Standard Life
2006 Preliminary Results
22 March 2007
Standard Life 2006 Preliminary Results 22 March 2007 Disclaimer - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Standard Life 2006 Preliminary Results 22 March 2007 Disclaimer This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to certain of Standard Life's plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its
22 March 2007
2
This presentation may contain certain “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Standard Life's plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance, results, strategy and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “plans”, “seeks” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond Standard Life's control including among other things, UK domestic and global economic and business conditions, market related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, and the performance of financial markets generally; the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, and deflation; experience in particular with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates; the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries; and the impact of changes in capital, solvency or accounting standards, and tax and other legislation and regulations in the jurisdictions in which Standard Life and its affiliates operate. This may for example result in changes to assumptions used for determining results of
actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals, and expectations set forth in Standard Life's forward-looking statements. Standard Life undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements it may make. These EEV and IFRS results have been calculated for the year ended 31 December 2006 using assumptions to show the results which would have been attributable to shareholders had the company been owned by shareholders under the terms of the Scheme of demutualisation (the Scheme) throughout the year. The Scheme did not take effect until 10 July 2006. For further information please refer to basis of preparation sections 1.4.1 and 1.5.3.4 within the Standard Life plc Preliminary Results 2006 for EEV and IFRS respectively. No account has been taken of any prospective tax changes announced by the Chancellor of the Exchequer on 21 March 2007.
3
Agenda Sandy Crombie Improving financial performance David Nish Growing the UK L&P business Trevor Matthews Investments performing Keith Skeoch Driving value Sandy Crombie Questions and answers Team
David Nish Group Finance Director
5
(1) Reflects 2005 closing Embedded value of £3,744m plus £1,304m of net IPO proceeds
6
7.4% 8.9%
2.3% 0.7% (0.8% ) (0.5% ) (0.2% )
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0%
2006 R
Corporate costs N
nits In-force m
ents Expected return N ew Business Contribution 2005 R
Return on embedded value in 2005 and 2006 has been calculated assuming that the proceeds from the IPO were received at the beginning of the period
7
5,608 3,744 87 64 392 205 54 89 45 1,304 £3,000m £3,500m £4,000m £4,500m £5,000m £5,500m £6,000m 2006 Closing EEV Taxation and non operating item s Corporate costs Non life operating units Developm ent costs & other Inforce M
ents Expected return New Business 2006 O pening EEV plus IPO proceeds
5,048
8
(47) (23) Other non-covered (58) (89) Corporate costs 7 16 Healthcare and general insurance 453 685 Total excluding Corporate costs and investment income 2005 395 614 Total before tax
Investment income in corporate centre 15 38 Banking 24 38 Investment management 454 616 44 (8) 163 45 372 Total covered business (4) (45)
(3) (9) (25) Other covered 37 (58) 3
6 (128) Assumption changes 60 122 41
7 90 Experience variances 328 392
31 268 Expected return In-force 33 205
10 167 New business £m £m £m £m £m £m £m Total Total HWPF TVOG Asia- Pacific Canada Europe UK 2006
Covered business represents lines of business which Standard Life has accounted for under EEV principles
9
11,400 1,791 866 6,763 920 1,882 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 UK Canada Europe £'m 0.4% 1.4% Group 0.9% 1.2% Europe (0.1%) 1.6% Canada 0.4% 1.5% UK 2005 2006
47% increase in PVNBP(1) NBC increasing six fold to £205m(2) Margin improvement across the Group(2)
(1) 2006 vs. 2005 includes FX movements (2) 2005 NBC and exclude margins non-insured SIPP
2005 2006 33 205 Total 8 10 Europe (2) 28 Canada 27 167 UK 2005 £m 2006 £m
10
65
2 26 Mortality and morbidity 64 44 45 13 (38) Total Experience variances & Operating assumption changes (58) 3 61 6 (128) 49 3 23 (4) 27 Other 88
12 26 Maintenance expenses (260)
(4) (207) Lapses Operating assumption changes 122 41 (16) 7 90 94 41 (19) 7 65 Tax & Other 27
Mortality and morbidity 7
2 2 Maintenance expenses (6)
(4) Lapses Experience variances £m £m £m £m £m Total TVOG Canada Europe UK 2006
11
107 59 48 £m Further strengthening at year-end 53 60 (7) £m Remaining Provision 123 96 27 £m Provisions at end of H1 £m £m 160 (70) Total 119 (36) Pensions 41 (34) Life Year end Provisions Experience in H2
12
73 108 Europe 75 120 Total Non life excluding corporate costs and other (58) (89) Corporate costs 145 540 Total underlying profit before tax (47) 12 Other 7 16 Healthcare and general insurance 24 38 Banking 44 66 Investment Management 175 497 Total Life and Pensions
Other Life 86 168 Canada 16 230 UK Life and Pensions 2005 £m 2006 £m
13
Movements are based on shareholders net worth adjusted for changes in required capital. Cash flows are net of tax and exclude net (expense)/income directly recognised in the EEV balance sheet including exchange differences and capital movements
