The Leading Airline in Central Asia
Dubai presentation 28 March 2019
Ibrahim Canliel Chief Financial Officer
The Leading Airline in Central Asia Ibrahim Canliel Chief Financial - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Leading Airline in Central Asia Ibrahim Canliel Chief Financial Officer Dubai presentation 28 March 2019 Legal Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Air Astana. The information contained herein has been prepared to assist
The Leading Airline in Central Asia
Dubai presentation 28 March 2019
Ibrahim Canliel Chief Financial Officer
This presentation has been prepared by Air Astana. The information contained herein has been prepared to assist parties in making their own evaluation of the Company. It does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all of the information that a prospective investor may desire. Each recipient of the information should perform their own independent investigation and analysis of the investment prospects of the Company. The information and data contained herein are not a substitute for the recipient’s independent evaluation and analysis. Parties who are interested in pursuing further discussions regarding prospective investment opportunities will be given the opportunity to perform further due diligence in due course. All initial communications or inquiries relating to this presentation should be directed to Air Astana.
Legal Disclaimer
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019 2
The leading airline in Central Asia with Western safety and service standards Full-service airline with low cost structure Unique location as an ideal hub connecting the Asia, Europe and CIS Multiple growth levers with untapped potential from the sixth freedom traffic Modern and efficient fleet of Western-made aircraft Best-in-class management team with international track record Announced FlyArystan as the first Central Asian low cost carrier, launching in May 1 3 4 5 6 Exposed to attractive long term growth dynamics 2
2 1 3 4 5 7 8 6
The regional market leader – Positioned for growth
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Our mission is to build one of the finest airlines in the world
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019
> Shareholders
> 51% Samruk-Kazyna JSC > 49% BAE Systems
> Revenues US$840.8m > Passengers 4.3m > 86% on-time performance > Best Airline in Central Asia – 7 years in row (SkyTrax Awards)
Aircraft in fleet
Average fleet age
Employees
Countries
Air routes In numbers
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> First in the CIS to receive 4-star rating of the prestigious Skytrax World Airline Awards > 2012-2018 “Best Airline in Central Asia and India” by Skytrax > 2018 TripAdvisor’s “Travelers' Choice Regional Airline” > 2018 “Five Star Major Regional Airline” by Airline Passenger Experience Association
Service excellence
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Our growing route network
> Increasing international footprint > Close proximity to fast-growing Asian markets > Significant potential with Sixth Freedom traffic > Astana building strong hub position in Central Asia region
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2011 2012 2014 2017 2018 2009 2002 2003 2007 2008
September Foundation of Air Astana as a joint venture between the RK and BAE Systems
May First flight — Almatyto Astana to Almaty September First international flight — Almaty to Dubai to Almaty August First JAR/EASA 145 certification for Engineering and Maintenance December Launch of Frequent Flyer Programme December Official registration by IATA as an IOSA- compliant carrier December Launch of the Ab-initio pilots training programme June Achievement of 3-star
June 2nd place in “Best AirlineEastEurope”at the 2011 World AirlineAwards October First own aircraft delivery 2012-2018 – Skytrax awardsfor “BestAirline inCentralAsia andIndia”forthesevenyearsinarow November2012— June2014 6 x A320 and 3 x B767 added Nov 2016 – Dec 2017 Delivery of first A320 NEOand A321 NEO aircraft November Delivery of first E2 aircraft November Announcement to launch FlyArystan-the first LCC in the region December 2017 Opening of aviation technical centrein Astana June Achieves IATA 100% E-Ticketingtarget (first in CIS) 2001
Company history and key milestones
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> A team of highly experienced professionals led by Peter Foster, a CEO with more than 35 years of management experience > Pedigree of major European and Asian airlines and BAE Systems > Average tenure amongst the top management of 11 years with a turnover
> Strong commitment to corporate governance
Experienced senior management team
Peter Foster President & CEO
35 years in the industry 13 years with the company Previously: Cathay Pacific Airways and Royal Brunei Airlines
Ibrahim Canliel Chief Financial Officer
25 years in the industry 15 years with the company Previously: KLM
Gerhard Coetzee Senior Vice-president Corporate Safety Compliance
25 years in the industry 13 years with the company Previously: BAE Systems
Keith Wardle Vice President Engineering and Maintenance
34 years in the industry 4 years with the company Previously: BAE Systems, DHL Express
Alma Aliguzhinova Chief Planning Officer
17 years with the company MBA in Business Management MBA in Aerospace
Anthony Regan Chief Operating Officer
36 years in the industry 6 years with the company Previously: Cityjet, Park Aviation, Irish Air Corps
Yerdaulet Shamshiyev Vice President Strategy and Development
20 years in the industry 17 years with the company
YevgeniyaNi Vice President HR and Administration
16 years with the company Diplomas in Legal and English/French languages
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019 8
Kazakhstan Domestic market share Kazakhstan International market share
Air Astana 35%
Aeroflot 16% Scat 7% S7 Airlines 5%
Turkish Airlines 5% Ukraine Airlines 4%
Others 28%
Air Astana 46%
SCAT 28% Bek Air 20% Qazaq Air 6%
Domestic and International market share in 2018
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1 1
2,184 2,281 2,088 2,156 2,068 1,384 1,395 1,351 1,548 1,532 202 186 310 489 723
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Passengers ('000)
Domestic routes International routes 6th freedom traffic 3,770 3,862 3,749 4,193 4,323
11,668 12,417 12,717 13,590 14,267
