existing Sales Campaigns (List)
  • New Product Development Programs (List)

What are we Doing and Why are we Doing it?

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MRO MARKET COMPARISONS

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BGA MARKET FORECASTS

BGA Flight Hours

2.9%

  • Primary Driver of the Business is

Flight Hours/Cycles

  • Overall BGA Operating hours

relatively flat

  • Significant growth in Bus Jet
  • perating hours, offset by large

drop in Piston GA operating hours

  • LSA growing at the fastest rate, but

very small market

  • Focus on Bizjet/Helo/Exp

MRO/FBO channels

  • Expand content per aircraft event

through MRO (AWB) services and PMA strategy

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ATR Fleet

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ATR FLEET

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ATR FLEET GROWTH

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ATR MRO MARKET GROWTH

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MRO MARKET GROWTH BY REGION

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Overall the market looks attractive...... So what is the problem???? Economic instability Local crisis – Oil Economy – Currency Exchange Rates Shifts in Business Models MRO MARKET

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THE “REAL” MARKET OVERVIEW

General Aviation

  • The active general aviation fleet is forecast

to increase 0.2 % a year between 2015 and 2036

  • GA hours flown is projected to increase an

average of 1.2 % per year through 2036

  • GA activity at FAA and contract tower

airports recorded a 0.3 % decline in 2015

  • In 2015, the GA industry experienced its

first decline in deliveries since 2010. Turboprop deliveries were down by 10 %, and much smaller category of multi-engine piston deliveries declined 40 %. Business Aviation

  • YoY flight activity (October 2015 vs. October

2014), TRAQPak data indicate that October 2015 posted an increase of 0.2%;

  • This missed TRAQPak’s forecasted yearly rise of

2.7%.The results by operational category continue to show growth on top of growth in the Part 135 industry, with a YoY increase of 3.2%.

  • The Part 91 market recorded a slight decline

from 2014, down -0.4%, while the Fractional market continued its run in the red for the third consecutive month, down -5.1%.

YoY YoY BizAv BizAv flight activity flight activity Defense spending as a share of GDP Defense spending as a share of GDP

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MARKET OVERVIEW

General / Business Aviation ATR

  • Experimental/LSA/Fixed wing

piston combines as a group are trending up

  • The GA fixed wing fleet hours

are in decline from 2016 on, with no recovery

  • Fixed wing Turbine ( TBM,

Pilatus, Caravan, Quest, King Air, Biz Jet) will continue to grow in service

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THE VALUE STREAM

Design & Certification Parts Production & Assembly Stocking & Distribution OEMs/Repair & Overhaul Owners & Operators

Suppliers Customers Business models along the value stream are in fundamental conflict

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DESSER FIVE FORCES

Competitors New Entrants Customers (Buyers) Substitutes Suppliers

Substitutes:

  • DER Repairs (-)
  • PMA Parts (+/-)

Power Varies Broadly by Market Segment…

Upgrades

  • STCs
  • Refresh
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  • Economic volatility is driving markets well below forecasted levels

for the near term

  • Even if “times are good” lessons from last down cycle are well

learned

– End users are pressing for greater value / lower costs

  • Traditional business models are under attack
  • OEMs learning how to block and fight back
  • Growth will require nimble solutions and competitive advantage is

short lived

CONCLUSIONS