INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Strong profitability and cash flow in 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020
Strong profitability and cash flow in 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Strong profitability and cash flow in 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION Kemira in brief 2019: REVENUE EUR 2,659 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 410 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 15.4%, OPERATIVE ROCE 11.2% SEGMENT SPLIT
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FEBRUARY 11, 2020
SEGMENT SPLIT PRODUCTS
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2GEOGRAPHIES
Kemira in brief
2019: REVENUE EUR 2,659 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 410 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 15.4%, OPERATIVE ROCE 11.2%
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing and strength
Revenue by geographies and product category represent FY 2019.
40% AMERICAS 1.USA 2.Canada 3.Brazil 50% EMEA 1.Finland 2.Sweden 3.Germany 10% APAC 1.China 2.South Korea 3.Thailand
◼ 57%
Pulp & Paper
◼ 43%
Industry & Water
CUSTOMERS Several thousand customers TOP 10 customers are ~25% of revenue TOP 50 customers are ~50% of revenue EXAMPLES OF LARGEST CUSTOMERS
Municipalities, e.g. Frankfurt, Berlin, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Singapore #1 in water treatment in NA and Europe #2 in friction reduction in North American shale oil & gas #2 globally
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
Why invest in Kemira
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 3Profitable growth
Operative EBITDA improved by +27% and Operative EBIT +29% in 2019
1 2 3
Attractive dividend
Stable dividend and competitive yield
Sustainable investment
Excellent sustainability performance (EcoVadis rating: Gold)
HOW KEMIRA CREATES VALUE
Strategy and Equity Story in summary
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 4FINANCIAL TARGETS Above the market revenue growth • Operative EBITDA 15-17% • Gearing below 75%
OUR MARKET FOCUS Chemicals for Pulp & Paper, Oil & Gas and Water Treatment #1 or #2 in our core markets Market growth estimated to be 2-3% p.a. supported by higher use of fiber-based products, resource efficiency and regulation BUILDING A GREAT CHEMICALS COMPANY Great products: 4 core areas are polymers, coagulants, sizing and bleaching chemicals which meet
Great operations: Deliver reliably with consistent quality Great people: Deep application expertise and innovation capability EXECUTION – VALUE OVER VOLUME Improving product and market mix Focusing on capital efficiency Investing selectively in core product areas with higher return
Global megatrends favor Kemira
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5REGULATION
Safe drinking water More stringent discharge limits
GROWING MIDDLE CLASS & URBANIZATION
E-commerce /
Higher use of water, energy, tissue and board
SCARCITY OF RESOURCES
Material and resource efficiency Alternative materials for single-use plastic products
REVENUE EUR million
2,137 2,373 2,363 2,486 2,593 2,659 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
OPERATIVE EBITDA OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
253 287 303 311 323 410 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% 15.4% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 6Delivering profitable growth
FEBRUARY 11, 2020PRE IFRS 16
Key profitability improvement actions in 2016-2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 7Operative EBITDA 2019: 15.4% (IFRS 16 included) Operative EBITDA 2015: 12.1%
2017 2018 2019 2016
Start-up of Ortigueira sodium chlorate site (BR) Botlek modernization (NL) BOOST operational excellence program launch Bradford polymer expansion (UK) San Giorgio polymer expansion (IT) Closures of Ottawa (CA) and Zaramillo (ES), coagulants Transportation agreement with Odyssey Odyssey go-live in North America Two segment structure operational Start-up of Joutseno chlorate expansion (FI) Chevron CEOR deal & Botlek expansion AKD wax manufacturing JV deal closed (CN) Closing of ECOX detergent production (SWE) Polymer investment decision (US) Major oil sands tailings water treatment deal (CA) Joint Venture – Dry polymers (SK) Divestment of coagulant asset (IT) Divestment of Kemira Operon (water treatment facility
Odyssey go-live in Europe ‘Value over volume’ initiated Start-up of new AKD wax site (CN) Cost savings in Pulp & Paper Move from ‘Value
price management’ Acquisition Organic growth / expansion of site Operational efficiencies Closure of site / divestment Ramp-up of of new AKD wax site (CN) Ramp-up of of new polymer facility (NL) Bleaching capacity extension (US)
1,417 1,457 1,477 1,520 1,523 171 195 198 192 218 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 8REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Pulp & Paper – strong business with solid track record
MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
◼ 50% EMEA ◼ 35% Americas ◼ 15% APAC ◼ 40% Bleaching & pulping ◼ 25% Sizing & strength ◼ 20%
Defoamers, dispersants, biocides and
chemicals
◼ 10% Polymers ◼ 5% Other ◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth 2-3% 0-1% 1% Market growth
Nouryon (pulp) #3 Solenis (paper)* #1 Kemira (pulp and paper) m.s. ~16% #2 Ecolab (paper) #4
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
