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TEXPERS 2016 Annual Conference Currency Myths and Realities April - PDF document

3/29/2016 TEXPERS 2016 Annual Conference Currency Myths and Realities April 4, 2016 I MPORTANT D ISCLOSURES This presentation document is intended for educational purposes only and is not intended to replace independent professional judgment.


  1. 3/29/2016 TEXPERS 2016 Annual Conference Currency Myths and Realities April 4, 2016 I MPORTANT D ISCLOSURES This presentation document is intended for educational purposes only and is not intended to replace independent professional judgment. This document is for personal, illustrative use by the presenter only and is not intended for distribution. Millennium Global and the presenter of this document do not intend it to be distributed or delivered to anyone. Any opinions expressed herein are the author’s current opinions as of 4th of March 2016 only and are subject to change without notice or issuance of an update or follow-up. The opinions and views contained herein do not necessarily represent the opinions of Millennium Global Investments Limited or the funds and accounts it manages or any of its products or services. None of Millennium Global, its employees, the author and/or the presenter has any obligation to provide recipients hereof with updates or changes to any of the information contained in this presentation. This presentation does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective client and/or their consultant/manager would require in connection with their investment requirements, their services, products or their business in general. This presentation and the information contained herein are not intended to provide and should not be relied upon as a personal recommendation. This presentation does not take into account the particular business, corporate or investment objectives, circumstances, situations, or needs of individual clients and/or their consultants or managers. You should consult your own advisors and obtain any professional advice you deem necessary in relation to the matters discussed in this presentation. It is the responsibility of persons to whom this document is provided to inform themselves of and observe all applicable laws and regulations of any relevant jurisdiction, to the extent that such laws may relate to the matters discussed in this presentation. Any graphs, diagrams or statistics used in this presentation are used for educational, illustrative and comparative purposes only. Any models used have been provided for educational, illustrative and discussion purposes only. Any statistics with respect to the various indices are used for educational, illustrative and comparative purposes only. They are not to be understood to mean that there is any correlation between any Millennium products and any such indices. Moreover, it should not be assumed that any views and opinions expressed in this presentation will be applied to any Millennium funds, products or services. Although the information, views and opinions contained in this presentation have been obtained or derived from various sources which we believe to be reliable, neither the author/presenter nor Millennium makes any representation as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information. Neither Millennium Global nor the author/presenter accept any responsibility for any error or omission in this presentation nor do we accept liability for any loss arising from the use or application of the information contained in this presentation. Certain accounting assumptions may have been made and some estimated values may have been used in compiling the information in this document, which reasonable people may disagree with. PORTIONS OF THIS PRESENTATION MAY CONTAIN REFERENCE TO FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS, INCLUDING CERTAIN INTENTIONS, EXPECTATIONS, FUTURE PLANS, STRATEGY AND ECONOMIC PROSPECTS, WHICH MAY BE BASED ON CERTAIN ASSUMPTIONS, WHICH MAY NOT BE MET OR IN RESPECT OF WHICH VIEWS MAY DIFFER AND WHICH MAY BE AFFECTED BY KNOWN, UNKNOWN AND FUTURE RISKS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT DUE TO VARIOUS UNCERTAINTIES AND ACTUAL EVENTS, THE ACTUAL PERFORMANCE OF THE ECONOMY MAY DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE REFLECTED OR CONTEMPLATED IN SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. The information herein is strictly confidential and distribution of this document or the information contained herein to any person and any reproduction or publication of this document, in whole or in part, or the disclosure of any of the contents, without the prior written consent of Millennium Global in each such instance is unauthorised and prohibited. The distribution of this presentation document may be specifically restricted by law in certain jurisdictions. Recipients and any other persons who come into possession of this presentation must therefore inform themselves about, and observe any such restrictions. Attendees understand, agree and acknowledge that: (i) this document is not intended to be distributed, and if distributed inadvertently, it will be returned to Millennium Global as soon as possible; (ii) the recipient will not copy, fax, reproduce, divulge, or distribute any of the information contained herein, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Millennium Global; (iii) all of the information herein will be treated as confidential material and treated with no less care than that afforded to the recipient’s (attendee’s) own confidential material. This presentation is directed exclusively at persons who are professional clients as defined by the rules of the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) or are otherwise eligible under these rules. Millennium Global Investments Limited, an English company, is the investment manager of the Millennium Global Currency Products and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) and registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Millennium Global for and on behalf of its clients invests in and actively engages in transactions in instruments with significant risk characteristics. Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training. URN: 101094 2 Millennium Global Investments Ltd 1

