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Key Findings from a Survey of 500 Registered Voters August 21-23, 2018 Robert Blizzard, Partner #18764 The Criminal Justice System An overwhelming majority of Kentuckians believe the countrys criminal justice system needs significant


  1. Key Findings from a Survey of 500 Registered Voters August 21-23, 2018 Robert Blizzard, Partner #18764

  2. The Criminal Justice System

  3. An overwhelming majority of Kentuckians believe the country’s criminal justice system “needs significant improvements.” Generally speaking, do you think the country's criminal justice system needs significant improvements, or is working pretty well as it is? Total By Party 90% 86% 82% 82% 76% 19% 16% 15% 12% 8% NI WPW NI WPW NI WPW NI WPW NI WPW Total GOP IND Soft DEM Strg DEM (41%) (8%) (25%) (25%) KENTUCKY STATEWIDE – AUGUST 2018 3

  4. Components of Reform Small Small Soft Strg Louis- Trump GOP IND Lex. Cincy East West %Agree- Disagree Total DEM DEM ville App (41%) (8%) (29%) (11%) DMAs DMAs (25%) (25%) (30%) (53%) (9%) (21%) Gun owners who commit the same non ‐ violent offense as 76%- 87%- 71%- 77%- 59%- 76%- 77%- 93%- 78%- 66%- 83%- non ‐ gun owners should not be 18% 11% 19% 20% 27% 20% 18% 5% 20% 21% 15% subjected to higher penalties simply because they own a gun. A person convicted of 82%- 82%- 69%- 85%- 83%- 83%- 84%- 85%- 67%- 82%- 79%- non ‐ violent drug offenses should not be sentenced to life 17% 16% 27% 14% 17% 15% 15% 13% 31% 18% 19% in prison. Congress needs to update the laws they passed in the 1990's 68%- 67%- 70%- 72%- 66%- 64%- 72%- 83%- 64%- 64%- 65%- that force judges to impose mandatory minimum sentences, 26% 27% 28% 25% 28% 30% 23% 13% 34% 30% 29% even when the punishment doesn't fit the crime. Congress should give judges 74%- 73%- 79%- 76%- 72%- 74%- 74%- 76%- 61%- 77%- 70%- the option to depart from harsh mandatory minimum sentences 20% 20% 15% 23% 21% 19% 20% 19% 29% 18% 23% in certain circumstances. Updated sentencing laws should apply to all people – 71%- 65%- 82%- 72%- 74%- 75%- 71%- 79%- 67%- 63%- 69%- even those who have been sentenced in the past – not just 22% 28% 10% 19% 20% 21% 23% 15% 23% 25% 25% those who will be sentenced in the future. KENTUCKY STATEWIDE – AUGUST 2018 4

  5. And, when voters are told these components are part of a bill the President supports, voters in turn support the legislation by 35 points. Now, as you may know, these are all components of a prison and sentencing reform bill making it's way through Congress that President Trump recently came out in favor of. Generally speaking, do you support or oppose the President's prison and sentencing reform bill? Total By Party 75% 55% 55% 49% 45% 40% Strg 36% 29% 27% 30% Strg 26% Strg 20% 17% Strg 15% 14% 13% 10% Strg Strg 5% Strg Strg Sup Opp Sup Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp Total GOP IND Soft DEM Strg DEM (41%) (8%) (25%) (25%) KENTUCKY STATEWIDE – AUGUST 2018 5

  6. Fully 70% of Kentuckians want Leader McConnell to bring the bill to the floor. And, do you believe that U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell should bring President Trump's prison and sentencing reform bill to a vote on the U.S. Senate floor? Total By Party 86% 77% 70% 66% Strg 56% 53% 52% 42% Strg Strg 43% 35% 31% Strg Strg 25% 15% 14% Strg 9% 4% Vote No Vt Vote Vote No Vt Vote No Vt Vote No Vt Total GOP IND Soft DEM Strg DEM (41%) (8%) (25%) (25%) KENTUCKY STATEWIDE – AUGUST 2018 6

  7. And, McConnell will face no push-back with voters for doing so. And, if you learned that Mitch McConnell brought President Trump's prison and sentencing reform bill to a vote on the U.S. Senate floor, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for Mitch McConnell, or would it make no difference in your vote? Total By Party 77% 71% 70% 69% 67% % % % % % 21% 21% INTN INTN INTN INTN INTN 16% 16% 16% 10% 10% 8% 7% Much 4% 4% ML LL ND ML ND ML ND ML LL ND LL ND Total GOP IND Soft DEM Strg DEM (41%) (8%) (25%) (25%) KENTUCKY STATEWIDE – AUGUST 2018 7

  8. Attitudinal Statements Small Small Soft Strg Louis- Trump GOP IND Lex. Cincy East West %Agree- Disagree Total DEM DEM ville App (41%) (8%) (29%) (11%) DMAs DMAs (25%) (25%) (30%) (53%) (9%) (21%) The main goal of our criminal justice system should be rehabilitating 89%- 87%- 81%- 91%- 91%- 88%- 88%- 90%- 87%- 90%- 86%- inmates to become productive, 10% 12% 12% 6% 8% 11% 10% 8% 13% 7% 13% law ‐ abiding citizens who can find jobs and support their families. Employers should voluntarily provide opportunities to people who have 93%- 91%- 85%- 94%- 97%- 95%- 94%- 87%- 94%- 91%- 93%- made mistakes, but have turned their 3% 5% 8% 2% 1% 2% 2% 5% 6% 5% 5% lives around and want to work and support their families. Pregnant women serving time in jails or prisons should not be shackled, or 82%- 82%- 81%- 82%- 81%- 79%- 85%- 93%- 78%- 74%- 80%- handcuffed, while 14% 13% 12% 16% 14% 16% 10% 3% 22% 18% 17% they are in labor and actually in the process of delivering their babies. The federal government should not 89%- 86%- 86%- 92%- 93%- 90%- 90%- 86%- 89%- 91%- 85%- stand in the way of opportunities for people who have made mistakes to 7% 10% 7% 3% 4% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 10% find jobs and support their families. People with records who have 73%- 69%- 78%- 75%- 77%- 74%- 77%- 69%- 79%- 67%- 71%- remained crime ‐ free for years should be allowed to have their 21% 27% 17% 21% 14% 20% 18% 20% 21% 29% 27% records sealed to help them find jobs. In order to make prisons safer for 81%- 81%- 82%- 81%- 80%- 83%- 78%- 88%- 66%- 86%- 77%- prison guards and staff, we should increase incentives for good behavior 14% 15% 13% 15% 11% 12% 17% 7% 21% 11% 18% for individuals serving time. Low ‐ risk inmates who are elderly or terminally ill should be allowed to 65%- 63%- 58%- 64%- 73%- 64%- 65%- 66%- 64%- 67%- 67%- serve out their time in their families' 26% 31% 33% 26% 16% 25% 26% 26% 27% 27% 27% care instead of being forced die in prison. KENTUCKY STATEWIDE – AUGUST 2018 8

  9. Robert Blizzard robert@pos.org @robertblizzard 214 North Fayette Street Alexandria, Virginia 22314 Phone: (703) 836-7655 Web: www.pos.org

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