FEBRUARY 11, 2020* Solenis-BASF combined entity
Kurita (paper) #5 REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
EUR million
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 9REVENUE BY APPLICATION TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Industry & Water – strong positions in chosen categories
REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION
◼ 40% Coagulants ◼ 40% Polymers ◼ 20% Other products such as defoamers and biocides
2-3% 5-6% 2-3%
◼ 45% EMEA ◼ 50% Americas ◼ 5% APAC ◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas
5-6% 3-4% 3-4%
WATER TREATMENT
Amsterdam Barcelona Frankfurt Berlin Oslo Paris Stockholm Los Angeles Montreal New York City Toronto Melbourne Shanghai Singapore
OIL & GAS
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
Market growth Market growth
CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
FEBRUARY 11, 2020REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
EUR million
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Market share ~30% in coagulants and ~20% in polymers Main competitors in coagulants:
Market share ~25% in polymers used in shale
Main peers in polymers (also in water treatment):
MUNICIPAL (40%), customer examples INDUSTRIAL (60%), customer examples
Municipal Industrial
956 906 1,009 1,073 1,136 116 107 114 131 192 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2015-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments * Solenis-BASF combined entity
Kemira’s financial targets
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 10Targets 2017 2018 IFRS 16 impact 2019 Financial target Revenue MEUR 2,486 Change +5% MEUR 2,593 Change +4%
Change +3% Above-the-market growth Operative EBITDA* 12.5% 12.5% Around +1.3 %-point 15.4% 15-17% Gearing* 59% 62% Around +11 %-points 66% Below 75% Factors 2019 comments Organic growth through volume and sales price increases Group’s organic growth was stable Oil & Gas becoming larger share of Group (incl. shale, CEOR and oil sands) Revenue from EUR 126m in 2016 to around 300m run-rate Sales price vs raw material price development Focus on value over volume visible in profitability; higher sales prices and better product mix Growth investments – Polymer capacity expansion in Netherlands, AKD sizing Joint Venture in China, Polymer capacity expansion in the US Backward integration and growth benefits 2020-21
FINANCIAL TARGETS AND HISTORICAL FIGURES KEY FACTORS TO WATCH FOR PROFITABILITY IMPROVEMENT
* Targets updated in February 2019 due to IFRS 16 accounting change. 2017-2018 figures are PRE IFRS 16.
INVESTOR PRESENTATIONHealthy market growth for Kemira’s relevant markets
2019 2025 Americas EMEA APAC
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 11Source: Management estimation based on various sources
KEMIRA RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
PULP & PAPER RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
INDUSTRY & WATER RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
2019 2025 Pulp Printing & writing Board & tissue 2019 2025 Water treatment Oil & Gas Other
CAGR:
1-2%
CAGR:
5-6% 22 27 10 9 18 13
CAGR:
3-4%
Dividend proposed to be increased to EUR 0.56 per share
and competitive dividend
profitability and cash flow in 2019
dividend of EUR 0.56 per share, totaling EUR 85 million. The dividend is proposed to be paid in two installments in 2020, in April and in November.
listing of shares in 1994
0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.56
5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 12◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield
FEBRUARY 11, 2020Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end
*Board of Director’s proposal to the AGM 2020
Our three sustainability priorities
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 13Sustainable products and solutions People and integrity Responsible
supply chain
Ensuring responsible operations to protect our assets, our environment, employees, contractors, customers and communities Ensuring compliance with responsible business practices in our supply chain Incorporating sustainability into
Proactive product stewardship throughout the products’ lifecycle Culture and commitment to people Ensuring compliance with Kemira Code of Conduct
KPI’S AND TARGETS
position, cumulative target 1500 by 2020 (2015=0)
KPI’S AND TARGETS
100 in 2012)
Supplier Sustainability Evaluation
through sustainability evaluation through assessments and audits (Baseline 60% in 2017) KPI’S AND TARGETS At least 50% of our revenue is generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency
Kemira’s strengths: Delivery accuracy Service level Ease of doing business
CUSTOMER SATISFACTION
* Promoter customers (very loyal) – Detractor customers (unhappy), Scale: 0-19 Satisfactory, 20-39 Good, 40+ Excellent. 1,024 customer interviews in 2018 ** New rolling process implemented in 2019
NET PROMOTER SCORE*
28 30 33 36**
2016 2017 2018 2019 1 2 3
We invest in core products globally
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 15PRODUCTS
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing* and strength
Revenue EUR 2,659 million (2019)
*Sizing = Resistance against water absorption
Sweden
integration of acquisitions (Akzo Nobel and China AKD wax)
KEY INVESTMENT FOCUS ON CORE PRODUCT GROUPS SINCE 2016
Note: Revenue by product rounded to the nearest 5%.
