Title Transport in Scotland What Next? Insert image if reqd - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Transport in Scotland – What Next? Alison Irvine Director of Transport Strategy and Analysis November 2018

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National Transport Policy Activity

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Drivers of Change - Transport

• Scottish Government’s commitment to

“Climate Change” agenda

• Air quality in our cities – Low Emission

Zones

• Move towards electric and alternate fuel

vehicles

• Impact of congestion on our transport

networks and bus patronage levels

• Increasing investment in sustainable

transport modes

• Changes in individual travel behaviour,

lifestyle choices and technology impact

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Reviews of Planning and Enterprise & Skills

• Planning Bill moving through the

parliamentary process

• Will offer opportunity to align

STPR2 with the National Planning Framework 4 (NPF4)

• Will help deliver on the

government’s “inclusive growth” agenda as part of Regional Economic Partnership approach

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Drivers of Change – City & Regional Deals

• City Deals secured for Glasgow, Aberdeen,

Inverness and Edinburgh and South East, Stirling and Clacks

• Substantial transport infrastructure elements

in existing confirmed deals

• Discussions on-going on growth deals for
• ther areas, including Ayrshires, Tay Cities,

Argyll and Bute and Borderlands

• Need for robust evidence and business case

to support transport “asks”

• Potential for transformational change in these

areas

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National Transport Strategy Review (NTS2)

• Scotland’s first national transport

strategy published in 2006

• NTS Refresh published in January

2016

• Build on the work of the NTS

Refresh and to articulate transport priorities for the next 20 years

• NTS Review started in 2017
• Early / On-going engagement
• Call for Evidence

NTS2 Due 2019

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NTS – Working Groups

• 3 x Functional working groups

Research and Evidence Strategic Framework Transport Roles and Responsibilities

• 4 x Thematic working groups

Delivering Safe and Resilient Transport Tackling Inequality Enabling Economic Growth Greener and Healthier

• Collaborative approach
• Co-chaired by external stakeholders

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Call for Evidence: Some themes, uncertainties and gaps in the evidence received GAPS

• Real world evidence on MaaS and other potentially

disruptive technology/service models

• What transport governance models will allow us to

achieve the outcomes we want in a Scottish context?

• External threats (e.g. climate, security) on the

transport system.

UNCERTAINTIES

• Regulatory models for public transport (mainly bus) were

contested

• Few submissions provided evidence on differential impacts of

transport interventions on demographic or geographic groups

• How many motorised miles on roads (for both personal travel and

freight) can realistically be substituted by other modes?

THEMES

• Transport can enable economic growth, but is rarely

sufficient on its own

• Mode shift away from private car use is important for

health & environment outcomes but less consensus on how this is best achieved

• Strong evidence on the health benefits of active travel

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Draft Vision and Outcomes

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NTS – Policy Assessment

• Key outputs from thematic groups

policy proposals

• Need to assess and appraisal the

impacts of each

• 3-stage appraisal process

Initial sift of policy options Refinement and consolidation Detailed consideration / combined impact of policies

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NTS – Scenario Planning

• Need for a tool / process that can

consider future drivers of change

• Work closely with thematic group

leads to understand policy inputs /

• utputs
• Modelling tool to assist with

understanding impacts of proposed policies - which is “quick” to use

• Now actively being used in the

assessment of policies

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STPR2 Key Principles

• Committed to a collaborative approach

building on the National Transport Strategy

• STPR2 will be linked with the National

Transport Strategy and will look forward considering forecasts and drivers for change

• Scotland-wide appraisal focussed on future

strategic transport interventions

• Will use objective led appraisal process set
• ut in Scottish Transport Appraisal Guidance

(STAG)

• The appraisal will take a national overview

but contain a regional focus

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STPR2 Key Principles

• It will draw on initial work undertaken or

currently in progress in Southern and North East Scotland

• It will deliver a 20-year plan for transport

investment which complements the new NTS

• STPR2 opportunity to consider at a national

level contribution transport infrastructure plays in delivering Scotland’s Economic Strategy

• STPR2 will take cognisance of:

Climate Change Plan Cycling Action Plan and Walking Strategy Scottish Ferry Services: Ferries Plan

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STPR2 Scope

• First STPR emphasis on Road / Rail

/Bus / P&R – focused on transport corridors / hubs

• STPR2 will consider at national level

infrastructure investment in: Road / Rail Active Travel Island Connectivity Buses Ferries

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Scope

• In producing recommendations we will adopt the investment

hierarchy: Investment aimed at maintaining and safely operating existing assets (ensuring the connections between where people live and work are of a suitable standard and safe) Investment promoting a range of measures, including innovative solutions, to make better use of existing capacity, ensuring the existing road and rail networks are fully optimised (these may include technology based, fiscal and ‘soft measures’ in addition to engineering solutions) Investment involving targeted infrastructure improvements

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Future Engagement

• Collaborative review process
• Engagement at various levels including

local authorities and RTPs to deliver a national level plan tailored to diverse local geographies.

• Early, ongoing contact with

stakeholders, interest groups and the public will deliver transparency in the process

• Positive experience of engagement on

recent appraisal studies – over 6000 responses received

• More details will emerge once

consultant is appointed

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Scope

• The national focus will consider the

strategic links between the cities and key ports, international gateways and cross border links.

• The regional focus will consider the

role of the strategic network in the context of regional economic geographies.

• All local authorities and RTPs will be

invited to be involved

• This will aim to draw on local / regional

planning, transport and economic development expertise

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National Connections

• Cross-border links and connections

to international gateways will be a major focus

• Key ports and airports and access

to these by all modes

• Maintaining access to key markets

will remain particularly important post-Brexit

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Early Work – Borders

• Borders Transport Corridors Study (draft

published)

• Huge level of interest, demonstrated by

public engagement response

• 21 emerging interventions from a long list
• f 100
• Includes:
• Improved active travel connections to

transport hubs / to certain key destinations

• Bus network improvements to key

locations – education / hospital / major centres

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Early Work – NE Scotland

• Early strategic transport pre-appraisal

work underway in the North East

• Multi-modal analysis based on STAG
• Identification of strategic corridors and key

connections within City and Shire

• Will consider strategic transport links

between North East and principal destinations and markets

• Supporting City & Region Deal, Regional

Transport Strategy and STPR2

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Early Work - SW Scotland

• Early appraisal work underway in the

South West -SW Scotland Transport Study

• Particular focus on access to ports at

Cairnryan

• This study (along with Borders and NE)

will provide emerging options that will be taken forward into STPR2

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NTS & STPR2 Timeline and Next Steps

• NTS policy collation and assessment 2018/9
• Consultation on draft Strategy 2019 /publication post consultation
• Procurement of STPR Consultant next few weeks
• Regional Engagement –first task in 2019 - NTS and STPR
• STPR Evidence gathering through 2019
• STPR Detailed Appraisal 2020
• STPR Reporting this Parliament
• Engagement continued throughout the process