Solid Start to FY2011 Shinsei Bank, Limited September 2011 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Solid Start to FY2011 Shinsei Bank, Limited September 2011 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Solid Start to FY2011 Shinsei Bank, Limited September 2011 Overview Management 1. Medium-Term Management Plan and Management Commitment Commitment 2. Off to a Good Start Highlights 3. Loan Balance Shows Signs of Bottoming-out Business 4.
2
Overview
- 3. Loan Balance Shows Signs of Bottoming-out
Business
- 5. Improved Asset Quality
Asset Quality
- 6. Stronger Capital and Liquidity
Stable Financial Base
- 1. Medium-Term Management Plan and Management Commitment
Management Commitment
- 4. Stronger Earnings Power
Profitability
- 2. Off to a Good Start
Highlights
3
Utilize our strengths to stabilize
revenue
Focus on areas that will contribute to
sustainable development of society
Strengthen role as incubator and
cross-industrial coordinator
Reduce divestible non-core business
assets by 50% Individual Group
Achieve stable, low funding costs Providing unique housing loan
products
Investment Consultant Further strengthen consumer
finance business (Shinsei Bank Card Loan – Lake)
Customer Base Product Offerings
Japanese Megabanks
Innovative Plain Vanilla Small Large
Traditional Japanese Banks
Shinsei Bank
Non- Japanese Banks Current Shinsei Bank
Management Vision
Establishing Solid Industry Position by Capitalizing on Strengths and Addressing Weaknesses
Management Principles: A banking group that …
has stable earnings power, is depended upon by customers and contributes to the development of both domestic and international
industrial economies
has built on its past experience and history, values diverse talents and cultures and takes on new challenges strives for transparent management and is valued and trusted by all stakeholders, including customers, investors and employees
Goals of Medium-Term Management Plan (MTMP) “Rebuilding the customer franchise in Japan” “Establishing a stabilized earnings base” Institutional Group, Global Markets Group
Strengths Opportunities
Diversity Tailor-made solutions High customer satisfaction Swift decision making, agile
execution
New customers “Responsible consumer lending” Niche businesses Ever-changing lending and
investment needs of customers Weaknesses Threats
Smaller customer base Fierce competition Political, legislative and economic
uncertainties Medium-Term Management Plan
Management Commitment
4
Established subsidiary to provide capital to support corporate restructuring Alliance with India’s YES Bank Alliance with Vietnam's Baoviet Holdings
FY2010 Highlights
Implementing Reform: Firm Management Commitment to Strengthening Corporate Structure
Established Healthcare Finance Division Established Corporate Support Division for SMEs Partnership with APLUS FINANCIAL in personal loan business
March 2010
Organizational reform aimed at expanding client base and strengthening core businesses
Exchange offers for Tier II subordinated notes
September 2010
Shinsei Financial forged alliances with regional banks in unsecured personal loan guarantee business
December 2010
“Rebuilding the Customer Franchise in Japan” “Establishing a Stabilized Earnings Base”
March 2011
JPY 71.8 billion of capital raising through international common share offering
Business Collaboration with Taiwan affiliate Jih Sun Joint ATM installation with Seven Bank
Repurchased USD 1,072 million of Tier I preferred securities
June 2010
Back on the Offensive
New Management Announcement of Medium-Term Management Plan Announcement of Revised Medium-Term Management Plan Intensive Group-wide expense review Revision of consumer finance asset projections and credit cost control Establishment of healthcare finance, corporate restructuring and other new businesses Targeting a capital policy aligned with Basel III APLUS FINANCIAL became a subsidiary of Shinsei Financial
Management reform aimed at strengthening our financial base
Consolidated Net Income JPY -140.1 billion (FY2009) Tier 1 Capital Ratio 6.35%(2010.3) 7.76%(2011.3) JPY 42.6 billion (FY2010) Launch Shinsei Bank Card Loan
- Lake
Management Commitment
5
Achieve MTMP Target
Improvement of Total Revenue
Unsecured personal loans (Shinsei Bank Card Loan - Lake) Housing loans Real estate finance Corporate finance Investment consulting activities Strengthen asset management products
Focus on accumulating quality assets Increase non-interest income
Ongoing Reduction of Expenses
Original target almost achieved in
FY2010 well in advance of MTMP1
Continued focus on more efficient
cost management while considering further cost reduction program
Strict Credit Costs Control
Further improve risk management Conservative reserves
Top-line Initiatives, Expense and Credit Cost Control to Ensure Achievement of MTMP1 Target
MTMP
1 Medium-Term Management Plan 2 Money Lending Business Control and Regulation Law
Operating Environment
Decline in Shinsei Financial loans due to implementation of MLBL2, while maintaining market share and remaining
number 1 for new applications
Continued divestiture of non-core business assets, renewal of asset composition and quality Real estate portfolio under renewal and focus on securing profitability
