Solar + Storage Systems Business Models for Large Deployment - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

solar storage systems business models for large deployment
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Solar + Storage Systems Business Models for Large Deployment - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. Solar + Storage Systems Business Models for Large Deployment Balawant Joshi, Managing Director Expert Talk on Solar, Storage & Hybrid Development 17 September 2020 Idam Infra Service Offerings


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Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd.

Balawant Joshi, Managing Director

Expert Talk on Solar, Storage & Hybrid Development

Solar + Storage Systems – Business Models for Large Deployment

17 September 2020

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Idam Infra – Service Offerings

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 2

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India’s ambitious solar target

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100 60 40 35.12 32.31 2.82 20 40 60 80 100 120 Total Solar Power Ground Mounted Solar Solar Rooftop Capacity in GW

Target vs Achievement of Solar Installation

Target Achieved

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India can’t achieve solar target without significant storage capacity

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Report Name Publisher Report date/ Target Year Battery Storage need projection Consideration Developing a roadmap to a flexible, low‐carbon Indian electricity system: interim findings CPI ( with TERI and NREL) Feb-19/ 2030 60 GW Considering flexibility provided by Thermal, Hydro (including PSH ) and Batteries) and demand projection as done by TERI 25 GW Considering flexibility provided by Thermal, Hydro (including PSH) ,Batteries and Demand Side Management) and demand projection as done by TERI Energy Storage System: Roadmap for India : 2019-32 ISGF (with Mac Arthur foundation and IESA) 2019 / 2032 67 GWh At MV/LV level 142 GWh At EHV level Least-Cost Pathways for India’s Electric Power Sector NREL May-20/2047 237 GW Considering capacity and demand growth are based on CEA National Electricity Plan and 19th Electric Power Survey (CEA 2018b) Report On Optimal Generation Capacity Mix For 2029-30 CEA Jan-20/ 2030 27 GW / 108 GWh Considering mid term review of NEP-I for installed capacity taking 2021-22 as base year and EPS for Peak load and energy projection.

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Reverse Auctions

  • ~ 30 GW of Solar Capacity has been allotted through Competitive Bidding Process.
  • Gradual increase in Solar Capacity over the years shows its acceptance while discovering the lowest Tariff of Rs. 2.44/kwh

150 350252560125 15075226 270 130 130 100 500 500 500 100 100 250 215 300 500 1500 500 170 500 150 420 100 500 100 1200 1200 500 350 400 100 920 440 225 130 160 300 450 750 250 500 250 1500 500 25050 500 250 760 550 500 750 1000 200 25085125 500 2000 750 600 75 2000 500 150 500 550 1000 500 1200 750 500 100 250 1200 680 72480 300 960 150 500 12000 500 1200 350 2000 350 2000 1170 700

12.20 8.80 8.40 8.70 8.30 8.10 6.50 6.50 8.40 8.90 6.90 6.90 6.70 7.20 7.20 6.20 8.00 5.70 5.70 4.60 5.00 4.40 4.80 4.40 5.10 5.40 4.79 4.43 4.43 4.35 4.43 3.30 2.44 2.62 3.47 2.66 3.14 3.15 2.47 2.48 3.17 2.92 2.72 2.71 2.82 3.34 2.85 2.70 2.59 2.44 3.20 2.74 2.48 2.65 2.87 2.54 3.02 2.53 2.63 2.83 2.92 3.17 2.50 2.61 2.90 2.36 2.78 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000

