SLIDE 47 47
Projected CTF Coverage Through Full ABP Program*
The following shows debt service coverage on all anticipated CTF Bonds, assuming the issuance of approximately $796.29 million of Senior CTF obligations in aggregate through 2015, is estimated to be greater than 10.0x in every year through state FY2045 for the entire CTF ABP Program We also note that we do not incorporate recent legislative changes and future growth resulting from any inflation indexing of the gas tax in our analysis
Accelerated Bridge Program Financings, 2013 Series A
*Preliminary, subject to change
SFY Ending June 30 2014 1,262,730,791 52,227,574 1,210,503,217 32,623,280 26,248,650 58,871,930 20.56x 10,384,689 69,256,619 17.48x
17.48x 1,141,246,598 2015 1,280,274,998 52,224,674 1,228,050,324 32,623,280 26,049,900 58,673,180 20.93x 18,148,000 76,821,180 15.99x
15.99x 1,151,229,144 2016 1,280,274,998 50,905,824 1,229,369,174 32,623,280 26,174,900 58,798,180 20.91x 18,148,000 76,946,180 15.98x 13,675,500 90,621,680 13.57x 1,138,747,494 2017 1,280,274,998 51,276,324 1,228,998,674 32,623,280 26,291,900 58,915,180 20.86x 18,148,000 77,063,180 15.95x 13,675,500 7,991,000 98,729,680 12.45x 1,130,268,994 2018 1,280,274,998 29,825,319 1,250,449,679 32,623,280 26,594,900 59,218,180 21.12x 18,148,000 77,366,180 16.16x 13,675,500 7,991,000 99,032,680 12.63x 1,151,416,999 2019 1,280,274,998 29,818,119 1,250,456,879 32,623,280 26,888,150 59,511,430 21.01x 18,148,000 77,659,430 16.10x 13,675,500 7,991,000 99,325,930 12.59x 1,151,130,949 2020 1,280,274,998 29,821,619 1,250,453,379 32,623,280 27,385,150 60,008,430 20.84x 18,148,000 78,156,430 16.00x 13,675,500 7,991,000 99,822,930 12.53x 1,150,630,449 2021 1,280,274,998 29,820,772 1,250,454,226 32,623,280 27,888,650 60,511,930 20.66x 18,148,000 78,659,930 15.90x 13,675,500 7,991,000 100,326,430 12.46x 1,150,127,796 2022 1,280,274,998 29,820,997 1,250,454,001 32,623,280 28,025,650 60,648,930 20.62x 18,148,000 78,796,930 15.87x 13,675,500 7,991,000 100,463,430 12.45x 1,149,990,571 2023 1,280,274,998
32,623,280 28,906,650 61,529,930 20.81x 26,728,000 88,257,930 14.51x 13,675,500 7,991,000 109,924,430 11.65x 1,170,350,568 2024 1,280,274,998
53,948,280 24,697,400 78,645,680 16.28x 17,719,000 96,364,680 13.29x 13,675,500 7,991,000 118,031,180 10.85x 1,162,243,818 2025 1,279,925,009
53,940,727 24,323,400 78,264,127 16.35x 17,719,000 95,983,127 13.33x 13,675,500 7,991,000 117,649,627 10.88x 1,162,275,381 2026 1,279,546,548
53,930,516 23,926,400 77,856,916 16.43x 17,719,000 95,575,916 13.39x 13,675,500 7,991,000 117,242,416 10.91x 1,162,304,132 2027 1,279,115,830
53,914,415 23,613,800 77,528,215 16.50x 17,719,000 95,247,215 13.43x 13,675,500 7,991,000 116,913,715 10.94x 1,162,202,115 2028 1,278,661,154
53,899,548 23,205,575 77,105,123 16.58x 23,229,000 100,334,123 12.74x 16,570,500 9,281,000 126,185,623 10.13x 1,152,475,530 2029 1,278,181,146
53,886,693 22,836,575 76,723,268 16.66x 23,613,500 100,336,768 12.74x 16,570,750 9,276,500 126,184,018 10.13x 1,151,997,129 2030 1,277,674,344
53,866,342 22,583,325 76,449,667 16.71x 23,885,000 100,334,667 12.73x 16,573,750 9,274,000 126,182,417 10.13x 1,151,491,927 2031 1,277,139,377
53,849,275 22,165,925 76,015,200 16.80x 24,317,500 100,332,700 12.73x 16,574,000 9,278,250 126,184,950 10.12x 1,150,954,427 2032 1,276,564,568
