STAY HEALTHY | RETURN SMARTER | RETURN STRONGER
COVID-19 HAS CHANGED OUR WORLD
“The COVID-19 pandemic is the single greatest global peacetime catastrophe that humanity has suffered since the end of the Second World War. Barely months into what promises to be a multiyear disaster, the pandemic has already cost America alone over 100,000 lives, tens of millions of jobs, and trillions of dollars in lost output, income, and wealth. The ultimate toll for the world as a whole from this pandemic — both the direct and the indirect consequences — may still lie beyond imagining.” — National Review
COVID-19 IS WIDESPREAD IN ARIZONA
59,972 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES 2,742 AVERAGE NEW CASES PER DAY 1,463 ARIZONA LIVES LOST
ARIZONA IS NOT ALONE
RECORD OF DAILY CASES ARIZONA CALIFORNIA FLORIDA MISSISSIPPI NEVADA TEXAS SOUTH CAROLINA
DAILY RECORD OF HOSPITALIZATIONS ARIZONA ARKANSAS CALIFORNIA FLORIDA NORTH CAROLINA SOUTH CAROLINA TENNESSEE TEXAS
THERE’S MORE WORK TO DO WE CAN’T LET UP
OBJECTIVE: SAVE LIVES & PROTECT LIVELIHOODS
SLOW THE VIRUS PROTECT THE MOST VULNERABLE
WEAR A MASK
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. EVERY ARIZONAN NEEDS TO DO THEIR PART RETURNING SMARTER • We know that COVID-19 is still widespread in our community • Vulnerable individuals should limit their time away from home PHYSICAL DISTANCE WASH YOUR HANDS STAY HOME WHEN SICK
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. GREEN LIGHT TO PROCEED WITH CAUTION
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. YELLOW LIGHT TO YIELD
LET’S MAKE IT CLEAR: YOU ARE SAFER AT HOME
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. SAFER AT HOME: QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER BEFORE GOING OUT • How many people will you interact with? • Interacting with more people raises your risk. • Being in a group with people who aren’t social distancing or wearing cloth face coverings increases your risk. • Engaging with new people (e.g., those who don’t live with you) also raises your risk. • Some people have the virus and don’t have any symptoms, and it is not yet known how often people without symptoms can transmit the virus to others.
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. SAFER AT HOME: QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER BEFORE GOING OUT • Can you keep 6 feet of space between you and others? Will you be outdoors or indoors? • The closer you are to other people who may be infected, the greater your risk of getting sick. • Keeping distance from other people is especially important for people who are at higher risk for severe illness, such as older adults and those with underlying medical conditions. • Indoor spaces are more risky than outdoor spaces where it might be harder to keep people apart and there’s less ventilation.
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. SAFER AT HOME: QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER BEFORE GOING OUT • What’s the length of time that you will be interacting with people? • Spending more time with people who may be infected increases your risk of becoming infected. • Spending more time with people increases their risk of becoming infected if there is any chance that you may already be infected.
HOLDING BAD ACTORS ACCOUNTABLE
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. HOLDING THE BAD ACTORS ACCOUNTABLE NEW GUIDANCE ISSUED LAST WEEK • Increased measures that establishments MUST take to protect their employees and their customers • Provided local authorities with the ability to take enforcement action when a violation occurs
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. HOLDING THE BAD ACTORS ACCOUNTABLE NEW: • On Tuesday, Scottsdale authorities filed charges on an establishment named Riot House, and reported additional violations to the Department of Liquor Licenses and Control. • They're not alone. Yesterday the Department of Liquor sent a final notice to comply to the following establishments: • Riot House • El Hefe • Bottled Blonde • International • Pattie’s • Maya Day Club • Casa Amigos • Hi-Fi
WHAT ARE WE SEEING BY AGE GROUP?