  • 2.00

4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 NSM Batch 1 NSM Batch 2 Orissa Phase 1 Orissa Phase 2 Karnataka Madhya Pradesh Tamil Nadu Rajasthan Andhra Pradesh Punjab Phase 1 Uttar Pradesh Phase 1 Karnataka Phase 2 Madhya Pradesh Andhra Pradesh Phase 2 Karnataka Telangana Punjab( Capacity 5-24) Punjab (Capacity 25-100) NTPC Anantapur Uttar Pradesh Phase 2 Madhya Pradesh Telangana Group 1 Telangana Group 2 Punjab Uttarakhand AP-500 MW Bundling Haryana (State Scheme) Rajasthan 420 MW UP-100 MW Bundling SECI MH 500 MW NTPC Raj 100 MW Karnataka Jharkhand NTPC Karnataka NTPC Telangana SECI AP SECI Chattisgarh SECI Karnataka SECI UP SECI Guj NTPC Rajasthan SECI UP SECI Orissa SECI Maharahtra REWA 750 MW NTPC Kadapa Bhadhla 500 MW Bhadhla 250 MW Tamil Nadu Gujarat NTPC Any 250MW DCR MH Mahagenco SECI RJ Bhadla Ph-III SECI RJ Bhadla Ph-IV Karnataka KREDL JNNSM- Karnataka Gujarat-GUVNL AP Ananthapuram-JNNSM MH-MSEDCL RPO KA - Pavagada-JNNSM MH-mahagenco Assam UP Solar Park Pavagada (Tranche VI) SECI - ISTS - I SECI - Kadapa SECI - ISTS - II GRIDCO Odisha NTPC - JNNSM GJ - GUVNL - RPO - II-R Pavagada (Phase VI) UPNEDA - 02 UPNEDA - 03 MSEDCL - Phase II GJ - GUVNL - Phase IV SECI - ISTS - III SECI - RJ GJ - GUVNL - Raghanesda Park - Ph III GJ - GUVNL - Dholera Park - Phase V SECI - Dondaicha Park - MH SECI - ISTS - IV SECI - II - RJ UPNEDA SECI - ISTS - VI NTPC - ISTS SECI - ISTS - VI Tata Power - RPO MSEDCL - Phase IV SECI - Manufacturing Linked Solar UPNEDA SECI - ISTS - VIII GJ - GUVNL - Phase VIII NHPC MSEDCL - Phase V SECI - ISTS - IX NTPC - ISTS GJ - GUVNL - Dholera Park - Phase IX

MW ₹/kWh

Tariff trends for Large Scale (50 MW and above) solar projects

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Economics of battery storage–Trend

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 6

1160 899 707 650 577 373 288 214 176 156 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

USD/kWh

Volume weighted average battery price

Source: LBNL

Recent report published by Lawrence-Berkeley National Laboratory shows that the LCOE for standalone BESS could reach Rs. 4.12/kWh by 2030.

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Solar Plus Storage along electricity value chain

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Generation Transmission Distribution Consumer

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd.

Large S + S Projects Medium S + S Projects Small S + S Projects

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Solar + Storage Project

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 8

  • Energy

Storage System co-located with RE generator can provide firm power to the grid, thus maintaining grid stability

  • This can reduce the fluctuation in the grid and

help in better management of the frequency

  • Energy

Storage System co-located with RE generator can also be used to provide power during peak periods

  • Utility can get the benefit of firm power from

renewables or/and cheaper peak power during peak periods

Renewable Energy Plant with co-located Energy Storage System

Grid Solar Generator ESS BESS is co- located with Solar Plant and ESS is charged through it Power is supplied to grid to manage frequency

  • r/and during

peak periods

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SECI ISTS VII tender

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 9 Particulars Description Capacity Offered Min: 50 MW; Max. 300 MW

  • Max. allowable to single entity 600 MW

Business Model & PPA tenure BOO & 25 years Counter Party SECI Project Location Generation may be co-located/ different

  • locations. ESS has to be co-located with

RE ESS Capacity 1200 MWh (equal to MW rating of Solar+Wind) Injection Point Single or Multiple(s) by separate injection at Pooling point & having separate control CUF At-least 40% (annual) Peak Power Supply Daily: Min. 6 hours, Max. 8 hours Tariff Two part tariff Off – peak: ₹2.7/kWh Peak: ₹6.12/kWh and ₹6.85/kWh Energy Arbitrage At discretion of HPD between 0:01 and 5:59 hours ISTS/STU charges such as wheeling etc. in scoope of HPD Particulars Description Power Generation Requirement (for project rated capacity of 100 MW)

