Gordon Institute of Business Science, Johannesburg| 28 October 2015
The Gold Mining Company
- f the Future
The Gold Mining Company of the Future Nick Holland, CEO Gold Fields - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Gold Mining Company of the Future Nick Holland, CEO Gold Fields Gordon Institute of Business Science, Johannesburg| 28 October 2015 Contents Where are The global Gold Industry has failed to we today? realize full value over the last
Gordon Institute of Business Science, Johannesburg| 28 October 2015
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WHERE ARE WE TODAY?
1 includes grade degradation, processing recoveries and tougher operating conditions
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Source: World Bank Pink Book, WoodMackenzie 1 All In Sustaining Costs = total cash cost + sustaining capex
Average annual gold price and cost, US$ per ounce
AISC1 Gold Price
1,400 800 1,000 400 600 1,200 1,600 200 2,000 1,800
+339% Margin, % 2 12 27 21 21 12 6 12
2 7
03 07 01 12 2000 13 05 11 02 2014 10 09 08 04 06
WHERE ARE WE TODAY?
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5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2.5 1.0 1.5 3.0 2.0 0.5 3.5 4.0
1 Invested capital including Goodwill and other intangibles Source: McKinsey Corporate Performance Analysis Team, Capital IQ, Annual reports ,McKinsey analysis
Enterprise Value to Invested Capital Ratio Multiple
2007 2014
Invested capital1 US$ bn
Size = Enterprise value representation
US$ bn Enterprise value and invested capital WHERE ARE WE TODAY?
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Source: Press search, company annual reports 1 2014 data for: Gold Corp, Newcrest, Barrick, Newmont Mining, Gold Fields, AngloGold Ashanti, Kinross
3 2013
Key elements in developing countries
WHAT ABOUT GOLD AS A COMMODITY?
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total GDP contribution, (direct contribution = 49 percent)
expenditure remains in the host country1, 2
producing countries are low or lower- middle income Contribution to global economy…
Source: Press search, Company annual reports 1 2014 Press search 2 2014 data for: Gold Corp, Newcrest, Barrick, Newmont Mining, Gold Fields, AngloGold Ashanti, Kinross 3 2013 World Gold Council
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2,000 1,200 2,400 1,600 800 400 Oil shock 161 Soviet/Afghanistan war; Iranian revolution 615 Black Monday 446 … and a safe haven around geo-political crises Peak post financial crisis 1,670 Gold price, US$/oz
WHAT ABOUT GOLD AS A COMMODITY?
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Source: CPM Group, SNL Metal Economics Group, McKinsey Global Institute, Press Search, Gold Fields
Demand Supply Trend Trend Long-term price impact Long-term price impact Increase in Chinese and Indian middle classes
Jewelry
Development of new Far East investment platforms to stimulate local demand for gold
Investment
No short-term technology advancements
Grade erosion/ depletion
Increased secondary supply from 2017 onwards in line with price recovery
Secondary supply
Implementation of cost reduction programmes and leaner production methods have mostly been implemented
Mining inflation Pipeline
Average reserve life has fallen from 18 years to 13 years Portfolio diversification; Protection against inflation and sovereign risk
Investment
Central banks continue to be net purchasers
Central banks
Short term cost reduction and efficiency improvements largely implemented
Productivity
Exploration spend has more than halved from 2012 to 2014 – reduced mine supply from 2006/17
Pipeline
WHAT ABOUT GOLD AS A COMMODITY?
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Source: Company annual reports and investor presentations
Requires new recipe for success
Gold industry needs to shift from reactivity to proactively shaping the gold industry of the future
WHAT DOES THE FUTURE LOOK LIKE?
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Source: Gold Fields
Talent and leadership
strong analytics and decisions based on empirical evidence
Operating practices & technology
digitized operations
collaboration with OEMs and IT firms
Partnerships
equity
with local communities
employees
JVs to share benefits and manage risks
commitment to socio-economic and environmental factors Responsibility & transparency
and adherence to world-class frameworks and standards WHAT DOES THE FUTURE LOOK LIKE?