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 16Selected highlights in 2019
market softened towards the end of the year and some softness was visible in Pulp & Paper
financials, strong profitability improvement in 2019 with operative EBITDA margin reaching 15.4%
EBITDA from Q1 2020 onwards:
customer and employee satisfaction
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 17Financial highlights of 2019
Focus on value over volume
higher profitability despite some loss of volume
water treatment Operative EBITDA +27% to margin of 15.4%
plant start-up costs Earnings per share +24% to EUR 0.72
Strong cash flow from operating activities Dividend proposed to be increased by 6% following strong cash flow
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 18EUR million (except ratios)
Q4 2019 Q4 2018 Δ% FY 2019 FY 2018 Δ% Revenue 657.7 661.8
3% Operative EBITDA 90.1 84.5 7% 410.0 323.1 27%
13.7% 12.8%
12.5%
42.4 44.8
224.0 173.8 29%
6.4% 6.8%
6.7%
8.6 26.5
116.5 95.2 22% EPS diluted, EUR 0.05 0.17
0.72 0.58 24% Cash flow from
142.5 88.2 62% 386.2 210.2 84% Dividend per share, proposal by the BoD, EUR** 0.56 0.53 6%
**Board of Director’s proposal to the AGM 2020 *CEOR, chemical enhanced oil recovery
Pulp & Paper – profitability improved in 2019
Market environment
term growth drivers solid Organic growth -3% in Q4; -2% in 2019
market prices (mainly trading product) impacted
Operative EBITDA margin 13.6% in Q4, 14.3% in 2019
combined with cost savings resulting in improved profitability
China
+14.1 million in 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 19OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
372 369 363 373 369 376 385 390 381 373 383 386 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019
0% +1% +2% +5% +5% +6% +7% +4%
46.0 47.8 48.5 55.4 42.7 45.4 52.3 51.2 50.7 53.7 61.3 52.6 12.4% 13.0% 13.4% 14.9% 11.6% 12.1% 13.6% 13.1% 13.3% 14.4% 16.0% 13.6% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2* Q3* Q4* 2017 2018 2019
+0%
Industry & Water – profitability improved clearly in 2019
Market environment
Organic growth -1% in Q4, +4% in 2019
revenue growth in 2019 Operative EBITDA margin 13.8% in Q4, 16.9% in 2019
active price management with turnaround in water treatment in North America
plant start-up costs in the Netherlands
+20.2 million in 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2022.9 29.3 36.0 25.3 26.6 34.8 36.7 33.3 45.0 52.4 56.8 37.5 9.6% 11.8% 13.9% 9.6% 10.9%12.8%12.9%12.3% 16.8%18.1%18.5% 13.8% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2* Q3* Q4* 2017 2018 2019
OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million
238 248 259 264 245 272 284 271 267 290 307 272 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019
+9% +15% +20% +14%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
+11% +11% +2% +6% +6% +5% +4%
Oil & Gas – slight revenue growth in Q4 despite market softness
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2138 45 57 57 46 56 73 66 62 77 87 66 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019
REVENUE DEVELOPMENT EUR million
Market environment
end de-stocking; market expectation is that shale market will recover towards the summer
demand in 2019, solid demand expected to continue in 2020 Q4 slight revenue growth, strong revenue growth in 2019
seasonally lower Capacity investments
growth in CEOR**
commercial operation in 2021
*Oilfield services: Canadian Oil Sands and CEOR **CEOR, chemical enhanced oil recovery
Key operative focus areas in 2020
1. Continue active price management and improve capacity utilization 2. Continue to improve customer satisfaction scores (NPS) 3. Modify product & service offering to cater better profitable growth 4. Improve operational excellence and reduce complexity 5. Realize benefits of added capacity in China, the Netherlands and the U.S. 6. Construction of polymer capacity in the U.S. and South Korea 7. Prudent cost-control in all areas
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 22Outlook for 2020
“Kemira expects its operative EBITDA (2019: EUR 410.0 million) to increase from the prior year.”
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 23EUR million 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Operative EBITDA 253 287 303 311 323 410 increase
Operative EBITDA figures for 2014-2018 are ”pre IFRS-16”.
