South America CORDEX project using RegCM Taleena Sines, Erika - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

south america cordex project using regcm
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South America CORDEX project using RegCM Taleena Sines, Erika - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

South America CORDEX project using RegCM Taleena Sines, Erika Coppola, Filippo Giorgi, Lina Sitz tsines@ictp.it Overview Design Evaluation Historical Projections IPCC 5 th Assessment Report Largest contributors: Glaciers, snow, ice,


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South America CORDEX project using RegCM

Taleena Sines, Erika Coppola, Filippo Giorgi, Lina Sitz tsines@ictp.it

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IPCC 5th Assessment Report

Largest contributors:

– Glaciers, snow, ice, and/or permafrost – Rivers, lakes, floods, and/or drought – Marine ecosystems – Food Production – Livelihoods, health, and/or economics

Overview

Design Evaluation Historical Projections

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Overview

Design Evaluation Historical Projections

Climate change publications from 2001-2010

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Overview

Design Evaluation Historical Projections

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Overview

Design Evaluation Historical Projections

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Overview

Design Evaluation Historical Projections

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Project Design

Overview

Design

Evaluation Historical Projections

Physics Cumulus Tiedtke (1996) L Kain-Fritsch (1990) O Boundary Layer Holtslag PBL (1990) Ocean Flux Zeng et al (1998) Land-Surface CLM

SUBEX MOISTURE cevaplnd = 1.0e-5 cevapoce = 1.0e-5 ! Raindrop evap rate coef [[(kg m-2 s-1)-1/2]/s]

iy = 363 jx = 333

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Overview

Design

Evaluation Historical Projections

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Overview

Evaluation

Design Historical Projections

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Overview

Evaluation

Design Historical Projections Thank you Marta Llopart

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Overview

Evaluation

Design Historical Projections

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Overview

Historical

Design Evaluation Projections

reg-NOR reg-MPI reg-HAD NOR-gcm MPI-gcm HAD-gcm OBS (CRU)

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Overview

Historical

Design Evaluation Projections

reg-NOR reg-MPI reg-HAD NOR-gcm MPI-gcm HAD-gcm OBS (CRU)

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Overview

Projections

Design Evaluation Historical

Simulation Progress Evaluation – Complete (1979-2015) Historical – Complete (1970-2005) *HadGEM *MPI *NorESM 2005 … 2065 2075 2085 2095 2100 Complete MPI_rcp2.6 HAD_rcp8.5 NOR_rcp2.6 MPI_rcp8.5 HAD_rcp2.6 NOR_rcp8.5

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Overview

Projections

Design Evaluation Historical

Simulation Progress Evaluation - Complete Historical - Complete *HadGEM *MPI *NorESM 2005 … 2065 2075 2085 2095 2100 Complete MPI_rcp2.6 HAD_rcp8.5 NOR_rcp2.6 MPI_rcp8.5 HAD_rcp2.6 NOR_rcp8.5 10 years available for workshop analysis (daily and monthly)

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Overview

Projections

Design Evaluation Historical HadGEM RCP2.6 (2005-2100)

More to Come...

NorESM RCP8.5 (2005-2100)

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Thank You Enjoy the Workshop!