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OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY
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What technologies could address this What challenges need to be addressed
Airborne Gravimetry - Electromagnetic surveys that provide greater coverage and depth 3D Seismics – High-resolution 3D geology model
Reducing the cost of exploration
OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY Deeper ore bodies without surface outcrops Increasing the chance of exploration success Directional drilling – drilling holes from a single site in different directions Size and qualities of discoveries are declining
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What technologies could address this What challenges need to be addressed
Advanced analytics and modelling Geographic Information Systems Real-time tracking of equipment/people Advanced mine planning – understanding the dependencies Precision drilling Back-filling of waste to boost extraction ratio Automation In-pit crushing and conveying Remote hauling trucks and loaders Hard-rock, non-explosive continuous mining AI and Robotics – learn from the military Underground technologies: Remote pillar mining; Large-scale block caving; Raise boring Increased mining depth Narrower ore bodies Improved safety Grade reduction necessitates high volumes Increased remoteness
Rising labour costs Escalating energy costs
OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY
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What technologies could address this What challenges need to be addressed
In-pit crushing and conveyance Predictive equipment maintenance monitoring High pressure grinding rolls Transmission sorting of ore through X-ray, density assessment High pressure leaching – when conventional leaching does not liberate the metals Environmentally friendly bio-leaching Real-time, accelerated rock sorting technologies Flexible closed-belt conveyor – adaptable to bends and changes in elevation Refractory ore bodies Lower grades, which reduce recoveries Increasing environmental controls Increasing water scarcity Increasing electricity costs
OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY
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What technologies could address this What challenges need to be addressed Increased energy efficiency Use of renewable energy forms Underground water treatment systems – no need to pump water to surface Water treatment solutions (eg. RO plants) Energy storage systems Rising energy costs Energy supply constraints and disruptions Carbon emission standards and regulation Stringent water emissions standards Increasing water scarcity Mine closure and rehabilitation
OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY
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BHP remote center in Perth
“Remote centre brings improved productivity through improved volume flows through
equipment by improving availability, utilization and rate”
Boliden remote center at Aitik
“Although the proportion
copper mine is low, less than 0.3%, it is a highly profitable mine because it is run so efficiently”
Rio Tinto remote center at Perth
“Oct 18 – Controlled from the Rio ops centre in Perth, 1 200km away, the first two mines in the world in Pilbara region started moving all of their iron ore using fully remote controlled trucks. It is now operating 69 driverless trucks across these mines. The trucks can run 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, without a driver, which has industry insiders estimating each truck can save around 500 work hours a year. Rio plans to fully automate its trains by the middle of next year.”
www.abc.net.au
OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY – MECHANISATION & AUTOMATION
Source: Press search
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OEMs
▪
Computer algorithm automatically detects patterns in exploration data indicative of mineralisation Drilling Blasting Loading Hauling Other support equipment
Source: Press search
▪
All major OEMS offer products with various level of automation
▪
Other firms specialize in retrofitting existing drills for automation
▪
OEMs developing autonomous excavators
▪
The charging process can be automated, with the required amount of explosive being entered beforehand
▪
Komatsu and Caterpillar have commercial offerings of remotely
▪
Hitachi running field trials
▪
All major OEMs are developing remote solutions for support equipment like dozers, shearers, etc.
TECHNOLOGY PARTNERS
Exploration
▪
OEMs have developed, tested and implemented a number of automated drilling products, for UG and surface use Underground equipment
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…to implement technological advances... Rugged sensors 3D vision and mapping software
Gold Fields has established partnerships with… …with multiple applications Mapping and inspection Operator safety: Advanced obstacle detection and warning Stockpile monitoring Geological monitoring Enhanced tele- remote Fleet tracking: Real time monitoring underground
Source: Gold Fields
Safer operations Improved cost efficiencies Increased productivity …leading to…
TECHNOLOGY PARTNERS
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Through the use of drones and UG censors… and the application of visual analytics… Gold Fields now can... Capture visual images and convert them into data files for use in mine software Use the software to analyse the data for various mining applications Change the way we capture and process data for geology, geo-technical, material movements and reconciliation
GOLD FIELDS TECHNOLOGY PARTNERS
Source: Gold Fields
In the near future Gold Fields will be able to automate geology mapping, ground support design and LHD controls, amongst others
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GOLD FIELDS TECHNOLOGY PARTNERS
Overview Capabilities & solutions as applied to South Deep
boost ROCE
–
Determine Maximum Potential - Scientifically determine the capacity of the mine’s full value chain
–
Formulate Improvement Plan - Assist in the development of improvement initiatives
–
Generate Stakeholder Buy-in - Develop an advanced visualisation of South Deep, that coveys the complexity of the mining process, and helps communicate and catalyse the right action at all levels
activities and equipment interactions simulating the underground value chain.
by modelling the interaction of different mining activities as a function of mine layout, efficiencies and other factors.
value to guide and demonstrate what interventions need to be pursued to achieve the required financial results.
high fidelity visualisation of the ore body and the associated mining methods
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Source: Gold Fields
OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY – MECHANISATION & AUTOMATION
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stressed zone
Grow Gold Fields
stresses of ~35Mpa
exposure to high field stresses
dynamic loading and reduces energy release rates in the proximity of the face
Source: Gold Fields
OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY – MECHANISATION & AUTOMATION
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Source: Gold Fields
OPERATING PRACTICES & TECHNOLOGY
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Source: Gold Fields
Talent focus and leadership
strong analytics and decisions based on empirical evidence
Operating practices & technology
digitized operations
collaboration with OEMs and IT firms
Partnerships
equity
with local communities
employees
JVs to share benefits and manage risks
commitment to socio-economic and environmental factors Responsibility & transparency
and adherence to world-class frameworks and standards WHAT DOES THE FUTURE LOOK LIKE?