Favorable price/cost trend continued
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2484.5
Q4 2018 Sales volumes Sales prices Variable costs Fixed costs Currency impact Other Q4 2019 Adoption of IFRS 16 standard "Pre IFRS 16 comparison"
+13.8 +14.4
OPERATIVE EBITDA BRIDGE EUR million
662
+1% 0% 658
Q4 2018 Sales volumes Sales prices Currency impact Acquisitions & Divestments Q4 2019
+2%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
Operative EBITDA margin 13.7%
costs do not include operating lease expenses in 2019, corresponding to a positive EBITDA impact of EUR +9.2 million in Q4 and EUR +34.3 million in 2019
80.9
90.1
Q4/2019
Items affecting comparability
related to an existing, old litigation concerning an alleged infringement of competition law in 1994-2000
increased by ca. 8 MEUR due to clean-up of a Finnish manufacturing site closed in 2013
Paper during 2019 due to
Items affecting comparability, EUR million Q4 2019 Q4 2018 FY 2019 FY 2018 Within EBITDA
Pulp & Paper
1.8
Industry & Water 0.3
Within depreciation, amortization and impairment 0.0
Pulp & Paper 0.0 0.0 0.0
Industry & Water 0.0
Total items affecting comparability in EBIT
SALES PRICE VS VARIABLE COST TREND (ROLLING 12-MONTH CHANGE Y-O-Y) SALES PRICES AND VARIABLE COSTS (CHANGE Y-O-Y)
9 5
11 4 8 24 28 32 28
3 11 23 47 42 37 34 23 19 14
16 13 13 26 36 38 29 11
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018 2019 Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs) Sales prices Variable costs
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 26Net impact of sales price & variable costs exceptionally positive
* 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
EUR million EUR million
60 120 180 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
ROCE improving clearly, adoption of IFRS 16 increased reported net debt
9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 11.2% 2016 2017 2018 2019 634 694 741 811 Dec 31 2016 Dec 31 2017 Dec 31 2018 Dec 31 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 27NET DEBT (EUR million) AND LEVERAGE RATIO* OPERATIVE RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED
2.3 2.2 2.1
Group’s ROCE once up and running
below 75%
IFRS 16 according to which operating leases (EUR 134 million) are part of debt
– Excluding IFRS 16 impact, net debt would have been EUR 677 million and leverage ratio 1.7
– Average cost of net debt excluding leases is 1.9% and duration is 26 months
* Leverage ratio = Net debt / last 12 months operative EBITDA
2.0
Strong cash flow in 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 28ALL KEY FIGURES IN EUR MILLION
271 205 210 386 2016 2017 2018 2019
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCL. ACQUISITIONS
capital of EUR 15 million to Group in Q1 2019
changes in net working capital
to polymer expansion in the Netherlands and the U.S., new AKD manufacturing site in China and chlorate expansion in the U.S. CAPEX GUIDANCE 2020
expected to be approximately EUR 200 million, including:
– New capacity expansion in Oil & Gas polymers in the U.S. – Smaller capex projects in several locations
60 59 53 65 58 65 53 39 95 66 44 98
2016 2017 2018 2019
Expansion Improvement Maintenance
150 190 201 213
Dividend proposed to be increased to EUR 0.56 per share
and competitive dividend
profitability and cash flow in 2019
dividend of EUR 0.56 per share, totaling EUR 85 million. The dividend is proposed to be paid in two tranches in 2020, in April and in November.
listing of shares in 1994
0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.56
5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 29◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield
FEBRUARY 11, 2020Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end
*Board of Director’s proposal to the AGM 2020
2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 30Financial targets
14-16%
Revenue Operative EBITDA-% Gearing
Below 60%
2017
EUR 2.5 billion 12.5% 59%
2018
EUR 2.6 billion 12.5% 62%
Above-the-market growth
Financial targets
Above-the-market growth 15-17% Below 75%
15.4% EUR 2.7 billion 66%
PRE IFRS 16
Previously Kemira referred to these three targets as mid-to-long term financial targets, but will refer to them only as financial targets going forward.
Majority of contracts with fixed annual pricing
Pulp & Paper – Contract types and pricing terms on high level
longer / only 5% are spot deals
pricing Industry & Water – Contract types and pricing terms
/ 40% spot deals
pricing, incl. Oil & Gas where contracts are either formula or spot based
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 31VARIABLE COST SPLIT 2019 EUR 1.5 billion TOP 12 RAW MATERIALS BY SPEND
1. Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda)* 2. Acrylonitrile (OD) 3. Petroleum solvents (OD) 4. Aluminium Hydrate 5. Colloidal silica dispersion* 6. Acrylic Acid (OD) 7. Amines (OD) 8. Alpha olefin (OD) 9. Sodium chloride (salt)
Top 12 account for 52% of Kemira’s raw material spend OD = Oil & gas derivative * Mainly trading materials
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 32EXPOSURE TO OIL RELATED RAW MATERIALS
Kemira’s variable cost split and top raw materials
◼ 35%
Oil & gas related
◼ 65%
Not oil related
◼ 70%
Raw materials
◼ 15%
Electricity & energy
◼ 15%
Logistics
FEBRUARY 11, 2020Figures rounded to the nearest 5%
accounting for Kemira Group’s
replaced by the depreciation of the right-of-use assets and interest cost associated with lease liability
