SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions Paul Fink July 3, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions

Paul Fink

July 3, 2019 ISIPTA 2019 Ghent, Belgium

Biography

Paul Fink PhD in Statistics (2019; supervised by Thomas Augustin) Research and teaching assistant at LMU Munich till 2019 Now: Bavarian Statistical Office (Census Unit)

Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 1/9

ISIPTA Collaboration Network: Background

◮ Started as series of poster-only contributions ◮ Important years:

◮ 2011: First poster with data to 2009 at ISIPTA ’11 ◮ 2015: Updated with data to 2013 at ISIPTA ’15 ◮ 2017: Special edition with ECSQARU; updated to 2017 ◮ 2018: Major revision increasing data quality

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Data Basis

◮ Initial data collection (2011): paper title, author(s) of papers, keywords, abstracts, e-mail address of author Web scraped and converted to ASCII; location of author by location of e-mail provider Rudimentary automatic cleaning ◮ 1. revision (2015): Using official BibT EX as source (2013 onwards) ◮ 2. revision (2017): Author’s location by provided affiliation ◮ 3. revision (2018): Correction of scrapping errors and inconsistencies Technical standardization of keywords

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Disaggregation of Paper Count

10 20 30 40 50 1 9 9 9 2 1 2 3 2 5 2 7 2 9 2 1 1 2 1 3 2 1 5 2 1 7 2 1 9

Conference Papers Authors:

1 2 3 4 5

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Keyword Cloud

coherence

belief function

credal set natural extension

random set

credal network imprecise dirichlet model uncertainty

classification lower prevision interval probability

coherent lower prevision conditioning epistemic irrelevance linear programming ambiguity conditional independence decision making robustness

independence dempster-shafer theory inference p-box sensitivity analysis set of desirable gambles upper and lower probability

bayesian inference bayesian networks choice function elicitation partial identification updating choquet integral credal classification e-admissibility epistemic independence evidence theory fuzzy set maximality missing data nonparametric predictive inference sets of probability measures strong independence subjective probability

capacity desirability desirable gambles graphical model imprecise markov chain lower and upper probabilities lower expectation markov chain possibility measure algorithm classification trees dilation exchangeability fuzzy measure imprecision information fusion possibility theory probabilistic logic probabilistic reasoning probability intervals reliability robust bayesian upper probability

ambiguity aversion coarse data comparative probability conditional probability conflict convex sets of probability measures copulas core decision analysis decision theory dempster's rule of combination entropy extension factorization frequentist interpretation fuzzy probabilities game-theoretic probability gamma-maximin generalized bayes rule independence concepts independent natural extension learning lower probability marginal problem maximum likelihood non-additive measure non-additive probabilities non-specificity possibility distribution predictive inference previsions prior near-ignorance reliability analysis risk aversion robust statistics sets of probabilities statistical inference sum-product networks transferable belief model uncertain reasoning williams coherence

Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 5/9

Keyword Cloud

Which prominent keyword is missing?

coherence

belief function

credal set natural extension

random set

credal network imprecise dirichlet model uncertainty

classification lower prevision interval probability

coherent lower prevision conditioning epistemic irrelevance linear programming ambiguity conditional independence decision making robustness

independence dempster-shafer theory inference p-box sensitivity analysis set of desirable gambles upper and lower probability

bayesian inference bayesian networks choice function elicitation partial identification updating choquet integral credal classification e-admissibility epistemic independence evidence theory fuzzy set maximality missing data nonparametric predictive inference sets of probability measures strong independence subjective probability

capacity desirability desirable gambles graphical model imprecise markov chain lower and upper probabilities lower expectation markov chain possibility measure algorithm classification trees dilation exchangeability fuzzy measure imprecision information fusion possibility theory probabilistic logic probabilistic reasoning probability intervals reliability robust bayesian upper probability

ambiguity aversion coarse data comparative probability conditional probability conflict convex sets of probability measures copulas core decision analysis decision theory dempster's rule of combination entropy extension factorization frequentist interpretation fuzzy probabilities game-theoretic probability gamma-maximin generalized bayes rule independence concepts independent natural extension learning lower probability marginal problem maximum likelihood non-additive measure non-additive probabilities non-specificity possibility distribution predictive inference previsions prior near-ignorance reliability analysis risk aversion robust statistics sets of probabilities statistical inference sum-product networks transferable belief model uncertain reasoning williams coherence

Paul Fink SIPTA-Community based on Paper Contributions ISIPTA 2019 – July 3, 2019 5/9

Keyword Cloud

Which prominent keyword is missing?

coherence

belief function

credal set natural extension

random set

credal network imprecise dirichlet model uncertainty

classification lower prevision interval probability

coherent lower prevision conditioning epistemic irrelevance linear programming ambiguity conditional independence decision making robustness

independence dempster-shafer theory inference p-box sensitivity analysis set of desirable gambles upper and lower probability

bayesian inference bayesian networks choice function elicitation partial identification updating choquet integral credal classification e-admissibility epistemic independence evidence theory fuzzy set maximality missing data nonparametric predictive inference sets of probability measures strong independence subjective probability

capacity desirability desirable gambles graphical model imprecise markov chain lower and upper probabilities lower expectation markov chain possibility measure algorithm classification trees dilation exchangeability fuzzy measure imprecision information fusion possibility theory probabilistic logic probabilistic reasoning probability intervals reliability robust bayesian upper probability

ambiguity aversion coarse data comparative probability conditional probability conflict convex sets of probability measures copulas core decision analysis decision theory dempster's rule of combination entropy extension factorization frequentist interpretation fuzzy probabilities game-theoretic probability gamma-maximin generalized bayes rule independence concepts independent natural extension learning lower probability marginal problem maximum likelihood non-additive measure non-additive probabilities non-specificity possibility distribution predictive inference previsions prior near-ignorance reliability analysis risk aversion robust statistics sets of probabilities statistical inference sum-product networks transferable belief model uncertain reasoning williams coherence

imprecise probability

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Authors

50 100 150 200 250 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 19 21 26

Papers in ISIPTA proceedings Authors

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Collaboration

30 60 90 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 15 17 19 24

... different coauthors Number of authors with ...

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Collaboration Network: ISIPTA ’99

current contributor previous contributor

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Collaboration Network: ISIPTA 2019

current contributor previous contributor

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Conclusion and Outlook

◮ Descriptive analysis of 11 ISIPTA proceedings ◮ Visualization of collaboration

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Conclusion and Outlook

◮ Descriptive analysis of 11 ISIPTA proceedings ◮ Visualization of collaboration ◮ Addition of poster-only contributions ◮ Keywords by topic

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Conclusion and Outlook

◮ Descriptive analysis of 11 ISIPTA proceedings ◮ Visualization of collaboration ◮ Addition of poster-only contributions ◮ Keywords by topic

Visit the poster for more information

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