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
ASK (Million)
Passengers carried and capacity
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1.2 3.1 3.8 4.1 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.0 5.7
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: The World Bank
Passenger growth in Kazakhstan (PAX mm)
5,7% 3,9% 3,8% 3,1%
Asia Pacific CIS Europe North America
Air Travel penetration vs. GDP per capita
Number of passengers per capita
1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2
Malaysia EU-28 Kazakhstan Denmark Norway Switzerland China Brazil Romania Austria Germany UK Netherlands France Italy Spain Greece Portugal Bulgaria Croatia Malaysia Thailand UAE Finland Russia Kazakhstan 10 1 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 0.1 GDP per capita, $
Passenger growth (RPK) 2017-2037E CAGR
Source: Boeing
The Kazakh aviation market
New passenger record in 2018
growth in international travel routes 2013- 2018
passenger growth 2009-2017
more passengers per capita in Malaysia vs Kazakhstan
transit passengers in 2018, up 40%
passenger growth (RPK) expected in Asia Pacific 2017-2037 Air Astana | Presentation March 2019 11
Russia
> Central Asia’s first Low Cost Carrier > Announced in November 2018 > Ticket sales start 29th March 2019 > First flight expected 1st May 2019 > Separate AOC expected in early 2020 > Separate management team and business model > Initially a domestic offering but with ambitions to service the significant near home markets > The LCC will stimulate significant new traffic in its chosen markets – Kazakh propensity to fly just 0.22 > FlyArystan’s flight schedule has been constructed to where possible complement the existing schedule of Air Astana > EBITDAR positive in 2019 and with significant growth potential
Launch of Low Cost Carrier (LCC) - FlyArystan
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019 Based on extrapolated Air Astana frequent flyer data
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Kazakhs don’t yet fly domestically
The opportunity for an LCC in Central Asia is obvious
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019 13
+18%
Air Astana’s historical passenger growth by region
Passengers per year (‘000)
2013 2018
180 213
China
460 591
Russia
+28% 151 252
UAE & India
+67%
3,675 4,323
Total passengers
+18% 185 723
6th Freedom
+291%
Outstanding growth prospects
> Increased frequencies and improved connectivity have driven traffic flows > Focus on under-served markets with substantial size (e.g. Urumchi with 17m population and 28m catchment area) > Low unit costs allow Air Astana to compete and grow effectively > Competitive and dynamic pricing > Aggressive marketing > Expected passenger traffic growth translates into a requirement to double the fleet
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B767-300ER/ERW (PW) B757-200 (RR) A320 CEO/NEO (IAE/PW) E190LR/E2 (GE) A321 CEO/NEO (IAE/PW)
> Currently Air Astana operates a mixed fleet of 34 aircraft from western manufacturers > The Airline plans significant fleet expansion and replacement over the next 5 years > Current fleet age – 8.4 years > Expected fleet age by end of 2020 – 3.7 years - younger than competitors’ existing fleet
32 64 2017 2026
Fleet overview and expansion
2X
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019
Current Average age of fleet
15
4.4 5.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 8.2 8.4 9.2 9.9 10.6 10.9 11.3 11.3 11.9 15.1 16 Aeroflot China Eastern Singapore China Southern Air China Turkish Airlines Air Astana Qantas Cathay Pacific AA Air France - KLM CIS average IAG Lufthansa United Airlines Delta Air Lines
New International Terminal in Nursultan Nazarbayev International Airport
Nursultan Nazarbayev International Airport – An opportunity for growth
> One of the biggest airports in Central Asia > Commenced operation in June 2017 > Significantly Improved transit facilities > Capacity of the airport will more than double to 8.2 million passengers per year
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> First MRO Technical Centre in Central Asia > 5,500m2 weatherproof area > Creating 190 highly skilled jobs > Heavy maintenance capability together with expertise in composites repair and non- destructive testing
Leading MRO Technical Centre in Central Asia
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324,209 252,811 179,914 214,190 221,777 610,571 508,936 441,100 553,347 619,084
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Operating revenue ('000 USD)
Domestic routes International routes 761,747 621,014 767,537 840,861 934,780
209,903 138,219 123,744 150,126 130,862
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
EBITDAR ('000 USD)
EBITDAR ('000 USD)
Key financial indicators 2014-2018
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5.01 4.54 3.56 3.83 4.03 7.17 5.87 4.59 5.18 5.64
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Cost per ASK (US cents)
Cost per ASK excl.fuel (US cents) Cost per ASK (US cents)
28% 15% 14% 14% 9% 6% 5% 9%
Fuel Airport & Ground Engineering Staff costs Leasing AC & Spares Navigation Passenger related Other
Key financial indicators 2014-2018
Operating costs breakdown for 2018
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019 19
CASK 2018 (adjusted), us cents per ask
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019 20 14.2 13.3 12.7 12.2 10.8 10.5 10.2 9.9 8.8 8.7 8.1 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.7 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.8 3.4
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Airline data is based on 2017 and adjusted for fuel price increase in 2018.
Conclusion
Air Astana | Presentation March 2019 21
Our mission:
From the Heart of Eurasia we are building one of the finest airlines in the world.
Our purpose:
to deliver maximum returns to our shareholders by maintaining high levels of efficiency, excellence and passenger satisfaction A regional hub Uniquely positioned to capture growth as a hub connecting Asia, Europe and the CIS Untapped potential FlyArystan presents substantial growth
largely under-served LCC market in Central Asia A low-cost structure A rigorous focus on efficiency drives our success and helps us maintain a low-cost base as a key strategic advantage World class team A best in class management team blends international experience with local knowledge to drive excellence