  • Daily Minimum: 300 MWh
  • Capable of delivering 50MW in any peak hour (limited

to 6 hour blocks) scheduled by DISCOM through day ahead scheduling

  • Excess generation above 300 MWh during peak hours

shall be compensated at off-peak rate Peak Power Generation

  • Permissible shortfall up-to 15% below minimum

energy commitment, accounted monthly, beyond which penalty is applied

  • Penalty equal to the Peak tariff or tariff paid by

DISCOM to meet the shortfall in supply, whichever is higher Excess Generation

  • Any excess generation over and above 10% of declared

annual CUF will be purchased by SECI at its discretion {without any obligation to do so} at a fixed tariff of 75%

  • f the Off-Peak tariff
  • In case of energy supply during Peak Hours over and

above the mandated energy requirement (300 MWh), and in the event of such power being procured by the Buying Utility, the HPD will be paid energy charges @ Off-Peak Tariff

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SECI ISTS RTC Tender

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 10 Particulars Description Capacity Offered Min: 50 MW; Max. 400 MW Business Model & PPA tenure BOO & 25 years Counter Party/ Buying Utility SECI NDMC (200 MW) & DNH (200 MW) Project Location Generation may be co-located/ different

  • locations. ESS has to be co-located with

at-least one of the generation sources ESS Capacity RPD allowed to resize ESS until 3 years after COD (flexible to choose type) Injection Point Single or Multiple(s) by separate injection at Pooling point & having separate control CUF atleast 80% (annual) & 70% (monthly) Committed Annual energy: 100% Technology & Interconnection Point Technology Agnostic Interconnection at 220 kV or above Developer Scope Land, Connectivity & LTA Tariff 1st year tariff with 3% escalation Y-o-Y till 15th year & subsequently fixed thereafter Particulars Description Penalty Structure Penalty for Monthly & Annual Shortfall Annual Shortfall Criteria >77.5% to <80% CUF <77.5% CUF Penalty (Annual) 2* PPA Tariff (Energy Terms) 2*PPA Tariff + Tariff Escalation removed in the succeeding year (upto 15/16th year) Monthly Shortfall Criteria > 67.5% and < 70% CUF <67.5% CUF for > 2 months Penalty (Monthly) Calculated Annually PPA Tariff /month * no of months with shortfall PPA Tariff + Tariff Escalation removed in the succeeding year (upto 15/16th year) Excess Generation Excess Power allowed to be sold in Open Market – Priority to PPA requirement Grid Unavailability (Compensation to RE developer)

  • > 4hrs: Gen Loss = [(Avg gen/hr during the billing

month) × (no of hrs of grid unavailability in particular billing month)] Backdown:

  • Gen Compensation = 100% x [Scheduled energy × (no
  • f backdown hours during the month)] x PPA tariff
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S + S Plant connected at Distribution

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Large Scale Solar Power Plant HT Transmission Line 33/11kV Sub-

Station LT Distribution Line Consumer Solar + Storage Plant

connected at 33kV Solar + Storage Plant connected at 11kV Solar Rooftop Installation Arrows indicate power flow direction

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Cost of Generation – Decentralised Solar Plant

  • Telangana

– Telangana has opted for a distributed solar power generation program. Tenders were issued for solar power plants of capacities in the range of 50 MW to 200 MW to be set up in a distributed manner. – Out of 3,630 MW of solar installation about 1,543 MW of the total solar power capacity in Telangana is on account of distributed solar projects.

  • Maharashtra

– Decentralised solar plants of 300kW to 10MW capacity on vacant, un-used land near DISCOM substation. – Power from these plants is being fed to agriculture feeders, which is greatly benefitting both farmers and DISCOMs : ➢ Quality and reliable day time electricity to farmers; ➢ Savings on the Transmission network cost, reduced T&D losses for DISCOM – Under 'Mukyamantri Sour Krushi Vahini Yojana’ in Maharashtra, EESL has signed 25 years PPA with MSEDCL for 500 MW decentralised solar power. – MERC vide order dated May 21, 2020 has approved MSEDCL’s proposal of procurement of 100 MW solar power at tariff of INR 3.11 per unit for 25 years from EESL.