Shinsei-specific Challenges
Operating environment remains challenging, due to economic impact of Earthquake Climate could improve due to reconstruction demand and improvements in supply chain (from 2H FY2011)
Management Commitment
6
13.2% 8.5%
- 27.6%
ROE (annualized)
15.1% 10.7%
- 10.6%
Cash Basis ROE (annualized)
0.9% 0.5%
- 0.5%
Cash Basis ROA (annualized)
0.7% 0.4%
- 1.2%
ROA (annualized)
54.3% 48.9% 59.0%
Expense-to-Revenue Ratio
2.19%
FY2010
Profitability 2.00% 2.47%
Net Interest Margin (NIM) FY2009 1Q FY2011
329 348 483 Debentures 2,703 3,286 3,233 Securities 97.6% 6.70% 6,475 5,163 11,376
2010.3
96.8% 6.78% 5,610 4,291 10,231
2011.3
6.04% Non-performing Loans / Total Claims (%) (non-consolidated basis) 5,777 Deposits and Negotiable Certificates of Deposit 4,214 Loans and Bills Discounted 96.6% 9,473
2011.6
Coverage Ratio1 (%) Total Assets Assets and Liabilities 0.5 54.6 20.9 OBP 2.1 68.3 112.2 Net Credit Costs 11.1 53.8 42.6 80.8 149.2 142.8 292.1
FY2010
6.6
- 47.6
Net Income 24.0 4.8 OBP after Net Credit Costs [Non-Consolidated] Earnings 31.1 168.3 Expenses 57.4 285.5 Revenue [Consolidated] 53.7
- 140.1
117.1
FY2009
20.8 Cash Basis Net Income
1Q FY2011
18.1 Net Income 26.2 Ordinary Business Profit (OBP)
(JPY billion)
1 (Reserve for loan losses + collateral + guarantees) / Amount of claims (Non-consolidated basis) 2 Cash, unencumbered JGBs and other assets pledged to Bank of Japan
Financial Summary
Highlights 232.72 6.35% 8.35% 645.4 7,722 490.7
2010.3
6,559 6,653 Risk Weighted Assets (“RWA”) 8.12% 7.76% Tier I Capital Ratio 9.93% 9.76% Total Capital Adequacy Ratio 205.83 649.9 516.7
2011.3
533.2 Basic Items (Tier I) 651.7 Total Capital 212.70 Diluted Equity Per Share (yen)
2011.6
Capital 1,292
2010.3
1,130
2011.3
1,290
2011.6
Liquidity Reserves2 Liquidity
7
(*) Previously disclosed items and figures are not reclassified to the current format
(Consolidated, JPY billion)
Highlights
Financial Summary Non-Recurring Items
- 6.4
Credit recovery at Shinki
- 1.8
- 19.5
- 32.8
Domestic real estate non-recourse finance
- 3.7
- 15.6
Asset-backed investments
- 3.5
- Losses on application of new accounting standard for asset retirement obligations
- 4.4
- 6.5
Restructuring costs at subsidiaries
- 1.9
Domestic real estate principal investments
- 2.5
Impairment of intangible assets, net of tax (Shinki)
- 66.0
Impairment of goodwill and intangible assets, net of tax (APLUS FINANCIAL)
- 7.0
- Gain from the sales and revaluation of asset-backed securities and asset-backed investments
- 6.1
- Provisions related to the Great East Japan Earthquake
- 19.9
- Specialty finance
- 1.9
- 3.3
Asset-backed securities, asset-backed investments and European investments
- 1.0
- 3.7
- Domestic real estate non-recourse finance (bonds)
- 4.0
Gain from corporate bonds and equities
- 2.1
- 68.2
- 195.5
Negative Items (2) 4.1
- 27.3
- 152.8
(1) + (2)
1.6
- Others
- 4.3
17.7 Gain from the sale of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) 6.3
- Gain from the sale of foreign equity (net of withholding tax)
- 0.8
- 10.1
- 29.6
Grey zone related provisions
- 1.5
- 18.0
- 41.7
- 1.1
- 6.8
40.9
29.4
40.9 FY2010
- 20.9
Gain from buy back of preferred securities and subordinated debt
- 0.0
- 8.3
Deferred income tax (Shinsei Bank non-consolidated basis) 6.3 42.7 Positive Items (1)
- 35.1
Domestic real estate principal investments
1Q FY2011 FY2009
- 0.8
- 106.7
Other gains/losses
- 0.2
- 42.0
Items included in net credit costs
- 1.0
- 38.4
Mark-downs/impairments included in revenue 6.3 42.7 Gains included in revenue
8
42% 26%
Securities Loans and bills discounted Other assets Borrowed money Deposits, Negotiable certificates of deposits (NCD) Other liabilities
Decrease in total assets due mainly to decrease in securities (mostly JGB) Overall lending decreased only slightly as factors such as steady performance of housing loans at Bank
- ffset decrease in subsidiaries’ lending
Funding base remains stable as deposits and NCDs increase on March 2011
Asset Composition Liabilities and Equity Composition
Signs of Loan Balance Nearing Bottom-
- ut, Stable Funding Base
Equity (Consolidated, JPY billion)
32% 42% 26%
4,772.5 4,291.4 4,214.0 2,832.9 3,286.3 2,703.3 3,341.6 2,653.7 2,556.6 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 10.6 11.3 11.6 10,947.0 10,231.5 9,473.9
(26%) (44%) (32%) (42%) (29%) (44%)
6,096.4 5,610.6 5,777.3 1,234.3 1,672.7 594.3 2,976.7 2,336.9 2,472.5 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 10.6 11.3 11.6 10,947.0 10,231.5 9,473.9
(56%) (55%) (61%)
639.5 611.1 629.7
Balance Sheet
Business
9 28.0 22.0 24.6 25.3 30.7
10 20 30 40 10.4-6 10.7-9 10.10-12 11.1-3 11.4-6
2 Interest rates for receivables whose contracts were made under the previous
interest rate system, and for which there has been no new borrowing, are not required to be changed after the full implementation of the revised MLBL Shinsei to continue proactive development of high profitability unsecured personal loan (UPL) business, despite impact of
revised MLBL putting pressure on loan balance
New customer acquisition increasing at Lake since 3Q FY2010 Rebound in UPL balance growth expected with launch of “Shinsei Bank Card Loan – Lake1” (JPY billion)
Unsecured Personal Loans Pace of Decline in Lake UPL Balance Slowing, Signs of Nearing Bottom-out
