ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing Third Quarter 2009 Results Third Quarter


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SLIDE 1

Third Quarter 2009 Results Third Quarter 2009 Results Third Quarter 2009 Results Third Quarter 2009 Results

20 November 2009 20 November 2009 20 November 2009 20 November 2009

Third Quarter 2009 Results Third Quarter 2009 Results Third Quarter 2009 Results Third Quarter 2009 Results

20 November 2009 20 November 2009 20 November 2009 20 November 2009

ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing ASEAN Airline Takes Wing

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SLIDE 2

Disclaimer

Information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your reference. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the Company. Neither we nor our advisors make any representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, any information contained herein. In addition, the information may contain projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the company’s current views with respect to future events and financial

  • performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to

various risks factors and which may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the company’s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. This presentation can be distributed without any consent of the Company as this is a publicly available announcement.

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SLIDE 3

Key Highlights for Third Quarter

Strong third quarter results given challenging operating environment – core operating profit RM34 million, reversal from RM82 million loss in Q3-2008 – third quarter is our weakest quarter – consumer sentiment impacted by A-H1N1 and challenging global economy Raised RM505 million capital – issued 380 million shares @ 16% of issued paid up capital – reduced net gearing level to 2.6 times (previously a major concern by investors) Indonesia has turned the corner, produced profits of RM21 million – the power of the associates is unveiled – with more Airbus A320, cost structure will improve and so will profits Issues with MAHB settled – paid off disputed amount to MAHB – lower airport fees announced, significant savings for AirAsia Ancillary income strong growth trajectory

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SLIDE 4

Malaysia: Third Quarter in a Snapshot

Disciplined, profitable growth – revenue growth of 4% driven by 19% passenger growth Lowest cost airline in the world at 3.21* US cents / ASK Maintaining strong growth trajectory – high capacity growth matched by demand, constant load factor of 75% – yield reduction (-7%) is significantly lower than other notable airlines which are

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Quarter Ended: 30 September RM'000 unless otherwise stated Revenue 739,668 707,909 4% EBITDAR 234,611 101,687 131% Core Operating Profit 33,834 (81,580) n/a Profit after Tax 130,072 (470,570) n/a Jul-Sep 2009 Jul-Sep 2008 (restated) Change y-o-y

* Change in Cost / ASK computation. Refer to Bursa announcement for further clarification

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SLIDE 5

Indonesia: Third Quarter in a Snapshot

Indonesia has turned the corner, net profit of IDR59 billion (RM21 million) Platform for sustained profitability has been established

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Indonesia Cost / ASK (US cents)

4 .16 5.0 6 5.2 7 4 .0 5 3 .2 5 3 .6 5 3 .8 4 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 Q1

  • 2008

Q2- 2008 Q3- 2008 Q4- 2008 Q1

  • 2009

Q2- 2009 Q3- 2009

Indonesia Margin Spread (RASK - CASK)

  • 0 .76
  • 0 .8 8
  • 0 .11

0 .0 8

  • 0 .2 5
  • 0 .4 4

0 .16

  • 1

.00

  • 0.80
  • 0.60
  • 0.40
  • 0.20

0.00 0.20 Q1

  • 2008

Q2- 2008 Q3- 2008 Q4- 2008 Q1

  • 2009

Q2- 2009 Q3- 2009

Indonesia AirAsia Cost / ASK Indonesia AirAsia Cost / ASK New Route Strategy is Producing Profits New Route Strategy is Producing Profits

Airbus A320 replacement into fleet is – enhancing efficiency

– increasing capacity – lowering operational cost

Access to international routes has significantly improved operations – improved the RASK vs. CASK spread – Australia and Singapore routes are high yielding and high loads

Stable cost Streamline capacity in the second quarter 2009

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SLIDE 6

Thailand Cost / ASK (US cents)

5.4 6 5.6 4 5.52 4 .14 4 .15 4 .13 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 Q1

  • 2008

Q2- 2008 Q3- 2008 Q4- 2008 Q1

  • 2009

Q2- 2009 Q3- 2009

Thailand: Third Quarter in a Snapshot

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  • Thailand is headed towards the right direction

Thailand AirAsia Cost / ASK Thailand AirAsia Cost / ASK New Route Strategy is Producing Profits New Route Strategy is Producing Profits Stable cost

Airbus A320 replacement into fleet is – enhancing efficiency

– Increasing capacity – lowering operational cost

Underlying demand is positive – underlying demand is positive, but it is due to low fare stimulation – AirAsia ideally positioned to capture huge upside when market turns

Thailand Load Factor

78 .2 % 71.5% 79 .1% 74 .6 % 73 .9 % 6 9 .4 % 77.5% 65.0% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0% Q1

  • 2008

Q2- 2008 Q3- 2008 Q4- 2008 Q1

  • 2009

Q2- 2009 Q3- 2009

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SLIDE 7

AirAsia X: Third Quarter in a Snapshot

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  • The long haul, low cost model is proven successful

