TECHNOLOGY PRESENTATION
Milano – November 28th, 2017
TECHNOLOGY PRESENTATION Milano November 28th, 2017 Laurent - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
TECHNOLOGY PRESENTATION Milano November 28th, 2017 Laurent HEBENSTREIT Chief Executive Officer Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Technology 3 Profitable Growth Strategy 3 I Introduction Who is Sogefi? o Young automotive company created in
Milano – November 28th, 2017
Chief Executive Officer
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€ 563M
MAIN PRODUCTS
€ 1,574M 2016 Sales
36%
Suspensions Filtration Air & Cooling
Housings
€ 535M
34%
€ 480M
30%
Main Competitors
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CARS TRUCKS 2 WHEELERS 3 WHEELERS AFTERMARKET
MAIN BRANDS
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Ford Renault/Nissan FCA/CNH Industrial PSA GM Daimler Volkswagen/Audi BMW Toyota Volvo
Geely/Volvo
2015 2016
5% 10%
Sogefi Top 10 Clients – In % of Total Sales
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PORSCHE CAYENNE JAGUAR F-PACE MASERATI QUATTROPORTE MERCEDES GLK VOLVO XC90 AUDI A6 BMW 5-serie FERRARI 599 CORVETTE
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Higher technology requirements
Fuel Consumption Reduction Weight Reduction
Suspensions Air & Cooling Filtration Air & Cooling Filtration Filtration
CO2 Emissions Reduction Air Quality Fine Particles Reduction
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Entry Middle High
Weight reduction
Indicative weight by vehicle:
Content
by vehicle
Variable wall thickness Tube Tube Solid Bar Suspensions
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
45% 35% ~6kg 24€ 20€ 16€
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Weight reduction Composite Steel + high performance process Steel
Entry Middle High
Suspensions
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
50% 25% ~10kg 50€ 23€ 20€ Content
by vehicle Indicative weight by vehicle:
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CONNECTIVITY
impact for Sogefi
for Filtration and Air & Cooling
and model to create alternative powertrain scenarios
AUTONOMOUS DRIVING
ELECTRIFICATION
SHARED MOBILITY
Higher technology requirements
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Electrification
Pure ICE
Battery Hybrid Fuel Cell
New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) Electric Vehicle (EV)
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Electrification
MHEV PHEV FHEV
Internal Combustion Engine vehicle, operating on fuel.
Mild-Hybrid Electric Vehicle, 48V system. (e.g. New Renault Scenic dCi 110).
Full Hybrid Electric Vehicle, operating on fuel, assisted by a battery. Non rechargeable (e.g. Toyota Prius).
Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle, operating on fuel, assisted by a battery. Rechargeable (plugged in to grid) (e.g. New Golf GTE).
Battery Electric Vehicle, i.e., pure EV, with no ICE content (e.g. Renault ZOE, Nissan LEAF, Tesla).
Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle (e.g. Toyota Mirai).