Business
100 200 300 400 500 10.3 10.6 10.9 10.12 11.3 11.6 Lending rate over 20% (grey zone)2
Lake UPL Balance, Breakdown by Lending Rates Lake New Customer Acquisition
(Unit: 1,000 customers)
495.1 466.9 394.6 428.5 366.3 345.7 82% 18% 87% 13% 88% 12% 89% 11% 90% 10% 85% 15%
Lending rate below 20%
1 Shinsei Bank plans to begin offering a card loan service under the
Lake brand from October 1, 2011. Shinsei Financial will continue to serve its existing customers, and focus on its credit guarantee business for Shinsei Bank as well as other banks (Guarantee alliances with 5 banks as of July 2011)
10
1 “Others” include retail debentures, mutual funds and variable annuities, and structured securities (financial instruments intermediary business)
Deposits 2,533.6 2,571.6 2,586.1 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 10.6 11.3 11.6 10 20 30 40 50 Number of accounts (lhs)
Retail Banking Accounts (thousands) Number of Retail Banking Outlets
Continuous increase in number of retail accounts Retail Banking Assets Under Management (AUM) and deposits largely flat compared with March 2011 Increasing trend in housing loan disbursement. JPY45.2 billion disbursed in 1Q FY2011 (increase of
approximately JPY16 billion year-on-year) resulting in JPY924.3 billion of housing loans outstanding
Number of outlets (rhs) 44
Retail Banking AUM
42 45 Others1 29.2 29.1 36.2 53.6 45.2 20 40 60 80 100 10.4-6 10.7-9 10.10-12 11.1-3 11.4-6 10 20 30 40 50
(Unit:1,000 customers)
Amount of disbursement (lhs)
Housing Loan Disbursement
Number of customers (rhs) 45 5,062.6 4,752.2 4,794.2 1,102.1 1,176.5 1,124.8 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10.6 11.3 11.6 5,869.8 6,164.7 5,919.0
(Unit: 1,000 accounts) (Unit: Locations)
(JPY billion)
Retail Banking Increase in Accounts, AUM and Housing Loans - Steady Expansion
41 41 42 43
Business
11
Disbursement Balance
651.4 512.5 411.3 405.3 298.6 281.1 247.2 239.6 500 1,000
- 10. 3
10.9 11.3 11.6
950.0 793.7 658.6 644.9
Region and Asset Category
37.0% 14.1% 11.1% 7.9% 14.8% 3.5% 3.5% 8.2% Office Retail Residential Hotel Land Development Industrial/Parking/Other Other Portfolio (Diversified) 100.0% Total Category 59.0% 14.4% 12.4% 14.2% Kanto (mainly Tokyo) Kansai (mainly Osaka) Other Regions Portfolio (Diversified) 100.0% Total Region
(as at June 30, 2011)
Real estate non-recourse bonds Real estate non-recourse loans
Real Estate Finance Asset Replacement through New Disbursement
(JPY billion) Balance has largely bottomed out. Expect increase through new disbursement while continuing reduction of non-performing
loans
Restarted new business for first time in 2 years, selectively executing transactions from 4Q FY2010 Diversified portfolio with appropriate management
Business
Amount of disbursement
Breakdown by Maturity
39% FY2012 16% FY2013 45% FY2011
As at March 31, 2011
(Note) Treatment at maturity is on a case-by- case basis, including roll-over, extensions, collection of principal, LTV improvement through deal integration, equity injections from sponsors, voluntary sales to third parties etc.
6.9 5.8
5 10 15 20 10.4-6 10.7-9 10.10-12 11.1-3 11.4-6 Disbursements made at ave. LTV of
- approx. 70% for Tokyo metropolitan
- ffices, shops, residential facilities
NIL
12
202.9 207.9 156.6 55.2 77.5 135.4
50 100 150 200 250 300 8.4-9.3 9.4-10.3 10.4-11.3 Non-Interest Income1 Interest Income (Consolidated, JPY billion)
1 Includes income on leased assets and installment receivables
Breakdown of Revenue (3 months) Breakdown of Revenue (12 months)
Decrease in interest income due to full-scale
implementation of MLBL, but pace of decrease slowing
Non-interest income improved due to strong core
businesses, resulting in increased revenue over previous quarter
Both Institutional Group and Individual Group
increased revenue over last quarter
Revenue Core Business Shows Solid Growth despite MLBL
Profitability 258.2 292.1 285.5
44.6 33.8 31.2 25.8 16.1 26.1 50 100 10.4-6 11.1-3 11.4-6
70.4 57.4 50.0
Non-Interest Income1 Interest Income
1 Includes income on leased assets and installment receivables
13
(Consolidated, JPY billion) Trends in General and Administrative Expenses (12 months) Trends in General and Administrative Expenses (3 months)
Expenses Continued Intensive Rationalization
5,718 11.3 5,558 6,066 11.6 10.6 Decrease in both personnel and non-personnel
expenses due to optimization of business scale and continued intensive business rationalization
Continued expense discipline and considering further
cost reduction program
Strategic allocation of expenses to core businesses
and areas targeted for expansion Profitability
22.9 20.8 18.6 13.4 13.5 12.5 54.3% 68.7% 51.8% 50 100 10.4-6 11.1-3 11.4-6 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
36.4 31.1 34.3
Personnel Expenses (lhs) Non-Personnel Expenses (lhs) Expense-to-Revenue Ratio (rhs) 109.7 105.9 87.7 69.0 62.3 55.0 48.9% 59.0% 69.2% 50 100 150 200 250 08.4-09.3 09.4-10.3 10.4-11.3 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
178.7 142.8 168.3
Personnel Expenses (lhs) Non-Personnel Expenses (lhs) Expense-to-Revenue Ratio (rhs) (Number of employees on consolidated basis)
14
10.7 18.8 4.5 3.0 0.2 1.3
- 3.0
- 0.7
- 4
4 8 12 16 20 10.4-6 11.1-3 11.4-6
13.8 2.1 19.0
