South America CORDEX project using RegCM Taleena Sines, Erika - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
South America CORDEX project using RegCM Taleena Sines, Erika - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
South America CORDEX project using RegCM Taleena Sines, Erika Coppola, Filippo Giorgi, Lina Sitz tsines@ictp.it Overview Design Evaluation Historical Projections IPCC 5 th Assessment Report Largest contributors: Glaciers, snow, ice,
IPCC 5th Assessment Report
Largest contributors:
– Glaciers, snow, ice, and/or permafrost – Rivers, lakes, floods, and/or drought – Marine ecosystems – Food Production – Livelihoods, health, and/or economics
Overview
Design Evaluation Historical Projections
Overview
Design Evaluation Historical Projections
Climate change publications from 2001-2010
Overview
Design Evaluation Historical Projections
Overview
Design Evaluation Historical Projections
Overview
Design Evaluation Historical Projections
Project Design
Overview
Design
Evaluation Historical Projections
Physics Cumulus Tiedtke (1996) L Kain-Fritsch (1990) O Boundary Layer Holtslag PBL (1990) Ocean Flux Zeng et al (1998) Land-Surface CLM
SUBEX MOISTURE cevaplnd = 1.0e-5 cevapoce = 1.0e-5 ! Raindrop evap rate coef [[(kg m-2 s-1)-1/2]/s]
iy = 363 jx = 333
Overview
Design
Evaluation Historical Projections
Overview
Evaluation
Design Historical Projections
Overview
Evaluation
Design Historical Projections Thank you Marta Llopart
Overview
Evaluation
Design Historical Projections
Overview
Historical
Design Evaluation Projections
reg-NOR reg-MPI reg-HAD NOR-gcm MPI-gcm HAD-gcm OBS (CRU)
Overview
Historical
Design Evaluation Projections
reg-NOR reg-MPI reg-HAD NOR-gcm MPI-gcm HAD-gcm OBS (CRU)
Overview
Projections
Design Evaluation Historical
Simulation Progress Evaluation – Complete (1979-2015) Historical – Complete (1970-2005) *HadGEM *MPI *NorESM 2005 … 2065 2075 2085 2095 2100 Complete MPI_rcp2.6 HAD_rcp8.5 NOR_rcp2.6 MPI_rcp8.5 HAD_rcp2.6 NOR_rcp8.5
Overview
Projections
Design Evaluation Historical
Simulation Progress Evaluation - Complete Historical - Complete *HadGEM *MPI *NorESM 2005 … 2065 2075 2085 2095 2100 Complete MPI_rcp2.6 HAD_rcp8.5 NOR_rcp2.6 MPI_rcp8.5 HAD_rcp2.6 NOR_rcp8.5 10 years available for workshop analysis (daily and monthly)
Overview
Projections
Design Evaluation Historical HadGEM RCP2.6 (2005-2100)
More to Come...
NorESM RCP8.5 (2005-2100)