Pure ICE BEV Hybrid FCEV
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1% 6% 12% 81% 1% 3% 41% 54%
Estimated volume, including Passenger Car (PC) and Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) < 3.5T (LCV > 3.5T excluded)
EUROPE Rest of the World
Source: Sogefi and Mc Kinsey
1% 6% 7% 87% 2% 3% 6% 90%
2% 4% 17% 78%
CHINA 1% 6% 22% 72%
20.8 19.9 28.0
92.3
8.7 14.9
LV sales (M units)
Type of engine
EV Hybrid Diesel Gasoline
NAFTA Rest of Asia
WORLD
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Diesel disruption mainly affecting Europe due to
WW EV + Hybrid share: from 6% in 2017 to 30% in 2027 in Base case scenario (33% in Strong case)
Electrified powertrain evolution
Diesel share in Europe: from 41% in 2017 to 25% in 2027 in Base case scenario (20% in Strong case)
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11% 13% 9% 68% 11% 13% 13% 64% 11% 13% 17% 60% 7% 9% 10% 75% 7% 9% 18% 66% 6% 10% 10% 75% 6% 10% 14% 71% 6% 10% 18% 67% 7% 9% 14% 71% Share of 2022 sales per type of engine, LV1 global
All scenarios predict a reduction of ICE from 98% in 2017 to 93% in Base Case and 89% in Strong Case in 2022
Base case Strong case
Source: Sogefi and Mc Kinsey
Type of engine
EV Hybrid Diesel Gasoline
Scenario
Diesel Low Diesel High
EV Low EV scenarios EV High Diesel scenarios
1 including PC and LCV (<3.5 tons)
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Share of 2027 sales per type of engine, LV1 global
All scenarios predict a reduction of ICE to reach 86% in Base Case and 81% in Strong Case in 2027
Source: Sogefi and Mc Kinsey
Type of engine
Diesel Low Diesel High
EV Low EV scenarios EV High Diesel scenarios
1 including PC and LCV (<3.5 tons)
19% 15% 7% 59% 18% 15% 11% 56% 18% 15% 14% 53% 14% 16% 8% 63% 10% 16% 8% 66% 14% 16% 11% 60% 14% 16% 15% 56% 10% 16% 12% 62% 10% 16% 15% 59%
EV Hybrid Diesel Gasoline
Base case Strong case
Scenario
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2017 2022 2027
EV 1% 5% 11% Hybrid 6% 9% 15% ICE Diesel 7% 6% 5% ICE Gasoline 87% 80% 69%
Source: Sogefi and Mc Kinsey
NAFTA
2017 2022 2027
EV 1% 6% 13% Hybrid 3% 7% 14% ICE Diesel 41% 32% 25% ICE Gasoline 54% 55% 49%
2017 2022 2027
EV 2% 8% 17% Hybrid 3% 11% 18% ICE Diesel 6% 5% 4% ICE Gasoline 90% 76% 61%
2017 2022 2027
EV 1% 5% 11% Hybrid 6% 9% 15% ICE Diesel 22% 21% 18% ICE Gasoline 72% 65% 56%
2017 2022 2027
EV 1% 5% 11% Hybrid 6% 9% 15% ICE Diesel 12% 10% 8% ICE Gasoline 81% 76% 66%
2017 2022 2027
EV 2% 6% 14% Hybrid 4% 9% 16% ICE Diesel 17% 14% 11% ICE Gasoline 78% 71% 60%
EUROPE CHINA Rest of Asia Rest of the World
WORLD
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2017 2022 2027 CAGR 17/22 CAGR 22/27
Total Vehicles (M units) 92 99 110 1.4% 2.1% EV 1 6 15 35% 19% Hybrid 4 9 17 19% 14% ICE Diesel 15 14 12
ICE Gasoline 72 70 66 0%
91 93 95 0.4% 0.5%
Source: Sogefi and Mc Kinsey Volume including Passenger Car (PC) and Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) < 3.5T
Total ICE
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Air & Cooling Filtration
Manifold Coolant Pump Coolant Outlet Housing Oil Filter Fuel Filter Cabin Air Filter
OEM AFTERMARKET
European Car Park 10 years average age
Engine Air
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Filtration
Manifold New Product Coolant Pump Coolant Outlet Housing
VOLUME X2
Oil Filter Engine Air Volume Effect Battery Pack Coolant Valve Thermal Pack
Air & Cooling
Fuel Filter Battery Pack coolant Manifold High performance Cabin Air Filter
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Air & Cooling Filtration
High performance Cabin Air Filter Battery Pack Electric Cooling Module Coolant Valve Electric Coolant Pump
VOLUME X2
Coolant Outlet Housing Battery Thermal Pack New Product Volume Effect Battery Pack Coolant Manifold Module
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Filtration
Fuel Cell Air Filter Fuel Cell Filters Water Separator Coolant Valve Electric Coolant Pump Coolant Outlet Housing
Air & Cooling
New Product High performance Cabin Air Filter
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3-serie MALIBU S-CLASS PANAMERA A8 PACIFICA ZOE B-CLASS FORTWO TX5 500
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could remain flat or a substantial part of the market until 2027.