(Consolidated, JPY billion)
Breakdown of Net Credit Costs (3 months) Trends in Net Credit Costs (12 months)
Net Credit Costs Down due to Strict Credit Management
Conservative, prudent provisioning in FY2010 Substantial reduction in net credit costs due to
decline in consumer finance loan balance and improvements in loan quality
Net credit costs substantially down even after
subtracting recoveries of written-off claims (included from 1Q FY2011)
(Note) Recoveries of written-
- ff claims of JPY3.0 billion are
included in net credit costs from 1Q FY2011 in accordance with the amendment to “Practical Guidelines on Accounting Standards for Financial Instruments.” No retroactive adjustments have been made for the previous fiscal years
Losses on write-off of loans/Losses on sale of loans Recoveries of written-off claims (from 1Q FY2011) Net provision of reserve for loan losses Others
Profitability 129.7 95.5 61.7 3.1 18.5 7.5
- 0.9
- 1.8
- 3.9
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 08.4-09.3 09.4-10.3 10.4-11.3
129.0 112.2 68.3
Losses on write-off of loans/Losses on sale of loans Net provision of reserve for loan losses Others
15
0.57% 0.62% 0.55% 2.57% 2.95% 2.47% 2.00% 1.92% 2.33%
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 10.4-6 11.1-3 11.4-6 Yield/Rate on Interest-Earning Assets1/Interest-Bearing Liabilities2 and Net Interest Margin (NIM) 1
Annualized ROA and ROE
NIM, ROA, ROE Improved NIM, ROA, ROE
Improvement over last quarter in net interest margin (NIM) and yield on interest-earning assets due to portfolio review
including JGB optimization
Slight increase in rate on interest-bearing liabilities over last quarter due to reduction of borrowed money, while deposit
interest rates continue on declining trend
Ample potential to further lower rate on interest-bearing liabilities under the current interest rate environment
Net Income and Cash Basis Net Income
13.8 18.1 16.7 20.8 5 10 15 20 25 10.4-6 11.4-6
0.5% 0.7% 12.1% 13.2% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 10.4-6 11.4-6
Annualized ROE Annualized ROA Quarterly Cash Basis Net Income Quarterly Net Income (Consolidated, JPY billion)
1 Includes income on leased assets and installment receivables
Yield on interest-earning assets1 Rate on interest-bearing liabilities2 Net Interest Margin (NIM)1
Profitability
2 Rate on interest-bearing liabilities in 2Q FY2007, prior to the subprime mortgage crisis, was 1.25%
16 Non-core assets reduced by JPY47.3 billion in 1Q FY2011, approaching Medium-Term Management
Plan target. Reduction to continue
Factors including a JPY6.3 billion gain on sales of foreign equities (net of withholding tax) recorded in 1Q
FY2011
Ratio of non-core assets to total assets on declining trend, resulting in 6% as at June 30, 2011
Reducing Non-Core Assets ahead of Initial Plan while Recording Gains on Sales
Total reduction of non-core assets: JPY 314.5 billion Moving forward ahead
- f initial plan (*)
6.0% 6.0% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 10.3 10.9 10.12 11.3 11.6 Non-core Assets / Total Assets (%)
Non-core Assets-to-Total Assets Outstanding Balance of Non-core Assets1
(Consolidated, JPY billion)
1 Non-core assets include real estate equity investment, asset-backed investment/securities,
CLO/ACPM/CFI, housing loan warehousing etc.
543.0 571.5 618.7 662.4 709.9 886.0
200 400 600 800 1,000 10.3 10.9 10.12 11.3 11.6 13.3 Plan
Divestible non-core assets Non-core assets held to maturity
*Reduce divestible non-core assets by approximately 50% by end of MTMP (March 31, 2013)
Non-Core Assets
Asset Quality
17
NPL NPLs Continue to Decline Maintaining High Coverage Ratio
NPL balance steadily decreasing over past five quarters, with JPY25.0 billion reduction in 1Q FY2011 Increase in total claims contributed to NPL ratio falling to 6.04% at June 30, 2011, 74 basis points lower than March 2011 Continue to use conservative valuation standards for real estate collateral and maintain high coverage ratio 103.5 62.5 60.8 212.1 210.7 183.2 5.3 6.4 10.5 6.04% 6.78% 6.38% 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 10.6 11.3 11.6 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0%
NPL Amounts and NPL Ratio Based on Financial Revitalization Law
321.0 279.6 254.5
Breakdown of Total Claims and Coverage by Credit Category
(as at June 30, 2011)
NPL ratio (rhs) Claims against bankrupt and quasi-bankrupt
- bligors (lhs)
Doubtful claims (lhs) Substandard claims (lhs)
(Non-consolidated, JPY billion)
Asset Quality 4,120.4 279.6 217.1 62.5 3,840.8 3,389.9 450.9
(Ref.) Balance as at March 31, 2011
88.5 88.4 0.1 88.3 0.1 0.0 0.1
Partial Write- Off
96.6% 95.5% 100.0%
Coverage Ratio
85.7 43.8 40.0 3.7 42.0 19.1 22.8
Reserves for Loan Losses
202.0 144.9 57.1
Collateral/ Guarantees
254.5 Non-Performing Loans sub-total 3,955.4 Performing Loans sub-total 4,209.9 Total Claims 193.6 60.8 Substandard/Possibly Bankrupt Virtually/Legally Bankrupt 3,542.8 412.6 Normal Need Caution
Balance
18
Grey Zone Interest Repayments on Gradual Declining Trend Asset Quality
1 Interest repayment amount is net of refunds subject to GE indemnification
Debt Write-off Amount Reserves Interest Repayment Amount
Shinsei Financial1 Shinki APLUS FINANCIAL
10.2 13.4 13.8 16.6 19.6 23.7
10 20 30 40 50 1 . 1
- 3
