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Using data to raise attainment through accountability Simon Burgess Engaging citizens through the use of statistics One part of this: Helping citizens choose public service providers by publishing performance data Schools In


  1. Using data to raise attainment through accountability Simon Burgess

  2. “Engaging citizens through the use of statistics”  One part of this:  Helping citizens choose public service providers by publishing performance data  Schools  In some countries, including England, schools collect, process and use a lot of data  This talk uses evidence from developed countries OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 2

  3. Why school accountability?  How to improve educational attainment?  And reduce educational inequalities?  Is there a role for school accountability?  Schools are entrusted with two resources:  The talent and potential of the nation’s children  Public money (schools spend over £30bn a year)  Schools should be accountable for what they do with these. OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 3

  4.  Accountability:  Level of ‘effort’  Focus of ‘effort’:  wider learning versus qualifications  professional independence  “closed doors”  Accountability in schools works through the provision of information on outcomes OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 4

  5. Is this good or bad?  Good – accountability mechanism can keep schools focussed and engaged, raises attainment.  Bad – school performance tables can lead to gaming or cheating, can lead to narrower learning, and create segregation; reduces attainment.  Empirical question OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 5

  6. Outline  Evidence on role of accountability in schools:  Wales and England  Portugal  The Netherlands  International comparisons  Gaming, unintended consequences and cheating  What sort of data to present? And how?  Value of providing school performance data OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 6

  7. Evaluating provision of school performance information  It’s hard to get at a causal effect:  Introduction of multi-faceted system all at once.  Lack of adequate control group  Need to find contexts that get around these problems. OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 7

  8. Case: Wales and England  Long-standing provision of performance information on schools, and school inspections  School performance tables (“league tables”) published annually in England and Wales from 1992  Devolution of power to Welsh Assembly Government (WAG) after a referendum in 1999  WAG abolished the publication of these league tables from 2001; they continued in England.  Otherwise, the educational systems continued to be similar. OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 8

  9. School Performance 1 in England and Wales School Percent 5 A*-C : All Obs 65 60 55 50 45 40 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year England Wales OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 9

  10. Results 1  The reform reduced average performance and widened inequality.  Significant and sizeable negative effect on pupil progress in Wales: 2 GCSE grades = 0.23 sd (school) = 0.09 sd (pupil)  Equivalent to raising class-sizes from 30 to 38  Heterogeneity:  Greatest effect on schools with most poor children  No effect in the top performance quartile of schools OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 10

  11. “Just wait for the PISA scores to come out …” Maths Reading 540 500 460 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 Science 540 500 460 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 year England Wales Graphs by subject OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 11

  12. Results 2 • Results suggest no significant and consistent change in any dimension of sorting. • If anything, a hint of polarisation in Wales OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 12

  13. Change of policy:  Leighton Andrews, Minister for Children, Education and Lifelong Learning, 2011, Cardiff. “We will introduce a national system for the grading of schools which will be operated by all local authorities/consortia. … All schools will produce an annual public profile containing performance information to a common format” OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 13

  14. Recent studies: Portugal  In Portugal, Reis et al (2015) show that the publication of school rankings make a significant difference to parents’ choice of schools and to schools’ enrolment .  Fewer students enroll in low ranked schools and their probability of closure increases  Reis, A., Nunes, L. and Seabra, C. (2015) ‘The publication of school rankings: a step toward increased accountability?’ Economics of Education Review , (forthcoming) . OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 14

  15. Recent studies: Netherlands  Koning and van der Weil (2012) show that publishing school quality scores (following campaigning by a newspaper) affects school performance substantially.  Previous quality scores have an effect on school performance: both average grades and the number of diplomas go up after receiving a negative score .  Koning, P. and van der Wiel (2012) ‘School responsiveness to quality rankings: An empirical analysis of secondary education in the Netherlands.’ De Economist, vol. 160(4), pp. 339 – 355. OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 15

  16. International comparisons  Work of Hanushek and Woessmann shows that strong accountability and autonomy together help to raise attainment on international comparable tests.  Hanushek, E. and Woessmann, L. (2015) The Knowledge Capital of Nations: Education and the Economics of Growth. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press  Hanushek, E. and Woessmann , L. (2011) ‘The Economics of International Differences in Educational Achievement.’ Handbook of the Economics of Education vol 3, Edited by Eric A. Hanushek, Stephen Machin and Ludger Woessmann.  Woessman , L. (2007) ‘School Accountability, Autonomy, Choice, and the Level of Student Achievement: International Evidence from PISA 2003.’ OECD Education Working Papers, No. 13, OECD Publishing.  Woessmann, L. (2014) ‘The Economic Case for Education’ EENEE Analytical Report No. 20, EENEE. http://www.eenee.de/eeneeHome/EENEE/Analytical-Reports.html OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 16

  17. Gaming, unintended consequences and cheating  Focus resources on what/who is tested:  Subjects, topics, grades/years, students  Cheating by teachers or school administrators  Other inappropriate responses  Long-run effects? OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 17

  18. What sort of data to present? And how?  Data to help answer the question “how will my child do in this school?”  Trade-off between functionality and comprehensibility  Progress (value- added) data best but complexities …  Sparse, simple information in a recognisable metric and an accessible format. OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 18

  19. “Engaging citizens through the use of statistics”  If pupils sit the same tests, graded outside the school, then the cost of publishing the performance data is minimal  If not, cost is large and many other issues too  Significant benefits of providing school performance data  Same arguments true for other public services OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 19

  20. Relevant papers:  (2015) Human Capital and Education: The State of the Art in the Economics of Education http://www.coeure.eu/wp- content/uploads/Human-Capital-and-education.pdf  (2013) A natural experiment in school accountability: the impact of school performance information on pupil progress. Journal of Public Economics . Vol. 106, pp. 57 – 67. With D. Wilson and J. Worth  (2013) Evaluating the provision of school performance information for school choice. Economics of Education Review. Vol 34, pp. 175 – 190. With R. Allen.  (2011) Can school league tables help parents choose schools? Fiscal Studies . Vol. 32 (2) pp. 245 – 262. With R. Allen. OECD - PARIS21 simonburgesseconomics.co.uk 20

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