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TALENT FOCUS
Source: Gold Fields
Today Tomorrow Miners Super- visors
requiring specialists
information available for decision making
communities
frontline work
information limited and not real-time
in
communication
development
teams
development for the frontline
need to work together to develop and train the miner of the future
directly on mining employment or the provision of core services to mines will be critical in developing countries
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Shareholders
Government
partnerships
investments
Communities
and products Activists
environmentally responsible
relationships with NGOs Portfolio of mines
companies
to the mines
OEM and technology partners
and technology
business outlook CEO
Lead time information availability
Source: Gold Fields
TALENT FOCUS
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Source: Gold Fields
TALENT FOCUS
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Source: Gold Fields
Talent focus and leadership
strong analytics and decisions based on empirical evidence
Operating practices & technology
digitized operations
collaboration with OEMs and IT firms
Partnerships
equity
with local communities
employees
JVs to share benefits and manage risks
commitment to socio-economic and environmental factors Responsibility & transparency
and adherence to world-class frameworks and standards WHAT DOES THE FUTURE LOOK LIKE?
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PARTNERSHIPS
Source: Gold Fields
Governments Local communities
shared value Other miners
and train the miners of the future Employees
business Mining company
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Source: Gold Fields
PARTNERSHIPS – PARTNERSHIPS What we offer What the partners provide Mechanisms used Government
development
(education, health, utilities) Communities
development
services Other mining companies
are drying up
Could this lead to formal consolidation/mergers of companies?
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Reported incidents of mining company – community conflicts have increased steadily
1 Of cases reported by the Business and Human Rights Resource Centre, based on country classification in the Fund for Peace 2013 Failed States Index Source: International Council on Mining and Metals “Social and Economic Development”; Press search
90 47 20 13 89 65 38 25 37 21 10 10 2013 09 12 11 08 +22% p.a. 10 03 06 07 04 2002 05
in high risk regions1 Number of incidents
PARTNERSHIPS – SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
Year
Alternative models of community engagement are needed
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What we did at our South Deep mine
3,500 SA employees own a significant stake in South Deep 3 community trusts that receive income/dividends Ownership structures Initiatives
Source: Gold Fields
PARTNERSHIPS AND SCRUTINY – SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT Multiple programmes were implemented … … but there were important lessons learnt Set aside significant funds for
development Identify and implement programmes in close collaboration with the community, including the consideration of those outside the mine’s value chain Create appropriate financial management structures within the community Foster stronger relationships and engagement with the key ‘gatekeepers’ in the community Not all available funds in trusts have been spent – strengthen delivery and governance systems Strengthen Community team at South Deep Social investment alliance with Sibanye Gold Intensify community procurement initiatives Strengthen governance/payments of community funds Implement independent community assessment plan Implement shared value projects at South Deep
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PARTNERSHIPS AND SCRUTINY – SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
1100 local contractors used in the construction of the mine 80% increase in local milk production following on investment in community agricultural projects 30% Understood the community’s context, priorities and needs Collaborated with key stakeholders in the community and identified areas for support Co-created sustainable development projects within the community What we did in Peru is serving as a template for our other mines Socio – economic impact Why this worked well… … where we can improve 90%
Source: Gold Fields
communities
water to impacted communities
community market project
centre in adjacent city of Hualgayoc Greater sourcing of goods and services from local communities Practices by “old-style” mining companies can impact
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Source: Gold Fields
PARTNERSHIPS
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Source: Gold Fields
Talent focus and leadership
strong analytics and decisions based on empirical evidence
Operating practices & technology
digitized operations
collaboration with OEMs and IT firms
Partnerships
equity
with local communities
employees
JVs to share benefits and manage risks
commitment to socio-economic and environmental factors Responsibility & transparency
and adherence to world-class frameworks and standards WHAT DOES THE FUTURE LOOK LIKE?
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RESPONSIBILITY AND TRANSPARENCY
Source: Gold Fields
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Source: Web Search, Intergrated reporting framework website, EITI website
RESPONSIBILITY AND TRANSPARENCY Future non-negotiables – Adherence to leading reporting frameworks. These include:
Is a global standard to promote payments to government and avoid perceptions of corruptions UNGC aims to create a sustainable and inclusive economy Integrated reporting framework to bring greater efficiency and cohesion to reports Focuses on communicating critical sustainability issues such as climate change, human rights, governance and others Compliance with the 10 sustainability and development principles of the ICMM Set of accounting standards development by the independent Accounting Standards Board (IASB)
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Continue on the mechanisation,
Work with OEMs and tech
class technology Work with educational institutions to train hi-tech skills Create incremental value for
Adopt evolving corporate
Gold Fields has started this journey … but significant challenges lie ahead Partner with other mining firms to share risks and achieve economies of scale
Conclusion
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University of the Witwatersrand, School of Mining
Deputy President, International Council of Mining & Metals
Consultant and former MD, Gold Development at the World Gold Council