SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions Paul Fink July 3, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions Paul Fink July 3, 2019 ISIPTA 2019 Ghent, Belgium

Biography Paul Fink PhD in Statistics (2019; supervised by Thomas Augustin) Research and teaching assistant at LMU Munich till 2019 Now: Bavarian Statistical Office (Census Unit) Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 1/9

ISIPTA Collaboration Network: Background ◮ Started as series of poster-only contributions ◮ Important years: ◮ 2011 : First poster with data to 2009 at ISIPTA ’11 ◮ 2015 : Updated with data to 2013 at ISIPTA ’15 ◮ 2017 : Special edition with ECSQARU; updated to 2017 ◮ 2018 : Major revision increasing data quality Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 2/9

Data Basis ◮ Initial data collection (2011): paper title, author(s) of papers, keywords, abstracts, e-mail address of author Web scraped and converted to ASCII; location of author by location of e-mail provider Rudimentary automatic cleaning ◮ 1. revision (2015): Using official BibT EX as source (2013 onwards) ◮ 2. revision (2017): Author’s location by provided affiliation ◮ 3. revision (2018): Correction of scrapping errors and inconsistencies Technical standardization of keywords Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 3/9

Disaggregation of Paper Count 50 40 Papers 30 20 10 0 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Conference Authors: 1 2 3 4 5 Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 4/9

Keyword Cloud reliability analysis independence concepts uncertain reasoning independent natural extension decision theory predictive inference generalized bayes rule ambiguity aversion statistical inference lower and upper probabilities lower probability non-additive probabilities probability intervals imprecise markov chain williams coherence possibility distribution upper and lower probability possibility theory gamma-maximin dempster-shafer theory non-specificity desirability entropy markov chain conditional independence upper probability learning linear programming e-admissibility probabilistic logic choquet integral coherent lower prevision fuzzy measure fuzzy probabilities algorithm uncertainty elicitation extension robustness information fusion imprecision imprecise dirichlet model robust statistics evidence theory factorization natural extension copulas maximality fuzzy set conflict risk aversion credal set core conditioning choice function robust bayesian coherence independence previsions p-box capacity updating belief function missing data coarse data inference dilation strong independence random set interval probability graphical model credal network partial identification set of desirable gambles desirable gambles classification ambiguity sets of probability measures reliability lower prevision bayesian networks lower expectation epistemic irrelevance possibility measure credal classification bayesian inference comparative probability decision making subjective probability sensitivity analysis conditional probability exchangeability frequentist interpretation epistemic independence decision analysis nonparametric predictive inference transferable belief model classification trees marginal problem game-theoretic probability probabilistic reasoning sets of probabilities prior near-ignorance convex sets of probability measures sum-product networks dempster's rule of combination maximum likelihood non-additive measure Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 5/9

Keyword Cloud Which prominent keyword is missing? reliability analysis independence concepts uncertain reasoning independent natural extension decision theory predictive inference generalized bayes rule ambiguity aversion statistical inference lower and upper probabilities lower probability non-additive probabilities probability intervals imprecise markov chain williams coherence possibility distribution upper and lower probability possibility theory gamma-maximin dempster-shafer theory non-specificity desirability entropy markov chain conditional independence upper probability learning linear programming e-admissibility probabilistic logic choquet integral coherent lower prevision fuzzy measure fuzzy probabilities algorithm uncertainty elicitation extension robustness information fusion imprecision imprecise dirichlet model robust statistics evidence theory factorization natural extension copulas maximality fuzzy set conflict risk aversion credal set core conditioning choice function robust bayesian coherence independence previsions p-box capacity updating belief function missing data coarse data inference dilation strong independence random set interval probability graphical model credal network partial identification set of desirable gambles desirable gambles classification ambiguity sets of probability measures reliability lower prevision bayesian networks lower expectation epistemic irrelevance possibility measure credal classification bayesian inference comparative probability decision making subjective probability sensitivity analysis conditional probability exchangeability frequentist interpretation epistemic independence decision analysis nonparametric predictive inference transferable belief model classification trees marginal problem game-theoretic probability probabilistic reasoning sets of probabilities prior near-ignorance convex sets of probability measures sum-product networks dempster's rule of combination maximum likelihood non-additive measure Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 5/9

Keyword Cloud Which prominent keyword is missing? reliability analysis independence concepts uncertain reasoning independent natural extension decision theory predictive inference generalized bayes rule ambiguity aversion statistical inference lower and upper probabilities lower probability non-additive probabilities probability intervals imprecise markov chain williams coherence possibility distribution upper and lower probability possibility theory gamma-maximin dempster-shafer theory non-specificity desirability entropy markov chain conditional independence upper probability learning linear programming e-admissibility probabilistic logic choquet integral coherent lower prevision fuzzy measure fuzzy probabilities algorithm uncertainty elicitation extension robustness information fusion imprecision imprecise dirichlet model robust statistics evidence theory factorization natural extension copulas maximality fuzzy set conflict risk aversion credal set core conditioning choice function imprecise probability robust bayesian coherence independence previsions p-box capacity updating belief function missing data coarse data inference dilation strong independence random set interval probability graphical model credal network partial identification set of desirable gambles desirable gambles classification ambiguity sets of probability measures reliability lower prevision bayesian networks lower expectation epistemic irrelevance possibility measure credal classification bayesian inference comparative probability decision making subjective probability sensitivity analysis conditional probability exchangeability frequentist interpretation epistemic independence decision analysis nonparametric predictive inference transferable belief model classification trees marginal problem game-theoretic probability probabilistic reasoning sets of probabilities prior near-ignorance convex sets of probability measures sum-product networks dempster's rule of combination maximum likelihood non-additive measure Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 5/9

Authors 250 200 150 Authors 100 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 19 21 26 Papers in ISIPTA proceedings Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 6/9

Collaboration Number of authors with ... 90 60 30 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 15 17 19 24 ... different coauthors Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 7/9

Collaboration Network: ISIPTA ’99 209 175 191 65 74 292 121 127 392 278 179 126 83 261 328 136 43 186 18 285 20 299 239 362 50 304 106 372 353 260 206 73 203 357 57 272 114 32 330 373 258 46 92 351 385 105 153 132 159 286 245 22 343 345 237 217 157 321 300 287 187 384 25 107 371 29 176 2 173 163 210 224 262 240 93 178 76 254 197 current contributor 242 365 162 previous contributor Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 8/9