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. CASE GROWTH BY AGE Less than 20 20-44 45-54 55-64 Greater Than 65 Report Pending 11% 13% 12% 15% 48%
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. WEEKLY COVID-19 CASES BY AGE Less than 19 years 20-44y 45-54y 55-64y 65+ Missing 1% 11% 10% 9% 9% 15% 15% 11% 11% 12% 12% 13% 12% 16% 15% 14% 15% 16% 15% 53% 51% 52% 48% 44% 47% 14% 13% 12% 12% 12% 9% May 17, 2020 May 24, 2020 May 31, 2020 June 7, 2020 June 14, 2020 June 21, 2020
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. HOSPITALIZATIONS BY AGE Less than 20 20-44 45-54 55-64 greater than 65 1% 22% 41% 16% 20%
THE NUMBERS ➞
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. WHITE HOUSE STATE OR REGIONAL GATING CRITERIA FLEXIBILITY FOR STATES TO TAILOR APPLICATION OF THESE CRITERIA TO LOCAL CIRCUMSTANCES SYMPTOMS CASES HOSPITALS Downward trajectory of Downward trajectory of Treat all patients without crisis influenza-like illnesses (ILI) documented cases within a 14- care. reported within a 14-day day period period AND OR AND Robust testing program in Downward trajectory of place for at-risk healthcare Downward trajectory of positive tests as a percent of workers, including emerging COVID-like syndromic cases total tests within a 14-day antibody testing reported within a 14-day period period
SYMPTOMS ➞ Downward trajectory of influenza-like illnesses (ILI) reported within a 14-day period AND Downward trajectory of COVID-like syndromic cases reported within a 14-day period
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. COVID-LIKE-ILLNESS (CLI) SURVEILLANCE INFLUENZA-LIKE-ILLNESS (ILI) SURVEILLANCE Stay Home, Stay Healthy, Stay Connected Order 3/31/2020 8.1% 7.7% 7.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 6.6% 6.4% 6.3% 6.2% 6.1% 6.1% 5.8% 5.7% 5.6% 5.3% 5.2% 5.1% 5.1% 5% 4.9% 4.8% 4.8% 4.5% 4.4% 4.4% 3.6% 3.4% 2.9% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% Dec 29 Jan 05 Jan 12 Jan 19 Jan 26 Feb 02 Feb 09 Feb 16 Feb 23 Mar 01 Mar 08 Mar 15 Mar 22 Mar 29 Apr 05 Apr 12 Apr 19 Apr 26 May 03 May 10 May 17 May 24 May 31 June 7 June 14 CLI Average visits ILI Average Visits
CASES ➞ Downward trajectory of documented cases within a 14-day period OR Downward trajectory of positive tests as a percent of total tests within a 14-day period
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. COVID-19 CASES BY DAY Public Health Emergency Illnesses in the last 4-7 days may not be Declaration Issued reported yet. 3/11/2020 Stay Home, Stay 4000 Healthy, Stay Connected Order 3/31/2020 3000 Testing Blitz First Case of Announced 2000 COVID-19 4/27/2020 1/26/2020 1000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / 9 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 / 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 / / / 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 / / / 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 / / / 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. PERCENTAGE OF POSITIVE TESTS Percent Positivity PCR Tests 80000 60000 40000 20000 20.1% 18.5% 14.4% 11.9% 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 9.5% 8.7% 8.5% 6.7% 6.8% 5.9% 5.1% 5% 4.9% 2.8% 0% 0% 0% Jan 19 Jan 26 Feb 23 Mar 01 Mar 08 Mar 15 Mar 22 Mar 29 Apr 05 Apr 12 Apr 19 Apr 26 May 03 May 10 May 17 May 24 May 31 June 7 June 14 June 21
HOSPITALS ➞ Treat all patients without crisis care.
STAY HEALTHY. RETURN SMARTER. RETURN STRONGER. HOSPITAL BEDS FOR COVID-19 DOES NOT INCLUDE 2,600 ADDITIONAL SURGE BEDS 100% 75% 50% 25% 31% 27% 25% 23% 21% 18% 18% 17% 17% 17% 16% 14% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 0% 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5 8 1 3 6 9 2 5 8 1 4 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 2 2 y y y e e e - - a a a n n n r r r r r r r r r y y y y y y y y e e e e e p p p p p p p p p M M M a a a a a a a a u u u n n n n n A A A A A A A A A M M M M M M M M J J J u u u u u J J J J J Inpatient beds available Inpatient beds in use Inpatient beds used for COVID patients (data not reported until 4/10)
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