  2. 3/29/2016 C URRENCIES : LARGE AND LIQUID MARKET Currency Market Average Daily Volume (2005 – 2015) 4000 • Global OTC market 3500 – Large banks are main market-makers New York Fed Avg Daily Volume BOE UK FX Avg Daily Volume – London and NY are dominant markets 3000 2500 In $ billions • Easily accessible 2000 1500 • Low transaction costs 1000 • Liquid financial market 500 0 Oct-05 Oct-07 Oct-09 Oct-11 Oct-13 Oct-15 Source: Millennium Global, Bloomberg, October 2015. This information is provided for illustration, information & educational purposes only. This information is intended for investment professional use only and is not for public distribution. Information is subject to change at any time without notice. This information does not constitute an offer to buy or a solicitation of an offer to sell and does not constitute an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction in which Millennium Global Investments Ltd 3 such a solicitation is unlawful or to any person to whom it is unlawful. We kindly draw your attention to the Important Disclosures on page 2 C URRENCIES : DOLLAR - CENTRIC L ONDON : A VERAGE D AILY T RADING V OLUME BY C URRENCY (O CT . 2015) USD/EURO 29.8% USD/JAPANESE YEN 13.5% USD/POUND STERLING 11.2% USD/AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR 6.6% USD/SWISS FRANC 4.8% USD/OTHER 4.7% USD/CANADIAN DOLLAR 3.6% EUR/POUND STERLING 2.6% USD/CHINESE RENMINBI 2.1% OTHER CROSSES 1.8% USD/POLISH ZLOTY 1.7% USD/RUBLE 1.6% USD/NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR 1.5% EUR/JAPANESE YEN 1.5% USD/SWEDISH KRONA 1.3% USD/SOUTH AFRICAN RAND 1.2% USD/MEXICAN PESO 1.2% EUR/SWISS FRANC 1.1% USD/NORWEGIAN KRONE 1.0% EUR/OTHER 1.0% USD/KOREAN WON 0.8% GBP/JAPANESE YEN 0.7% USD/SINGAPORE DOLLAR 0.6% EUR/SWEDISH KRONA 0.5% EUR/NORWEGIAN KRONE 0.5% USD/BRAZILIAN REAL 0.5% USD/POLISH ZLOTY 0.5% USD/INDIAN RUPEE 0.5% EUR/AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR 0.4% EUR/POLISH ZLOTY 0.3% EUR/CANADIAN DOLLAR 0.3% GBP/OTHER 0.3% GBP/SWISS FRANC 0.1% GBP/AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR 0.1% GBP/CANADIAN DOLLAR 0.1% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Source: Millennium Global and Bloomberg, March 2016. This information is provided for illustration, information & educational purposes only. This Source: Bank of England, Semi-Annual FX Turnover Survey, October 2015. This information is provided for illustration, information & educational purposes only. information is intended for investment professional use only and is not for public distribution. Information is subject to change at any time without notice. This information is intended for investment professional use only and is not for public distribution. Information is subject to change at any time without notice. Certain accounting assumptions have been made and some unreconciled and/or estimated values used in compiling this report, reasonable people may Certain accounting assumptions have been made and some unreconciled and/or estimated values used in compiling this report, reasonable people may disagree Millennium Global Investments Ltd 4 disagree with the assumptions used and expectations developed there from. We kindly draw your attention to the Important Disclosures on page 2. with the assumptions used and expectations developed there from. We kindly draw your attention to the Important Disclosures on page 2. 2

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