The Outlook in 2013 Anne Ray September 10, 2013 Affordable housing - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The Outlook in 2013 Anne Ray September 10, 2013 Affordable housing - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Affordable Rental Housing Preservation The Outlook in 2013 Anne Ray September 10, 2013 Affordable housing needs are increasing Low Income (<60% AMI), Cost Burdened (>40%) Renters, 2005-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and


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Affordable Rental Housing Preservation The Outlook in 2013

Anne Ray September 10, 2013

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Affordable housing needs are increasing

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey

Low Income (<60% AMI), Cost Burdened (>40%) Renters, 2005-2011

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Florida’s Assisted Housing Inventory

 Affordable rental housing subsidized by Florida Housing,

HUD, USDA RD, local housing finance authorities

 2,265 developments with 246,527 units  1,052 developments/62,513 units receive HUD or RD

project-based rental assistance

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Lost Properties Inventory

Source: Shimberg Center for Housing Studies, Assisted Housing Inventory & Lost Properties Inventory

Assisted units lost, 1993-2012

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Lost units stall affordable housing progress

Source: Shimberg Center for Housing Studies, Assisted Housing Inventory & Lost Properties Inventory

Assisted units gained vs. units lost, 2004-2012

 Net change, 2004-2007: +15,573 units  Net change, 2008-2012: -728 units

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Properties at risk

 Expiring subsidies by 2020:

 Section 8 contracts: 145 developments (14,059 units)  Expiring mortgages/LURAs: 35 developments (4,604 units)

 Aging developments (30+ years old): 432 developments

(41,443 units)

 Failing REAC scores: 32 developments (4,299 units)

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Preservation focus on HUD/RD rental assistance units

Florida’s rental assistance units:

 Average annual income: $11,342  72% of households are extremely low-income (<30%

AMI)

 Half of households are elderly  Half of units are 0-1 BR; 1/3 are 2 BR

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Rental assistance greatly reduces tenant payments

Sources: Shimberg Center for Housing Studies, Assisted Housing Inventory; U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey

Average Tenant-Paid Rents in Florida

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Next preservation risk: 30-year LIHTC

Sources: Shimberg Center for Housing Studies, Assisted Housing Inventory

Units with Expiring LIHTC Restrictions, 2021-2030

Total potential loss: 18,414 units

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Rental Market Study links

 All reports available at

http://www.shimberg.ufl.edu/publications3.html

 Contact Anne Ray, 352-273-1195, aray@ufl.edu