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Tax reform for acceleration and inclusion (TRAIN) (RA 10963)
Key provisions and fiscal impact
22 January 2018
Tax reform for acceleration and inclusion (TRAIN) (RA 10963) Key - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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22 January 2018
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DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 2 12/09/2018
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9/12/18 DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 13
In Indicative pump prices an and effective tax rates De Dec 2017 Ja Jan 2018 Ja Jan 2019 2019 Ja Jan 2020
Di Diesel (PHP per L) L)
36.35 39.15 41.39 43.07
Di Diesel (ETR, R, percent)
0.0 7.2 12.2 15.6
Ga Gasoline (PHP per L)
47.85 50.65 52.89 54.57
Ga Gasoline (ETR, pe percent nt)
10.1 15.5 19.1 20.5
Sources: DOE and DOF staff estimates Note: Dec 2017 prices are based on mid-December common prices of diesel and gasoline from the DOE. The data is available at: https://www.doe.gov.ph/sites/default/files/pdf/price_watch/petro_mm_2017_december_19.pdf
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12/09/2018 DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 14
Co Commodi dity Sh Share e of CPI CPI ( (%) CPI CPI 2016 2016 Sh Share e of pe petroleum um pr product ducts a s as s in input (%) 1 Ne Net impact of excise to pr price ces ( s (%)2,
2,3
In Inflation ra rate (%)4,
4,5, 5,6
Di Diesel Ga Gasoline LP LPG Ke Kero rosene
Food 36 163 10 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.3 Transportation 6 128 30 2.8 1.8 0.5 2.7 0.1 Electricity 7 124 7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 Others 51 135 6 0.6 0.4% 0.1 0.6 0.3 Total 100 144 0.7
Notes: 1. Transportation share is the daily average of jeepney and bus operation in Metro Manila based on the National Tax Research Center computation. Electricity share is based on the Department of Energy power statistics. 2. The net impact of the excise is obtained by multiplying the share of oil as input and the price increase as a result of the excise. 3. The increase in the price of the petro products as a result of an increase in excise tax using the petro prices in Metro Manila in 2016 4. Weighted net impact of the increase in excise tax on each commodity computed based on weights below using HECS 2011 5. Overall inflation computed from the weighted average of commodity inflation based on the share of CPI 6. Percentage point on top of the BSP projected inflation.
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12/09/2018 DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 15
Sources: PSA, DOE *January y-o-y change in diesel price
Jan 25-29 2016: 18.25 Jan 29 2017: 32.10
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DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 17 12/09/2018
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DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 18 12/09/2018
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DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 19
Coal
Diesel/Bunker
Grid (Meralco)
100 7.80 780.00 2.00 4.40 8.18 0.00 0.38 14.96 794.96 1.92
Grid (non-Meralco, NEA)
100 8.80 880.00 2.00 4.40 5.91 0.00 0.38 12.69 892.69 1.44
Grid (non-Meralco, CDA)
100 8.80 880.00 2.00 4.40 5.91 7.18 0.38 19.87 899.87 2.26
SPUG (NEA, coal powered)
100 11.30 1130.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 4.38 1134.38 0.39
SPUG (CDA, coal powered)
100 11.30 1130.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 10.17 0.38 14.55 1144.55 1.29
SPUG (NEA, diesel/bunker powered, full pass-through)
100 11.30 1130.00 0.00 71.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.00 1201.00 6.28
SPUG (CDA, diesel/bunker powered, full pass-through)
100 11.30 1130.00 0.00 71.00 0.00 10.17 0.00 81.17 1211.17 7.18
SPUG (NEA, diesel/bunker powered, subsidized)
100 11.30 1130.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.38 1130.38 0.03
SPUG (CDA, diesel/bunker powered, subsidized)
100 11.30 1130.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.17 0.38 10.55 1140.55 0.93
Notes: Estimates are based on the following assumptions: i) An additional PHP 2.50 per liter increase in the excise tax of diesel and bunker fuel. ii) An average increase to PHP 100 in excise tax per MT of coal. iii) Removal of VAT exemptions on transmission charges and CDA-registered cooperatives. Sources: DOE, Kuryente.org, and DOF staff estimates Distribution
UCME Total
Estimated monthly increase in cost at 100 kWh monthly consumption level, various cases All figures in PHP
kWh consumption Current cost per kWh Current total cost Additional cost Estimated new total cost Percent increase Generation
Transmission
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DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 21
5 10 15
Percentage point change in SRP SRP
Percentage point change in suggested retail price (SRP) versus SRP
Note: Looks like a Christmas tree.
12/09/2018
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DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 22 12/09/2018
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Provisions 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total Personal income tax
Corporate income tax (PCSO) 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 3.0 Estate tax
Donors' tax
VAT 39.2 48.7 58.1 58.4 45.8 250.3 Oil excise 60.2 101.8 131.9 134.4 136.6 564.8 Automobile excise 14.4 15.3 16.2 17.2 18.2 81.3 Sugar-sweetened beverage tax 54.5 58.2 61.5 65.1 68.8 308.1 Tax administration 26.6 35.0 42.3 50.7 60.4 215.1 Others 44.9 49.6 58.2 59.5 66.3 278.5 Subtotal (tax policy) 63.3 109.2 145.4 136.0 117.4 571.3 Subtotal (legislated tax admin) 26.6 35.0 42.3 50.7 60.4 215.1 Total (tax policy and admin) 89.9 144.2 187.7 186.8 177.8 786.4 Total as percent of GDP 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 NA Deficit 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 NA Package 1B 38.9 30.9 34.0 37.5 41.4 182.7 Subtotal (additional revenues) 38.9 30.9 34.0 37.5 41.4 182.7 Grand total 128.8 175.1 221.7 224.3 219.2 969.2 Total as percent of GDP 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 NA Deficit 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.3 NA ( RA 10963
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12/09/2018 DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 34
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12/09/2018 DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 37
DR DRAFT FT FO FOR DI DISC SCUSSI
SUBJECT TO CHANGE.
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12/09/2018 DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 38
@DOFPH
For more information, please visit:
@DOF_PH
dof.gov.ph/taxreform For questions, you may directly email us at:
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12/09/2018 DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE 39