Strategic Planning Steve Wright, General Manager Feb. 7, 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Strategic Planning Steve Wright, General Manager Feb. 7, 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Strategic Planning Steve Wright, General Manager Feb. 7, 2019 Starting Strategic Planning Review where we have been since 2015 when the plan was adopted Review our key metrics Describe key strategic questions for next plan 2


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Strategic Planning

Steve Wright, General Manager

  • Feb. 7, 2019
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Starting Strategic Planning

  • Review where we have been since 2015 when the plan was adopted
  • Review our key metrics
  • Describe key strategic questions for next plan

2

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  • Reduce debt/equity ratio below 35%
  • Mission Accomplished!
  • Future goal – Keep debt below 35% unless necessary

to manage rate shock

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Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

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SLIDE 4
  • Invest in assets and people
  • Asset assessment uncovering many signs of wear

4

Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

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  • Investing in assets and people objective continues in

new strategic plan

  • Seeking to achieve better hydro capability/ distribution

reliability

  • All employees will have Individual Development Plans to

reflect changing jobs such as becoming more data driven

  • Driving for overall operational excellence in all business

units

5

Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

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  • Initiate Public Power Benefit Program
  • Program operating – primary investment has been in expanding

broadband service, providing park passes for customer owners, and investing in hydro research

  • Now up to 74% of the county has access to PUD fiber

6

Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

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SLIDE 7

Examples of Rapidly Evolving Industry

  • Cryptocurrency
  • West Coast market changes
  • Cybersecurity

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SLIDE 8

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Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

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SLIDE 9
  • Liquidity

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Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

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  • Liquidity

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Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

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  • Liquidity

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Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

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  • Liquidity

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Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

 Goal – be prepared for good or low net revenue

  • utcomes
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Reviewing and Learning from the Last Plan

$- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 millions 12-31-18 Forecast (expected) w/ no assumed financing 12-31-18 (low revenue) w/ no assumed financing Liqudity Minimum Baseline(Computed or $175M) 12-31-18 (high revenue) w/ no assumed financing

(forecasts change as circumstances, assumptions, long-term plans and financial policies change) As of December 31, 2018 Forecast

Expected Scenario Low Revenue Scenario Minimum Liquidity Reserve Target

(Reflects a 50/50 probability of being better or worse)

Note: When the Expected Scenario (blue line) crosses the Minimum Liquidity Reserve Target in ~2022, the District will need to borrow funds, adjust rates, or a combination

  • f the two. Under the Low Revenue Scenario, those

actions would be required sooner ~ 2020 and they would be required later under the Higher Revenue Scenario.

District Liquidity Forecast

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SLIDE 14

Key Metrics: Rates

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10.27 12.55 7.68 9.48 3.1 3.2

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

All Retail Residential

Cents

Electric Rates per Kilowatt Hour (2016)

Chelan County Washington State Average US Average

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Key Metrics: Hydro Capability

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50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

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Key Metrics: Reliability

Aging equipment presents challenge

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Power Availability 2015 2016 2017 Percent of time over 1 year 99.98562 99.98947 99.98360

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Key Metrics: Environmental

  • Habitat Conservation Plan Implementation on track
  • Exceeded energy efficiency compliance requirements

by 92%

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Key Metrics: Customer Satisfaction

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89 98 97

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Communication Reliability Overall Satisfaction

% Satisfied or Very Satisfied

% Satisfied or Very Satisfied

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Mission

Previously

  • To provide sustainable, reliable

utility services that enhance the quality of life in Chelan County.

Updated

  • To enhance the quality of life in

Chelan County by providing sustainable, reliable utility services.

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Vision

  • Previously: Vision
  • To be valued as an innovative, trusted, and highly respected public utility for

generations to come

  • Updated: Vision / Challenge
  • In a rapidly changing utility environment, we will provide: The Best Value for

the Most People for the Longest Time

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Vision

  • Strategic Components of vision/challenge
  • Commit to highest levels of customer-owner satisfaction
  • e.g. low rates, improved outage management
  • Invest to create long-term value
  • e.g. asset management
  • Ensure financial stability
  • e.g. financial metrics
  • Protect natural resources impacted by operations
  • e.g. full implementation of HCP
  • Advance human performance
  • e.g. safety and operational excellence through human performance

initiative, training to anticipate change

  • Continuously improve efficient, effective, compliant, risk-assessed

and resilient operations

  • risk assessment for e.g. business continuity, market prices, distributed

generation, cryptocurrency load

  • Encourage innovation
  • continuous improvement and cutting edge technology where valuable to
  • ur business model e.g. HRI

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Values

Previously

  • Safety
  • Stewardship
  • Trustworthiness
  • Operational Excellence

Updated

  • Safety: no change
  • Stewardship: no change
  • Trustworthiness: added

collaboration

  • Operational Excellence:

added personal

  • wnership

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Key Questions

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Long-Term Rate Planning

After seven years without rate increases (and only 9% rate increase since 2000 while inflation has been around 40%), Chelan PUD plans to adopting a long-term rate plan. We have questions for our customer-

  • wners. Should this plan:
  • Include annual electric rate increases at approximately the rate of

inflation to avoid the risk of large rate increases in later years

  • Display the hydro financial benefit separately in electric, water and

wastewater bills to help customers understand the full cost of services

  • Specify the balance between funding large water and wastewater

system improvements from financial reserves and annual rate increases for water and wastewater

  • Include annual rate increases for the water, wastewater, and fiber

business units to meet individual system financial metrics

  • Change rate design to be responsive to utility industry changes

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Rock Island Relicensing/Early Action

The federal hydropower license for Rock Island Dam that seeks to balance low rates, environmental protection and recreational enhancements expires in 2028

  • Should Chelan PUD advance the newly developed federal policy to

take “early actions” in advance of a final relicensing decision?

  • If so, what actions should be considered that support recreational or

environmental enhancements and what considerations should the PUD seek in return?

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Wholesale vs. Retail Marketing

  • Currently, Chelan PUD retail rates are subsidized by wholesale power
  • revenues. Should Chelan PUD reduce emphasis on wholesale

marketing and focus more on growing retail loads and local economic development?

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Growth

  • Should Chelan PUD lean toward growth pays for growth (supportive
  • f lower rates for existing customers) or toward economic

development (supportive of more jobs in the community)?

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Aesthetics

  • Who pays for aesthetic improvements (e.g. undergrounding of power

lines) when it can increase costs by 2-10 times compared to above ground facilities - all customer owners or just those who benefit?

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Public Power Benefit Program

  • Should Chelan PUD continue to fund a public power benefit program

that has been used for the fiber expansion and park passes?

  • If so, what activities within our statutory authority should be

considered for funding?

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Sample 5-Year Targets

Strategic Aim Measures / Targets Year Protect natural resources impacted by

  • perations

(e.g. full implementation of HCP)

Rock Island relicensing on schedule 2020-2024 Meet oil release and temperature standards in Columbia River 2020-2024 Chelan River check-in complete 2019 Rocky Reach / Rock Island HCP check-in complete, full compliance achieved 2021 Decide whether to pursue RI early action credit 2020 Complete Peshastin water quality project 2020 Define strategy for Dryden water quality project 2021 Achieve no net impact to listed species 2021

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Process & Timeline

  • Phase 1 – Explain current status / key questions
  • Phase 2 – Explore key questions with dedicated customer-owners
  • Phase 3 – Community-wide engagement
  • Phase 4 – Draft and finalize strategic plan
  • Conclude in Summer 2019

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