Survey Says! DELAWARE STATEWIDE SURVEY OF RESIDENTS OPINIONS ON - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Survey Says! DELAWARE STATEWIDE SURVEY OF RESIDENTS OPINIONS ON - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Survey Says! DELAWARE STATEWIDE SURVEY OF RESIDENTS OPINIONS ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND SEA LEVEL RISE K E L L Y V A L E N C I K D E L A W A R E C O A S T A L P R O G R A M S P R E S E N T A T I O N F O R T H E P A R T N E R S H I P F O R


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SLIDE 1

DELAWARE STATEWIDE SURVEY OF RESIDENTS’ OPINIONS ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND SEA LEVEL RISE

Survey Says!

K E L L Y V A L E N C I K D E L A W A R E C O A S T A L P R O G R A M S P R E S E N T A T I O N F O R T H E P A R T N E R S H I P F O R T H E D E L A W A R E E S T U A R Y ’ S S C I E N C E A N D E N V I R O N M E N T A L S U M M I T J A N U A R Y 2 6 , 2 0 1 5

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SLIDE 2

Sea Level Rise at Lewes, Delaware

Global rate = 1.7 mm/yr Delaware rate = 3.35 mm/yr (13 Inches/100 years)

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SLIDE 3

Rates of sea level rise are very likely to accelerate in the future

 Scenarios for 2100

 0.5 meter increase (Green)  1.0 meter increase (Yellow)  1.5 meter increase (Red)

 Scenario Maps

 Bath-tub Model  For planning purposes only  Available online:

http://de.gov/slrmap

 New – check out Surging

Seas tool for Delaware!

http://sealevel.climatecentral.org

  • St. Jones Reserve, Dover DE
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SLIDE 4

Sea level rise will affect all of Delaware

 Urban Areas in Northern

Delaware:

 Transportation Networks  Neighborhoods  Economic Development

Zones

 Contaminated soils  Public Safety Facilities  Sewer Capacity

South Wilmington and Surrounding Areas with 0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 meters of SLR to 2100

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SLIDE 5

Sea Level Rise will affect all of Delaware

 At risk in Coastal Kent

County:

 Commercial/Recreational

Fishing Docks

 Residences  Habitat  Wetlands  Shorebirds  Horseshoe Crabs  Way of Life

Bowers Beach and Surrounding Areas with 0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 meters of SLR to 2100

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SLIDE 6

Sea Level Rise will affect all of Delaware

 At risk in the Sussex

Coastal Area:

 Homeowners  Bayfront and Oceanfront  Septic Systems  Tidal Wetlands and riparian

areas

 Habitat  Flood Attenuation  Water Quality  Transportation Networks  DE National Guard

Bethany Beach and Surrounding Areas with 0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 meters of SLR to 2100

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SLIDE 7

Proactive Planning for Sea Level Rise is necessary to ensure future quality of life

 Sea levels are rising now

and expected to accelerate

 Land use & public works

decisions have long life- span

 Two-for-one

 Planning for SLR helps

mitigate today’s flood risk

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SLIDE 8

Delaware’s Coastal Resiliency Initiative

  • Building the Foundation for Adaptation
  • Implementation Actions (Pilot Projects)
  • Scientific – Technical and Support

Actions

  • Communication, Training, and Public

Involvement Actions

  • Coordinated SLR Policy Development

http://de.gov/slradaptplan

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SLIDE 9

National Surveys on Climate Opinions

 6 Americas Survey (George

Mason & Yale Universities, 2009)

 51 % either alarmed or

concerned

 Pew Research Center

(2009)

 65% say climate change

serious or somewhat serious

 57% say there is solid

evidence for warming

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SLIDE 10

Delaware Survey Goals

 Understand (then apply):

 Basic level of belief, knowledge and

understanding of CC & SLR

 Importance of CC & SLR with

respect to other issues and in their

  • wn lives

 Perceptions about taking action to

mitigate or adapt

 Interpret trends in how DE is

perceiving these issues – compare 2014 results with 2009

 More or less concerning to

residents?

 Do they support more

action/planning?

 Has our previous outreach worked?

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SLIDE 11

Survey Methods

 Telephone Survey

 N=1,508  Cell and Landlines  153 questions  Crosstab analysis  Nonparametric analysis for

behavioral and demographic characteristics

 95% confidence interval

Mommy, the government wants to ask you some questions!

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SLIDE 12

The results

 Delaware residents

believe that climate change and sea level rise are real and they have experienced it.

 79% of Delawareans are

completely or mostly convinced that climate change is happening

 70% of Delawareans are

completely or mostly convinced that sea level rise is happening

Odessa, Del. October 16, 2009

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SLIDE 13

Feeling the heat

 Residents have

increasingly felt impacts:

 53% agree they have

personally felt the impacts

  • f climate change

 28% agree they have

personally felt the impacts

  • f sea level rise

 Increase of 8% in past 5

years!

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SLIDE 14

And they don’t like it!

 79% think that climate

change is a threat

 Slight increase degree of

threat since 2009

 7% more said CC is a VERY

serious threat than somewhat serious

 Highest concern about impacts

  • n:

 Health  Agriculture  Safety  Natural Resources

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SLIDE 15

Not one bit!

 68% worry about sea

level rise

 5% more than in 2009  Highest concern about

impacts on

 Ocean-front cities and towns  Delaware’s beaches  Marsh/wetland areas  Riverfront cities and town

Slaughter Beach, November 2011

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SLIDE 16

Delaware is optimistic!

 3/4 agree that Climate Change impacts can be reduced by human efforts

 And they can personally action

 Strong majority feel the

same about sea level rise

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SLIDE 17

And we are ready to act!

 3/4 of Delawareans

support taking immediate action to reduce climate change and sea level rise

 3/4 of Delawareans

support taking action on sea level rise before impacts occur

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SLIDE 18

Precautionary Approach to Planning

 Majority support changing building codes to reduce

risk in flood-prone areas

 Majority support avoiding building in areas at risk

from sea level rise

 Support for more research on sea level rise

 Less support for elevating buildings, wetland migration,

buying out frequently flooded properties

Nor’easter impacts in Bowers Beach, Delaware

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SLIDE 19

Communication and Outreach Implications

 Focus education/

  • utreach efforts on the

impacts of CC & SLR on resources Delawareans care most about, rather than as a stand alone

 DE residents are more

concerned about many resources that will be affected by SLR & CC, than about SLR & CC itself

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SLIDE 20

Messaging Implications - Geography

 Coastal Residents more

likely to believe in SLR, more likely to have experienced it

 Coastal Residents more

likely to think that government should be doing more to prepare

UD Coast Day, Lewes, Del.

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SLIDE 21

Messaging Implications – Responsible Planning

 Proactive, responsible

planning is a theme that resonates with Delawareans

 Emphasizing responsible

governance and wise-use

  • f tax dollars has proven

particularly useful in presentations to various audiences

Delaware Sea Level Rise Advisory Committee members

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SLIDE 22

Applying the Data

 Support for working

with communities and municipalities in Delaware – there is Constituent Support for planning!

 Support for research,

funding & adaptation

  • ptions

 Outreach materials and

messaging

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SLIDE 23

Thank you! Questions? More information: http://de.gov/coastal Contact: Kelly Valencik kelly.valencik@state.de.us 302-739-6377