Passengers Carried Passengers Carried Revenue (RM million) Revenue (RM million)

Strong level of acceptance of AAX services as seen by high passenger growth and load factors Upgrading fleet with new seats

– extra comfort at better value

Kept cash balance in tact despite financing three aircraft during the period Fourth quarter looking positive with strong loads and high yields

Passenger Carried and Load Factor

146,196 217,731 288,044 69% 69% 77%

1 00,000 200,000 300,000 400,000

Q1

  • 2009

Q2-2009 Q3-2009

4 0 % 5 0 % 6 0 % 7 0 % 8 0 %

PAX Load Factor

Revenue (RM million)

12 8 ,8 9 0 14 9 ,10 4 19 5,79 4 1 00,000 1 25,000 1 50,000 1 75,000 200,000 Q1

  • 2009

Q2-2009 Q3-2009

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SLIDE 8

26 37 41 70 91 130 95 42 74 31 50 12.0 13.3 15.2 15.1 15.7 17.8 23.1 22.1 29.0 27.0 36.2

20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0

Ancillary Income (RM million) Spend / pax

Ancillary income growth ahead of expectations Relatively stable profits as it is seasonally insensitive Further growth potential at limited additional cost

Strong Ancillary Income Growth

AirAsia Ancillary Income Growth AirAsia Ancillary Income Growth

2007 2008 2009

Ancillary Income Target Ancillary Income Target

36 29 40 52 Q3-2009 2010 2011

Actual Target

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SLIDE 9

Balance Sheet Cash Rich

  • Q1-

2008 Q2- 2008 Q3- 2008 Q4- 2008 Q1- 2009 Q2- 2009 Q3- 2009

Net Gearing (Net Debt/ Equity) Net Gearing (Net Debt/ Equity)

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Fuel Hedge Unwinding

Raised RM505 million capital

– issued 380 million shares @ 16% of issued paid up capital – reduced net gearing level to 2.6 times (previously a major concern by investors)

5-Day free seats campaign generated approximately RM200 million

– “free seats” halo generates revenue for ancillary sources

Capital Raising

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SLIDE 10

The Real “Gearing” is Low

1.80 2,587 6,688 (2,028) 4,668 RM million Net Gearing Shareholders Equity Net debt Aircraft debt related to Thailand and Indonesia Debt specific for Malaysia Malaysia Gearing on a Standalone Basis

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As the associates take on aircraft into their balance sheet

– Thailand and Indonesia will eventually take on assets to their balance sheet – will form an asset light structure AirAsia Berhad

Intrinsic gearing for AirAsia is low, and will reduce going forward

– strong cash growth supported by cash from operations – Capex for Malaysian operations will be relatively “low” in the next two years

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SLIDE 11

6 11 65 75 104 129 52 26

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 NOW

Route Network Constantly Growing

AirAsia Group Routes AirAsia Group Routes AirAsia Group Route Network AirAsia Group Route Network Expanding the Hub Network Expanding the Hub Network

Note: Years represent calendar year end, “Now” as of 20 Nov ’09 Number of routes includes AirAsia X services

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  • Penang (established in July)
  • ideally suited to link China & India
  • Surabaya (established August)
  • ideally suited to link China & India
  • Phuket (established in November)
  • strong tourist appeal
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SLIDE 12

India Beckons

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Trichy Kolkata Trivandrum Kochi Bangalore Hyderabad Chennai Delhi

Existing

– Kuala Lumpur to Trichy (2x day) is AirAsia’s top ten profitable route

Launched

– Kuala Lumpur to Kolkata – Kuala Lumpur to Kochi – Kuala Lumpur to Trivandrum

Coming up

– Kuala Lumpur to Chennai – Penang to Chennai – Kuala Lumpur to Bangalore – Kuala Lumpur to Hyderabad – Kuala Lumpur to Mumbai – Kuala Lumpur to Delhi

Prospects

– Bangkok to Delhi – Bangkok to Kolkata – Bangkok to Amritsar

Amritsar

1.1 billion people US$3.1 trillion economy ± ± ± ± 20 potential airports

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SLIDE 13

149 173 175 125 101 86 70 56 19 12 2008 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E

Boeing 737-300 Airbus A320

AirAsia Group Net Fleet Size AirAsia Group Net Fleet Size Capacity (ASK) Growth Projection Capacity (ASK) Growth Projection

Realigned Fleet Schedule to Achieve Optimal Growth and Operational Requirements

  • Deferred an additional eight aircraft for 2011 deliveries

– to address airport infrastructure constraints at Kuala Lumpur LCCT – total of 16 aircraft deferred for 2010 & 2011 deliveries

  • Boeing 737-300 aircraft are 100% phased out by 2010
  • One of the youngest Airbus fleet (1 year 11 months)

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11% 9% 20% 23% 12% 21% 2010 2011

