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Security in My Rear-View Mirror Marcus J. Ranum works for Tenable - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Security in My Rear-View Mirror Marcus J. Ranum works for Tenable Network Security, Inc. Trajectory Optimism We can do this! Firewalls Browser active content Cloud Malware Cloud 1989 1997 2008 IoT Current Trends Management:


  1. Security in My Rear-View Mirror Marcus J. Ranum works for Tenable Network Security, Inc.

  2. Trajectory Optimism We can do this! Firewalls Browser active content Cloud Malware Cloud 1989 1997 2008 IoT

  3. Current Trends • Management: – Do more with less – Process not people – Off the shelf software – No in-house development capability

  4. A Problem • Everything I advocate is the opposite of “do more with less”

  5. The Problem • Management is chasing fads and engaging in false optimism – Keep buying anti-malware products “maybe the next one will work” – Keep freeform data-sharing “maybe we’ll figure out where it is someday” – Keep desktop systems administration “configuration management is hard”

  6. Market Dynamics • The security world is getting crushed from 3 sides at once: – Top – Bottom – Flank

  7. Market Dynamics • From the top, the security market is getting crushed by cloud computing – Cloud is configuration management and automation – If you won’t/can’t/are too stupid to do it, we’ll do it for you, and aggregate the cost

  8. Market Dynamics • From the bottom, the security market is getting crushed by the apparent savings of BYOD – Not, you know, the reality of BYOD – It’s just a way of pushing the cost of management onto the user

  9. Market Dynamics • From the side, the security market is getting crushed by new management models – Apple walled garden software (but knowing Apple, it’s not too late to screw up) – Software as a service

  10. If You Were Paying Attention • You may have noticed that I just said that security is almost entirely being driven by management costs – Specifically system administration / configuration management

  11. If You Were Paying Attention • This is why current focus on standards and compliance (PCI, etc) is ill-advised – It is another management cost – If organizations realize this, they’ll figure out how to game compliance • Switch to cloud • Switch to configuration management and automation

  12. Digging Out Of The Hole • Stop doing “penetrate and patch” – The industry must/will switch to streaming software updates with version repudiation – It’s heading that way for everything, it probably won’t be good enough – Switch to whitelisting applications and traffic and storage • Focus on aggregate management cost

  13. How to Talk to Managment • Use small words

  14. How to Talk to Managment • Joking aside: – Use comparative results – “we did X, and it resulted in Y” – “we spend X amount of time on each incident, compared to Y amount of time in aggregate configuration management” • Help them understand where the effort is going

  15. How to Talk to Managment • This applies to software, as well!! – “I know you say ‘we don’t do software development’ but Oracle and Arcsight and everything we have to configure is software development. We need to look at long-term maintenance and management costs, not top line cost.”

  16. How to Talk to Managment • Eventually someone must ask: – “Are cheaper Windows/PC combinations actually cheaper than a Mac, if we look at them over a 5-year cycle including maintenance and management costs as well as add-on software and management of add-on software?” – Do you know the true cost of malware?

  17. All of This Means: • Maintain metrics – It is effectively impossible to make honest cost-based system projections without data about current outcomes • “When is the best time to plant a mighty oak tree?”

  18. My Advice To You • If you’re working in security, work with a focus on management and automation – That’s mostly what we do, anyway – Forms of management that can be, will be ditched – Forms of management that can be, will be automated

  19. My Advice To You • If you’re working in software, work with a focus on management and automation – CASE tools failed in the 80s and 90s because they made writing bad code harder – Make it easier to write good code faster and you will get rich* * If you don’t die of frustration, first

  20. My Advice To You • Avoid “forensic management” careers – Vulnerability management – Asset management – Penetration testing – Compliance auditing • These are fields that are targeted for cost-cutting (which will mean increased competition)

  21. My Advice To You • Want to make a ton of $Euro? – Application whitelisting as a service – Storage management as a service

  22. Summary • It probably sounds like I am “big” on configuration management – Yes • Why? – Security is properly a sub-discipline of systems and network administration – We exist as an industry because they suck

  23. Security in My Rear-View Mirror Marcus J. Ranum works for Tenable Network Security, Inc.

  24. Trajectory Optimism We can do this! Firewalls Browser active content Cloud Malware Cloud 1989 1997 2008 IoT

  25. Current Trends • Management: – Do more with less – Process not people – Off the shelf software – No in-house development capability

  26. A Problem • Everything I advocate is the opposite of “do more with less”

  27. The Problem • Management is chasing fads and engaging in false optimism – Keep buying anti-malware products “maybe the next one will work” – Keep freeform data-sharing “maybe we’ll figure out where it is someday” – Keep desktop systems administration “configuration management is hard”

  28. Market Dynamics • The security world is getting crushed from 3 sides at once: – Top – Bottom – Flank

  29. Market Dynamics • From the top, the security market is getting crushed by cloud computing – Cloud is configuration management and automation – If you won’t/can’t/are too stupid to do it, we’ll do it for you, and aggregate the cost

  30. Market Dynamics • From the bottom, the security market is getting crushed by the apparent savings of BYOD – Not, you know, the reality of BYOD – It’s just a way of pushing the cost of management onto the user

  31. Market Dynamics • From the side, the security market is getting crushed by new management models – Apple walled garden software (but knowing Apple, it’s not too late to screw up) – Software as a service

  32. If You Were Paying Attention • You may have noticed that I just said that security is almost entirely being driven by management costs – Specifically system administration / configuration management

  33. If You Were Paying Attention • This is why current focus on standards and compliance (PCI, etc) is ill-advised – It is another management cost – If organizations realize this, they’ll figure out how to game compliance • Switch to cloud • Switch to configuration management and automation

  34. Digging Out Of The Hole • Stop doing “penetrate and patch” – The industry must/will switch to streaming software updates with version repudiation – It’s heading that way for everything, it probably won’t be good enough – Switch to whitelisting applications and traffic and storage • Focus on aggregate management cost

  35. How to Talk to Managment • Use small words

  36. How to Talk to Managment • Joking aside: – Use comparative results – “we did X, and it resulted in Y” – “we spend X amount of time on each incident, compared to Y amount of time in aggregate configuration management” • Help them understand where the effort is going

  37. How to Talk to Managment • This applies to software, as well!! – “I know you say ‘we don’t do software development’ but Oracle and Arcsight and everything we have to configure is software development. We need to look at long-term maintenance and management costs, not top line cost.”

  38. How to Talk to Managment • Eventually someone must ask: – “Are cheaper Windows/PC combinations actually cheaper than a Mac, if we look at them over a 5-year cycle including maintenance and management costs as well as add-on software and management of add-on software?” – Do you know the true cost of malware?

  39. All of This Means: • Maintain metrics – It is effectively impossible to make honest cost-based system projections without data about current outcomes • “When is the best time to plant a mighty oak tree?”

  40. My Advice To You • If you’re working in security, work with a focus on management and automation – That’s mostly what we do, anyway – Forms of management that can be, will be ditched – Forms of management that can be, will be automated

  41. My Advice To You • If you’re working in software, work with a focus on management and automation – CASE tools failed in the 80s and 90s because they made writing bad code harder – Make it easier to write good code faster and you will get rich* * If you don’t die of frustration, first

  42. My Advice To You • Avoid “forensic management” careers – Vulnerability management – Asset management – Penetration testing – Compliance auditing • These are fields that are targeted for cost-cutting (which will mean increased competition)

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