53,834,542 21,702,925 75,537,467 16.90x 24,796,500 100,333,967 12.72x 16,571,250 9,278,750 126,183,967 10.12x 1,150,380,601 2033 1,275,957,090
53,814,230 21,140,050 74,954,280 17.02x 25,382,750 100,337,030 12.72x 16,570,250 9,275,500 126,182,780 10.11x 1,149,774,310 2034 1,275,315,177
53,792,895 20,610,050 74,402,945 17.14x 25,933,750 100,336,695 12.71x 16,570,500 9,278,500 126,185,695 10.11x 1,149,129,482 2035 1,274,636,872
53,769,519 20,043,450 73,812,969 17.27x 26,523,750 100,336,719 12.70x 16,571,500 9,277,250 126,185,469 10.10x 1,148,451,404 2036 1,273,920,129
53,742,797 19,441,650 73,184,447 17.41x 27,153,250 100,337,697 12.70x 16,567,750 9,276,750 126,182,197 10.10x 1,147,737,932 2037 1,273,162,807
53,721,140 18,646,050 72,367,190 17.59x 27,967,500 100,334,690 12.69x 16,574,000 9,271,750 126,180,440 10.09x 1,146,982,367 2038 1,272,297,654
53,692,096 17,779,550 71,471,646 17.80x 28,864,250 100,335,896 12.68x 16,569,250 9,277,250 126,182,396 10.08x 1,146,115,258 2039 1,271,210,394
53,663,503 16,670,800 70,334,303 18.07x 30,000,750 100,335,053 12.67x 16,573,500 9,272,500 126,181,053 10.07x 1,145,029,341 2040 1,270,061,507
53,637,336 15,489,363 69,126,699 18.37x 31,206,000 100,332,699 12.66x 16,570,750 9,277,750 126,181,199 10.07x 1,143,880,308 2041 1,268,847,403
67,828,800 18.71x 32,506,750 100,335,550 12.65x 16,570,750 9,277,250 126,183,550 10.06x 1,142,663,853 2042 1,268,847,403
- 1,268,847,403
- 100,333,000
100,333,000 12.65x 16,572,750 9,276,000 126,181,750 10.06x 1,142,665,653 2043 1,268,847,403
- 1,268,847,403
- 100,332,750
100,332,750 12.65x 16,571,000 9,278,750 126,182,500 10.06x 1,142,664,903 2044 1,268,847,403
- 1,268,847,403
- 110,250,000
15,935,000 126,185,000 10.06x 1,142,662,403 2045 1,268,847,403
- 1,268,847,403
- 110,250,000
15,931,750 126,181,750 10.06x 1,142,665,653 2046 1,268,847,403
- 1,268,847,403
- 115,500,000
115,500,000 10.99x 1,153,347,403 Excess Pledged Revenues 2015 Bonds Projected Total Debt Service Total Program Projected Debt Service Total Projected Program Debt Service Coverage1 3 - Outstanding Debt Service represents gross debt service on the 2010 and 2012 Bonds. 1 - Estimated debt service coverage based on FY2013 unaudited amounts and assumes 0% growth but does reflect the incremental impact of the July 31, 2013 increase in Motor Fuels Tax rates to 24 cents per gallon from 21 cents per gallon. 2 - Consists of (i) 23.964 cents of Chapter 64A Gasoline Tax (ii) 100% of the Special Fuels and Motor Carrier Tax (iii) Registry Fees expected to be credited to the Commonwealth Transportation Fund pursuant to Section 34(iii) and (iv) interest subsidy payments relating to 2010 Bonds. Assumes 0% growth. FY14 Pledged Revenues reflects partial year of increased gas tax. 2012 Bonds Total Debt Service Total Program Projected Debt Service Total Projected Program Debt Service Coverage1 Total Outstanding Debt Service3 Current Total Program Debt Service Coverage1 Net Projected CTF Pledged Revenues and BABs Payments 1994 Trust Agreement Bonds Total Debt Service Total Projected Pledged Revenues2 2013 Bonds Projected Total Debt Service 2014 Bonds Projected Total Debt Service 2010 Bonds Total Debt Service
39 Pro Forma Debt Service Coverage