and on net profit immaterial
figures, instead we will provide enough data for analysis
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 33IFRS 16 impact on financials
EUR million (except ratio) FY 2019 Impact
Operative EBITDA 410.0 Around +34 MEUR
15.4% Around +1.3 % -point Impact on balance sheet EUR million (except ratio) Dec 31, 2018 Impact on FY 2019 Net debt 741 +134 MEUR Gearing 62% +11%-points
Key figures
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 34EUR million Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 2019 2018 Revenue 657.7 689.8 663.6 647.8 661.8 2,658.8 2,592.8 Operative EBITDA 90.1 118.1 106.1 95.6 84.5 410.0 323.1 margin 13.7% 17.1% 16.0% 14.8% 12.8% 15.4% 12.5% Operative EBIT 42.4 71.1 60.3 50.1 44.8 224.0 173.8 margin 6.4% 10.3% 9.1% 7.7% 6.8% 8.4% 6.7% Net profit 8.6 43.3 35.2 29.3 26.5 116.5 95.2 Earnings per share, diluted, EUR 0.05 0.27 0.22 0.18 0.17 0.72 0.58 Cash flow from operations 142.5 121.3 57.2 65.2 88.2 386.2 210.2 Capex excl. acquisitions 81.4 51.5 39.9 28.3 53.2 201.1 150.4 Net debt 811 866 921 842 741 811 741 NWC ratio (rolling 12 m) 10.7% 11.1% 10.9% 10.6% 10.2% 10.7% 10.2% Operative ROCE (rolling 12 m) 11.2% 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 11.2% 9.8% Personnel at period-end 5,062 5,036 5,067 4,973 4,915 5,062 4,915
Cash flow
EUR million Q4 2019 Q4 2018 2019 2018 Net profit for the period 9 27 116 95 Total adjustments 81 59 302 220 Change in net working capital 83 17 45
Finance expenses
Income taxes paid
Net cash generated from operating activities 142 88 386 210 Purchases of subsidiaries and business acquisitions, net
Capital expenditure excl. acquisition
Proceeds from sale of assets 1 8 7 Change in long-term loan receivables 5 5 Cash flow after investing activities 60
190 29
Currencies
Currency exchange rates had around EUR +53 million impact on revenue and EUR +17 million impact on the operative EBITDA in 2019 compared to 2018. Guidance: 10% change in our main foreign currencies would approximately have EUR 15 million impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis.
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 36◼ 41% EUR ◼ 7% Others KEMIRA REVENUE DISTRIBUTION 2019 KEMIRA COST DISTRIBUTION 2019 ◼ 2% SEK ◼ 4% CNY ◼ 4% CAD ◼ 38% USD ◼ 6% Others ◼ 6% CNY ◼ 5% CAD ◼ 6% SEK ◼ 31% USD ◼ 41% EUR ◼ 2% BRL ◼ 2% GBP ◼ 3% GBP ◼ 2% PLN
Pulp & Paper
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 37KEY FINANCIALS EUR million Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 2019 2018 Revenue 385.9 382.9 373.4 380.8 390.4 1,522.9 1,520.2 Operative EBITDA 52.6 61.3 53.7 50.7 51.2 218.3 191.7 margin 13.6% 16.0% 14.4% 13.3% 13.1% 14.3% 12.6% Operative EBIT 22.5 32.1 24.0 20.6 24.1 99.2 91.6 margin 5.8% 8.4% 6.4% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.0% Operative ROCE*, % 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 7.7% 7.8% 7.7% 7.8% Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 43.6 25.4 23.3 17.3 28.8 109.7 85.1 Cash flow after investing activities 33.5 44.6 36.2 25.1
139.4 29.9
*12-month rolling average
KEY FINANCIALS
Industry & Water
EUR million Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 2019 2018 Revenue 271.8 306.9 290.2 267.0 271.5 1,135.9 1,072.6 Operative EBITDA 37.5 56.8 52.4 45.0 33.3 191.7 131.5 margin 13.8% 18.5% 18.1% 16.8% 12.3% 16.9% 12.3% Operative EBIT 19.9 39.0 36.3 29.5 20.8 124.7 82.2 margin 7.3% 12.7% 12.5% 11.0% 7.7% 11.0% 7.7% Operative ROCE*, % 17.6% 18.4% 16.9% 15.4% 13.6% 17.6% 13.6% Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 37.8 26.0 16.5 11.0 24.4 91.4 65.3 Cash flow after investing activities 57.3 37.9 5.7 27.8 23.8 128.7 52.5
*12-month rolling average
FY 2019
Revenue split by country
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 39USA 27% Canada 7% Brazil 2% Uruguay 2% Other Americas 2% Finland 15% Sweden 5% Germany 4% Poland 2% UK 4% Spain 2% Other APAC 6% China 4% Russia 2% Netherlands 2% France 2% Italy 2% Other EMEA 9% Norway 1%
Key figures and ratios – 5-year summary
EUR million (except ratios) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Revenue 2,136.7 2,373.1 2,363.3 2,486.0 2,592.8 2,658.8 Operative EBITDA 252.9 287.3 302.5 311.3 323.1 410.0
11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% 15.4% Operative EBIT 158.3 163.1 170.1 170.3 173.8 224.0
7.4% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.7% 8.4% Cash flow from operations 74.2 247.6 270.6 205.1 210.2 386.2 Capital expenditure, excluding acq. 140.6 181.7 212.6 190.1 150.4 201.1 Gearing at period-end 42 54 54 59 62 66 Inventories 197 207 217 224 284 261 Personnel at period-end 4,248 4,685 4,818 4,732 4,915 5,062
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 40Per share figures – 5-year summary
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Earnings per share, EUR 0.59 0.47 0.60 0.52 0.58 0.72 Cash flow from operating activities per share, EUR 0.49 1.63 1.78 1.35 1.38 2.5 Equity per share, EUR 7.57 7.76 7.68 7.61 7.80 7.98 Dividend per share, EUR 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.56 Share price, EUR, end of period 9.89 10.88 12.13 11.50 9.85 13.26 Market capitalization, EUR million (excl. treasury shares) 1,504 1,654 1,848 1,752 1,502 2,024 Number of shares, million (excl. treasury shares) 152.1 152.1 152.4 152.4 152.4 152.4 P/E ratio 16.7 23.3 20.1 22.3 17.0 18.4 P/CF ratio 20.2 6.7 6.8 8.5 7.1 5.3 P/B ratio 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.7 Dividend yield, % 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.6 5.4 4.2
