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Swedish Environmental Protection Agency Conference on environmental economics: Practical Application of Economics in the Environment Agency in England Dr Jonathan Fisher Economics Manager, Evidence Directorate, Environment Agency England and


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Swedish Environmental Protection Agency Conference on environmental economics:

Practical Application of Economics in the Environment Agency in England

Dr Jonathan Fisher Economics Manager, Evidence Directorate, Environment Agency England and Wales 15 November 2012

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Outline

Environment Agency in England and Wales Economics team + priority work plan Selected recent Economic outputs Practical Application of economics: key issues Our approach to practical application of economics Analysis of costs and trade offs: key issues

Assessing water benefits

Particular wide ranging example of our applying Economic analysis for our Corporate plan in 2010

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Environment Agency in England and Wales

Budget: £1.1bn pa

£0.7bn from central Govt; £0.4bn charges on regulated businesses.

11,000 Staff. Our work includes:

Regulation of major industry Regulation of waste management Illegal wastes control Contaminated land investigation and remediation

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Environment Agency in England and Wales: Work continued Competent Authority for implementing Water Framework Directive

  • Water resources
  • Water quality (Surface, ground, bathing)
  • Water related conservation and ecology
  • Fresh water fisheries and angling

Flood and coastal risk management Navigation – asset mgt

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Economics team’s priority work plan subjects:

(12- 16 FTEs + £300k pa consultancy framework)

Economic

  • utput

Environment Agency Activity Water Framework Directive Water industry Water Resources mgt Flood risk mgt Climate change adaptation Corporate plan State of the Environment Regulation Illegal wastes Problem analysis

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New approaches economic instruments √

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Economic analysis

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Economic appraisal guidance

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Scrutinise contentious cases

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Research √

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EA capacity building

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Selected economic outputs

European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists: 2007 Gothenburg: How improve work between practitioners and academics Principles for economics to aid environmental decision-making A strategy for a sustainable economic recovery in a decade of difficulty Flood risk management:

£3.5bn costs of 2007 floods Long term Investment strategy Strategy for Thames Estuary up to 2100

Applicability of Real Options Analysis for appraising flood risk management and water resources investments

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Selected economic outputs

2004 & 2006: Business as usual projections for agriculture I and II

Challenges for applying CBA and environmental valuation to aid environmental decision-making in practice: review in 2008

Water

2004: 437 CBAs of water company environmental improvement schemes; and overall benefits assessment of water industry environment programme WFD: EU Wateco Guidance: Ribble Virtual case study on integrated appraisal

2010 Corporate plan and spending review analysis

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Practical Application of economics: Key issues

Prioritise resources vs high and growing demand Need first secure defence vs strong pressure on economic qus from business groups Timeliness – Long lead time for delivery Fit for purpose: Aid decision-making

Focus on options and trade offs

Proportionality Need proactively to seek efficient short cuts Consistency and coherence across activities Focused improvements in economic analysis Link with technical assessments

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Figure 1: Building Blocks of Economic Analysis to deliver outcomes

Benefits: £ and non-£

Costs of measures Quantify outcomes of options Qualitative description of problem and impacts of options

Institutional (Decision- making, Governance, competition/ markets, market failures); economic instruments and behaviour change

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Costs and trade offs = Most important

Big concern over costs of regulations to business

Pressure for de-regulation - or rather better regulation Government initiatives: Red Tape challenge => need greater justification Environment Agency initiatives How costs of env regs compare with other regs?

Calls for clear long run environmental signals

What does this mean in practice? How achieve? Evidence base for this (eg state of the environment)

Water Framework Directive: Disproportionate Cost assessment:

focus on measures of costs and affordability esp for water industry and agriculture

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Analysing Costs and trade offs: Key issues

Robust costing of options = key first priority Need technical scrutiny of industry claims about costs esp where over-estimation by pressure

groups and monopoly water companies

Highlight high and rising marginal costs

Focus on key trade offs and choices between options

=> Benefits qu “Is an option worth the extra costs”?

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Water Benefits Strategy

Short run (2012/13):

Make best use of available benefits estimates Research to fill gaps where quickly possible

Medium term (by 2014/15):

Apply flexibly our benefits evidence and assess conflicting evidence from 3rd parties

Long term (from 2016 – 2019):

evaluate experience develop new tailored studies for next round of River Basin Management Planning

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Proposed Framework for Use of Comprehensive Assessment of water benefits

For each Water body category

Options

Changes in pressures

Changes in water body state Environmental Outcomes Ecosystems Services Latest thinking Available evidence