1 . 4
- 6
1 . 7
- 9
1 . 1
- 1
2 1 1 . 1
- 3
1 1 . 4
- 6
9.8 11.7 10.0 11.8 13.5 15.1
10 20 30 40 50 10.1-3 10.4-6 10.7-9 10.10-12
- 11. 1-3
- 11. 4-6
15.4 18.0 15.9 31.1 21.1 18.2
10 20 30 40 50 1 . 1
- 3
1 . 4
- 6
1 . 7
- 9
1 . 1
- 1
2 1 1 . 1
- 3
1 1 . 4
- 6
26.6 3.1 4.0 1.6 1.6 9.0 1.7 3.1 2.1 2.3 2.8 1.9 1.8 2.5 1.9 3.2 2.7 1.8
Certain portion of Shinsei Financial’s portfolio is covered by GE indemnity contract
09. 1-3 09. 4-6 09. 7-9 09. 10-12 10. 1-3 10. 4-6 10. 7-9 10. 10-12 11. 1-3 11. 4-6 10 Quarters Average Shinsei Financial 52.4 48.5 41.2 41.0 38.1 34.4 29.0 36.2 38.6 25.0 38.4 Shinki 10.3 9.2 7.7 7.5 6.4 5.8 5.2 6.1 6.2 4.1 6.8 APLUS FINANCIAL 5.2 5.7 5.4 4.8 4.4 4.5 4.3 4.8 4.6 4.2 4.7
Peak level
Number of Disclosure Claims
(Unit: thousands)
Asset Quality
19
A diversified individual deposit base from over 2.5 million retail banking customers Enhance efficiency of funding while continuing to maintain robust liquidity
(JPY billion)
0.59% 1.08% 0.81% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 08.4-09.3 09.4-10.3 10.4-11.3 Funding Costs
Retail vs. Institutional Deposits
1 Funding costs equals the interest of interest-bearing liabilities divided by the average balance of interest-bearing liabilities, which
consist of deposits, negotiable certificates of deposit, debentures, borrowed money, corporate bonds, and other interest liabilities
Cash Equivalents Liquidity Reserve
82% 20% 18% 15% 85% 80% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 09.3 10.3 11.3
Retail Deposits Institutional Deposits
Funding Costs
1
Minimum Required Reserve Level Actual Liquidity Reserves
2
2 Minimum liquidity reserve required to keep cash surplus throughout a period of time based on cash gap analysis regarding ALM liquidity stress test
Stable Financial Base
Stable Funding Base and Adequate Liquidity Funding
20
8.12% 7.76% 6.85% 6.97% 6.95% 6.35% 9.93% 9.76% 8.85% 8.94% 8.97% 8.35% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 10.3 10.6 10.9 10.12 11.3 11.6
210.6
- 10.0
183.4 193.5
Non-Perpetual Subordinated Debt and Bonds
33.3
- 0.1
28.6 28.8
Perpetual Subordinated Debt and Bonds
154.6
- 0.1
56.7 56.8
Preferred Securities
6.95% 36 bps 8.12% 7.76%
Tier I Capital Ratio
17 bps
- 94.1
1.8
- 4.3
- 10.3
16.5
Change
8.97% 9.93% 9.76%
Total Capital Adequacy Ratio
- 108.1
- 103.0
- 98.6
Deduction
6,559.5 651.7 221.5 533.2 2011.6 6,653.7 649.9 231.8 516.7 2011.3 7,276.3
Risk Weighted Assets
653.0
Total Capital
254.8
Amount Eligible for Inclusion in Capital (Tier II)
506.4
(Reference) 2010.6 Basic Items (Tier I) (Consolidated, JPY billion) Total Capital adequacy ratio Tier I capital ratio
Capital Composition
1 Certain deductible items under Basel III are not deducted in the calculation of Common Equity Tier I ratio considering the phase-in application of deductions 2 Estimates based on Shinsei Bank’s calculations using documents disclosed by the these Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Since actual figures will be calculated based on the
domestic rules after Basel III takes effect, there are factors that may cause estimates to diverge from actual figures
Earnings growth boosted total capital and improved capital ratios together with risk weighted asset reduction Capital quality improved with further increase in the Common Equity Tier I ratio (estimate) under Basel III Decline in risk weighted assets due to non-core asset divestiture, but decline has now largely bottomed out
Capital Ratios Increased and Capital Quality Improved due to Profit Accumulation
Trend of Capital Ratios (Basel II)
Under new Basel III framework as of June 30, 2011 “common equity Tier I capital ratio” estimated to be 5.9%, 30 basis points up from 5.6% as of March 31, 2011 while Tier I capital ratio estimated to be 6.4% and TCAR estimated to be 9.5%1, 2
Capital
Stable Financial Base
21
(JPY billion)
Initial Forecast Unchanged due to Uncertain Economic Outlook
15.0 11.1 Net Income 1 yen 28.0 32.0 22.0 FY2011 Forecast 54.6 Ordinary Business Profit (OBP) [Consolidated] 1 yen 53.8 42.6 FY2010 Actual Dividends [Non-Consolidated] Cash Basis Net Income1 Net Income
While we made good progress towards our
full year forecast, initial forecast remains unchanged at this time due to uncertainties in the Japanese and global economic outlook
6.6 0.5 20.8 18.1 1Q FY2011 Actual
Forecast
1Cash basis net income is calculated by excluding amortization of goodwill and other intangible assets, net of tax benefit
Profitability
22
- 6. Steady progress in second year of three-year MTMP2
- 4. Impact of efforts to improve asset quality gaining momentum
- 5. Continuous improvement in capital ratios and ample liquidity strengthening base
- 1. Shinsei’s management reiterates strong commitment
Key Takeaways
- 2. Solid progress rebuilding customer franchise with focus on growing assets again
- 3. Improving NIM1 and expense/credit cost control leading to enhanced profitability
1 Net Interest Margin 2 Medium-Term Management Plan
23
Appendix
24
Company Profile
Institutional Group, Global Markets Group
The Institutional Group is focusing primarily on corporate and public sector finance and advisory business, while the Global Markets Group will be concentrating
- n
financial markets business and serving financial institution clients.
