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The Shifting Demographics of Congressional Briefing Rural America: Washington, D.C. Health and Mortality April 3, 2017 Dr. Wesley James Department of Sociology University of Memphis The Transition of United States Geographic Mortality


  1. The Shifting Demographics of Congressional Briefing Rural America: Washington, D.C. Health and Mortality April 3, 2017 Dr. Wesley James Department of Sociology University of Memphis

  2. The Transition of United States Geographic Mortality Disparities in Historical Context Urban Mortality No Penalty Rural Mortality Penalty Penalty ( Urban Mortality Equal To ( Urban Mortality Exceeds Rural Mortality ) Rural Mortality ) Prior to 1900 1940 1985 Present

  3. Trends in Rural-Urban Mortality Rates 1400 1300 1200 1100 Rural US Urban US 1000 900 800 700 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 National Center for Health Statistics. Compressed Mortality File, 1968-2012.

  4. Trends in Rural-Urban Mortality Rates by Race 1700 Rural US White Urban US White 1600 Rural US Black Urban US Black 1500 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 National Center for Health Statistics. Compressed Mortality File, 1968-2012.

  5. The Shifting Rate of Change in Mortality Rates Excess Deaths and Rate of Change By Rural-Urban and Race Excess Deaths Rate of Change Rate of Change (1986-2012) (1968-1985) (1986-2012) Rural U.S. >700,000 1.57% 0.62% Urban U.S. --- 1.56% 1.06% Rural White 693,300 1.62% 0.62% Urban White --- 1.59% 1.10% Rural Black 53,657 1.52% 0.94% Urban Black --- 1.37% 1.43% • High rates of rural mortality are due to a slow down in the annual rate of improvement since the mid-1980s • Rural white mortality has seen the greatest decline in improvement • More than 700,000 rural deaths occurred due to unequal death rates National Center for Health Statistics. Compressed Mortality File, 1968-2012.

  6. Declining Life Expectancy • Declining life expectancy corresponds with increasing mortality • The first decrease since 1999 National Center for Health Statistics. Compressed Mortality File, 1968-2015.

  7. Deaths of Despair • An important part of rural America’s problems is the recently identified opioid epidemic o Accompanied by suicide and alcoholism • Alarming increase in deaths due to external causes for mid-life white Americans with little education • This corresponds with declining reports of physical and mental health, joblessness, joint pain, sciatica, distress, isolation Case and Deaton, 2015, 2017

  8. Geographic Expansion of Deaths of Despair http://bruegel.org/2017/03/the-american-opioid-epidemics/

  9. International Comparison of Deaths of Despair Source: “Mortality and morbidity in the 21st century” by Anne Case and Angus Deaton, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Spring 2017

  10. Deaths of Despair by Sex and Education Level Source: “Mortality and morbidity in the 21st century” by Anne Case and Angus Deaton, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Spring 2017

  11. Take Home Points • Deaths in America are not created equal o Rural Americans die at a higher rate than urban Americans, and it’s getting worse every year • Who is hit the hardest? o Rural black Americans o Rural, middle-aged white women and men o < high school education o Unemployed o Those who accumulate disadvantages • The American Dream?

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