The scale of migration affecting Hungary Jan-Feb 2014 2015 2016 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

the scale of migration affecting hungary
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The scale of migration affecting Hungary Jan-Feb 2014 2015 2016 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

T HE POLITICAL AND SOCIAL IMPACT OF MIGRATION IN H UNGARY Bulcs Hunyadi Senior Analyst, Political Capital Institute hunyadi@politicalcapital.hu 1 The scale of migration affecting Hungary Jan-Feb 2014 2015 2016 2017 Number of registered


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THE POLITICAL AND SOCIAL IMPACT OF

MIGRATION IN HUNGARY

Bulcsú Hunyadi Senior Analyst, Political Capital Institute hunyadi@politicalcapital.hu

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The scale of migration affecting Hungary

2014 2015 2016 Jan-Feb 2017 Number of registered asylum seekers 42,777 177,135 29,432 969 Number of illegal border crossings n.a. 413,043 19,069 304

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Timeline of arrival of refugees in 2015

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The political environment

  • Anti-immigration rhetoric started as a ’pilot’ in Q4 2014
  • Full speed after the Charlie Hebdo attack in January 2015
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Anti-immigration campaign since 2015

  • Continuous campaign of an unimaginable scale

National consultation

  • n immigration and

terrorism (2015)

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Impact on the society

  • Sentiments driven by government’s campaigns and rhetoric

Source: Tárki

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Impact on the society & political agenda

  • Government pins the issue to the top of its agenda

Source: Eurobarometer Immigration Terrorism

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Impact on the political language

All elements of far-right rhetoric

  • Fearmongering
  • Word choice: ‘refugees’  ‘illegal immigrants’
  • Securitisation: migrants = criminals & terrorists
  • Cultural/religious aspect: ‘Christian Europe will be conquered

by Muslim immigrants’

  • Eurosceptic element: ‘It’s the EU’s fault’
  • Conspiracy elements: ‘migration organised by George Soros’
  • Anti-establishment elements: PM Orbán & the people of

Europe vs. European leaders

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Political rationale

  • Tactic: Polarisation by presenting symbolic enemies 

Constant state of emergency  Constant mobilisation Objectives:

  • Creating a new dichotomy, restructuring the political agenda
  • Left vs. Right  ‘Patriots’ vs. ‘Enemies of the nation’
  • Diverting attention from bad governance
  • Utilising anti-establishment sentiments
  • Discrediting & eliminating critical voices

(=‘enemies’)

  • Securing

domestic power by transforming the political landscape of the EU (‘populist revolt’)

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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

Bulcsú Hunyadi hunyadi@politicalcapital.hu www.politicalcapital.hu www.derexindex.eu