Individual Group
The Individual Group operates in three business areas
- Retail
Banking, Installment Sales Credit and Unsecured Personal Loans - serving 6 million core customers, providing a wide range of financial products and services from asset management to loans
Name Shinsei Bank, Limited Address Nihonbashi Muromachi Nomura Building, 4-3, Nihonbashi-muromachi 2-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, Japan Established December, 1952 Representative Director, President Shigeki Toma Number of Employees : Shinsei Bank 1,913 Shinsei Bank and Consolidated Subsidiaries 5,558 Branches (Non-consolidated) Domestic : 30 branches including head
- ffice, 14 Annexes, 1 Sub-branch
Number of Common Shares 2,750,346 thousand Capital Stock 512.2 billion yen Total Assets (Consolidated) 9,473.9 billion yen Deposits, Including NCDs (Consolidated) 5,777.3 billion yen Loans and Bills Discounted (Consolidated) 4,214.0 billion yen Securities (Consolidated) 2,703.3 billion yen Total Capital Adequacy Ratio 9.93% Non-consolidated Capital Adequacy Ratio 12.65%
(As of June 30, 2011)
25
Strategy Development and Business Execution Business Groups and Subsidiaries and Affiliates
Business Group and Head of Group Target Customer and Business
Asset Optimization Project Team
Shinki Shinsei Financial APLUS FINANCIAL Retail Banking Treasury Shinsei Trust & Banking Financial Institutions Shinsei Securities Markets Shinsei Investment Management
Major Subsidiaries and Affiliates
(Reports directly to president)
Executive Committee (2 Executive Directors, 19 Executive Officers and 1 Standing Statutory Auditor)
Representative Director, President and CEO Shigeki Toma Board of Directors (2 Executive Directors and 4 Outside Directors) Board of Statutory Auditors (1 Standing Statutory Auditor and 2 Outside Auditors) As of July 1, 2011
New Management Framework and Structure
Risk Management Group (RD, CRO, SMEO) Yukio Nakamura Banking Infrastructure Group (SMEO) Michiyuki Okano Finance Group (CFO, SMEO) Shigeru Tsukamoto Individual Group (SMEO) Sanjeev Gupta RD: Representative Director, SMEO: Senior Managing Executive Officer, MEO: Managing Executive Officer. Global Markets Group (MEO) Akira Watanabe Corporate Staff Group (MEO) Masashi Yamashita
Consumer Finance Asset Management Advisory Showa Leasing Institutional Business Structured Finance Principal Transactions Real Estate Finance Corporate Support Division Healthcare Finance Division Corporate Public Sector
Institutional Group (SMEO) Hitomi Sato
Appendix
26
Will be able to begin full-scale operations of unsecured personal card loan service through a nationwide network consisting of approximately 800 unmanned branches
Commence service via the bank level from October 1, 2011 subject to the approval of the FSA
Will use the strengths of our 100% owned subsidiary Shinsei Financial
brand recognition (industry No. 1 in share of new applications in FY2010)
marketing expertise (efficient channels)
credit assessment expertise (prudent approval rate)
Capture needs of potential unsecured personal loan users by utilizing reliability and peace-of-mind of a bank-based business model
Expect to strengthen earnings power as market expands
Contribute to the development of a sound and healthy unsecured personal loan market
New customer acquisition progressing at annualized rate of approximately 120,000 customers/year for FY2011. Expect to acquire 170,000 – 180,000 new customers per year in a few years’ time (approximately 200,000 customers/year at the past peak level)
Individual customer business is extremely important for Shinsei Bank
A full line of services for individual customers, ranging from retail banking to consumer finance, from the Bank
Further sharpen the Bank’s competitive edge
■ Strategic Significance ■ Key Points of “Shinsei Bank Card Loan – Lake”
Rebound in UPL Balance Growth with Launch of “Shinsei Bank Card Loan – Lake”
Business
Appendix
27
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
Operating Environment for Shinsei Bank Card Loan - Lake
UPL Market set to recover in mid-to-long term on rising needs for bank-based borrowing
9.9 8.2 6.6 5.3 4.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
UPL Balance at Consumer Finance Companies
(JPY Trillion)
07.3 08.3 09.3 10.3 13.3 (Estimate)
1 1
11.3 (Estimate)
UPL Market (Overall)
07.3 08.3 09.3 10.3 13.3 (Estimate) 11.3 (Estimate)
(JPY Trillion) Sales finance/credit card Consumer Finance Bank/shinkin (other financing) Bank/shinkin (card loan etc.) 27.4 19.8 16.8
(Source) FSA report based on data from Japan Financial Services Association
1 Estimates of market size at 11.3 and 13. 3 are Shinsei Financial’s estimates
(Source) Statistics from Bank of Japan and Japan Financial Services Association
1 1
Japanese UPL market has shrunk significantly due to revised
MLBL and excess interest repayment issue
Although bank borrowing is also declining due to slumping
consumption, the decline is smaller than at consumer finance
- r sales finance/card companies
Decline at consumer finance companies is expected to
continue further
Bank card loans will bottom out due to megabanks ramping
up operations
Consumer finance companies’ UPL market has shrunk
about 60% during past 4 years
However, market size expected to remain at around
JPY 2-3 trillion due to ongoing needs
Opportunity for Shinsei Bank Group to go on the offensive in the UPL market
Consumer Finance 25.1 23.5
1 Estimates of market size at 11.3 and 13. 3 are Shinsei Financial’s estimates
Appendix
28
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%
Differentiation and Business Development for Shinsei Bank Card Loan - Lake