Group PVNBP and New Business Strain 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2004 pro rata 2005 2006 £bn 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% UK Canada Europe NBS as % of PVNBP
35 77 Investments, Bank and Healthcare (23) 111 Cash generation from variances, development costs and assumption changes (17) 262 Total cash generation
13 (10) Investment income Other non life entities (41) (62) Corporate costs 22 244 Life and Pensions total cash generation 45 133 Life and Pensions cash generation from new business and expected return 351 436 Cash generation from existing business (306) (303) New business strain 2005 £m 2006 £m
14
(1) Based on trading 10 July 2006 to 31 December 2006
£ 55m
£ 50m
£ 40m £205m
£114m(1)
£ 62m (£89m pre-tax)
£ 13m(1) (£18m pre-tax)
15
PVNBP Sales 47% to £14.3bn PVNBP Margin 1.0% pts to 1.4% EEV operating profit 55% to £614m IFRS profit 272% to £540m EEV cash generation £279m to £262m
Trevor Matthews Chief Executive Standard Life Assurance Limited
17
18
19
and Mutual Funds
performance by SLI
57 new external fund links
doubled from 0.8% to 1.6%
Unit Linked Onshore Bond Sales by Quarter 100 200 300 400 500 600 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06
PVN B P (£'m)
Onshore Bonds (PVNBP £'m )
20
pensions up from 0.2% to 1.5%
business that requires no regulatory capital
Retail Pensions - Volum es and M argins 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2005 2006 PVNBP (£'bn) 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% NBC M argin (%) PVNBP NBC M argin
21
152%
£4.3bn
to £169k, up 15%
SIPP Funds Under Management
762 1,215 1,923 243 435 921 116 226 361 191 223 268 598 70 234 15 83 121 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 Insured Standard Life Funds Insured External Funds Collectives - Standard Life Collectives - Funds Netw ork Cash Non Cash / Non-Collectives 31 Dec 2005 30 June 2006 31 Dec 2006 £1,300m £2,400m £4,300m Insured Funds 75% Non- Insured Funds 25% Insured Funds 69% Non- Insured Funds 31% Non- Insured Funds 33% Insured Funds 67%
£’m
22
FUM per Customer Service Staff Member 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2003 2004 2005 2006 £'m FUM per FTE
Increased Weighting of Nil Commission Sales 24% 25% 42% 46% 76% 75% 58% 54% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Nil Commission Commission Paying
23
27 167 0.4% 1.5% Total (15) (14) (35.7)% (33.6)% Protection 22 50 7.5% 11.5% Annuities 9 31 0.8% 1.6% Life 3 2 0.3% 0.1% Institutional Pensions 8 98 0.2% 1.5% Retail Pensions £m £m % % 2005 2006 2005 2006 Pro forma NBC Pro forma PVNBP margin
NBC Developm ent 2005 - 2006
174 27 167 205 178 341
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
1 2 3 4 5 6
£'m
A cq Costs Post A cq NBC Pre A cq NBC
2005 2006
24
Keith Skeoch Chief Executive Standard Life Investments
26
mandate wins
philosophy at heart of success
Differentiated approach designed to deliver alpha across the cycle
Standard Life Investments IFRS PBT and EBIT margin 2004 - 2006 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2004 2005 2006 £'m 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% % EBIT
27
Good Process, Good People = Great Long-Term Performance
Active Investment Performance - by Product Group at 28 February 2007
25 50 75 100 Weighted Average WP Funds Mutual Funds UL Life UL Pensions Corporate Pooled Segregated Irish & German Ex Group Life Funds M.W.A Third Party Assets % Rank
1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years
28
25% 35% 60% 76% Unit Linked Life Unit Linked Pensions Upper Quartile > Median Captive 52% n/a 63% 91% 96% 79% Pooled Pensions Seg Pensions * Mutual Funds Upper Quartile > Median Third Party
* Year to 31 December 2006
29
What clients want is
But they are also
30
Global Absolute Return Strategies Indian Advantage, Global Reits, Unconstrained UK Income Embed Outsourcing Arrangements
Diversify sources of alpha Improve scalability of investment infrastructure Diversify sources of EBIT
UCITS III Funds 120/20 Improve Scalability of Customer Reporting Platforms Develop Derivatives Platform High Alpha Fixed Income Open Sydney Office
Monetise alpha Business Initiatives
Global Equities 120/20 Funds
31
Sandy Crombie Group Chief Executive
33
New Business Contribution
(117) 33 205 (150) (100) (50) 50 100 150 200 250 Pro rata 2004 2005 2006 £'m
increased from a loss of £117m pro rata to profit of £205m in two years
more than doubled since 2004
Return on Embedded Value
3.0% 7.4% 8.9% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Pro rata 2004 2005 2006
34
35
36
37
920 870 9 36 45 26 (66) 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1,000 1,050
2005 cost base * Inflation Growth One-offs
preparation Additional PLC costs Efficiencies 2006 cost base *
£'m
changes of £88m in 2006
from 0.4% in 2005 to +1.5% in 2006
profit increased to £120m (2005: £75m)
Group cost base reconciliation 2005 - 2006
* Excludes commissions
38
Corporate costs being reduced to £58m in 2007 being delivered
continuous improvement in efficiency and productivity
annual savings achieved by 2009
39
management
Smart Sourcing Programme
value
to phone and e-commerce
Re-engineering of Key Processes
requirements of UK Retail Division & Shared Services Centre
Rationalisation of Group Central Functions
further integrate common shared activities, with reduction of overheads for support functions
Extending Shared Services
and pensions, Standard Life Bank and Standard Life Healthcare
Creation of a UK Retail Division
40
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2007 2008 2009
£'m
Reduction in Corporate costs Reduction in UKL&P costs Additional Cost savings
All figures reported pre-tax
£61m £131m £146m
41