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S TATISTICAL F OUNDATIONS OF V IRTUAL D EMOCRACY Anson Kahng , Min - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

S TATISTICAL F OUNDATIONS OF V IRTUAL D EMOCRACY Anson Kahng , Min Kyung Lee, Ritesh Noothigattu, Ariel Procaccia, and Alex Psomas ICML 2019 A UTOMATING E THICAL D ECISIONS Donors Recipients A UTOMATING E THICAL D ECISIONS Donors Recipients


  1. S TATISTICAL F OUNDATIONS OF V IRTUAL D EMOCRACY Anson Kahng , Min Kyung Lee, Ritesh Noothigattu, Ariel Procaccia, and Alex Psomas ICML 2019

  2. A UTOMATING E THICAL D ECISIONS Donors Recipients

  3. A UTOMATING E THICAL D ECISIONS Donors Recipients How do you make this decision? 
 Which recipient deserves the food?

  4. <latexit sha1_base64="+NPkOo4eOGyvmqjiQWhMTQZXq0=">AB7HicbVBNS8NAEJ3Ur1q/qh69LBbBU0m0oMeCF48VTFtoQ9lsN+3SzSbsToQS+hu8eFDEqz/Im/GbZuDtj4YeLw3w8y8MJXCoOt+O6WNza3tnfJuZW/4PCoenzSNkmGfdZIhPdDanhUijuo0DJu6nmNA4l74STu7nfeLaiEQ94jTlQUxHSkSCUbS3zcZY4Nqza27C5B14hWkBgVag+pXf5iwLOYKmaTG9Dw3xSCnGgWTfFbpZ4anlE3oiPcsVTmJsgXx87IhVWGJEq0LYVkof6eyGlszDQObWdMcWxWvbn4n9fLMLoNcqHSDLliy0VRJgkmZP45GQrNGcqpJZRpYW8lbEw1ZWjzqdgQvNWX10n7qu5d192HRq3ZLOIowxmcwyV4cANuIcW+MBAwDO8wpujnBfn3flYtpacYuYU/sD5/AHfcI62</latexit> <latexit sha1_base64="+NPkOo4eOGyvmqjiQWhMTQZXq0=">AB7HicbVBNS8NAEJ3Ur1q/qh69LBbBU0m0oMeCF48VTFtoQ9lsN+3SzSbsToQS+hu8eFDEqz/Im/GbZuDtj4YeLw3w8y8MJXCoOt+O6WNza3tnfJuZW/4PCoenzSNkmGfdZIhPdDanhUijuo0DJu6nmNA4l74STu7nfeLaiEQ94jTlQUxHSkSCUbS3zcZY4Nqza27C5B14hWkBgVag+pXf5iwLOYKmaTG9Dw3xSCnGgWTfFbpZ4anlE3oiPcsVTmJsgXx87IhVWGJEq0LYVkof6eyGlszDQObWdMcWxWvbn4n9fLMLoNcqHSDLliy0VRJgkmZP45GQrNGcqpJZRpYW8lbEw1ZWjzqdgQvNWX10n7qu5d192HRq3ZLOIowxmcwyV4cANuIcW+MBAwDO8wpujnBfn3flYtpacYuYU/sD5/AHfcI62</latexit> <latexit sha1_base64="+NPkOo4eOGyvmqjiQWhMTQZXq0=">AB7HicbVBNS8NAEJ3Ur1q/qh69LBbBU0m0oMeCF48VTFtoQ9lsN+3SzSbsToQS+hu8eFDEqz/Im/GbZuDtj4YeLw3w8y8MJXCoOt+O6WNza3tnfJuZW/4PCoenzSNkmGfdZIhPdDanhUijuo0DJu6nmNA4l74STu7nfeLaiEQ94jTlQUxHSkSCUbS3zcZY4Nqza27C5B14hWkBgVag+pXf5iwLOYKmaTG9Dw3xSCnGgWTfFbpZ4anlE3oiPcsVTmJsgXx87IhVWGJEq0LYVkof6eyGlszDQObWdMcWxWvbn4n9fLMLoNcqHSDLliy0VRJgkmZP45GQrNGcqpJZRpYW8lbEw1ZWjzqdgQvNWX10n7qu5d192HRq3ZLOIowxmcwyV4cANuIcW+MBAwDO8wpujnBfn3flYtpacYuYU/sD5/AHfcI62</latexit> <latexit sha1_base64="+NPkOo4eOGyvmqjiQWhMTQZXq0=">AB7HicbVBNS8NAEJ3Ur1q/qh69LBbBU0m0oMeCF48VTFtoQ9lsN+3SzSbsToQS+hu8eFDEqz/Im/GbZuDtj4YeLw3w8y8MJXCoOt+O6WNza3tnfJuZW/4PCoenzSNkmGfdZIhPdDanhUijuo0DJu6nmNA4l74STu7nfeLaiEQ94jTlQUxHSkSCUbS3zcZY4Nqza27C5B14hWkBgVag+pXf5iwLOYKmaTG9Dw3xSCnGgWTfFbpZ4anlE3oiPcsVTmJsgXx87IhVWGJEq0LYVkof6eyGlszDQObWdMcWxWvbn4n9fLMLoNcqHSDLliy0VRJgkmZP45GQrNGcqpJZRpYW8lbEw1ZWjzqdgQvNWX10n7qu5d192HRq3ZLOIowxmcwyV4cANuIcW+MBAwDO8wpujnBfn3flYtpacYuYU/sD5/AHfcI62</latexit> A M ODEST P ROPOSAL Ask participants to cast a vote every time a decision needs to be made Donor: Type of donation: � � � � Issue : we must consult participants every time a donation occurs! Idea : what if we could predict how people would vote?

  5. V IRTUAL D EMOCRACY Data Collection Learning Aggregation “Learn models of people, and let the models vote”

  6. D ATA C OLLECTION Data Collection Learning Aggregation Use features identified by Lee et al. (2017) to collect pairwise comparisons of potential recipients

  7. L EARNING Data Collection Learning Aggregation Learn models of participants that capture their reported preferences on pairwise comparisons; let models vote

  8. A GGREGATION Data Collection Learning Aggregation How do we aggregate these votes?

  9. A GGREGATION Fundamental question in virtual democracy: 
 Which voting rule should we use to aggregate votes? Desideratum : robustness to machine learning errors We want voting rules that are likely to output the same result on both true underlying preferences and noisy votes

  10. T HEORETICAL R ESULTS Theorem: Borda Count is robust under Mallows noise If the difference between the true Borda scores of two alternatives is small, then the probability that Borda swaps them in the noisy ranking is exponentially small Theorem: PMC rules are not robust under Mallows noise There always exists a profile with an acyclic pairwise majority graph, but whose noisy profile has an acyclic pairwise majority graph with a different topological ordering

  11. T HEORETICAL R ESULTS Theorem: Borda Count is robust under Mallows noise “Use Borda Count for virtual democracy” Theorem: PMC rules are not robust under Mallows noise “Don’t use PMC rules for virtual democracy”

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