battery costs, infrastructures development,…)
More volume of Cooling products New Sogefi products Higher content for existing Sogefi products
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Oil Filter Module + Oil Cooler + Valves Oil Filter Element + Cap Oil Filter Spin-on Filtration 23€ 2€ 1€ Content
Entry Middle High
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
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Engine Air Intake System Filter Element + Box Filter Element Filtration Content
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
28€ 9€ 2€
Entry Middle High
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Particles and
Pollen Filtration Content
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
3€ 2€ 1€
Entry Middle High
Synthetic media with activated carbon Synthetic media with activated carbon + anti-allergen properties + high performance
Anti-allergen
Synthetic media
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Premium Mid Range Private Label Filtration Price Index
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
100 85 80
Entry Middle High
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With Actuator and Cooler With Actuator Simple Air & Cooling Content
Cooled Air flow Cooled Air flow Hot Air flow Cooled Air flow
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
40€ 23€ 10€
Entry Middle High
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Smart Coolant Pump Pump module with Cooler + Thermostat Mechanical pump
Inlet Outlet Impeller
Flow control with e-valve
+ +
Air & Cooling Content
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
25€ 20€ 8€
Entry Middle High
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Coolant Outlet Housing Smart Multi Way Valves Electric Thermostat Thermostat
M
Air & Cooling Content
TECHNOLOGY LEVEL
25€ 13€ 8€
Entry Middle High
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Startups are becoming key players
disrupting existing business creating new business
Generate profits Add value to existing Sogefi products Generate new Sogefi products 1. Monitor the fields relevant to Sogefi: Air and Cooling, Filtration, Suspensions 2. Build joint development agreements with startups 3. Buy minimum 5% to 10% equity 4. Secure active minority shareholders’ role 5. Cash investment of 3 ~ 5 M€ per year OBJECTIVES HOW
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5 performance drivers to increase operational efficiency
through technical modifications
and productivity negotiations
sourcing
productivity
automatization
times to deviations
productivity increase
for technical modifications
increases for volume fluctuations
tooling cash payment
PURCHASING
Polycompetence
plan
SHOPFLOOR
PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
INDIRECT COSTS REDUCTION COMPETITIVE FOOTPRINT
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cost base has been done
costs some productivity potential have been identified with expected saving in the next 3 years
Strategic cost reduction initiative
1245 380 290 100 945
TOTAL Material for final product Transformation costs Costs analized Adressable costs 100% 64% 23% 36% 8%
VALUATION OF POTENTIALS TOTAL COSTS
Data: 2016 cost base
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Leader Challenger Harvest
Worldwide
N°2
Worldwide
N°4
Air & Cooling Filtration
Manifold Coolant Pump Coolant Outlet Housing
OEM AFTERMARKET
European Car Park 10 years average age
Oil Filter Fuel Filter Cabin Air Filter Engine Air
N°1
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Air & Cooling Filtration Suspensions
ASIA
China India
EMEA NAFTA
Mexico
Morocco Romania
EMEA project
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Health & Safety, Quality, Capacity increase, Efficiency, New products, New plants
36 42 51 59 70
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E
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10.2% 12.8% 17.5%
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017
EBIT: 12 months rolling * Lazard – Roland Berger: global automotive suppliers study. ROCE of ~600 key suppliers
Benchmark*
13.5%
2015
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3.7 2.3 1.6
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017
DEBT: Net debt (end of period) EBITDA: 12 months rolling
Leverage now supports Profitable Growth Strategy
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Sogefi Strengths
1.
Entrepreneurship DNA
2.
Intimacy with R&D, Purchasing and Top Management of vehicle manufacturers
3.
Recognized technical credibility to develop, launch and ramp-up innovative products
4.
Multi-brand Aftermarket provides resilience to OEM volumes fluctuations
Higher Technology Requirements
EV expected to increase but total ICE will remain a substantial part of the market NEV offer opportunities in terms of more volume of cooling products, new products and higher content
Profitable Growth Strategy
Cost reduction plan to sustain profitability and cash generation Differentiated product strategies between Harvest, Challenger, Leader External growth opportunities researched to complement organic growth