  • Guidance
  • Valuations
  • Beneficiary estimation

Draft comprehensive framework for Catchment appraisals – Next Steps

  • Appraisal Summary Table (Qualitative – Quantitative – Monetary) + Guidance + Illustrations
  • Trial in pilot catchments for various water bodies by types (rural/urban) + review
  • Fit for purpose user friendly terminology

Basic Appraisal

In-depth review: contentious cases

3rd Party Evidence: Options, issues/problems Benefits, costs + affordability

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Developing a Comprehensive Assessment of water benefits: Specifying outcomes and aligning with available evidence

Environmental outcomes (from latest thinking + Ecosystems services)

Crops/ commercial fisheries + shellfisheries Abstracted water/value of water Property prices/economic development/tourism Greenhouse gases and Air pollutants remediation Health Flood risks Sewer flooding Angling/ Contact recreation/boating Informal bankside recreation Low flow alleviation Natural habitats, wildlife, inverts, fish Cultural Heritage Aesthetic Spiritual Folklore Education Altruism Distributional issues

Market Benefits:

  • Water and waste water treatment costs
  • Other market benefits
  • Bathing waters (tourism and economic development)

Benefit Categories

Health benefits Bathing waters illness; chemicals

Greenhouse gas values and air pollution costs

Flood risk impacts

Other Non-market Use benefits

Non-Market Non-use Water Benefits

Disaggregated benefits for specific target groups

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Monetised Non-market Benefit values: Initial DRAFT work in progress

Table 1. Rivers – WTP (£/km/year) by River Basin District and status change, 2012 prices River Basin District Bad to Poor Poor to Moderate Moderate to Good Lower Central Upper Lower Central Upper Lower Central Upper Anglian 14.1 17.2 20.3 16.2 19.8 23.3 18.8 23.0 27.1 Dee 12.7 15.4 18.2 14.5 17.7 20.8 16.7 20.4 24.1 Humber 14.5 17.7 20.9 16.7 20.4 24.1 19.5 23.7 28.0 North West 15.3 18.6 22.0 17.6 21.5 25.4 20.6 25.1 29.6 Northumbria 12.0 14.7 17.4 13.7 16.8 19.8 15.8 19.3 22.8 Severn 13.0 15.8 18.7 14.8 18.1 21.3 17.2 20.9 24.7 Solway Tweed 8.9 10.9 12.9 9.9 12.1 14.3 11.3 13.7 16.2 South East 17.7 21.5 25.4 20.5 25.0 29.5 24.0 29.3 34.5 South West 11.2 13.6 16.1 12.7 15.5 18.2 14.6 17.8 20.9 Thames 25.0 30.4 35.8 29.4 35.8 42.2 34.7 42.3 49.8 Western Wales 10.3 12.6 14.9 11.7 14.2 16.8 13.3 16.3 19.2 E&W 14.3 17.4 20.5 16.4 20.0 23.6 19.1 23.2 27.4

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Handling conflicting 3rd party evidence

Our ‘balanced’ CBA and Draft RBMP2 Vs Env NGOs re Other fuller benefits and non-£ items and considerations More ambitious measures Bullish assessment of market benefits Demand open slate reallocation of existing funds Vs Business re High costs and economic and social impacts of the controls (eg for farmers) and affordability Lower benefits estimates and concerns about customers’ affordability and income constraints Need means to reconcile differences to support balanced decisions

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Costs & Benefits of Environment Agency Activities in 2010

Total benefits for Environment and Regulated Business (E&B) and Flood risk mgt (FCRM): £ 6.2bn pa 83% of benefits from Flood risk mgt

  • mostly (£3.3bn) from asset investments

Benefit Cost Ratios* : EA: 5-6 (FCRM: 8, E&B: 1.7) These benefits estimates give valuable supplementary evidence on the VFM of our activities, but as yet they are not sufficiently comprehensive or robust to use directly for decision-making.

* Includes support services

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FCRM Total Annual Expenditure and Benefits

500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Planning and development control Capital Expenditure on Asset Management Asset Maintenance Mapping and data Flood Forecasting Incident Management Habitats

Expenditure & Benefits £m

2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR)

Expenditure Benefits BCR

Non-monetised env benefits

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FCRM better VFM than Transport

Environment Agency FCRM National Priority Programme (EANPP) vs Department for Transport (DfT)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Poor Low Med 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-10 10-15 15-20 >20

Benefit Cost Ratio Proportion of Programmes

DfT EA NPP

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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) £ milion Funding Stream

E&B cost benefit ratios

Expenditure Benefits BCR

Non monetised

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Robustness of benefit values

Least Robust Most Robust

£160m £561m £307m £26m 100 200 300 400 500 600

Benefits in £m

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 £211m £1411m £276m £3284m 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Benefits in £m Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4

E&B FCRM

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Thank you Any questions? Jonathan.fisher@environment-agency.gov.uk