SLIDE 4 The Aerospace & Defense Forum Arizona Chapter August 11, 2015 4
CONFIDENTIAL | 7 THERE’S NO SUBSTITUTE FOR EXPERIENCE.
80 100 120 140
Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Aerospace Defense Primes Government Services S&P 500
- Aerospace stock prices have moderated after the markets have priced in the sector’s
strong visibility and build rates
- With greater budget / funding clarity, defense and government services shares have
recently outperformed the broader market
Public Company Share Price Performance
(1) Aerospace Index includes: AIR, BEAV, HEI, HXL, LMIA, PCP, SPR, TDG, TGI, and ZC (2) Defense Primes Index includes: BAE, GD, LLL, LMT, NOC, and RTN (3) Government Services index includes: BAH, CACI, EGL, ICFI, KEYW, LDOS, MANT, NCIT, SAIC, VEC, VSEC Source: Capital IQ and Company filings; indices are equal weighted
(1) (2) (3)
D: 23.8% GS: 11.6% S&P: 13.4% A: 3.9% CONFIDENTIAL | 8 0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 14.0x Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Aerospace Defense Government Services
- Strong build rates have driven commercial aerospace multiples to cyclical highs,
although valuations have topped out – sense that we’re at a cyclical peak with more downside than upside risk
- Defense and government services valuations have steadily rebounded from multi-year
lows; companies have re-aligned and delivered to expectations
Public Valuation Trends
ENTERPRISE VALUE / NTM EBITDA
A: 6.4x D: 8.3x GS: 9.6x A: 11.6x D: 10.0x GS: 9.1x
(1) Aerospace Index includes: AIR, BEAV, HEI, HXL, LMIA, PCP, SPR, TDG, TGI, and ZC (2) Defense Primes Index includes: BAE, GD, LLL, LMT, NOC, and RTN (3) Government Services index includes: BAH, CACI, EGL, ICFI, KEYW, LDOS, MANT, NCIT, SAIC, VEC, VSEC (4) Pricing as of June 30, 2015 Source: Capital IQ and Company filings
(1) (2) (3) (4)