  • Integration of storage would provide several benefits to distribution companies.

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Benefits of Solar Plus Storage to Discom

  • BESS optimally sized to offer peak power support can help defer

infrastructure investment by extending the life of transmission and distribution equipment due to reduced loading.

Deferment of Infrastructure investment

  • By reducing power flow on the distribution network during peak period,

the overall technical losses of the utility are reduced.

Reduction of distribution losses

  • Battery energy storage helps balance the fluctuations in supply resulting

from the variability of renewable energy generation sources in the network.

Support to DRE

  • BESS can help maintain a flat voltage profile of the network by controlling

the active power flow especially the high voltage during peak generation hours of solar PV by absorbing the excess generation

Voltage Support

  • The UI penalties resulting from excess or shortfall of scheduled power can

be reduced or avoided with the help battery storage system by absorbing or supplying the difference in power

Reduction of UI penalties

  • By

mitigating peak demand shortages, outages resulting from load shedding can be minimized thus improving the reliability of service of the utility.

Reliability Improvement

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 13

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Solar Rooftop with Battery & attached Value Streams

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 14

Self- Consumption BESS charged from Rooftop Power from grid, when demand is excess of generation + storage BESS discharged during peak Excess power fed to grid in no load or low load conditions

Cheap Power Supply compared to grid Continuous Power Supply in areas without adequate distribution infrastructure Improved voltage profile, leading to low equipment failure Improved power factor, leading to lower power bill Value Streams for Consumer

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Commercial and Industrial Tariff range

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 15

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 AP DL GJ HR KA MH MP PB RS TN TS UP

Tariff (₹/kWh)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 AP DL GJ HR KA MH MP PB RS TN TS UP

Tariff (₹/kWh)

Commercial tariff range in different states HT Industrial tariff range in different states

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BESS at consumer level needs Load Curve Analysis

Idam Infrastructure Advisory Pvt. Ltd. 16

  • 10.00

0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 01:00 02:00 03:00 04:00 05:00 06:00 07:00 08:00 09:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 24:00 Week Day Consumption Load (kW) Weekend Consumption Load (kW) 80 kW SPV System 100 kW SPV System 150 kW SPV System

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Comparative Analysis of Business Models

Benefits

Large Generation Distribution connected Consumer Projects Remarks

Lower CoG Centralised plants are cheaper by 15-20% (only). Modular nature of technology is making ‘economies of scale’ argument less relevant. Network Investment Huge investment in transmission required for centralised plants. Decreasing utilisation of transmission assets with increasing VRE. T&D loss reduction Distributed sources are deployed near the load centre. This reduces the losses significantly. Better Frequency S + S makes project dispatchable thereby helping better management of frequency Improves voltage & PF As generating source and load are nearby, this will improve voltage profile and Power Factor Reduction in Outages Smart deployment of decentralised projects could help in reducing

  • utages due to overloading of distribution n/w.

Capex Deferral Decentralise sources deployed with Battery storage will defer Capital Investment of DISCOMs. Distr network design Distributed generation would require change in distribution network planning and operations philosophy.

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Thank You

Contact:

Balawant Joshi +91 98214 21630 Ajit Pandit +91 98211 08222 Email: contact@idaminfra.com

Mumbai Delhi Kolkata Hyderabad

801, Crystal Plaza, 158, CST Road, Kalina, Santacruz (E), Mumbai — 400 098 Phone: +91 22 4057 0200 A-31, Second Floor, Lajpat Nagar II, Near Lajpat Metro Station, New Delhi — 110 024 Phone: +91 11 4943 4000 Globsyn Crystal, XI – 11 & 12, 1st Floor, Block – EP, Sector V, Salt Lake Electronics Complex, Kolkata — 700 091 Phone: +91 33 4604 8993 House No. 3-51, Flat No. 201, Abhishek Towers, Balanagar, Hyderabad — 500 042 Phone: +91 91369 20664