Utilize unmanned branch network at Bank to create and expand new market
Adding reliability and peace-of-mind to quick and convenient service to create new market in the mid- to long-term Customers using current consumer finance companies
Key factors in brand selection are (1) reliable company, (2) major player (3) company with good image (Shinsei Financial survey) Expect market expansion through capturing needs of potential UPL users with the reliability and peace-of-mind of bank-based business Shinsei will become more familiar presence as the first bank in Japan to offer UPL services through a large-scale unmanned branch
network, with benefits such as immediate disbursement and an application process that does not require a visit to a branch
Transfer of the network enables huge expansion of outlets for Shinsei Bank card loan business
Bank will reach potential UPL users through
- perating large-scale unmanned branch
network and collaborating with retail banking in the future Reliability Peace-of-Mind
Potential Market Expansion & Image of Shinsei Bank’s Mid-Term Business Development
Potential Bank-based UPL users
Market Expansion
Base Target
(Interest rate)
Current consumer finance users Convenience
Speed Products Appendix
29
23.6 516.7 34.2 10.0 20.5 49.5 56.8 60.6 1.4
- 2.5
- 2.6
72.5 55.0 79.4 512.2
- 2011. 3
- 2010. 3
- 2011. 6
Basic Items (Tier I) Capital Stock 476.2 512.2 Capital Surplus 43.5 79.4 Retained Earnings 12.4 70.5 Treasury Stock (-) 72.5 72.5 Expected income distribution (-)
- Net Unrealized Losses on Available-for-sale
Securities (-)
- Foreign Currency Translation Adjustments
- 0.7
- 2.5
Stock Acquisition Rights 1.6 1.3 Minority Interests in Consolidated Subsidiaries 168.9 60.2 Preferred Securities Issued by Foreign SPC 159.8 56.7 Goodwill (-) 57.8 47.5 Other Intangible Assets Acquired in Business Consolidation (-) 25.2 19.4 Gain on Sale of Securitization (-) 9.4 9.7 50% of Expected Loss Provision Shortfall (-) 46.3 38.7 Total Tier I 490.7 533.2 Step-up Preferred Securities 83.4 23.5
Regulatory Capital Overview (Basel II)
9.76% 7.76% 649.9 98.6 231.8 231.8 193.5 28.8 222.4 9.4
- 2011. 3
- 2010. 3
- 2011. 6
Supplementary Items (Tier II) General Reserve for Loan Losses 10.9 9.3 Subordinated Debt and Bonds 257.7 212.1 Perpetual Subordinated Debt and Bonds 38.0 28.6 Non-Perpetual Subordinated Debt and Bonds 219.6 183.4 Total 268.7 221.5 Amount Eligible for Inclusion in Capital 268.7 221.5 Deduction 114.0 103.0 Total Capital 645.4 651.7 Tier I Capital Ratio 6.35% 9.93% Capital Adequacy Ratio (Domestic Standard) 8.35% 8.12% (Consolidated, JPY billion)
Appendix
6.4% 6.2% Tier I Capital Ratio (estimate) 9.5% 9.3% Capital Adequacy Ratio (estimate) 5.6% 2011.3 2011.6 Common Equity Tier I Capital Ratio (estimate) 5.9% (Reference: Basel III Estimate1)
1 Certain deductible items under Basel III are not deducted in the calculation of Common
Equity Tier I ratio considering the phase-in application of deductions. Estimates based on Shinsei Bank’s calculations using documents disclosed by the these Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Since actual figures will be calculated based on the domestic rules after Basel III takes effect, there are factors that may cause estimates to diverge from actual figures
30
Major Shareholders
11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 100.00% 1.75% 1.86% 2.21% 3.34% 3.50% 4.70% 4.93% 7.14% 7.27% 9.78% 16.59%
(%)
Shareholders
Number of common shares (thousands) SATURN IV SUB LP (JPMCB 380111)
456,512
Deposit Insurance Corporation of Japan
269,128
THE RESOLUTION AND COLLECTION CORPORATION
200,000
MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INC
196,514
GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO. REG
135,819
SATURN JAPAN III SUB C.V. (JPMCB 380113)
129,462
SHINSEI BANK, LIMITED
96,427
- J. CHRISTOPHER FLOWERS
91,879
J.P. MORGAN CLEARING CORP-CLEARING
60,883
JAPAN TRUSTEE SERVICE BANK, LTD. (TRUST ACCOUNT)
51,226
SSBT OD05 OMNIBUS ACCOUNT-TREATY CLIENTS
48,248
Total (including treasury shares)
2,750,346
(Note) 1. As of March 31, 2011, a group of investors, including affiliates of J.C. Flowers & Co. LLC., holds 734,429,693 common shares or 27.67% of Shinsei’s outstanding common shares, excluding treasury shares 2. As of March 31, 2011, in total, the Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Resolution and Collection Corporation hold 469,128,888 common shares or 17.67% of Shinsei’s outstanding common shares, excluding treasury shares
Breakdown of Shareholders
(as of March 31, 2011) (Note) 1. “Japanese Financial Institutions and Insurance Companies” includes the Resolution and Collection Corporation 2. “Other Japanese Corporations” includes the Deposit Insurance Corporation 3. “Japanese Individuals and Other” includes treasury shares
Appendix
Issuance of 690 million common shares increased Shinsei’s capital by JPY 71.8 billion in March 2011 A group of investors including affiliates of J.C. Flowers & Co. LLC. holds 27.67% of common shares (excluding treasury
shares)
Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Resolution and Collection Corporation hold 17.67% of common shares (excluding
treasury shares)
31
Tier I Tender Offer and Tier II Exchange Offer
0.951046 New Note for 1 Euro Note 0.750825 New Note for 1 Sterling Note Exchange Ratio EUR 200,364,000 GBP 51,698,000 Outstanding Balance (as of June 2011) EUR 543,218,000 GBP 77,144,000 Outstanding Balance (before exchange offer) EUR 340,854,000 GBP 25,446,000 Amount Exchanged GBP Step-up Callable Perpetual Subordinated Notes EUR Step-up Callable Subordinated Notes Securities EUR 347,228,000 Outstanding Balance (as of June 2011) September 14, 2015 Initial Call September 14, 2020 Maturity 7.375% Coupon EUR 347,228,000 Issue Amount Euro Non-step up Callable Subordinated Notes New Notes
