Rachel Glennerster (JPAL)
Smallerholder Agriculture in Sierra Leone: Results so far Rachel - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Smallerholder Agriculture in Sierra Leone: Results so far Rachel - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Smallerholder Agriculture in Sierra Leone: Results so far Rachel Glennerster (JPAL) Agriculture in Sierra Leone Mainly small holder farming. Land abundant, labor scarce Rice is the main staple, 87% of farmers grow rice Cash
Agriculture in Sierra Leone
- Mainly small holder farming. Land abundant, labor scarce
- Rice is the main staple, 87% of farmers grow rice
- Cash crops include cocoa (9% of exports) and palm oil
- Rice yields 484 kg/ha vs 800 kg/ha in Ghana, 1500 kg/ha for
Uganda and 2200 kg/ha for the Philippines (ATHS 2010):
- 2.6% use improved seeds
- 7% use fertilizer
- 7% irrigation
- 2% mechanization
- 25% crop failure (Nerica baseline)
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Pronounced seasonality
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Recent ag research in Sierra Leone
- Cocoa: Interlinked transactions (Casaburi and
Reed, 2014)
- Palm oil: Inventory credit (Casaburi, 2013)
- Rice: High yield short duration Nerica rice
(Glennerster and Suri, ongoing)
- Rural road rehabilitation (Casaburi, Glennerster,
and Suri, 2014)
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Interlinked transactions
- Very little access to formal financial sector
- Traders provide loans before and during harvest
- Cocoa: Baseline 65% of farmers had received loans in past
12 months (Casaburi and Reed, 2014)
- Traders also use loans to “lock-in” supply
70% provide loans to farmers
Cocoa experiment
- Random traders given Le 150 per pound bonus for
grade A cocoa (60% of average baseline margin)
- No pass through of price to farmers
- 14ppt more likely to get credit from traders
- Treatment traders did not go into new villages but
invested more in farmers in same village
Cocoa experiment: implications
- Cocoa quality can be improved with more investment
- Let crop ripen fully and dry for longer
- Working through traders allows policy maker to reach many
farmers
- Trader/farmer relationships double edged sword
- Value of relationship provides some enforceability of informal
contract, allows traders to invest even with threat of side selling
- But also reduces competition between traders, potentially
causing inefficiency eg lower price
- Judging trader profits and competition on price margin
misleading
Seasonal price difference puzzle
- Around the world farmers sell low and buy high
- Hypotheses:
- Limited supply/monopoly on storage
- High rate of product deterioration in storage
- Lack access to credit/monopoly supply of credit
- High (exponential?) discount rate
- Casaburi studies credit and storage for palm oil
- No deterioration in product over time
- Seasonal price difference 30-60% depending on year
- Very limited (non-existent) previous exposure to banks
Inventory Credit and Storage
1850 Farmers 120 Communities Credit using Palm Oil as Collateral Control Storage Support
- Sensitization
- Free Containers
- Rehabilitated
Community Storage
- Rehabilitated
Community Storage
- Sensitization
- Double Locks
Banks – Community
- 70% advance on
Palm oil stored
- 22% Interest rate
3 Community Banks
Inventory credit results: Sierra Leone
- Both storage and credit+storage increased use of community storage
at the expense of individual storage
- Farmer profitability analysis
- Revenue increase: per extra batta stored: 24.7% (storage) and
10.2% (Banks)
- Profit: Over 40% increase per extra batta within IV program
- Bank Profitability Analysis
- Relatively low take-up and limited number of communities served in first
year product not profitable for banks
- Was low take up from suspicion of banks? Hard to break existing
relationships with traders? High interest rates?
Inventory credit for maize, Kenya
- Loan for 100% of harvest price (vs 70% in SL)
- Interest rate 10% (vs 22% in SL)
- Many farmers had borrowed from bank previously
- Loan for High Take up > 70%
- Farmers offered the loans sold less at harvest season and more
in later months
- Prices rose much less than expected that year
- But even then, farmers’ revenues increased by 20% after interest
payment
- Burke et al 2014
New Rice for Africa and nutrition
- Nerica is high yield short duration cross between
African and Asian rice
- Low levels of food consumption and uneven food
consumption
- Children: 22% underweight, 44% stunted, 8%
wasting (UNICEF, 2010)
- 35% undernourished i.e. eat less than 1809
kcal/day (FAO, 2010)
- Little evidence on link between ag and nutrition
Research Project Design
- Study the yield of two upland rice varieties:
- NERICA3 – early maturation (90 days vs 120), high
yielding
- ROK16 – pest resistant, regular maturity, high yielding
- Study NERICA demand through random variation in the
price and complementarities with training
- Full price, half price and free treatments;
- cross randomized with training
- Impacts on yields and nutrition
Take Up
Nerica preliminary results
- Nerica free group:
- Earlier onset of harvest by about a month
- Reduction in imported rice purchased
- Higher yields (16%), but only with training (possibly
negative without training)
- Also 17% higher yields for ROK with training
- Possible training is helping even on nonNerica farms
- Training very expensive, next step testing cheap training
Child health
Feeder road rehabilitation
Casaburi, Glennerster, and Suri, 2013
Feeder road rehabilitation
- Major part of government expenditure on agriculture
- 4 districts selected roads, scored by external expert and ranked,
cut off number of miles to be funded by district
- Assessed whether jump at cutoff
- Improved roads saw reduced transport cost and shorter transport
time
- On average staple prices fell in local markets
- Far from town, market prices fell
- Close to town, market prices rose as lower transport cost
means more demand from town
- Results compatible with search costs for traders
- nly 10% farmers sell any rice so cant look at farmer outcomes
Combined implications
- Enormous potential to improve output (quality and quantity)
- 40% GDP and 60% labor force, could significantly impact
growth, and would be equitable growth
- Pronounced seasonality and lack of mechanisms to smooth
- Markets are thin and simple competitive model may not apply
- Those who can provide credit in lean season have
considerable leverage/market power
- Do we build on this or seek to weaken it?
- Relationships along supply chain are strong making it hard to
introduce innovations
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