Smallerholder Agriculture in Sierra Leone: Results so far Rachel - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

smallerholder agriculture in sierra leone results so far
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Smallerholder Agriculture in Sierra Leone: Results so far Rachel - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Smallerholder Agriculture in Sierra Leone: Results so far Rachel Glennerster (JPAL) Agriculture in Sierra Leone Mainly small holder farming. Land abundant, labor scarce Rice is the main staple, 87% of farmers grow rice Cash


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Rachel Glennerster (JPAL)

Smallerholder Agriculture in Sierra Leone: Results so far

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Agriculture in Sierra Leone

  • Mainly small holder farming. Land abundant, labor scarce
  • Rice is the main staple, 87% of farmers grow rice
  • Cash crops include cocoa (9% of exports) and palm oil
  • Rice yields 484 kg/ha vs 800 kg/ha in Ghana, 1500 kg/ha for

Uganda and 2200 kg/ha for the Philippines (ATHS 2010):

  • 2.6% use improved seeds
  • 7% use fertilizer
  • 7% irrigation
  • 2% mechanization
  • 25% crop failure (Nerica baseline)

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Pronounced seasonality

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Recent ag research in Sierra Leone

  • Cocoa: Interlinked transactions (Casaburi and

Reed, 2014)

  • Palm oil: Inventory credit (Casaburi, 2013)
  • Rice: High yield short duration Nerica rice

(Glennerster and Suri, ongoing)

  • Rural road rehabilitation (Casaburi, Glennerster,

and Suri, 2014)

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Interlinked transactions

  • Very little access to formal financial sector
  • Traders provide loans before and during harvest
  • Cocoa: Baseline 65% of farmers had received loans in past

12 months (Casaburi and Reed, 2014)

  • Traders also use loans to “lock-in” supply

70% provide loans to farmers

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SLIDE 6

Cocoa experiment

  • Random traders given Le 150 per pound bonus for

grade A cocoa (60% of average baseline margin)

  • No pass through of price to farmers
  • 14ppt more likely to get credit from traders
  • Treatment traders did not go into new villages but

invested more in farmers in same village

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Cocoa experiment: implications

  • Cocoa quality can be improved with more investment
  • Let crop ripen fully and dry for longer
  • Working through traders allows policy maker to reach many

farmers

  • Trader/farmer relationships double edged sword
  • Value of relationship provides some enforceability of informal

contract, allows traders to invest even with threat of side selling

  • But also reduces competition between traders, potentially

causing inefficiency eg lower price

  • Judging trader profits and competition on price margin

misleading

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Seasonal price difference puzzle

  • Around the world farmers sell low and buy high
  • Hypotheses:
  • Limited supply/monopoly on storage
  • High rate of product deterioration in storage
  • Lack access to credit/monopoly supply of credit
  • High (exponential?) discount rate
  • Casaburi studies credit and storage for palm oil
  • No deterioration in product over time
  • Seasonal price difference 30-60% depending on year
  • Very limited (non-existent) previous exposure to banks
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Inventory Credit and Storage

1850 Farmers 120 Communities Credit using Palm Oil as Collateral Control Storage Support

  • Sensitization
  • Free Containers
  • Rehabilitated

Community Storage

  • Rehabilitated

Community Storage

  • Sensitization
  • Double Locks

Banks – Community

  • 70% advance on

Palm oil stored

  • 22% Interest rate

3 Community Banks

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Inventory credit results: Sierra Leone

  • Both storage and credit+storage increased use of community storage

at the expense of individual storage

  • Farmer profitability analysis
  • Revenue increase: per extra batta stored: 24.7% (storage) and

10.2% (Banks)

  • Profit: Over 40% increase per extra batta within IV program
  • Bank Profitability Analysis
  • Relatively low take-up and limited number of communities served in first

year  product not profitable for banks

  • Was low take up from suspicion of banks? Hard to break existing

relationships with traders? High interest rates?

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Inventory credit for maize, Kenya

  • Loan for 100% of harvest price (vs 70% in SL)
  • Interest rate 10% (vs 22% in SL)
  • Many farmers had borrowed from bank previously
  • Loan for High Take up > 70%
  • Farmers offered the loans sold less at harvest season and more

in later months

  • Prices rose much less than expected that year
  • But even then, farmers’ revenues increased by 20% after interest

payment

  • Burke et al 2014
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New Rice for Africa and nutrition

  • Nerica is high yield short duration cross between

African and Asian rice

  • Low levels of food consumption and uneven food

consumption

  • Children: 22% underweight, 44% stunted, 8%

wasting (UNICEF, 2010)

  • 35% undernourished i.e. eat less than 1809

kcal/day (FAO, 2010)

  • Little evidence on link between ag and nutrition
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Research Project Design

  • Study the yield of two upland rice varieties:
  • NERICA3 – early maturation (90 days vs 120), high

yielding

  • ROK16 – pest resistant, regular maturity, high yielding
  • Study NERICA demand through random variation in the

price and complementarities with training

  • Full price, half price and free treatments;
  • cross randomized with training
  • Impacts on yields and nutrition
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Take Up

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Nerica preliminary results

  • Nerica free group:
  • Earlier onset of harvest by about a month
  • Reduction in imported rice purchased
  • Higher yields (16%), but only with training (possibly

negative without training)

  • Also 17% higher yields for ROK with training
  • Possible training is helping even on nonNerica farms
  • Training very expensive, next step testing cheap training
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Child health

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Feeder road rehabilitation

Casaburi, Glennerster, and Suri, 2013

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Feeder road rehabilitation

  • Major part of government expenditure on agriculture
  • 4 districts selected roads, scored by external expert and ranked,

cut off number of miles to be funded by district

  • Assessed whether jump at cutoff
  • Improved roads saw reduced transport cost and shorter transport

time

  • On average staple prices fell in local markets
  • Far from town, market prices fell
  • Close to town, market prices rose as lower transport cost

means more demand from town

  • Results compatible with search costs for traders
  • nly 10% farmers sell any rice so cant look at farmer outcomes
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Combined implications

  • Enormous potential to improve output (quality and quantity)
  • 40% GDP and 60% labor force, could significantly impact

growth, and would be equitable growth

  • Pronounced seasonality and lack of mechanisms to smooth
  • Markets are thin and simple competitive model may not apply
  • Those who can provide credit in lean season have

considerable leverage/market power

  • Do we build on this or seek to weaken it?
  • Relationships along supply chain are strong making it hard to

introduce innovations

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International Growth Centre London School of Economics and Political Science Houghton Street London WC2 2AE www.theigc.org