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 41 FEBRUARY 11, 2020INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Pulp & Paper chemicals market estimated to grow 1-2%
– Hardwood and softwood pulp demand increasing driven by growth of packaging needs (e- commerce, non-plastic solutions), growing tissue demand and lack of recycled fiber – Demand increase continues for packaging, driven by online shopping, last-mile delivery, product safety and non-plastic solutions – Growth in tissue demand driven by increasing wealth in emerging countries – Ongoing digitalization of media drives decline of graphic paper demand
represent over 80% of our Pulp & Paper revenue
– Ongoing capacity additions suit well for the need
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million
1,417 1,457 1,477 1,520 1,523 171 195 198 192 218 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth
REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE
Strong demand in pulp market creating growth opportunities
New pulp mill projects are driven by increasing demand for tissue and board
Asia
board, paper, and tissue mills or used captively in an integrated mill
Multiple pulp mill projects realised and expected in Northern Europe creating opportunities for Kemira to grow with the market In addition, a few large scale pulp mill projects expected in South America, and new applications outside traditional Pulp&Paper (e.g. car battery manufacturing)
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 44Confirmed new capacity / debottlenecking 2016-2020 Possible new mills 2021-2024
Äänekoski Kuusankoski Kemijärvi Kemi Östrand Värobacka Svetlogorsk Steti Viljandi/Tartto Vologda Bratsk -> Uts-Ilimsk -> Sveza Kaskinen Kama Dobrush
BCTMP New applications
Skellefteå
Bleaching investment – case Joutseno
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 45capacity in Q4 2017
– Excellent timing, pulp production grew simultaneously in Finland
annual production of over 2Mt
exported in dry format to APAC
EUR 50 MILLION INVESTMENT IN 2017
Acquisition via JV in China
raw material fatty acid chloride (FACL)
– AKD is sizing chemical used in board and paper to create resistance against liquid absorption – NewCo also plans to produce coagulants for water treatment
supply of key raw material for AKD wax
– Investment for 80% around EUR 55 million
– Good contribution to P&L after ramp-up
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 46AKD WAX SUPPLIED FROM YANZHOU, CHINA TO KEMIRA SITES GLOBALLY
We leverage acquisition synergies with our global production
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 47Telêmaco Borba Washougal
Helsingborg Joutseno Nanjing Hallam Gunsan Pasuruan Wellgrow Krems Tarragona Yanzhou NewCo
Acquisition in China is excellent strategic fit
Acquired asset fulfills our key criteria for acquisitions GROWTH – End-products in growing markets APAC – Enables profitable growth in APAC SUPPLY – Backward integr. & self-sufficiency (FACL) SUSTAINABILITY – FACL from renewable raw material LOCATION – Close to our existing production PROFITABILITY – Accretive after ramp-up
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 48END-PRODUCTS WHERE AKD WAX IS USED
Pulp & Paper
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 49TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER
Value chain part covered by Kemira RAW MATERIALS INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS CUSTOMER INDUSTRIES CUSTOMERS Electricity Sodium chloride (salt) Crude tall oil Cationic monomer Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Olefins Fatty acids Maleic anhydride Sulfur Tall oil rosin AKD Wax Isomerized olefins Acrylamide Sodium chlorate Hydrogen peroxide Polymers Defoamers Coagulants Biocides Sizing Strength Additives Surface additives Colorants Sulfuric acid Pulping Bleaching Retention Wet-end process control WQQM Sizing Strength Surface treatment Coloring Pulp Packaging and board Printing and writing Tissue All the major global paper and pulp producers MAIN COMPETITORS: Solenis, Nouryon, Ecolab, Kurita, SNF
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 50Industry & Water relevant chemicals market estimated to grow 3-4%
to increase due to
– Higher demand for water driven by industrial growth and population growth – More stringent discharge limits for waste water – Better dewatering of sludge – Phosphorus recovery – Water reuse
– Shale friction reducer market expected to grow due to higher energy demand and increasing number of wells fracked – Oil sands operators face regulatory requirements for their tailings treatment – Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery lucrative in certain fields due to better yield from existing reservoirs
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 51956 906 1,009 1,073 116 107 114 131 192 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million
◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas 2-3% 5-6% 2-3% Market growth
REVENUE BY APPLICATION
2015-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments
1,136
Kemira is a market leader in water treatment chemistry
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 52Serving most European cities Drinking water plants and wastewater plants
I&W EMEA customer locations. Dot size correlates with ship-to volumes. Not representative for Eastern Europe due to roll-out of Kemira ERP system.