- 2. Exchange Offer for Tier II Securities (September 2010)
84% 84% Purchase Price (%) USD 24,187,000 USD 38,000,000 Outstanding Balance (as of June 2011) USD 457,547,000 USD 615,185,000 Amount Tendered USD 481,734,000 7.160% USD Non-cumulative Perpetual Preferred Securities USD 653,185,000 6.418% USD Step-up Non-cumulative Perpetual Preferred Securities Securities Outstanding Balance (before tender offer)
- 1. Tender Offer for Tier I Securities (December 2010)
Appendix
- 1. Although Tier I declined
significantly, gains of approximately JPY25 billion recorded through repurchase at discount and swap cancellation fees (increase in common equity Tier I)
- 2. Although Tier II decreased slightly,
gains of approximately JPY3 billion recorded through exchange at a discount (increase in common equity Tier I)
32
Basel III
Required Capital Ratios under Basel III (as at January 1)
3.500 4.000 4.500 5.125 5.750 6.375 7.000 1.000 1.500 1.500 1.500 1.500 1.500 1.500 3.500 2.500 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000 2.000
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Monitoring Period Common Equity Tier I Ratio Tier I Capital Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio Source: Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) Common Equity Tier I Other Tier I Tier II
8.0 8.0 8.0 8.625 10.5 9.25 9.875
(Unit : %) Capital Buffer
Appendix
33
Credit Ratings
n.a. n.a. B B3 (Negative) Preferred Securities C D- (Negative)
Bank Financial Strength Rating (BFSR)/ Bank Fundamental Strength Rating
BBB- BBB BBB+ (Negative) A-2 Standard and Poor's (S&P) Ba3 (Negative) Ba2 (Negative) Ba1 (Negative) Not Prime Moody’s1 BBB- BBB BBB+ (Negative) a-2 Rating and Investment Information (R&I) Japan Credit Rating Agency (JCR) Short-Term J-2 Long-Term BBB (Stable) Senior Subordinated Debt n.a. Junior Subordinated Debt n.a.
(As of August 31, 2011)
1 On August 24, 2011, Moody's downgraded ratings of most rated Japanese banks including Shinsei Bank, following its downgrade of Japanese
Government Bond (JGB) ratings to Aa3 from Aa2. Moody’s commented in their press release, "The rating downgrades primarily reflect the combined impact of the change in the rating of the Government of Japan -- as a supporting entity -- and Moody's reduced assumptions for government support to the banking system in a stress scenario. Specifically, the rating actions reflect 1) our concern that, notwithstanding continued strong government willingness to support the banking system, there is an increasing risk that the government's capacity to provide support to banks in a future crisis has diminished; and 2) our assumption that under conditions of extreme stress, the authorities will become increasingly selective in their distribution of support, with a bias in favor of the most systemically important banks."
Appendix
34
3 Prefectures (Iwate, Miyagi, Fukushima) Ratio to Total Assets Institutional banking 5.2
- Domestic real estate non-recourse
finance 12.5
- Other (non-consolidated)1
1.8
- Showa Leasing
6.9
- Institutional Group, M&I Group3 Total
26.6 0.3% Housing loans2 10.5
- Shinsei Financial
20.1
- Shinki
2.7
- APLUS FINANCIAL
42.5
- Individual Group Total
75.8 0.7% Grand Total 102.4 1.0% Exposure to Affected Areas
Exposure to affected areas is limited comparative to
- perating assets
Total of JPY6.1 billion in earthquake-related credit costs
recorded in 4Q of FY2010
- Institutional banking: JPY0
- Domestic real estate non-recourse finance: JPY0
- Showa Leasing: JPY1.6 billion
- Housing Loans: JPY0.5 billion
- Shinsei Financial: JPY1.8 billion
- Shinki: JPY0.4 billion
- APLUS FINANCIAL: JPY1.6 billion
Total of JPY0.6 billion in other impairments in credit
trading, corporate donations (JPY136 million), and costs related to building damages
(As at March 31, 2011)
(Consolidated, JPY billion)
1 Derivatives and credit trading within Shinsei Bank 2 Includes housing loans purchased from Shinsei Financial and card loans issued by Shinsei
Bank
3 Market and Investment Banking Group, before organizational changes were made
Impact of Great East Japan Earthquake
Overall impact is negligible, but made necessary provisions in FY2010
Appendix
35
The above description of Shinsei’s medium-term plan contains forward-looking statements regarding the intent,
belief and current expectations of our management with respect to our financial condition and future results of
- perations. These statements reflect our current views with respect to future events that are subject to risks,
uncertainties and assumptions. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, our actual results may vary materially from those we currently anticipate. Potential risks include those described in our annual securities report filed with the Kanto Local Finance Bureau, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
Unless otherwise noted, the financial data contained in these materials are presented under Japanese GAAP. The
Company disclaims any obligation to update or to announce any revision to forward-looking statements to reflect future events or developments. Unless otherwise specified, all the financials are shown on a consolidated basis.
Information concerning financial institutions other than the Company and its subsidiaries are based on publicly
available information.
These materials do not constitute an invitation or solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or purchase any