Malaysia Thailand Indonesia

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SLIDE 14

Best Airline in Asia Pacific – AGAIN

AirAsia and AirAsia X jointly won the coveted “Airline of the Year” awarded by Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation – first airline to win this award back-to-back (2008 & 2009) World’s best low cost carrier, awarded by Skytrax

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SLIDE 15

Result Commentary

  • Third Quarter 2009
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SLIDE 16

4,833 5,449 Q3-2008 Q3-2008

Capacity Rollout (ASK million) Capacity Rollout (ASK million)

14.2 12.6 Q3-2008 Q3-2009

Capacity Rollout Matches Demand

Revenue / ASK ( Revenue / ASK (sen sen) )

The operations can sustain the rapid capacity growth

75.4% 75.4% Q3-2008 Q3-2009

Load Factor (%) Load Factor (%)

+13%

  • 11%

Average fare drop is offset by higher ancillary income contribution

  • Average stage length reduced by 6%

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SLIDE 17

Result Commentary

  • 9 Months 2009
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SLIDE 18

Summary of 9 Months Result

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  • 12%

14.11 12.48 Revenue / ASK (sen) 23.9 p.p.t 24.8% 48.6% EBITDAR Margin n/a

  • 3.3%

16.3% Core Operating Profit Margin

  • 0.9 p.p.t

74.3% 73.4% Load factor

  • 19%

13.07 10.59 Cost / ASK (sen) n/a (59,348) 328,233 Core Operating Profit (RM’000) 119% 447,198 977,331 EBITDAR (RM’000) 12% 1,802,148 2,010,134 Revenue (RM’000) ∆ ∆ ∆ ∆ (%) Jan-Sep 2008 Jan-Sep 2009 9 Months Ended: 30 September

Strong core operating profit performance of RM328 million

– industry leading margins of 16.3%

Strong ancillary income growth offsetting impact of lower fares Lower cost underpinning high profitability Stable load factors despite significant capacity addition and new routes

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SLIDE 19

Outlook

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SLIDE 20

Demand Remains Robust

75% 45% 26% 24% 67% 43% 32% 19%

Nov Dec Jan Feb

% Total seats sold as of 18 November

2009 2008 21% 2,611,556 3,147,609 Seats sold in first quarter 24% 2,835,671 3,519,486 Seats sold in second quarter 19% 3,018,395 3,590,744 Seats sold in third quarter ∆ ∆ ∆ ∆ % 2008 2009 AirAsia Berhad

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SLIDE 21

Summary

Challenging environment, but AirAsia is well placed to take advantage

– airports are offering attractive deals in return for growth – other airlines are not introducing new routes, thus making it easier for AirAsia to expand

Managing risk – hedged approximately 20% of Q4-2009 fuel requirements

– fixed swap of US$74.98 per barrel (Jet Kerosene) – monitoring the market for hedges beyond 2009

New routes are performing exceptionally well Passenger growth very robust across the Group

– Malaysia is enjoying good loads and support for new routes – Indonesia’s load is robust with high yields – Thailand’s passenger numbers are robust, yields improving

Fuel surcharge will be imposed if high oil prices persists Cash position is growing from strength to strength

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SLIDE 22

Appendix Appendix

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SLIDE 23

Fleet Composition (30 September 2009)

64 9 10 45 Airbus A320 82 16 18 47 Total 18 8 8 2 * Boeing 737 Group Total Indonesia Thailand Malaysia Number of Aircraft

* Boeing 737-300 is awaiting to be sold off, these aircraft are not used for operations

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SLIDE 24

Cost Breakdown –Third Quarter

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Staff Costs 0.36 0.36 0% Fuel and Oil 1.37 2.73

  • 50%

User & Station Charges 0.29 0.23 23% Maintenance and Overhaul 0.15 0.12 23% Aircraft Lease Rental 0.15 0.13 13% Depreciation & Amortisation 0.43 0.44

  • 2%

Sales & Marketing 0.17 0.14 15% Others 0.30 0.17 70% Cost / ASK 3.21 4.34

  • 26%

Cost / ASK - excluding fuel 1.84 1.61 15% Cost Breakdown (US cents / ASK) Change y-o-y Jul-Sep 2008 (restated) Jul-Sep 2009

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SLIDE 25

Cost Breakdown – 9 months

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Staff Costs 0.33 0.36

  • 9%

Fuel and Oil 1.15 2.38

  • 52%

User & Station Charges 0.23 0.15 55% Maintenance and Overhaul 0.16 0.14 19% Aircraft Lease Rental 0.16 0.15 5% Depreciation & Amortisation 0.41 0.44

  • 7%

Sales & Marketing 0.26 0.16 66% Others 0.13 0.14

  • 5%

Cost / ASK 2.83 3.92

  • 28%

Cost / ASK - excluding fuel 1.69 1.54 10% Cost Breakdown (US cents / ASK) Jan-Sep 2009 Jan-Sep 2008 (restated) Change y-o-y