1. The requirements of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive (UWWTD) must be implemented fully and equally in all member states. 2. Emission limit values (especially phosphorus) in water discharges should be tightened. 3. Digitalization can improve both the quality
treatment. 4. Emerging pollutants need to be included in the legislation. 5. Pollution from storm-water overflows must be limited and discharges safely disinfected. 6. Clearer guidance is needed on applying innovation and sustainability criteria in public procurement for water treatment.
Kemira’s six actions for cleaner waters
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 53Implementation of wastewater treatment directive varies in EU
implementation gaps of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive, even though the first collection and treatment requirements
entered into force in 2001
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5410 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom 2010 2012 2014
Degree of compliance in water discharges*
% of subjected load
* Degree of compliance with Article 5 of the Directive, which sets the requirements for water discharges to sensitive areas. Source: European Commission, 9th report on the implementation status concerning urban waste water treatment.
Oil & Gas growing fast
Growing market demand with our selective market diversification assuring growth Kemira’s offering
energy consumption by 60% in shale oil fields
make offshore oil recovery more cost effective (CEOR)
treatment in oil sands
New innovative technologies driving expansion
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5550 100 150 200 250 300 350 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
REVENUE IN OIL & GAS
EUR million
REVENUE SPLIT
◼ 10%
Other
◼ 55%
Shale fracking
◼ 35%
Oil sands and Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery
Figures rounded to closest 5%
CEOR-polymer deal with Chevron
Oil Recovery deal with Chevron
October 2017, progressing well
which EUR 500 million accessible to Kemira
production from existing fields
challenging water intensive environments and technologies that can enable CEOR
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 56Industry & Water
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 57TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER IN WATER TREATMENT AS WELL AS IN NICHE APPLICATIONS IN OIL & GAS
MAIN COMPETITORS Coagulants: mainly local small companies, Feralco, USALCO, Kronos, PVS, Polymers: SNF, Solvay, Ecolab, Solenis
Value chain part covered by Kemira
INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS SALES CHANNELS CUSTOMERS Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Sulfuric acid Hydrochloric acid Aluminium hydrate Iron ore Pickling liquor Copperas Various monomers Acrylamide Cationic monomer Polymers (EPAM, DPAM) Al Coagulants Fe Coagulants Dispersants & antiscalants Biocides Emulsifiers Defoamers Formulations Raw water & waste water treatment Sludge treatment Friction reduction Enhanced oil recovery Tailings treatment Mining processes Direct sales Distributor/reseller Service companies RAW MATERIALS Municipalities Private operators Industrial customers Pumpers Oil & Gas operators Service companies Mine operators
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SHAREHOLDERS ON DECEMBER 31, 2019
% OF SHARES
20.1%
10.2%
3.4%
2.7%
1.7% Total number of shares 155,342,557 Foreign ownership of shares 31.9% Total number of shareholders 33,345
KEMIRA BOARD OF DIRECTORS
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 59Kemira – largest shareholders and Board of Directors
JARI PAASIKIVI Chairman Member since 2012 Oras Invest Oy, CEO KERTTU TUOMAS Vice Chairman Member since 2010 WOLFGANG BÜCHELE Member in 2009-2012 and since 2014 KAISA HIETALA Member since 2016 TIMO LAPPALAINEN Member since 2014 SHIRLEY CUNNINGHAM Member since 2017
Kemira’s Management Board
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 60Jukka Hakkila, Chief Legal Officer, (with Kemira since 2005) acts as secretary of Management Board and Board of Directors.
JARI ROSENDAL President and CEO With Kemira since 2014 KIM POULSEN President Pulp & Paper With Kemira since 2015 ANTTI SALMINEN President Industry & Water With Kemira since 2011 PETRI CASTRÉN CFO With Kemira since 2013 MATTHEW PIXTON CTO With Kemira since 2016 ESA-MATTI PUPUTTI EVP, Operational Excellence With Kemira since 2015 EEVA SALONEN EVP, Human Resources With Kemira since 2008
Priority KPI+Target Performance Comments Progress Sustainable products and solutions
Product sustainability Share of revenue from products used for use-phase resource efficiency. At least 50% of Kemira’s revenue generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency. By the end of Q4, Kemira's share of revenue from products used for use-phase resource efficiency was 53%. This target result and increasing trend since setting our baseline average can be attributed to a combination of factors, primarily increased customer demand and Kemira's increased focus on development and sales of such products.
Responsible
chain
Workplace safety Achieve zero injuries on long term; TRIF* 2.0 by end of 2020. By the end of 2019, our safety performance included a TRIF of 2.1 (3.5), a result that was a significant improvement over 2018. We beat our 2019 target of 3.1 through continued and consistent work towards improving
mitigating health and safety hazards across all operations in Kemira. Climate change Kemira Carbon Index ≤ 80 by end of 2020 (2012 = 100). This KPI is reported
The overall slight increase in the Kemira Carbon Index in 2019 was due to the increase in carbon intensity of the Nordpool spot market. Our scope 1 emissions reduced slightly due to lower use of natural gas in Sweden. At the end of 2019, Kemira set an ambition to be carbon neutral by 2045 and a new target of reducing combined scope 1 and 2 greenhouse gasses by 30% by 2030, relative to 2018 levels. Supplier Management % of direct key suppliers screened through sustainability assessments and audits (cumulative %). The target includes 5 sustainability audits for highest risk** suppliers every year, and cumulatively 25 by 2020. Sustainability screening of key suppliers continued as planned with a total of five completed by the end of Q4. The audit results were reviewed together with the suppliers, and improvement plans were created and followed up on accordingly as part of our supplier management practices. The most common corrective actions were related to working hours and wages, as well as improving safety at suppliers’ sites.
Corporate responsibility performance Q4/2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 49% 51% 53% Baseline average 2016-2017 2018 2019 100 88 91 93 86 85 83 84 80 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Target 2020 69% 74% 90% 11 18 25 10 20 30 40 50 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Baseline 2018 2019 Target 2020 % of key suppliers # of audits (cumul.)* TRIF = Number of Total Recordable Injury Frequency per million hours, Kemira + contractor, year-to-date ** Suppliers with lowest sustainability assessment score
7.2 3.4 3.9 3.5 2.1 2.0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Target 2020 61Priority KPI+target Performance Comments Progress People and integrity
Employee engagement index based on MyVoice survey The index at or above the external industry norm. During 2019, we initiated our continuous feedback and listening model for prioritized areas, transitioning us to new, agile methods of engagement measurement, benchmarking and taking action. By the end of 2019, employee engagement score was 79, which is six above the external manufacturing benchmark. The participation rate was 67%. Leadership development activities provided, average Two leadership development activities per people manager position during 2016-2020, the cumulative target is 1,500 by 2020. Our talent management culture is well in place, with both the systematic processes and leadership capabilities to identify and develop employees with the potential for leadership positions globally. We continued to build a strong leadership bench to meet our business needs in relation to executing our strategy and driving our long-term growth. Integrity index KPI to measure compliance with the Kemira Code of Conduct. The target is to maintain the Integrity Index level above the external industry norm. Integrity has been measured in the past using the biannual Voices@Kemira survey. The last such survey was in 2018, and our result was high at 87%. This is 10% above the external industry norm. Integrity will be measured using our new MyVoice survey in 2020.
Corporate responsibility performance Q4/2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 79 67 73 Engagement Participation 2019 Target 494 1,036 1,533 1,839 1,500 2016 2017 2018 2019 Target 2020 87% 84% 2018 Integrity Index ParticipationRead more about Corporate Responsibility in Kemira
62Kemira has a diversified financing base
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 63Leases 134 million Bond EUR 350 million Loans from banks and financial institutions EUR 335 million Other EUR 141 million
35% 36% 15% 14%
156 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Bilaterals Bonds Others
150 200
Undrawn RCF 400
GROSS DEBT END OF DECEMBER 2019 EUR 955 MILLION, MATURITY PROFILE EXCLUDING LEASES
Important information about financial figures
Kemira provides certain financial performance measures (alternative performance measures)
growth*, EBITDA, operative EBITDA, cash flow after investing activities, and gearing followed by capital markets and Kemira management, provide useful information of its comparable business performance and financial position. Selected alternative performance measures are also used as performance criteria in remuneration. Kemira’s alternative performance measures should not be viewed in isolation to the equivalent IFRS measures and alternative performance measures should be read in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Definitions of the alternative performance measures can be found in the Definitions of the key figures in this report, as well as at www.kemira.com > Investors > Financial information. All the figures in this interim report have been individually rounded and consequently the sum
* Revenue growth in local currencies, excluding acquisitions and divestments
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 64